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Intelligence and Globalisation

Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

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Intelligence in the papers - every day for a decade but not covered in a sophisticated way

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Page 1: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Intelligence and Globalisation

Page 2: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

No longer the missing dimension of history?

Page 3: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Intelligence in the papers - every day for a decadebut not covered in a sophisticated way

Page 4: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

The Strange World of Baylis & Smith?

Page 5: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Intell - a subset of Foreign Policy Analysis

Page 6: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

The deck chair school of intelligence studies

Amy ZegartSpying Blind

Page 7: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

What did intell miss between 1989 and 2003?

Page 8: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

‘Targettism’ - The search for the next target

Jim Woolsey DCI 22 Feb 1993Economic intelligence“hottest current topic”

Page 9: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

The New Terrorism – 1989? 1993? 2001?

Page 10: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Other people of interest in the 1990sOrganized crime kills more than war or terror

Page 11: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

What does globalization do to the intell environment?

Page 12: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

1. Cult/Econ provocation – diverse enemies2. Provides provoked with new weapons3. Removes boundaries – states then need

intel-led policy4. ‘Risk societies’ want pre-emption/cover5. Toilet cleaners of globalization6. But not prestigious – dirty agents

What does globalization do to the intelligence environment?

Page 13: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

1. Complexity makes collection much harder2. Requires counter-intuitive sharing3. Enforcement – hunters not gatherers4. Trashes tac int cycle? – David Omand5. Dissolves foreign/domestic boundary 6. Corodes state secrecy – reverse gaze7. Towards Knowledge Intensive Security???

What does globalization do to intell services?

Page 14: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

The World of Knowledge Intensive Security

Page 15: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

1. What was intelligence in 1970/1990/20002. David Omand’s “Protected Info”3. Pressure for wholesale surveillance IMP?4. Or Data-veillance – many little brothers5. The pleasure of self-surveillance6. No longer just 3 agencies in gov - Locals7. Businesses – airlines banks ISPs8. How do we incorporate the citizen? - PNJ

Globalization conjures up a new ecology knowledge-intensive security?

Page 16: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Intelligence and the nation-state system

Page 17: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

1. The Westphalian system- cake and eat it2. Strong global civil society = Dana Priest3. KIS = lots of data about int services4. Shift from political regulation to law5. Whistle-blowing - Shield Law Rep –R/dems6. Over the last 20 years business 7. How to engage with society? Trust ?

Globalization also conjures up regulation by revelation ???

Page 18: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Intelligence and two worlds of globalization?

Page 19: Intelligence and Globalisation. No longer the missing dimension of history?

Tin Foil Hat Cat says “thank you for listening”