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Industrial metallurgical holding1H 2018
IFRS Financial Results
23.08.2018
THIS DOCUMENT, ITS PRESENTATION AND ITS CONTENTS ARE CONFIDENTIAL AND ARE BEING PROVIDED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE COPIED, RECORDED, RETRANSMITTED, FURTHER DISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON ORPUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, BY ANY MEDIUM OR IN ANY FORM FOR ANY PURPOSE. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS.
This document and any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation do not contain all of the information that is material to an investor. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by receiving and using this presentationand/or accepting a copy of this document, you agree to be bound by the following limitations and conditions and, in particular, will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that you have read and agree to comply with the contents of thisdisclaimer including, without limitation, the obligation to keep this document and its contents confidential. This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities, and nothingcontained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. This presentation has notbeen approved by the Central Bank of Ireland or any other competent authority.
This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Koks (the ''Company'') solely for use at a presentation to be held in connection with the proposed offering of loan participation notes issued by KOKS Finance D.A.C. (the "Offering"). The information contained in thisdocument is only current as of the date of the presentation and is subject to further verification and amendment in any way without liability or notice to any person. The opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time ofwriting and are subject to change without notice. We rely on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. In giving the presentation, neither the Company nor its respective advisers and/or agentsundertake any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent.
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Forward-looking statementsCertain statements in this presentation are not historical facts and are “forward-looking”. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: projections or expectations of revenues, income (or loss), earnings (or loss) per share,dividends, capital structure or other financial items or ratios; statements of our plans, objectives or goals, including those related to products or services; statements of future economic performance; andstatements of assumptions underlying such statements. Words such as “believes”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “estimates”, “intends”, “plans”, “outlook” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means ofidentifying such statements.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and risks exist that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. You should be aware thata number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. You should therefore carefully consider the foregoing factors andother uncertainties and events, especially in light of the political, economic, social and legal environment in which we operate. Such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation toupdate or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We do not make any representation, warranty or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved, and such forward-looking statements represent, in each case, only one of many possible scenarios and should not be viewed as the most likely or standard scenario.
DISCLAIMER
FINANCIAL POSITION
157
204
314
358245
250
358 391
2015 2016 2017 1H 2018
METCOKE, CFR INDIA PIG IRON, FOB BLACK SEA
*Adjusted (loan covenant) EBITDA is calculated as earnings before income tax, interest expense, exchange gain/loss, depreciation, amortization, impairment and other non-cash items** As at December 31, 2017.
4
1H 2018 KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
1H 2018 1H 2017 Change,%
Revenue 43,184 43,435 (1)
Cost of sales (28,470) (28,738) (1)
EBITDA 9,024 9,279 (3)
EBITDA margin, % 21 21 -
Adjusted EBITDA LTM* 18,754 19,001 (1)
Adj. EBITDA margin, % 23 24 -
Profit for the period 2,063 4,314 (52)
Profit margin, % 5 10 -
IFRS financial highlights, RUB mln
Capex (5,053) (5,253) (4)
Total Debt 65,850 59,015** 12
Short term debt 11,788 10,769** 9
Cash & equivalents 12,103 8,978** 35
Net Debt 53,747 50,037** 7
Net Debt/ Adjusted EBITDA 2.87 2.59 -
Revenue, RUR mln
Prices for major products,$US / ton
Source: SBB, Metal Courier
Net cash from operating activities
10,552 4,854 117
Free cash flow 5,499 (399) -
5 706
10 602 10 040
20% 24%23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018
EBITDA Adj EBITDA Adj Margin, %
Adjusted EBITDA & margins,RUR mln
28 283
43 435 43 184
1H 2016 1H 2017 1H 2018
1H 2018
1H 2017
1H 2018
1H 2017
Coke Pig iron Coal Other
25%
50%
17%
8%22%
64%
5%
9%
Coke
Pig iron
Coal
Other
5
REVENUE & COGS COMPOSITION
Cost of sales breakdown
Revenue by product
1H 2018 (outer circle)
1H 2017 (inner circle)
Revenue by area
Export
Domestic
72%
24%
1%
18%33%
4%
30%
17%15%
23%
28%
18%
40%
37%
63%
30%
70%
Domestic sales
Export sales
1H 2017 (inner circle)
1H 2018 (outer circle)
79%
12%
4%
2%
3%
74%15%
5%
2%
4%
Raw materials and supplies
Wages and salaries includingassociated taxes
Depreciation of PP&E
Energy
Other
1H 2017 (inner circle)
1H 2018 (outer circle)
81%
1%
25%
9,024
9,279
5,405
3,344
4,390
21,021
43,184
EBITDA bridge
1H 2018 EBITDA
Other
General and administrativeexpenses
Wages & salaries
Raw materials&supllies
Revenue
1H 2017 EBITDA
49%
40%
11%22%
23%
53%
2%
EBITDA by segment
Coal
Coke
Ore& Pig iron
Other
6
EBITDA COMPOSITION
EBITDA by segment, RUR mln 1H 2018 1H 2017 Change, %
Coal 2,010 4,552 (56)
Coke 2,107 3,705 (43)
Ore& Pig iron 4,739 1,032 359
Other 168 (10) -
Total 9,024 9,279 (3)
1H 2017 (inner circle)
1H 2018 (outer circle)
• Revenue and EBITDA maintain record high levels achieved in 1H 2017 despite temporary technical issues which are currently resolved
• Ore & Pig iron segment enjoys comfortable market conditions arisen from by the new Trade legislation supporting domestic EAF steel production in USA and exchange differences favorable for exporters
EBITDA y-o-y change
RUR mln
EBITDA margin 21%
EBITDA margin 21%
(1)%Y-o-Y change
(7)%Y-o-Y change
24%Y-o-Y change
13%Y-o-Y change
9%Y-o-Y change
1,3484,234
11,2987,572
4,173 2,756
4,130
30,126
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023-2024
Bank loans Eurobond
(US$ 66 mln)
(US$ 480 mln)
*Management accounts 7
WELL-BALANCED DEBT PORTFOLIO*
64%
36%
US$ debt RUR debt
89%
11%
Long term Short term
Long-term and short-term debt Debt by currencyDebt portfolio by sources
Maturity*
IFRS Debt portfolio parameters 1H 2018
Net debt RUR 53,747 mln
Average interest rate* 8.14%
Confirmed undrawn facilities as of 30.06.2018* RUR 50,782 mln
52%
22%
14%
6%
3% 3%
Eurobond
Sberbank
Gazprombank
Alfa
EABR
VTB & other
8
1H 2018 OPERATIONAL RESULTS
13791202 1219
2476
110112011147
1259 1338
2581
11301163
Coal, kt. Coal concentrate,kt.
Coke, kt. Iron ore, kt. Iron oreconcentrate, kt.
Pig iron, kt.
1H 2018 1H 2017
• In 1H 2018 coking coal production 20% higher due to gradual ramp-up of the second stage of Butovskaya and Tikhovamines
• Pig iron production at Tulachermet increased due to successful modernization of the blast furnace No.3 in 2017
• Coal concentrate production 4% less due to processing of new grades of coal from Tikhova mine. Plant modernization, scheduled for the second half of 2018, will increase its productivity
Development in the reporting period • A number of technical problems at Butovskaya mine solved, the quality of the coal produced increased
• Kombinat KMAruda develops the second mining stage to ramp up capacity of iron ore production from 4.8 to 7 million tons. With the use of new capacities, iron ore production growth will occur as early as 2019
• About 70 activity issues are scheduled to improve production efficiency
• Annual savings from the Total Optimization Program aimed to encourage employees’ work-improvement initiatives, exceed 1.3 billion rubles (management accounts)
• Butovskaya mine introduced an advanced system for accurate positioning of personnel and transport. Due to its use, production safety and efficiency has been increased significantly
• Consolidated system of procurement and inventory management introduced to save significant funds due to the competent distribution of materials and resources
Appendix
*Actual interest rate of the notes is 7.5%
10
INTERNATIONAL CREDIT RATINGS – CONFIRMED IN 2018
B(stable)May 2018
B2(positive)
June 2018
B(stable)May 2018
«Diminished liquidity risk following placement of USD500 million 7.75% notes* due 2022. Liquidity ratio improved to well above 2x, a level more commensurate with the current rating level. Debt repayments remain at manageable levels of around RUB 2 billion in 2017 and RUB 9 billion in 2018»
− Fitch Ratings
June 2017
«As the agency rated the market and competitive positions, it took account of the fact that the company is the largest supplier of commercial pig iron with a share of about 16% in 2017».
-National rating from Expert RA
«Upgrade reflects our view on improved liquidity and capital structure. The company's short-term debt maturities declined to RUB 5 billion (about $83 million) from over RUB 17 billion (over $290 million). We also recognize solid operating and financial performance and further improvement in credit metrics».
− Standard & Poor’s
July 2017
(stable)
«Vertical integration supports capacity utilization through the cycle. Financial metrics will continue to improve. Coal production will double in two years. liquidity is sufficient to cover the company’s debt maturities and other obligations until at least the end of 2018».
− Moody’s Investors Service
June 2017
(1) Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding(2) Share in pig iron export sales by volume through Alpicom trader
11
DIVERSIFIED AND STABLE CUSTOMER BASE
IMH key export markets (merchant pig iron)
Traders – 74%
.
Key customers in 2017 (merchant pig iron)
End users – 26%
Saudi ArabianDuctile
.
IMH pig iron export sales(1,2)
13% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7%
46%
36% 29% 29% 27% 23%
7%
8% 18%25%
13%12%
34%49% 45%
38%52% 58%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Asia Europe Turkey and Middle East USA
• Pig iron is an essential additive to raw material for quality steel production with no adequate substitute product
• Total Russia’s share of the global merchant pig iron market is 39% with only two strong suppliers
• Other suppliers of merchant pig iron are unable to meet the demand on the back of numerous closures both connected with bankruptcy during the times of low demand (Brazilia) and environment protection initiatives (China)
Source: Metall Expert, Company Data
12
IMH’S MARKET SHARE ON CORE MARKETS
(1) Export sales of pig iron data include sales of Alpicom
Koks44%
Altai-Koks33%
Moscow Coke Plant
19%
Other4%
* According to Metall Expert, merchant pig iron market in 2017 accounted to around 12 mln t
IMH is the leader among Russia’s merchant coke exporters
Koks34%
Altai-Koks25%
Evraz9%
Gubakhinskiy9%
Mechel Coke9%
Moscow Coke Plant8%
Other6%
IMH is the main Russia’s supplier of merchant coke
Ural Steel
Tulachermet (1)
Russia, otherCIS, other
South America
Asia-Pacific Region
Western Europe
Other regions
Merchant pig iron global market*, main participants
Source: Metall Courier, SBB
13
MAIN MARKET PRICE PROCESS TRENDS
Current price trends
Pig iron prices are at their 3-year heights due to:
(1) Closure of ineffective blast furnaces in China
(2) Growing demand from the side of EAF-plants in US on the back of 232 Article on the Trade Legislation adoption
(3) Low inventories
(4) Less supply volumes available on the market
Pig iron is sold with premium due to its high end-user performance.
Tulachermet’s product is a preferable product due to the low contents of sulfur and phosphorus.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
I кв 2015
II кв 2015
III кв 2015
IV кв 2015
I кв 2016
II кв 2016
III кв 2016
IV кв 2016
I кв 2017
II кв 2017
III кв 2017
IV кв 2017
I кв 2018
II кв 2018
Pig iron (FOB, EU, USA) Iron ore concentrate (CFR, China) Coking coal (CFR, China)
Coke (CFR, India) Exchange rate (right scale)
3,823,68
2,45 2,42
3,413,40
3,52
2,36 2,29
2,51
3,75 3,55
2,37 2,32
2,97
1,50
2,00
2,50
3,00
3,50
4,00
4,50
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$ Price for 1% Fe in raw materials
Pig iron (FOB, EU США) HBI (CFR, Italy) Scrap (CFR, Turkey from USA), USA)
1 661 1 7471 889
2 207
2 830
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2 098
2 184
2 059
2 212
2 276
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2 201
2 181
2 227
2 249 2 250
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
4 828
4 885
4 962
5 023
5 100
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
14
OPERATIONAL RESULTS DYNAMICS
Historical record
Coal, kt Coal concentrate, kt Coke, kt
Iron ore, kt Iron ore concentrate, kt Pig iron, kt
2 403 2 4122 201
2 6372 468
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2 552 2 6012 727 2 824
2 700
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Industrial metallurgical holdingManagement company
115419, Moscow, Russia2nd Verkhniy mikhailovskiy proezd, 9
Sergey FrolovVice president, strategy & communications
Tel.: +7 (495) 725-56-80 #[email protected]