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8/12/2019 India OPMO
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8/12/2019 India OPMO
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RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORTSYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT
Research & Forecast ReportIndia I Office | April 2014
2 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
www.colliers.com
Mar-13 Mar-14
Repo rate 7.50% 8.00%
CRR 4.00% 4.00%
WPI1 5.65% 4.68%
PLR2 9.70%-10.25% 10.00%-10.25%
Deposit Rate3 7.50%-9.00% 8.00%-9.25%
Exchange Rate
INR - USD 54.28 61.35
INR- EURO 70.37 85.34
Mar-13 Mar-14 YoY %
Change
Gold 29,348 30,382 3.52%
Silver 53,859 46,262 -14.11%
Equity
(BSE Sensex)19,428 21,810 12.26%
Realty Index 2,048 1,388 -32.25%
RETURN ON ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Indias economic growth decreased to
4.7% in 4Q 2013 from 4.8% in 3Q 2013. Ona positive note, the Business ConfidenceIndex (BCI) rose to 54.9 in 4Q 2013 from45.7 in the previous quarter showing anincrease in business confidence levels.
Te volatility in the rupee exchange ratehas reduced significantly in the surveyedquarter ensuring continued foreigninstitutional investor interest in Indianfinancial securities.
Net export figures reflecting both export
growth and import compression suggestthat export-led sectors such asinformation technology andpharmaceuticals are performing better in2014.
About 8 million sq ft. of office space wasleased across the eight major cities inIndia showing a 7% increase on QoQbasis. All markets, with the exception ofMumbai, Chennai and Pune, have
witnessed increase in office absorption.Bangalore and NCR topped the chartcontributing 75% in the totalabsorption.
COLLIERS VIEW : Occupiers are lookingbeyond the CBD and SBD markets formore strategic opportunities. In 2014, weshould see a continuation of this trend,as players in search of more cost-effectivesolutions will move towards the PBD.
With positive signals emanating from theglobal economy, which finds resonancein our improved export performance, weanticipate that after the elections, theoffice market will start seeing a revival interms of absorption, supply and newproject launches.
ECONOMIC BAROMETER
Source: Colliers International India Research
Note: All values in the above tables are as on 15th of March
2013 and 20141 Wholesale Price Index2SBI Prime Lending Rate3SBI interest rate < INR 1 crore Term Deposits for 1 Year
INR
Crore
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Apr-09
Apr-10
Apr-11
Apr-12
Apr-13
Jul-09
Jul-10
Jul-11
Jul-12
Jul-13
Oct-10
Oct-11
Oct-12
Oct-13
Oct-09
Business Confidence Index
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
2,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
8,000
10,000
4,000
6,000
2008-09
2012-13
Apr-Jan2014
2010-11
2011-12
2009-10
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
FDI in Real Estate
BSE Sensex Realty Index* Rebase to 100
BSE Sensex & Realty Index
90
80
100
110
60
70
50
120
130
1-Jan-14
12-Jan-14
23-Jan-14
3-Feb-14
14-Feb-14
25-Feb-14
8-Mar-14
19-Mar-14
30-Mar-14
InPercentage
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Jan-Mar09
Apr-Jun09
Jul-Sep09
Oct-Dec09
Jan-Mar10
Apr-Jun10
Jul-Sep10
Oct-Dec10
Jan-Mar12
Apr-Jun13
Jul-Sep13
Oct-Dec13
Jan-Mar13
Oct-Dec12
Jun-Sep12
Oct-Dec11
Jul-Sep11
Apr-Jun11
Jan-Mar11
Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost
0.0%
2.0%
Apr-Jun12
8/12/2019 India OPMO
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During 1Q 2014, the Mumbai officemarkets witnessed a further declinein office space absorption indicatingcautious occupier sentiment. Tis lack ofdemand can be attributed to a low levelof I/IeS sector participation in theoverall absorption, which is currently
the primary demand generating sectoracross the cities.
Tis quarter only about 0.42 million sqft of Grade A office space was leased
with a few mid-sized deals concluded inCentral and Western Suburbs, and NaviMumbai.
Construction activities remained slow.No projects / phases of projects werecompleted this quarter. Developers alsorefrained from launching new projects
due to low demand.
More than 7.5 million sq ft of Grade Acommercial office space was availablefor fit-out during the surveyed quarterof which, about 80% was concentratedin micro-markets like Andheri East,Lower Parel, BKC and Tane / LBS Road.
Vacancy remained almost stable dueto the limited addition of new supply.Rents and capital values for Grade Aoffice space remained stable in all of themicro-markets.
COLLIERS VIEW: Sectors like BFSIand FMCG, have become cautiousin office uptake. Tis coupled withreduced I/IeS absorption is likely toresult in lower demand in 2014. Rentsand capital values are thus expected toremain stable; however, micro-marketssuch as Andheri, BKC (Bandra-Kurla-Complex) and Lower Parel could see anupward movement in the range of 1 - 2%QoQ due to continued interest from theoccupiers.
Mumbai
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
CBD 226 - 260 0% 0%
Andheri East 91 - 125 0% 0%
BKC 226 - 320 0% 1%
Lower Parel 141 - 180 0% 0%
Malad 81 - 90 0% 1%
Navi Mumbai 56 - 75 0% 1%
Powai 101 - 120 0% 0%
Worli/ Prabhadevi 176 - 225 0% 0%
Goregaon/ JVLR 81 - 110 0% 1%
Kalina 175 - 211 0% 0%
Thane / LBS 51 - 100 0% 1%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Chromium Tech-Pro Projects (KGA) 200,000 JVLR. Off Powai 2014
One BKC Wadhwa Developers 1,200,000 BKC 2015
Newa Bhakti Knowledge City Park New Tech City Group 600,000 Airoli 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
GS Engineering Lodha iThink 30,000 Thane Lease
Merck Pharma Lighthall 70,000 Andheri East Lease
Phillip Capital Urmi Estate 20,000 Lower Parel Lease
Temple Packaging Lotus Corporate Park 20,000 Goregaon East Lease
Teradata Mindspace SEZ 30,000 Airoli Lease
Andheri East24%
Thane / LBS21%
CBD
1%
Worli /Prabhadevi
1%
Goregoan /JVLR4%
Powai4%Navi Mumbai
2%Malad6%
Lower Parel20%
BKC15%
Kalina2%
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014F
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
505,000
0 0
100
10,000
150
15,000
200
20,000
250
25,000
30,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTIONMillion Sq.ft.
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4 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Delhi witnessed improved demand asoffice absorption nearly doubled thisquarter amounting to approximately0.3 million sq ft. Approximately 60%of this total absorption is contributedby large office space occupiers such asMoser Bear, Snapdeal and VFS Global.Remaining 40% of the leases were
small office spaces (5,000 - 10,000 sqft) occupied by the corporate officesof BFSI, airlines, real estate and mediacompanies.
In the surveyed quarter, the city added0.8 million sq ft of new, Grade A officesupply. Projects contributing this supply
were Hyatt Commercial Block by AsianHotels in Bhikaji Cama Place; Ambienceower by Ambience Developer in Rohini;and Prime ower by DLF in OkhlaPhase I.
Te total Grade A supply available for fit-out this quarter was about 2.5 million sqft, mainly concentrated in Jasola, Saketand Connaught Place.
Average rent and capital values remainedunaltered during 1Q 2014, however somenew buildings demanding above-marketprices due to their premium location andamenities offered.
COLLIERS VIEW: Occupiers will remain
cost-conscious and prefer small GradeA properties for their corporate officesin the CBD area. Te upcoming newsupply in Aero City near the airportis expected to have an impact on themarket dynamics with nearly 0.9 millionsq ft forecasted to get operational in2014. Te location is expected to attracta significant number of occupiers due toits advantageous location and availabilityof Grade A buildings with state-of-the-art amenities.
Delhi
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
Connaught Place 175 - 450 -2% -12%
Nehru Place 175 - 225 0% 8%
Saket 160 - 190 6% 2%
Jasola 95 - 130 2% -7%
Netaji Subhash 65 - 75 0% 0%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
NBCC Plaza NBCC Ltd. 350,000 Okhla 2014
NBCC Redevelopment NBCC Ltd. 1,300,000 Kidwai Nagar 2016
Parsvnath 27 Parsvnath Ltd. 150,000 K.G. Marg 2016
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
H&M India Religare Building 11,500 Saket Lease
LG Electronics Religare Building 24,150 Saket Lease
Moser Baer Okhla Phase 3 70,000 Okhla Lease
Snapdeal Okhla Phase 3 50,000 Okhla Lease
VFS Global Bharti Worldmark 70,000 Aero City Sale
0.00
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.05
0.35
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
505,000
0 0
100
10,000
150
15,000
200
20,000
250
300
25,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Jasola34%
Nehru Place4%
Saket34%
Connaught place28%
Million Sq.ft.
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In 1Q 2014, occupiers leased more than1.6 million sq ft of Grade A office spacein Gurgaon, a modest increase of 5%from last quarter. Tis marginal increasein the office space absorption figure isan indication of the reviving occupierconfidence level.
I/IeS and BFSI were the most activeoccupiers leasing large office spaces.
Te total available stock for lease or salewas approximately 16 million sq ft. Newsupply entering the market accounted forapproximately 1.5 million sq ft. Projectscontributing to this new supply includePalm Square and Eros ower, located atGolf Course Extension Road; and PalmSpring Plaza and One Horizon Centre atGolf Course Road.
Projects launched this quarter includeGateway by Unitech Ltd and Biosphereby Emmar MGF, both located on MGRoad; and KS ower by KS Groupon the Dwarka Expressway. All of theseprojects will add approximately 1 millionsq ft to the citys Grade A inventory by2018.
Rents and capital values remained flatcompared to last quarter. However,MG Road and the institutional sectors
witnessed marginal decreases in therange of 1 to 3% QoQ. Limited availabilityof large floor plate Grade A office spaceresulted in low demand in these micro-markets
COLLIERS VIEW: In 2014, it is likely thatlease volumes will increase. Stock incost-effective locations, like Golf CourseExtension Road and Sohna Road, will bepreferred, primarily because of occupiersinterest in high-quality assets at cheaperrents.
Gurgaon
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
MG ROAD 95 - 135 -2% -4%
Golf Course Rd 90 - 140 2% 18%
Institutional Sect.(18,32,44) 50 - 65 0% -6%
Golf Course RdExt./Sohna Rd 50 - 65 2% 2%
NH8 50 - 125 0% 0%
Manesar 40 - 42 0% 2%
DLF Cyber City 78 - 80 0% 5%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Biosphere Emaar MGF 350,000 MG Road 2018
KST KST Group 350,000 Dwarka Expressway 2018
Unitech Gateway Unitech Ltd. 350,000 MG Road 2018
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
Accenture Unitech Infospace 120,986 Sector 21, Dundahera Lease
Aricent Group Unitech Infospace 550,000 Sector 21, Dundahera Lease
Copal Partners Plot 267 120,000 Udyog Vihar - Phase 2 Lease
Oracle One Horizon Centre 90,000 Golf Course Road Lease
WNS DLF Silokhera 145,000 NH-8 Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
0.60
1.00
0.80
1.40
1.20
1.80
1.60
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014F
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
20 2,000
0 0
40 4,000
60 6,000
100
80 8,000
120
10,000
12,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
MG Road5%
Golf Course Road11%
DLF Cyber City4%
Institutional Sec-tors (Sec44, 32, 18)
3%
Manesar25%
National Highway 817%
Udyog Vihar &Industrial Sectors
4%
Golf Course Road
Ext./Sohna Road31%
Million Sq.ft.
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6 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Te total volume of office absorptionin 1Q 2014 in NOIDA was recorded at0.21 million sq. ft. dominated mostlyby consulting, Engineering and BFSIsegments in sector 62 and Sector 127.Share of sector 62 in the total absorptionpie has increased as corporate are able
to get better deals with more options atcompetitive rentals.
Te delivery of World rade ower inSector 16 and two individual buildingsin Sectors 6 and 125 contributedapproximately 0.9 million sq ft of newspace to the market.
Despite low absorption levels,developers continued to launch new,commercial Grade A towers in theirmixed-use projects in sectors along the
NOIDA Expressway. New launches thisquarter include Downtown by SikkaDeveloper, and Cosmic Corporate ParkIII by Cosmic Developers. Tese projects
will contribute another 1.5 million sqft of Grade A non-I office space to thecitys inventory by 2019.
Rents in almost all micro marketsremained stable due to low transaction
volumes. Sectors along the NOIDAExpressway command premiums interms of rents due to the location and
connectivity advantages.
COLLIERS VIEW: NOIDA is expected towitness new office space completions ofapproximately 4.5 mn sq. ft. by the endof 2014. Most of this upcoming supply isnon-I/IeS office space. Te additionof Grade A non-I/IeS office space isexpected to attract corporate occupiersto this market.
NOIDA
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
InstitutionalSectors (Non IT) 50 - 90 0% 5%
InstitutionalSectors (IT) 30 - 75 0% 9%
ComercialSectors
95 - 100 -5% 0%
IndustrialSector
18 - 48 5% 20%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Cosmic Corporate Park III Cosmic Group 500,000 Sector 154 2016
Downtown Sikka Group 450,000 Sector 104 2019
K Rasa - K8 K Rasa 500,000 Sector 129 2019
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
eGain India Unitech Infospace 11,000 Sector 62 Lease
Media Tek S B Tower 30,000 Sector 16 Lease
RDB Insurance A-31 108,000 Sector 64 Lease
Tata Consultancy Engineering Ltd. Green Boulevard - Tower B 15,785 Sector 62 Lease
Tata Consultancy Engineering Ltd. Green Boulevard - Tower C 15,786 Sector 62 Lease
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.80
1.20
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
20
102,000
0 0
40
304,000
50
6,000
70
60
8,000
80 12,000
10,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Commercial Sectors(Sec 18) (Grade B)
0.6%
Industrial Sectors(Sec. 1-9, 57-60, 63-65)
(Grade B)15.8%
Commercial Sectors(Sec 18) (Grade B)
0.2%
Institutional Sectors(Sec.16A, 62, 125-142
83.3%
Million Sq.ft.
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In Chenani, leasing transaction volumescontinued to remain below average.otal absorption was 0.56 mn sq. ft.during the quarter. Te majority of leasessigned were for smaller, sub-25,000 sq ftoffice spaces. Micro-markets like OldMahabali Puram Road and Guindy
remained the standout performers thisquarter. Having quality office spaceon offer combined with affordabilityhas enabled these micro-markets to bepreferred destinations for occupiers.
A few projects / phases of projectswere completed this quarter, includingRamaniyam ISHA by RamaniyamGroupat Toraipakkam; KPR owers atNungambakkam; and VikramVikra at
Vadapalani. All of these projects togetheradd 0.09 million sq ft of Grade A office
space to the citys total inventory.
New project launches continued toremain limited. A phase of about 0.25million sq ft in DLF I SEZ-Block 2,located at Manapakkam, was launchedby DLF Ltd this quarter and is expectedto be completed by the end of 2015.
Te lack of major tenant moves andexpansions by large occupiers has seenrents continue to remain steady in almostall micro-markets.
COLLIERS VIEW: Te outlook for theleasing market across Chennai overthe next 9 months is more positive thanthe previous two quarters. Improvingsentiment and prospects for the globaleconomy as well as rising businessand consumer confidence should allcombine to boost the sentiment of I/IeS tenants who make up the bulk oftenants in Chennai.
Chennai
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
CBD 65 - 85 0% 0%
Guindy (SBD) 50 - 60 0% 0%
Ambattur 25 - 30 0% 0%
OMR(IT Corridor)
25 - 45 0% 8%
GST road 35 - 40 0% 0%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
DLF IT SEZ - Block 2 DLF Ltd. 250,000 Manapakkam 2015
Infinite Square SKCL Ltd. 84,000 Guindy 2014
Rajkamal Suites Khivraj Group 66,000 Nugambakkam 2014
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
Athena SP Infocity 65,000 OMR Lease
Cash Edge Prestige Polygon 25,000 Anna Salai Lease
Equitus Spencer Plaza 37,000 Anna Salai Lease
Isuzu Prestige Centre Court 30,000 Vadapalani Lease
Kone Prestige Centre Court 30,000 Vadapalani Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.60
0.80
1.40
1.60
1.20
1.80
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
101,000
2,000
3,000
5,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
7,000
0 0
20
30
40
70
60
50
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Guindy (SBD)8%
CBD16%
GST Rd3%
Velachery1%
OMR (IT Corridor)47%
Ambattur24%
Million Sq.ft.
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8 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
CBD 80 - 100 0% 0%
Hosur Rd. 20 - 40 0% 0%
EPIP Zone/Whitefield 28 - 36 0% 16%
Electronic City 23 - 32 0% -7%
Bannerghatta Rd. 50 - 60 0% 8%
Outer Ring Rd. 50 - 60 0% 3%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Pritech - Block 14 Primal Group 600,000 ORR - Marathahalli Sarjapur 2015
RMZ ECO WORLD - APPL - 4A RMZ CORP 990,000 Marathahalli Sarjapur 2015
RMZ ECO WORLD - APPL - 7 RMZ CORP 790,000 ORR - Marathahalli Sarjapur 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
Capgemini Divyasree Technopark 440,000 Whitefield Lease
IBM Embassy Business Park 770,000 Hebbal Lease
Sony RMZ Eco World 240,000 Outer Ring Road Lease
TCS Global Axis 300,000 Whitefield Lease
Titan Industries Divyasree Technopolis 163,000 Yamalur Lease
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
10 1,500
0 0
20 3,000
30 4,500
40
6,000
50
60
7,500
9,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
Strong demand for Grade A office spacewitnessed during 1Q 2014 resultedin a 35% QoQ increase in absorptionin the Bengaluru market. I/IeSremained the primary demand drivercontributing approximately 80% in thetotal absorption of 3.8 million sq ft. Tis
includes approximately 1.7 million sq ftpre-commitment deals from companieslike IBM, Ericson and Hindustan CocaCola Beverages for expansion purposes.
During the quarter, many large scaledprojects / phases of projects werecompleted and added over 2.9 millionsq ft of Grade A office space to the citystotal inventory.
Enthused by this demand, a number ofdevelopers launched additional towers
in their existing projects, includingDivyasree echnopolis-Block D; MantriCornerstone-Block B; Pritech-Block 14and RMZ ECO WORLD owers 4A, 4Band all of these projects together will addover 4.8 million sq ft office space to citysinventory by the end of 2015.
With demand and supply complementingeach other, vacancy levels remainunaltered and about 11 million sq ft ofGrade A stock was available for fit-outduring the quarter.
Te capital and rental values alsoremained steady in almost all micro-markets in the city.
COLLIERS VIEW: Te strong softwareexport figures indicate increase in I/IeS uptake in the coming quarters inthe city. We anticipate modest increasesin rents in micro-markets like OuterRing Road and CBD due to occupierpreference to other micro-markets like
Whitefield and Electronic City.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Hosur Road3%
CBD9%
Bannerghatta Road2%
Electronic City16%
EPIP Zone/Whitefield
41%
Outer Ring Road29%
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
0.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
4.00
Million Sq.ft.
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Te city witnessed improved demandthis quarter and recorded Grade Aabsorption of about 0.18 million sqft. More than 90% of these deals wereconcluded in the Salt Lake-Sector V andNew own micro-markets. Tis quarter,
various local occupiers have relocated
from their old structures to new andbetter facilitated structures.
Construction activities remained slowduring the quarter and only a fewproperties were completed includingPecon ower by Pecon Group and Rishiechpark by Mittal Group, both of whichare at New own. ogether, these projectscontributed about 0.1 million sq ft ofGrade A commercial office supply.
Projects launched this quarter includeWeston by Siddha Group at Bentinck
Street; Arya Hub by Arya Realty ataratala; and Pressman House byPressman at New own. Te projects areexpected to be completed by 2017 and
will contribute about 0.47 million sq ft ofGrade A commercial office space in thecity.
Rental values declined in the range of 1to 4% QoQ in most of the micro-markets,except SBD where rents remained stable.During the same quarter, capital valuesremained stable, except for Sector V
where capital values decline by 3% QoQ.
COLLIERS VIEW: Upcominginfrastructure developments like metrocorridors will improve the overallconnectivity of the city. Micro-marketslike Salt Lake-Sector V and New own
will continue to see occupier interest.Rents and capital values are expected toremain under pressure due to prevailinghigh vacancy in suburban micro-markets.
Kolkata
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
CBD 95 - 120 -4% -10%
SBD 70 - 80 0% -6%
Sector V/New Town
46 - 50 -2% -2%
PBD 34 - 37 -1% -3%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Arya Hub Arya Realty 85,000 Taratala 2017
Pressman House Pressman 140,000 New Town 2015
Weston Sidhha Group 250,000 Bentinck Street 2017
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
Disha Palm Mall 16,000 Gariahat Lease
Serco Global BIPL 38,000 Sector-V Lease
SGS Eco Space 15,000 New Town Lease
Sterling Ferrero Net Guru 10,400 Sector-V Lease
Vasan Eye Care Individual 10,000 Chetla Lease
0.00
0.20
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.70
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTION
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014F
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
40
20 2,000
0 0
60
4,000
80
6,000
100
8,000
120
10,000
12,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
NEW SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Sector V33%
PBD31%
SBD36%
Million Sq.ft.
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10 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Pune
Source: Colliers International India Research
Micro Market Rental
Values*% Change
QoQ YoY
Baner 45 - 55 0% 0%
Bund Garden 50 - 65 0% -12%
Airport Rd. /Pune station 42 - 63 3% -2%
Aundh 45 - 60 0% 9%
Senapati Bapat 55 - 85 0% -10%
Bavdhan 35 - 45 0% -2%
Kalyani Nagar 45 - 60 0% 0%
Nagar Rd. 40 - 60 0% 11%
Hinjewadi 32 - 45 3% 7%
Hadapsar/Fursungi 33 - 50 4% 8%
Kharadi 32 - 65 0% 18%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION POSSESSION
Siddhivinayak Vision Siddhivinayak Group 200,000 Tathawade 2014
The Melange Cosmos Group 70,000 Fugewadi 2015
W One U.D. Developers 80,000 Wanowari 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ. FT.) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
BMC Business Bay 251,000 Yerwada Lease
Compucom Software Limited S P Infocity 45,000 Phursungi Lease
Fundtech AG Trade Center 87,000 Bavhdan Lease
Gallaghar Giga Space Delta 2 34,900 Viman Nagar Lease
Geometric Limited Blue Ridge 27,000 Hinjewadi Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013 1Q2014
QUARTER WISE ABSORPTIONMillion Sq.ft.
1Q2008
1Q2009
1Q2010
1Q2014
1Q2013
1Q2015F
3Q2015F
1Q2012
1Q2011
20
10 1,000
0 0
30
2,000
50
40
3,000
70
60
4,000
80
5,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
AVERAGE RENTAL AND CAPITAL VALUE TREND
RentalValues-INR
PerSq.
ft.
PerMonth
CapitalValues-INRP
erSq.f
t.
Note:Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
Average Rental/Capital Values: Market average of indicativeasking price for Grade A office space.
Forecast
* Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month.
Pune has witnessed more than 0.85million sq ft of absorption in 1Q 2014,
which is relatively less than the lastquarters net absorption of 1.55 millionsq ft. However, more than 65% ofthe transactions were for expansionindicating rebounding business
confidence levels.
About 1 million sq ft of new Grade Asupply was added to the citys totalinventory. Of this 0.8 million sq ft wascontributed by Business Bay ower I byPanchshil Realty, located at Yerwada.
otal Grade A total supply availablefor fit-out was about 5.7 million sq ft.mainly concentrated in the Hinjewadiand Kharadi micro-markets. Tis is anincrease of about 1.19 million sq ft of
Grade A office space over the previousquarter indicating increasing vacancy inperipheral areas.
In most of the micro-markets rents andcapital values remained unchanged,however a few micro-markets like
Airport Road, Hinjewadi, Hadapsarand Fursungi witnessed an increase inthe range of 3 - 4% on a quarterly basis.Tis is primarily due to the availabilityof grade A office space with a low rentalbase as compared to the other parts of
the city.
COLLIERS VIEW: I/IeS will continueto be the major occupier of Grade A officespace in the city. Despite the demand/ supply equilibrium in the city, rentsin micro-markets located towards thenorth-west and south-east will see a risein the range of 3 - 5% on a yearly basis.Tis is because of the large floor-plate ofthe Grade A inventory with ready socialinfrastructure that will continue to lureoccupiers in the near future.
AVAILABLE SUPPLY IN PRIME AREAS
Bavdhan2%
Kalyani Nagar7%
Senapati Bapat Road3%
Aundh2%
Baner11%
Bund Garden7%
Airport road/pune station
11%
Hinjewadi20%
Nagar Road13%
Kharadi17%
Hadapsar/Fursungi7%
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11
Mumbai
Te major business locations in Mumbai are the CBD (Nariman
Point, Fort and Ballard Estate), Central Mumbai (Worli, Lower
Parel and Parel), Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) and Andheri
Kurla stretch. Powai, Malad and Vashi are the preferred I/
IES destinations, while Airoli at Navi Mumbai and Lal Bahadur
Shastri Marg are emerging as new office and I/IES submakets.
Delhi
Te commercial areas in New Delhi metropolitan area can be
broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru
Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place, Jasola and
Saket .
Gurgaon
Te prime business locations in Gurgaon are MG Road, GolfCourse Road, Cyber City and Udyog Vihar. Manesar on the
outskirts of Gurgaon is alsoemerging as the citys new office
destination.
NOIDA
NOIDA market is comprised of sectors broadly classified as
institutional, industrial and commercial sectors. Institutional
sectors include sec 16A, 62 and125-142, industrial sectors include
sec 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while sector 18 is the most developed
commercial sector.
Chennai
Prime office properties in Chennai are located in four principal
sub-markets: the CBD, the I Corridor, the SBD and the PBD.
Te SBD comprises Guindy,Manapakkam, Velachery and other
areas. Te PBD primarily includes Ambattur and GS Road,
while the I Corridor is the Old Mahaballipuram Road (OMR) in
south Chennai.
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
Prime office properties in Bengaluru can be divided into three
principal sub-market CBD, the SBD consisting of Banerghatta
Road & Outer Ring Road(ORR) and PBD including Hosur Road,
EPIP Zone, Electronic City and Whilefield.
Kolkata
Te major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street,
Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd), SBD (AJC Bose Rd, Ballygunge
circular Rd, East Kolkata) and PBD (New own & Rajarhat). Te
area around Park Street, Camac Street and AJC Bose road houses
number of high-rises commercial buildings such as Chatterjee
International Centre, ata Centre, Everest House and Industry
House among others.
Pune
Te prime office sub-markets of Pune include Deccan Gymkhana,
Bund Garden Road, Senapati Bapat Road & Camp (CBD), while
the Off CBD includes Aundh, Airport Road and Kalyani Nagar,
among other locations. Te eastern corridor, along with Nagar
Road and Kharadi, have emerged as a preferred location for
financial and I/IES companies.
Office Submarkets
CIY BAROMEERS
Increasing as compared to previous quarter
Decreasing as compared to previous quarter
Remained stable from previous quarter
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12 R h & F R | A il 2014 | Offi | C lli I i l
Copyright 2014 Colliers International.
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consulttheir professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
About Colliers International
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Primary Authors:
Surabhi Arora I Associate DirectorResearch
[email protected]+91 124 456 7500
Mumbai:George Mckay I South Asia [email protected]
Delhi / NCR: Ajay Rakheja I [email protected]
Vikas Kalia | National [email protected]
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & [email protected]
Sachin Sharma I Assistant [email protected]
Technopolis Building, 1st Floor,DLF Golf Course Road,Sector 54, Gurgaon - 122 002
TEL +91 124 456 7500
Bengaluru:Yogesh Bheemaiah I [email protected]
Pune:Rishav Vij I General [email protected]
Chennai:Kaushik Reddy I Director
Kolkata: Ajay Rakheja I [email protected]
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