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Integrated Agro-Meteorological Advisory Service in India
L.S. RathoreHead Agriculture Meteorology
India Meteorological DepartmentMinistry of Earth Sciences
[email protected]@gmail.com
Integrated Agro-Meteorological Advisory Service in India
L.S. RathoreHead Agriculture Meteorology
India Meteorological DepartmentMinistry of Earth Sciences
[email protected]@gmail.com
Outline………
Conceptual Frame of AASOperational AAS SystemAgro-Met Information Dissemination
Endorsement & AppreciationOutreach Awareness & FeedbackCapacity BuildingEconomic ImpactFuture Plans
Why AAS• About 75% people are dependent on Agriculture. • About 43% land is used for agricultural activity.• Agriculture continues to play a major role in Economy.• Agriculture is highly sensitive to weather & its variability.• Minor climatic variations have major impact on farm
output• Over next 30 years food production needs to be doubled.• AAS Provides weather & climatic information along with
farm management options • Advisories empower farmers to climate risk minimization.• Provide access to dynamic technological development
Variability in Weather/Climate impacting Agriculture
Increased Heat/Cold WaveIncreased variability of R/FIncreased Extremes
Weather EventsErratic Onset, advance and
retrieval of MonsoonShift in Active/break cyclesIntensity and frequency of
Monsoon lows/depressions
Heavy precipitation events in India have increased during last 50 years
Source: IITM, Goswami et al. 2006; data is the frequency in each of 143 grids in the region
Heavy rainfall events (>10cm)
Very heavy rainfall events (>15cm)
Light to moderate rainfall events (5-100 mm)
Information Needs of FarmersLocal agro-climate & its variabilityWeather forecast
Short & Medium Range Extended range Seasonal Scale
Climate PredictionPest/disease prognosis & control measuresAdvice on sowing/harvest, cultivar selection,
farm input management & intercultural operations
Strategies to Empower Farmers for Weather Based Decision making
Generate information on• Weather & Climate (Observations & Forecast)• Impact of likely weather on crop• Impact of likely weather on P&D• Weather based input management• Weather sensitivity of farm operations
Develop decision making Tools:• Data base• Crop/Soil/P&D Modeling• Remote Sensing & GIS• Crop/Soil Monitoring, Drought Monitoring etc.
Disseminate information Outreach, capacity building, Feedback
CHALLENGESWeather Forecast : Skillful, Quantitative, Locale Specific, Seamless
Agriculture : Crop/Livestock/P&D conditions assessmentDiagnose Weather Related StressWeather Sensitivity of Crops & Management PracticesDecision Support Tools for Translating Weather
Forecast into AdvisoriesAdvisory Dissemination, Outreach & Feedback Synergistic Collaboration among Participating
agencies
AAS: Evolution1932: Division of Ag. Meteorology1945: Farmer’s weather Bulletin1976: Agro-Met Advisory Service (state level 1991: Medium range Wx forecast based
advisories at agro-climatic zone level (127)2007: Integrated AAS at IMD, Ministry of
Earth Sciences2008: Launched District Level Advisories2011: Experimental Block Level Forecast
TIER 1
Apex Policy Planning Body, Delhi
TIER 2National Agromet Service HQ
Execution, Pune
TIER 3State Agromet Centres (28)
Coordination/Monitoring
TIER 4Agromet Field Units
Agroclimatic Zone Level (130)
TIER 5District Level Extension and TrainingInput Management as advisory~640
Network of AAS units
in the country
Network of 130 Agromet Field
Units
Operational Agro-Meteorology Operational Agro-Meteorology Service Goal:Locale & Crop specific Advisory & Farmer Level Outreach
Integrated AAS
130 AMFUs with SAUs & ICAR 5-days Forecast + weekly outlook District Agromet Advisory Every Tuesday & Friday State & National Composite bulletin Smart Dissemination System Feedback Economic Impact Assessment Monitoring (Review Meetings) AAS awareness & user interaction programs
Agro Met R&D back up: ICAR
25 Centers of AICRP on Agro Meteorology
Located at SAUs with AAS of NCMRWF
R&D in Agromet Agromet data bank &
Website
Collaborating Agencies Ministry Of Earth Sciences
India Meteorological Department National Centre For Medium Range Weather
Forecasting Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
Indian Council For Agricultural Research Department Of Agriculture & Cooperation State Departments Of Agriculture State Agricultural Universities And Other Universities Ministry of Information Technology Ministry of Science & Technology Ministry of Information & Broadcasting (AIR & TV) Print Media Department Of Space Min. of Rural Development NGOs & Private Agencies
Weight for each grid of each Model (W)
Observed Gridded Field
NCEPNCEP
Step-1 Generation of Multi-Analysis Weights
JMAJMA ECMWFECMWF NCMRWFNCMRWF UKMOUKMO
Multi-model Super Ensemble Technique
Step-2
Forecast (F)= WiFi + D
D= Value addition
NCEPNCEP JMAJMA ECMWFECMWF NCMRWFNCMRWF UKMOUKMO
Generation of Multi-Model Forecasts
AN INTEGRATED SCHEME FOR PREPARATION OF LOCATION SPECIFIC WEATHER FORECAST
Direct Model
SynopticInterpretation
Direct Model Output Forecast
StatisticalInterpretation
Forecaster’s Panel
Final Forecast
Parameters:• Rainfall•Max & Min temperature•Total cloud cover •Surface Relative Humidity •Surface Wind
IMD Multi-model Ensemble (MME) based District level Forecasts
IMD
130 AG.MET. FIELD UNITS
DISTRICT LEVEL AGENCIES(DAO/KVK/ATMA/NGOs)
PREPARATION OF DISTRICT WISE MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECAST
BY STATE MET CENTRE
PREPARATION OF DISTRICT SPECIFIC AGRO-ADVISORIESFOR CONCERNED AGRO-CLIMATIC
DISSEMINATION OF DISTRICT LEVEL
AGRO-ADVISORIES
FARMERS(THROUGH MEDIA AGENCIES,
IT SERVICE, PERSONAL CONTACT)
District-wise Agro-met data
Agro-climate level agro-met data
Feedback analysis
District Level Agro-Met Advisory Service System
Three tier Agro-met Advisory System
AMFUs issue district level advisories.State Level Composite AAS Bulletins
are prepared by State Meteorological Centre.
National Agromet Advisory Bulletins are prepared by National Agromet Advisory Service Centre, IMD, Pune .
he website
National Agromet Advisory Bulletin Thursday, 22nd J uly, 2010
(For the period 22nd to 26th J uly, 2010)
Satellite image 13 UTC Dated
23rd July, 2010
I ssued by National Agrometeorological Advisory Service Centre
Agricultural Meteorology Division I ndia Meteorological Department
Shivajinagar Pune.
The bulletin is also displayed in the website (http://www.imdagrimet.gov.in) of the Division
Agro meteorological Advisory Bulletin for the
State of Punjab
For the period 27th to 29th J uly, 2010
Issued on
Tuesday, 27th J uly, 2010
Issued by Meteorological Centre Chandigarh
In collaboration with Punjab Agricultural University Ludhiana & Department of
Agriculture, Punjab
Met sub-divisions of the state As per IMD classification entire Punjab State consisting of twenty districts has been taken as one meteorological subdivision.
Agromet Advisory Bulletins at
National, State and District level
District Agromet Advisory Bulletin
More than 550 districts are covered
Bulletin is targeted for the farmers.
This contains advisories for all the weather sensitive agricultural operations form sowing to harvest.
It includes advisories for horticultural crops and livestock also.
State level Composite Bulletin
This bulletin is prepared for the State level CWWG meeting.
This is also meant for other users like Fertiliser industry, Pesticide industry, Irrigation Department, Seed Corporation, Transport and other organisations which provide inputs in agriculture.
National Agromet Advisory Bulletin
The bulletin is primarily prepared for the Ministry of Agriculture for taking important decision in Crop Weather Watch Group (CWWG) meeting.
Besides the same is also communicated to all the related Ministries (State & Central), Organisations, NGOs for their use.
Use of Remote Sensing
Crop condition and physiological growth processes are regularly monitored to identify crop type, crop phenology, stress etc.
The monitoring system provides following products Core land surface variables : Albedo, LST, all sky
insolation, NDVI Derived variables: PET, AET, Soil Moisture
Remote Sensing Agencies provide these inputs to AAS system.
AgroMet Information Dissemination
• Mass Mode of Dissemination: Print Media: Newspaper, magazine article Electronic media: Radio, Television
• Select User Group Dissemination;Internet: Internet posting, e-Mail (50 Web Sites)Mobile Phones: SMS, IVRS (Over 2 Million Farmers)
• Human face for Advisory DisseminationExtensionAwareness Program, Farmer’s Fare
Operational communication linkage between Agromet Advisory Service Unit and end-users (farmers) for effective
communication
Forecast from IMD, New Delhi
State Met Centres
Agromet Advisory Bulletin by AMFUs
Postal Contact
Personal Contact
Radio News Papers
KVK /NGOs
State Agril. Dept.
Farmer
TelevisionTelevision
Mobile Mobile
Website
State Reuter Market Light
Handygo Nokia IFFCO Vritti Solution
State Govt. Maharashtra
Total Statewise
Years → 2010 April2011
2010 April2011
2010 April2011
2010 April2011
2010 April2011
2010 April2011
2010 April2011
Andhra Pradesh
- - - - - 45000 57961 61298 - - - - 57961 106298
Bihar - - - - - - 6219 200329 - - - - 6219 200329Gujarat 16144 34451 400 - - 50000 6145 46336 - - - - 22689 130787Haryana 20556 23154 700 100000 - - 101699 32458 - - - - 122955 155612Himachal - - - - - - 17994 8178 - - - - 17994 8178
Karnataka - - - - - 40000 49327 60815 - - - - 49327 100815Kerala - - - - 25000 44377 16210 - - - - 44377 41210
Madhya Pradesh
- - - - - 35000 39910 84466 - - - - 39910 119466
Maharashtra
119116 142780 500 - - 80000 45902 35345 2300 3200 26000 26000 193818 287325
Orissa - - - - - - 8276 73729 - - - - 8276 73729
Punjab 43334 54260 750 - - 35000 27439 24392 - - - - 71523 113652Rajasthan - - - - - 35000 77162 94963 - - - - 77162 129963
Tamilnadu - - - - - 50000 68422 34005 - - - - 68422 84005Uttar
Pradesh- - - - - 105000 353205 279768 - - - - 353205 384768
West Bengal
104 1625 700 - - - 5981 27599 - - - - 6785 29224
Total 199254
256270
3050 100000
- 500000
910019 1079891
2300 3200 26000 26000
1140623 1965361
Total SMS send by Agromet Field Units Dapoli, Hissar, Ranital, Anantpur, Lembucherea, Mulde 14633
Dissemination Through Mobile Phones
Endorsements & Appreciations
“ It is a Great Idea .. Do it Across the World. Great Work .. Keep It Up”
Barak Obama,President, U.S.A
Nov 7, 2010, Maharashtra
“Today, India is a leader in using technology to empower farmers, like those I met yesterday who get free updates on market and weather conditions on their cell phones”
Barak Obama,President, U.S.A
Nov.8, 2010, Joint Session of Parliament, New Delhi
Farmer Awareness Programme
Farmer’s Awareness Programmeon
Weather, Climate and Farmers
Awareness programme was organized at 50 locations in 2009. The objective of the programme is to make farmers more self-reliant in
dealing with weather and climate information and to increase the interaction between farmers and AAS providing agencies i.e. IMD, SAUs, ICAR etc.
The program will be organised in 80 stations by the end of 2010.
Brochure for AwarenessBrochure in different languages are prepared and ready for
circulation among the users
Nepali Oriya Punjabi Tamil Marathi
Hindi Assamees Gujarati ManipuriEnglish
Hosting of interactive website
A new interactive website launched on 15.4.11 to provide required information on AAS
Capacity Building
Meteorologists (Forecaster) NWP Interpretation of model out put for Preparation of location
specific weather forecast Agrometeorologists
Agromet Core Course Agromet Observers Course Meteorologists Grade II Training Course Familiarization Training Refresher Course Basic Agromet Course On the Job Training AMFU Technical Officer Training
Extension Officials Farmers
Linkages at District Level• 130 AMFU (one in ~ 5 Districts)
• 589 Krishi Vigyan Kendras (Farmer’s Science Centres) in 640 Districts
• Transfer of recommended technologies from NARS
• Impart skills through orientation programs to rural masses
• Organize vocational trainings, demonstrate latest technologies and its refinement in farmers’ field conditions
• Organize demonstrations to generate awareness & feedback
• Agro Technology Management Agencies (ATMA)
• District Agriculture/Horticulture Offices
• Common Service Centres (Village Level)
• Local Media
Feedback Issues & MechanismFeedback Collected on;
Quality of Forecast & relevance of Advisories Farmer get information from Whom & How? Problem solving through interactive mode Answering questions of common interest through bulletins Accessibility to information via ICT Accessibility to Experts
Mode of Feedback Collection; Through Personal Contact & Internet Through Media Agencies Prepare Questionnaire Surveys Farmers Meeting/Kisan Mela
Economic ImpactTwo studies conducted In general reduced cost of cultivationFruit crops cost of cultivation marginally
increased but production also increased Selecting sowing, irrigation & Pesticide
application are major determinants It is also observed that the yield increased by
almost 10-25% in most of the crops with maximum increase in the fruit crops
Limited awareness among users.
Establishment of District Agro-Meteorological Units Densify observational network (~33,000 AWS) Forecast at high resolution & Improvement for extreme weather Develop forewarning system for P&D Improved Dissemination Service to Crop Growers Association Application of Remote Sensing in AAS Establishment of Connectivity Training (Farmer, Extension Specialist, Scientists) Economic impact assessment Weather Based Crop Insurance
Future PlanFuture Plan