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    EFFECTS OF INFLATION ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

    BY: HAMIZA NIZAM

    [ROLL NO. 17]

    INFLATION

    DEFINITION

    Inflationis a term used by economists to define broad increases in prices. Inflation

    is the rate at which the price of goods and services in aneconomyincreases.

    Inflation also can be defined as the rate at whichpurchasing powerdeclines. For

    example, if inflation is at 5% and you currently spend $100 per week on groceries,

    the following year you would need to spend $105 for the same amount of food.

    Economic policy makers like theFederal Reservemaintain constant vigilance for

    signs of inflation. Policy makers do not want an inflation psychology to settle into

    the minds of consumers. In other words, policy makers do not want consumers to

    assume that prices always will go. Such beliefs lead to things like employees asking

    employers for higher wages to cover the increased costs of living, which strains

    employers and, therefore, the general economy.

    In other words, the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services

    is rising, and, subsequently the purchasing power falls, is called inflation. Central

    banks attempt to stop severe inflation along with severe deflation, in an attempt tokeep the excessive growth of prices to a minimum.In mainstream economics, the word inflation refers to a general rise in prices

    against a standard level of purchasing power. Previously, the term was used for an

    increase in the money supply, which is now referred to as expansionary monetary

    policy.

    HOW IS INFLATION MEASURED?

    Inflation is measured by comparing two sets of goods at two points in time and

    computing the increase in cost, not reflected by increase in quality.

    Measuring inflation is a difficult problem for government statisticians. To do this, a

    number of goods that are representative of the economy are put together into what

    is referred to as a "market basket." The cost of this basket is then compared over

    time. This results in a price index, which is the cost of the market basket today as a

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    percentage of the cost of that identical basket in the starting year.

    INFLATION AND INTEREST

    Whenever you hear the latest inflation update on the news, chances are that

    interest rates are mentioned in the same breath.

    In the United States, interest rates are decided by theFederal Reserve. The Fed

    meets eight times a year to set short-term interest rate targets. During these

    meetings, the CPI and PPIs are significant factors in the Fed's decision.

    Interest rates directly affect the credit market (loans) because higher interest rates

    make borrowing more costly. By changing interest rates, the Fed tries to achievemaximum employment, stable prices and a good level growth. As interest rates

    drop, consumer spending increases, and this in turn stimulates economic growth.

    (To learn how trade currencies using these economic reports, readForex

    Walkthrough: The Fed.)

    Contrary to popular belief, excessive economic growth can in fact be very

    detrimental. At one extreme, an economy that is growing too fast can

    experiencehyperinflation, resulting in the problems we mentioned earlier. At the

    other extreme, an economy with no inflation has essentially stagnated. The right

    level of economic growth, and thus inflation, is somewhere in the middle. It's theFed's job to maintain that delicate balance. A tightening, or rate increase, attempts

    to head off future inflation. An easing, or rate decrease, aims to spur on economic

    growth.

    EFFECTS OF INFLATION ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

    Inflation effects both economy of a country and its social conditions. The effects of

    inflation on economy are described below:

    1. TIME VALUE OF MONEY

    Price inflation has immense effect on the TIME VALUE OF MONEY (TVM). This acts

    as a principal component of the rates of interest, which forms the basis of all TVM

    calculations. The real or estimated changes occurring in the rates of inflation lead to

    changes in the rates of interest as well.

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    2. TREASURY

    Inflation exerts economic impact on the treasury of a nation as well. In USA,

    Treasury inflation-protected Securities (TIPS) ensures safety to the American

    government, assuring the oublic that they will get back their money. Howerver the

    rates of interest charged by TIPS are less compared to the standard Treasury notes.

    The most immediate effect of inflation is the decrease in the purchasing power of

    currency and its depreciation. Inflation influences the investments of a country.

    3. INCOME ALLOCATION

    Inflation changes the allocation of income. This exerts maximum effect on the

    lenders than the borrowers at the time of persisting inflation, because the loans

    sanctioned previously are paid back in the form of inflated currency.

    Inflation leads to a handful of customers in making the extensive speculation, to

    derive advantage of the high price levels. Since some of the purchases are high-risk

    investments, they result in diversion of the expenditures from regular channels,

    giving birth to a few structural unemployments.

    4. INFLATION AND INVESTMENTS

    When it comes to inflation, the question on many investors' minds is: "How will it

    affect my investments?" This is an especially important issue for people living on a

    fixed income, such as retirees.

    The impact of inflation on your portfolio depends on the type of securities you hold.If you invest only in stocks, worrying about inflation shouldn't keep you up at night.

    Over the long run, a company's revenue and earnings should increase at the same

    pace as inflation. The exception to this is stagflation. The combination of a bad

    economy with an increase in costs is bad for stocks. Also, a company is in the same

    situation as a normal consumer - the more cash it carries, the more its purchasing

    power decreases with increases in inflation.

    The main problem with stocks and inflation is that a company's returns tend to be

    overstated. In times of high inflation, a company may look like it's prospering,

    when really inflation is the reason behind the growth. When analyzing financialstatements, it's also important to remember that inflation can wreak havoc on

    earnings depending on what technique the company is using to value inventory.

    ixed-income investors are the hardest hit by inflation. Suppose that a year ago you

    invested $1,000 in aTreasury billwith a 10% yield. Now that you are about to

    collect the $1,100 owed to you, is your $100 (10%) return real? Of course not!

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    Assuming inflation was positive for the year, your purchasing power has fallen and,

    therefore, so has your real return. We have to take into account the chunk inflation

    has taken out of your return. If inflation was 4%, then your return is really 6%.

    This example highlights the difference betweennominal interest ratesandreal

    interest rates. The nominal interest rate is the growth rate of your money, while thereal interest rate is the growth of your purchasing power. In other words, the real

    rate of interest is the nominal rate reduced by the rate of inflation. In our example,

    the nominal rate is 10% and the real rate is 6% (10% - 4% = 6%).

    As an investor, you must look at your real rate of return. Unfortunately, investors

    often look only at the nominal return and forget about their purchasing power

    altogether.

    PAKISTANINFLATIONRATE:

    The inflation rate in Pakistan was last reported at 10.1 percent in January of 2012.

    From 2003 until 2010, the average inflation rate in Pakistan was 10.15 percent

    reaching an historical high of 25.33 percent in August of 2008 and a record low of

    1.41 percent in July of 2003. Inflation rate refers to a general rise in prices

    measured against a standard level of purchasing power. The most well known

    measures of Inflation are the CPI which measures consumer prices, and the GDP

    deflator, which measures inflation in the whole of the domestic economy. This page

    includes: Pakistan Inflation Rate chart, historical data and news.

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    CONCLUSION:

    Inflation is a negative impact on a countrys economy and prosperity. It decreases

    the purchasing power of the people and negatively impacts on time value of money,

    treasury , cost and profits, income and investments. The government should take

    appropriate measures to control the money supply in the country devise a

    monetory policy which can minimize inflation.

    -----------------------------------------the end -------------------------------------------

    Title: Diversification: best practices of the leading companies

    Author(s): Graham Kenny, (CEO of Strategic Factors, Mosman, Australia)

    Citation: Graham Kenny, (2011) "Diversification: best practices of the leading companies", Journ

    of Business Strategy, Vol. 33 Iss: 1, pp.12 - 20

    Keywords: Corporate culture,Decentralization,Diversification,Performance measures,Return onequity,Strategy

    Article type: Research paper

    DOI: 10.1108/02756661211193776(Permanent URL)

    Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing Limited

    Abstract: Purpose This article aims to take a fresh look at diversification a growthstrategy often disparaged by managers and commentators alike, yet one that isfollowed successfully by some major organizations.

    Design/methodology/approach Data were gathered from a number of success

    diversifiers, such as GE, to determine the practices they follow and how thesemight be applied by other organizations.

    Findings Successful diversifiers have seven features, which all CEOs, boardsand executive teams can learn from. They select capable division managers;secure competitive advantage at division and business-unit levels; establish asupportive corporate center for their divisions; install appropriate performancemeasures; set effective incentives for managers; align the corporate culture to

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    strategic direction; pay the right price in acquisitions; spend time and resourcesintegrating acquisitions with the existing organization.

    Originality/value The value of these findings is that organizations in all sectorsbusiness, government and not-for-profit can benefit greatly by emulating the

    practices of successful diversifiers and thus boost their own performance.