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Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing Eichendorffgasse 4/8A 1190 Vienna/Austria+43 1 968 [email protected]
Wolfgang Amann
HFA a Housing Finance Agency for CEE/SEE
Preparing for an integrated housing market
The Real Estate ForumBucharest, October 11, 2006
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
2
Contents
1. Present situation
2. The HFA model
3. Its operativeness
4. Its transferability
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
3
Market segments for middle income groups• In Western countries middle income households are well
accomodated by private market as well as subsidised housing
• In most countries middle income groups of any tenure benefit from housing promotion schemes, very often as PPP
• By contrast, countries in transition mostly have insufficient instruments targeted at middle income groups
• In CEE/SEE housing promotion schemes for low income groups are emerging; there is sufficient supply for top income groups
• But there are major deficiencies for the “BIG IN-BETWEEN”, almost only upscale supply of condominiums, almost no affordable rental housing
• Is it market failure?
• Is it underdeveloped PPP models?
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
4
Housing provision and housing construction (2003/05)
Source: Housing Statistics in the EU (2005, 2006); Statistik Austria; UNECE; PRC (2005)
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Au
stri
a
EU
15
Po
lan
d
Cze
ch R
ep.
Slo
vaki
a
Slo
ven
ia
Hu
ng
ary
Bu
lgar
ia
Ro
man
ia
Cro
atia
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dwellings per 1.000inhabitants (left scale)
Dwellings completedper 1000 inhabitants (right scale)
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
5
Significance of rental housing tenure
Source: PRC Bouwcentrum (2005), Czischke (2005), CH Bundesamt für Statistik
9% 9% 9%
19% 19%
34% 35%38% 40%
46%50%
58%58%
65%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%B
ulg
aria
Hu
ng
ary
Slo
ven
ia
Ro
man
ia
Slo
vaki
a
Po
lan
d
EU
15
Fra
nce
Au
stri
a
Net
her
lan
ds
Cze
ch R
ep.
Ger
man
y
Sw
eden
Sw
itze
rlan
d
Private
Social
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
6
Development of housing policy in CEE/SEE
Source: Ecorys
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
7
Some definitions
Social housing Fundamental criterion: existence of rules allocating housing to specific population groups.
Target groups may be defined legally by income limits: This way middle income households may be included.
Two types of rental housing markets Dual rental market: Social sector is shielded from competition of the private market, reserved for low income households, functions as a residual safety net. Private market is characterized by high rents and insecure rental contracts.
Unitary or integrated rental market: Rent level determined by competition between private and social housing providers. Social housing sector is directed towards larger population groups, preventing a marginalization of its tenants. Kemeny (1995, et al. 2001, et al. 2005)
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
8
Why Public Private Partnerships in housing?
• Municipal housing targeted at low income groups
• Affordability problem faced by middle income groups as well
• Housing market does not provide sufficient housing, taking the given ability to pay
• Combining the efficiency of the markets with the backing of the state
• PPP models in housing development = a Third Sector
• PPP models in housing finance = e.g. HFA
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
9
The HFA Model
Junior Loans
50-70% Senior Loans
highest risk / first loss / most difficult to finance / often covered by subsidies
Typically mortgage loans / L/V-ratio from <50% in some Western Balkan countries and >85% in Western countries
Equity
Not only for security, but it influences the refinancing costs for the bank
DIGH model – taking the risk of
first loss
Guarantee-bound model
Batch financing
model
German interest guarantee model
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
10
Mandate
a) Procurement of capital and guarantees for affordable housing and refurbishment projects
b) Pass-through of capital from International Financing Institutions
c) Extensive functions in selection, steering and supervision of housing projects
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
11
Products and services• Accreditation of developers to be integrated into the programme
• Project selection
• Acquisition of guarantees and capital
• Recommendation for financing
• Support of the financing partners in execution of the financing process
• Supervision: application of a system of steering and control
• Standardisation of products (financing models) and procedures (assessment of project partners and development projects)
No bank services, market research, project development or housing management etc.
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
12
Five-year plan / financing volume
year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pilot Country 1 (mill €) 20 20 40 40 Pilot Country 2 30 30 50 Pilot Country 3 40 40 Pilot Country 4 50 Total 0 0 20 50 110 180 Estimate housing production (units) 0 0 400 1100 2400 3800
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
13
Principles to cope with national housing policies
• Subordination to national housing policy targets
• Integration in the legal framework and the mandate of national housing funds
• Transparency for supervision and control by the host country
• Local action with local staff.
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
14
Compliance with EU legislation
• As HFA works with state subsidies, the EU legislation on Competition and State Aid has to be considered
• This is possible by introducing a Third Sector
• But as well with contractual ties with commercial developers
a) Clearly defined services of general economic interest in social housing
b) Subsidies only for the additional efforts
c) Separate accounts for HFA activities
d) Public procurement procedure
The Real Estate Forum, Bucharest, October 11, 2006
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing, Viennawww.iibw.at
15
Transferability
Pilot countries: Slovakia, Romania, Kosovo, Montenegro
Applicable for all countries who are willing
• to commit for social housing for lower and middle income groups
• by subsidies from national sources
• to go over its housing legislation
• to consider the implementation of a Third Sector
• to trust in a partnership with private players
16
Institute for Real Estate, Construction and Housing Eichendorffgasse 4/8A 1190 Vienna/Austria+43 1 968 [email protected]