Integrated Resort Casino Development and its Impact on Tourism in Slovenia

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  • 7/22/2019 Integrated Resort Casino Development and its Impact on Tourism in Slovenia

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    Integrated Resort CasinoDevelopment and its Impact on

    Tourism in Slovenia

    Institute for the study of gamblingFaculty of Economics, Unviersity of Ljubljana

    dr. Hugo Zagorek

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    Institute for the

    study of gambling Overview of the presentation

    1.What is the relationship betweencasinos and tourism?

    2.What are the specifics of the Sloveniangambling market?

    3.Case study: Hit-HET integrated resortcasino: what went wrong?

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    study of gambling

    Border

    casinos as

    touristattractions?

    Linkages between casinos and tourism

    3. Significant tourism

    enhancing benefits can

    occur only if majority of the

    customers come from

    outside the region

    Several categories of

    tourists exist

    Gambling

    tourists

    General

    tourists

    Day-triptourists

    Regular

    (overnight)

    tourists

    1. Casino-style

    gambling haspotential for

    attracting out-of-

    region visitors

    2. It is attractive,

    because itssupply is severely

    limited.

    Primary purposeof visit

    Length of stay

    Border

    casinos as

    tourist

    attractions?

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    study of gambling

    Factors that influence the degree of developmental

    impact of casinos on a tourist destination

    Level 1 2 3 4

    Relative importance ofcasino in relation to other

    touris t attractions on thedestination

    Casino is the

    main attraction

    Casino is the

    main attraction

    Casino is the

    main attraction

    Casino is theadditional

    (secondary)attraction

    Category of vis itors Gambling GamblingMostly

    gamblingGeneral and

    gambling

    Predominant typeof visitors

    Localvisitors

    Out of stateday-trip visitors

    Out of statetourists that

    spend at leastone night at the

    destination

    Out of statetourists that

    spend at leastone night at the

    destination

    Possible typesof venue

    Stand alonecasino, urban

    casino

    Stand alonecasino, resort-casino, border

    casino

    Integratedresort-casino

    Stand alonecasino,

    integratedresort-casino

    Degree of tour ism anddevelopmental impact onthe destination

    No impactModerate

    impactSignificant

    impactModerate

    impact

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    study of gambling

    Geographic distribution of casinos in

    Slovenia

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    study of gambling

    Total gambling market in Slovenia

    5572 60

    81 85 88

    15

    1819

    2534 52

    178

    187193

    207

    240

    23916

    21 38

    60

    77

    110

    264

    298311

    373

    435

    489

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Year

    Grossgamingrevenues(mio)

    Casino parlors

    Regular casinos

    Sportrs Lottery (betting)

    National Lottery

    Gambling

    parlors and

    sports

    betting

    segments

    exhibit

    fastest

    growth

    Casino-

    stylegambling

    holds

    72%

    market

    share

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    study of gambling

    Number of visitors in gambling parlors is

    increasing; it is stagnating in casinos

    Source: Office for Gaming Supervision, 2007.

    4.336

    3.842

    3.392

    2.8302.5832.546

    4.830

    0

    500

    1.000

    1.500

    2.000

    2.500

    3.000

    3.500

    4.000

    4.500

    5.000

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Year

    Number(in

    thousand

    Domestic visitors in gambling parlors

    Foreign visitors in gambling parlors

    Domestic visitors in regular casinos

    Foreign visitors in regular casinos

    Foreign visitors represent 68% of all visitors

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    study of gambling

    Market shares in the Slovenian casino

    industry

    0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32

    C. Perla (N.Gorica)

    C. Park (N.Gorica)

    C. Korona (Kr.Gora)

    C. Lipica (Seana)

    C. Portoro (Portoro)

    I.S. Princess (Nova Gorica)

    I.S. Vrtojba (empeter pri Gorici)

    I.S. Paquito (Vol

    ja Draga)I. Kobarid (Kobarid)

    I.S. Astraea (Lipica)

    I.S. Larix (Kr.Gora)

    I.S. Gold (Seana)

    I.S. Karneval (kofije)I.S.Kongo (Grosuplje)

    I.S. Joker (Maribor)

    C.Ljubljana (Ljubljana)

    I.S. Lev (Ljubljana)

    C. Bled (Bled)I.S. Fortuna (Nova Gorica)

    I.S. Koper (Ljubljana)

    Trni de le v le tu 2006 (v %)

    Hit is the largest

    player with 54%

    market share.

    Several gambling

    parlors are bigger

    than regular

    casinos

    Two biggest

    casinos create45% of all gross

    gaming revenues

    Source: Office for Gaming Supervision, 2007.

    Market shares in 2006

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    study of gambling

    Export versus domestically oriented

    casinos: spending per visitor

    Source: Office for Gaming Supervision, 2007.

    8389 94

    100

    107110

    6459 57

    6054 53

    45

    58

    6662 64 60

    37

    2326

    30

    3844

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Export-oriented Domestically-oriented

    Year and type of casino

    Averaterevenue

    pervisitor()

    Regular casinos

    Gambling parlors

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    3545

    5359

    70 7313

    1517

    24

    31

    35

    50

    40

    123

    104

    90

    77

    5760

    48

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007*

    Ave

    ragegambling

    relatedspendin

    gperresident(

    in

    )

    Spending per

    resident for casino

    type gambling

    Spending per

    resident for lottery

    and sports betting

    * Projection

    Average total

    gambling spending

    per resident

    Domestic spending for gambling is

    growing rapidly (17% per year)

    Slovenian residents spent 67% of their gambling

    budged on lottery and sports betting in 2006.

    Casino-style gambling expendituresare the fastest growing segment

    G bli dit f f i t i t

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    study of gambling

    Gambling expenditures of foreign tourists

    represent 30% of total tourism service

    purchases

    Inbound tourism

    consumption

    Domestic tourism

    consumption

    Non-specific products

    Connected products

    6.2-Gambling

    6.1-Sports and recreational sport serv ices

    5-Cultural serv ices

    3-Passanger transport services

    2-Food and beverage serving serv ices

    1-Accomodation services

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    study of gambling

    The contribution of gambling sector to

    Slovenian tourism

    1. Tourism represents approximately 4,9% of GDP.

    2. Gambling expenditures of foreign tourists: 196 million

    1. 30% of total tourism service purchases

    2. 19% of total foreign tourists expenditures

    3. Casino-style gambling industry generates the highestvalue added percentage: 75%

    4. Multipliers for gambling industry are high: 1,43 & 2,05

    1. However, 92% of all foreign tourists are day trip tourists

    2. Major challenge of casino industry: to increase tourism

    component of their offering

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    Overview of the proposed Hit-HET

    project (I)

    1999 Hit begins discussing megacasino project

    2005 Hit begins talks with Harrahs entertainment

    2005 Public announcement of the negotiations

    2005 Government cautiously supportive, but not taking theleading role

    2006 Negotiations between Hit HET

    2007 Final version of integrated resort casino project is

    released to public

    2007 Government prepares changes in the legislation, but

    does not send them to the parliament

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    Overview of the resort-casino project

    (II)

    Basic facts about project:

    1. Investment: up to 850 million

    2. Hotel with 1.500 2.000 rooms

    3. 3.000 slot machines

    4. 120 tables

    5. Plenty of other facilities

    6. Full capacity in 5th year

    7. 562 of total revenue in 5th year

    8. 25% of non-gambling revenue

    9. 3.250 employees

    10.4,4 million visitors per annum

    Existing gambling capacity in Nova

    Gorica

    1. 2.270 slot machines2. 105 gaming tables

    3. 1,6 million visitors

    Impact of resort on tourism sector

    in Slovenia:

    1. 11% - 15% increase in the number

    of hotel rooms

    2. 50% increase in total gambling

    capacity

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    Institute for the

    study of gambling Benefits of the resort casino

    1. Increase in tourism, increase invisibility and attractiveness ofSlovenia as a tourist destination

    2. Economic development of theregion

    3. Development of the economy and

    growth of GDP

    1. Increased revenues of companies

    2. Increased houshold income3. Increase in employment

    4. Increased value added

    5. Increased tax income

    Positive economic benefits

    occur because majority of

    visitors come form abroad

    export of services.

    Economic benefits may be

    direct and indirect. Indirect

    effects emerge because of: spending of the resort-casino

    for goods and services in the

    country

    Spending of the resort-casinos employees in the

    country

    Spending of the tourists

    outside the resort-casino

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    Total impact of the proposed resort-

    casino

    Construction phase* Operations phase (5th

    year)Type of effect

    Direct Indirect Total Direct Indirect Total

    Output 118,4 144,5 262,8 550,9 307,2 858,2

    Value added 35,2 76,6 111,8 445,2 169,7 614,9

    Employment 1.760 2.481 4.241 2.896 6.048 8.944

    Net householdincome

    13,1 18,6 31,8 56,5 43,4 100,0

    Gambling privilegetax**

    68,7 - 68,7

    Other taxes and

    contributions

    33,9 19,0 53,0 75,2 62,4 137,6

    ** Gambling privilege tax was calculated assuming the 18% total effective tax rate. in mio EUR

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    Costs of the resort-casino

    Substi tution effects

    Cannibalization of Hit

    Cannibalization of other casinos

    Increased social costs caused by gambling

    Players: Problem gambling

    Employees: difficult working conditions, night shifts,

    Society: increased crime ?

    Increased social costs caused by mass tourism

    Strain on local infrastructure (traffic, water, )

    Damage to the environment Immigration of workers as a burden on local infrastructure ?

    Potential negative impact on other tourism sectors,associated with image of gambling destination

    Most of thesocial costs

    associated

    with

    gamblingare

    exported

    abroad.

    Impact of resort-casino

    on changes in values of

    local communities andsociety as a whole?

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    Problematic issues

    1. Who will have majority ownership in the Hit-HET

    resort? Legal manipulations?

    2. Lack of transparency

    3. Role of the government?

    4. Resort opened out a broader debate in Slovenia on

    the merits of gambling became focal point of

    anger for anti-gambling interest groups

    5. Unrealistic business plan?

    6. Fear of cannibalization of existing casinos7. Public opinion grew more and more negative

    Opposition to gambling in general

    Opposition to foreigners in this sector

    Fear for local casino companies

    In mid 2007letter of

    intent was

    signed

    betweenHit and

    HET but

    was not

    revealed tothe public.

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    Institute for the

    study of gambling Leassons learned

    1. Need for open and broad public debate BEFORE

    the investment.

    2. Need for transparency of process on all levels.

    3. Need for clear objectives (strategy) from the

    government regarding gambling sector.

    4. Government should lead the process:

    international public tender instead of trilateral

    negotiations.

    5. Large foreign direct investments may be difficult in

    jurisdictions with well developed domestic

    casino industry.

    6. Public opinion does matter!

    In the

    begging of

    2008 Hit andHET

    announced

    that they are

    stopping thenegotiations

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    Integrated Resort CasinoDevelopment and its Impact on

    Tourism in Slovenia

    Institute for the study of gamblingFaculty of Economics, Unviersity of Ljubljana

    dr. Hugo Zagorek

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    Institute for the

    study of gambling Substitution effects

    Degree of

    substitution0% 20% 40% 60%

    Output 858,2 794,3 730,4 666,6

    Value added 614,9 569,0 523,1 477,2

    Employment 8.944 8.308 7.672 7.036

    Net household

    income 100,0 92,6 85,2 77,8

    Gambling privilegetax 68,7 56,0 43,3 30,7

    Other taxes and

    contributions 137,6 127,5 117,3 107,2

    * Degree of substitution refers to the percentage reduction in revenues of two largest casinos in the regions, operated by the Hit.

    ** Gambling privilege tax w as calculated assuming the 18% total effective tax rate.

    St t i id ti d

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    Strategic considerations and

    implications

    1. The resort-casino is focusing on day-trip visitors.

    2. Optimistic revenue projections?

    3. The project is only possible in the low gambling tax rateenvironment.

    4. Questionable merits of partnership in the joint venture.

    5. The project might provoke retaliation from the other side ofthe border.

    Conclusion:

    Largest tourism investment, increasing total tourism revenues

    in the country by 15%.

    Benefits far outweigh the costs.

    Various stakeholders (negotiating parties) may influence the

    size of total net impacts (upwards or downwards).

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    study of gambling What can we learn

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    study of gambling Thank you!

    Studies of the Slovenian gambling industries and the impact of

    proposed casino-resort are available at:

    Ministry of Finance:

    http://mf.gov.si/slov/zakon/predlogi_igre_sreca.htm

    and

    Institute for the study of gambling:

    http://www.ef.uni-lj.si/enote/ipig

    http://mf.gov.si/slov/zakon/predlogi_igre_sreca.htmhttp://www.ef.uni-lj.si/enote/ipighttp://www.ef.uni-lj.si/enote/ipighttp://mf.gov.si/slov/zakon/predlogi_igre_sreca.htm