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INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS Jobs and Migration Core Course May 2018 Claire H. Hollweg Economist Trade & Regional Integration Unit

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Page 1: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

INCLUSIVE

(GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS

Jobs and Migration Core Course

May 2018

Claire H. Hollweg

Economist

Trade & Regional Integration Unit

Page 2: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Our session today- objectives

• This is a huge topic worthy of a course on its own – we will just scratch

the surface today

• We will focus on inclusivity in value chains but will go beyond the

informal sector

• We will put significant emphasis on global value chains

Objectives:

• HAVE AN INITIAL UNDERSTANDING OF HOW TO THINK ABOUT VALUE CHAINS

AND THEIR POTENTIAL TO INTEGRATE MICROENTERPRISES / SMALLHOLDERS

• HAVE A BROAD UNDERSTANDING OF POLICY OPTIONS AND SPECIFIC PROGRAM

APPROACHES TO SUPPORT INCLUSIVE VALUE CHAINS

Note:

Page 3: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Outline

• What are Value Chains and Why Should We Care?

• Analyzing Value Chains for Inclusivity

• Upgrading in Global Value Chains

• Case Study: Vietnam

• Discussion / Q&A / Hand-on Exercise

2

Page 4: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

What are Value Chains and Why

Should We Care?

Page 5: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

What is a value chain?

Definition: A series of activities that take a product or service from its conception to its

end use, building value along the wayTOMATO VALUE CHAIN MAP

Source Primary Product Primary Processing Secondary Processing Tertiary Processing Trade

Spice

Dried Tomato

Powder

ExportTomato Farm Fresh Tomato

Paste

Processed Foods Retail/Wholesale

Purée/Ketchup

Juice Hotel/Institutions

Sauce

Seed Oil Pharmaceutical

EM: 2.4 EM: 2.7 ; IM: 1.8

Canned Tomato

Suitable for SMEs and individuals (small scale production)

Page 6: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

What do we mean by ‘value chain analysis’?

“We need to do a value chain analysis”

What this means depends a bit on where your coming from:

Poverty and social protection

perspective

Understanding opportunities and

constraints for household /

smallholder/microenterprise links and

upgrading – link to Pro-poor and

Sustainable Livelihoods approaches

Industry perspective

Understanding opportunities and

constraints at each stage of the

chain – link to Sector, Cluster, VC

Competitiveness analysis

Trad

e fa

cilitatio

n persp

ective

Und

ersta

nding

how

phy

sical

move

ment o

f good

s shap

es

outco

mes –

link to S

upp

ly

Cha

in Ana

lysis

Trade perspective

Understanding value-added in

exports and the imported

components of exports – link to

Global Value Chains

Agricultural perspective

Understanding opportunities

and constraints for upgrading

and exporting – link to Crop-

Specific Value Chain studies

These approaches have some differences but can be complementary

Page 7: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Source: http://www.qstockinventory.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Value-Chain-Word-Cloud.jpg

Where are the jobs in value chains? Where is the inclusion?

Page 8: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Inclusion and informality

Poor and bottom 40% Women Youth Vulnerable Groups Rural Areas

WHEN DEALING WITH GROUPS THAT ARE TYPICALLY EXCLUDED

WE ARE TYPICALLY ALSO DEALING WITH INFORMALITY

Source: Jobs WDR 2013

• Informal, non-wage employment is

the norm in most developing countries

• Value chains target inclusion through

connecting informal and formal

actors (more on this later…)

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Source: https://nextgenafricanfarmers.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/agri-value-chain.gif

Why value chains for inclusive development?

▪ Job creation leverage: VCs offer link between competitiveness and jobs

competitive lead firms drive job creation and productivity growth through the chain

▪ Specificity: Interventions to unlock competitiveness are often industry (VC) specific

▪ Mobilization potential: VCs offer a platform to build coalitions of mutual interest,

increasing potential for successful implementation

Driving jobs and earnings

growth through links to

market demand

Improving the level and quality of firm-relations in the chainFi

rm u

pgra

din

g

1. Identifying opportunities for job creation (more jobs)

2. Empowering small firms/farms capture more value (better jobs)

3. Integrating small firms / farms with established sources of demand (inclusive jobs)

Page 10: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

The issue is more about earnings than jobs (esp in agri)

Job creation

effects

- MORE -

Job quality effects

(productivity,

earnings, skills)

- BETTER -

Jobs access

effects

- INCLUSIVE -

Source: Presentation at the artisans of the world days November

2005 – solidarity among peoples – Economic alternatives –

Carrefour – Max Havelaar… in EuropAid (2011)

Page 11: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

What’s the problem? Pervasive market and government

failures…

Producers

(sellers)

Market

(Buyers)

payment

Information/ communication

traders processorsWholesalers/

retailers

value

Goods / services

A simple VC/ market system

• Information failures: prices, varieties, standards (e.g. technical and phytosanitary)

• Information asymmetries: implications for pricing power

• Missing markets: technical services, access to financial services (credit, insurance)

• Missing / burdensome regulations

• Incomplete public infrastructure and capacity (institutions)

• Negative spillovers inherent from VC links: e.g. implications of input supply weaknesses on

downstream incentives to invest

Source: Manalili

Page 12: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

… and serious coordination and capacity challenges

• Technical capacity in production

• Financial capacity (to invest, to handle volatility / shocks)

• Knowledge and capacity to negotiate and manage business contracts

• Understanding / comfort with norms and business practices in formal markets

• Impact of social norms, especially on women

Coordination challenges stem from fragmented production among smallholders /

microenterprises… especially in combination with concentration in other parts of the VC

INPUT SUPPLY

MARKET TIMING

PRICING

TRANSPORT /

STORAGE

SMALLHOLDERS AND MICROENTERPRISES ALSO TEND TO FACE SIGNIFICANT CAPACITY CHALLENGES

• Negotiating price

• Getting supply chain credits

• Coordinating when to bring output onto the market (cashflow v price);

ability to respond to supply and demand fluctuations

• Negotiating price

• Getting contracts

• Negotiating price and availability

Page 13: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Analyzing Value Chains for

Inclusivity

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Three key challenges of value chain analysis

1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with

large informal sectors, identifying actors along the chain is a

challenge very difficult to know if you are getting a

representative view

2. Time and cost: Value chain assessments are expensive and take time

(all the more so, given #1).

3. Generalization and sustainability: The value chain approach requires

getting very specific (agri v horticulture v table grapes); and

dynamics (and especially costs / productivity) can change quickly.

NOTE THAT VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS REQUIRES IN-DEPTH ‘ON-THE-GROUND’

RESEARCH AND IS TYPICALLY OUTSOURCED TO TECHNICAL EXPERTS. FEW

GOVERNMENT AGENCIES DO THIS RESEARCH THEMSELVES (ALTHOUGH EXAMPLES

FROM WORLD BANK WORK)

Page 15: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Many different approaches to the analysis

QUANTITATIVE

QUALITATIVE

SURVEYS

FOCUS GROUPS

KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEWS

PARTICIPATORY / ACTION RESEARCH

• Stakeholder mapping / analysis

• Diaries

• Political economy analysis

• Gender analysis

• Mapping labor

• Mapping value, cost and time

• Productivity analysis

• Secondary data analysis (LFS,

HIES, etc)

WIDE VARIIETY OF TOOLKITS / GUIDES AVAILABLE–LINKED TO SPECIFIC APPROACHES:

• Sustainable Livelihoods (SL)

• Making Markets Work for the Poor (M4P)

• Agricultural Commodities and Livestock (IFAD)

• VC Development for Decent Work (ILO)

• Global Value Chains (GVC)

Page 16: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Job’s approach: surveys + qualitative

6-16 weeks

• Database

analysis

• Generic VC

(global)

mapping

• Review existing

sector info

• Initial sector

screening

VC selection /

mobilization

FIRM SURVEYS

(50-100++ sample,

context-dependent)

FIRM INTERVIEWS AND

FOCUS GROUPS

(20-50+ subsample)

3-4 weeks

Identification of

potential firms to

survey

Initial counterpart

and stakeholders

consultation

Deve

lop a

nd im

ple

ment

sam

plin

g s

trate

gy

IMPLE

MEN

TATI

ON

PLA

NN

ING

CONSULTATION / PUBLIC-PRIVATE DIALOGUE

Analysis

and

recommend

ations

3-4 weeks

Kick-off mission Field research missions (optional) Concluding mission

PH

AS

EA

CT

IVIT

YT

OO

L

SCOPING AND PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FIELD RESEARCH ANALYSIS / CONCLUSIONS

Terms of reference

for hiring external

experts to lead

the VC analysis

RFP / TOR

template

General and sector-

based survey

templates

Survey

instruments

Guidelines for semi-

structured interviews

Interview

guidelines

List of what should

be understood by

the end of the

analytical

process

Completion

checklist

Criteria and data

sources for

screening and

selecting value

chains

Screening

template

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Approaches to inclusive value chains

SOLUTIONS FOR DELIVERING INCLUSIVE VALUE CHAINS TEND TO BE:

1. VALUE-CHAIN SPECIFIC (BUT MAY BE POOLED UNDER A BROADER VC PROGRAM)

2. DELIVERED OVER SEVERAL YEARS

3. DELIVERED BY NGO OR SECTOR / VC-SPECIIFIC ORGANIZATIONS

Common approaches include (not mutually exclusive):

• Vertical market linkages (general)

• Support for producer organizations to address coordination failures – incl. Productive

Alliances model

• Supplier Development / Supply Chain linkages

• Building institutional capacity for value chain development

NOTE THAT ALL THESE TAKE A ‘MARKET SYSTEMS’ APPROACH, WHICH

IS INCREASINGLY STANDARD. THIS APPROACH CONSIDERS THE ROLES

AND INCENTIVES OF ALL ACTORS WITHIN A MARKET SYSTEM AND

ATTEMPTS TO FIND SOLUTIONS WITH A CLEAR MARKET ORIENTATION

Page 18: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Upgrading in Global Value

Chains:

services, jobs, skills, SMEs

Page 19: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

The three unbundlings:

200 years of globalization in 3 slides*

Trade costs fall in 1820 driving ‘unbundling’ of production and consumption

(Globalisation 1.0).

* Drawing heavily on Richard Baldwin (2016)

Page 20: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Impact of first unbundling:

170 years of divergence

Production clusters locally while markets expand globally

Innovation and production remain concentrated in developed world due

to high communications costs

G7 share of world GDP

Page 21: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Second unbundling: knowledge offshoring (since 1990)

ICT revolution and falling communications costs drives offshoring and

unbundling of factories in developed world

GVCs enable knowledge dissemination along with jobs in MNC production

throughout developing world (especially China)

Page 22: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Growth of domestic value added embodied in exports

21

Focus on values and growth rates:

• Looking at shares of domestic value added

embodied in gross exports only can be

misleading, as smaller shares may simply

reflect longer value chains due to increased

fragmentation of production.

Doesn’t necessarily need to be linked to GVC integration

measures:

• Focus on the domestic value added portion

that is exported which implies GVC

integration on the selling side Source: Taglioni and Winkler (2015).

Based on Baldwin and Lopez-Gonzales (2013).

Page 23: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Growth of Domestic Value Added Embodied in Gross Exports (CAGR),

1995-2008

22

9.0%

8.5%

3.5%

8.3%

5.1%

4.6%

10.3%

13.6%

5.4%

4.0%

BGR

CHN

DEU

EU10

JPN

POL

PRT

ROU

TUR

USA

Agriculture

2.7%

11.3%

7.7%

11.0%

4.3%

14.2%

8.9%

11.7%

8.5%

3.7%

BGR

CHN

DEU

EU10

JPN

POL

PRT

ROU

TUR

USA

Food & Beverages

Page 24: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Through Which Channels Can the growth of Domestic Value

Added in Exports Be Increased?

23

Source: Taglioni and Winkler (2015).

Data: OECD-WTO TiVA.

Decomposition of growth of domestic value added in exports in

Bulgaria (%), 1995-2008

Page 25: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

THE ROLE OF SERVICES: VERTICAL SPECIALIZATION AND THE

“SMILING CURVE” OF VALUE ADDED

• Many of the high value segments are services

Value Added

Value Chain

Business Functions

Low

High

Upstream Downstream

Globalization

Vertical specialization and the “smiling” curve of value added for a $600 iPhone 4

Source: Dedrick, et al. 2009

Page 26: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Services are key if the focus is on upgrading in GVCs

25

• Transport / logistics /

connectivity plays a key role in

helping firms reach markets,

and explains a sizable share of

their input cost bill

• Many of the higher value

added tasks are services

• Increase competition and

performance in services helps

the productivity of sectors that

use services as inputs

0 20 40 60 80 100

textiles

procfoods

primaryagr

metals

leather

clothing

bevtobacco

Utilities Construction Distribution

Transport Communication Finance

Insurance OBS, ICT Other services

Share of services in input bill by sector, Nepal

Page 27: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

A labor perspective is central to country engagements on trade

competitiveness and GVCs

• Export growth can be a powerful avenue

to increase employment and earnings

• How exports support domestic labor

depends on several factors:

• volume of exports

• labor-intensity of export sectors

• domestic linkages of exporting

firms to input-supplying firms

• Trade shocks impact labor markets, and

frictions in labor markets impact

economy-wide adjustment

• A country’s labor force also impacts its

export competitiveness, notably skills

• Recent engagements on trade and labor

markets focus on these aspects

26

Page 28: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

The Labor Content of Exports (LACEX) Database

27

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

199520042011199520042011199520042011199520042011

agriculture extractive manufacturing services

LV

AX

share

LV

AX

(m

illio

n U

SD

)

Values Shares

Evolution of the total LVAX share in exports in developing countries

• Systematic data on the contribution of exports to employment and labor earnings across countries and sectors is not readily available

• LACEX fills this gap!

• Computes the domestic value of labor / total wages and the number of jobs embodied in a country’s domestic production and exports

• Uses input-output data from GTAP and employment data from the ILO

• Available for a large sample of developed and developing countries (120), across sectors (57) and intermittent years (1995-2011)

Source: Cali et al. (2016)

Page 29: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Application: Exports are increasingly important for labor

outcomes in Vietnam, supporting 40% of wages and jobs

28

Total labor content of exports as a share of

total labor content, 1989-2012

15

20

25

30

35

40

Exp

ort

lab

or

in tota

l la

bo

r (%

)

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010Year

Jobs Wages

Note: Considering labor employed directly to produce exports, as well as labor employed

indirectly to produce domestic inputs to exports.

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000Wages (trillion Dong)

Other transport equipment

Electronics

Furniture

Apparel

Food products, beverages

Direct JOBX Indirect JOBX

Direct and indirect job content of exports across GVC sectors, 2012

Page 30: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Application: What are the distributional impacts of trade

on labor in South Africa?

• In South Africa, exports boomed but employment didn’t

• Use LACEX database to measure how trade at the sectoral level has supported jobs and wages in

South Africa between 2001 and 2011

• South Africa’s labor content of exports is increasingly supported by the minerals sector

• Increasing importance of indirect jobs and wages in GVC trade has distributional implications through

skills demand

29

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000US$ mil.

ZAF

TUR

THA

RUS

PER

IND

COL

CHL

BRA

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

20112001

Motor Vehicles

Direct LVAX Indirect LVAX

Direct and indirect labor content of exports

0 2,000 4,000 6,000US$ mil.

DwellingsConstruction

Leather ProductsElectricity, Gas, Water

Wearing ApparelMineral Products nec

TextilesWood Products

Manufactures necBeverages and Tobacco Products

Metal ProductsPaper Products, Publishing

Energy ExtractionPubAdmin/Defence/Health/Educat

Processed FoodsAgr, Forestry, FisheriesOther Private Services

Trade and Transport ServicesChemical, Rubber, Plastic Products

Transport EquipmentFerrous Metals

Machinery and Equipment necMetals nec

Minerals nec

2011

Direct LVAX Indirect LVAX

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Evidence of a global shortage of people with the right competences

and skills to meet the needs of the logistics industry

Source: Based on a 2016 World Bank / KLU study on logistics skills

30

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Operative/ blue collar staff

Administrative logistics staff

Logistics supervisors

Logistics managers

Respondents indicating "low" or "very low" availability of qualified personnel in the respective employee groups, by

region

North America

Latin America & Caribbean

Europe & Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East & North Africa

South Asia

East Asia & Pacific

Page 32: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Logistics competences, skills and training: A new World Bank

toolkit

• Developed by the World Bank

and Kühne Logistics University

in 2016

• Provides a quick overview of

logistics skills requirements and

skills base of a particular

country via targeted

questionnaires

• Includes guidance on measures

to address skills gaps

• Informs World Bank technical

assistance and lending projects

31

Phase 1:

Preparation

Phase 2:

Assessment

Phase 3:

Recommendations

Flow of Activities Documents

Dossier on Country

Specifics

Define Objectives of

Assessment

Perform “Quick Scan” of

Country

Refine Objectives of

Assessment

Compose Sample of

Interviewees

Conduct Interviews

Assess Maturity Levels

Prepare Preliminary

Assessment Report

Identify Policy Responses

Preliminary

Assessment Report

Schedule Interviews and

Adapt Interview Guide

Adapted Interview

Guide

Final Assessment

Report

Conduct Focus Group

Discussion

Prepare Final Assessment

Report

Page 33: INCLUSIVE (GLOBAL) VALUE CHAINS - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/215751528391009103/2-PM-May-3... · 1. Mapping and representation: In data poor environment and with large informal

Do skill constraints and workforce gaps in Vietnam’s domestic

private sector deter upgrading in the apparel value chain?

32

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Many of the skilled occupations have limited presence in

Vietnam, limiting domestic companies to upgrade

• Vietnam is in the

manufacturing/assembly-

related stages of the

apparel value chain

• Skilled occupations have

limited presence

• This limits domestic

companies to upgrade

their production or

establish linkages to

foreign companies and

international markets

33

Position Typical Education

Automated Fabric Spreading/Cutting; Patternmaking Technical education, apparel; BA/BS Apparel Design

Sampling BS

Sourcing: Supply Chain Management BS, finance/management

Merchandizer BS

Export Manager BS, Business

Assistant Fashion Designer BA/BS, Apparel Design

Senior Designer BS/MS, Apparel Design

Branding & Marketing Analyst BS/MS, Business

Product Development BS/MS, Business or Apparel

Industrial Engineers BS, Engineering

Sales/Account Management BS, Business

Administrative

Manufacturing / Assembly / Production

Full Package / Sourcing / Logistics / Sales

Design

Branding/Product Development

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How do we support small- and medium-sized enterprises to enter

GVCs?

34

• GVCs offer potential for LDC firms to participate in high

value-added activities, but regions where LDCs are

concentrated have less GVC participation

• SMEs need:

Managerial and workforce skills

Innovation capacity

Technology adoption

Investment in knowledge

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Case Study: Vietnam

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CASE STUDY OF VIETNAM

• Vietnam at a Crossroads: Engaging in the

Next Generation of Global Value Chains

identifies policies and targeted interventions

that will drive development by leveraging

GVC participation

➢ First, it highlights Vietnam's current

engagement in GVCs

➢ Second, it looks at potential engagement in

GVCs while also taking into account major

trade policy shifts and rapid technological

advances

➢ Third, it identifies strategic policy tools that

can help developing countries achieve

economic prosperity in the context of

compressed development

• Synthesizes a large amount of background

work undertaken for Vietnam 20353

6

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FRAGMENTATION OF PRODUCTION INTO GLOBAL VALUE

CHAINS HAS CREATED OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES

FOR VIETNAM

Opportunities

• Large scale foreign investment is driving employment growth for basic

assembly jobs

• Short run opportunities for local supplier development with local content

requirements

• Longer run opportunities to upgrade in the value chain by drawing on the

vast resources available in the global supply-base

Challenges

• Space for local firms has narrowed in manufacturing sectors because

major lead firms (Samsung, Ford, Toyota) in GVCs generally use the same

set of “global suppliers” everywhere

• High value functions (innovation, design, core components) stay outside of

Vietnam

• Vietnam becomes stuck in a “low value added trap”, failing to develop high

value functions or innovation capabilities

• Longer run risks as lower cost competitors draw foreign investment away

from Vietnam

3

7

Low management

capabilities

Weak backward

linkages

Risk of low value

added trap

Weak backward

linkages

Risk of low value

added trap

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1. Vietnam has successfully integrated into a number of GVCs, which has created jobs, propelled economic growth, and reduced poverty. However, its specialization has been in low value-added, end-production activities with weak domestic linkages.

2. Vietnam is at a crossroads. It can continue to grow as an export platform for GVCs and to specialize in low value-added assembly functions, or it can leverage the current wave of growth to diversify and move up the chain into higher value added functions.

3. Such an ambitious endeavor requires a solid package of horizontal reforms and vertical initiatives in specific sectors. Actions are not to be implemented in isolation, but require a comprehensive agenda that cuts across many dimensions.

4. A country’s ‘connectivity’ or ability to connect to global markets for goods, services, capital and people is a key driver of its international competitiveness and GVC participation. Exporters suffer from low logistics performance and high transport costs, with a role for government.

5. Domestic linkages from foreign, exporting firms to domestic, input-supply firms are weak. Short run opportunities for local supplier development with local content requirements exist, but policies need to be dramatically improved.

38

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DOMESTIC POLICIES INFLUENCE THE IMPACT OF GVC

PARTICIPATION AND ECONOMIC UPGRADING IN COUNTRIES

39

• National characteristics and absorptive capacity matter for the functioning of transmission

channels of GVC participation to the domestic economy

Source: Taglioni and Winkler (2015)

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BROAD-BASED REFORMS ARE NECESSARY TO

ENSURE ABSOLUTE AND RELATIVE PROGRESS

40

Entering GVCs: Which policies help (i)

create world-class GVC links and (ii) a

world-class climate for foreign tangible

and intangible assets?

Expanding and strengthening GVC

participation: Which policies help

strengthen (i) existing GVC-local

economy links and (ii) absorptive

capacity of local actors?

Turning GVC participation into

sustainable development: Which

policies help create a world-class

workforce? How can climate-smart

policies be implemented?

Source: Taglioni and Winkler (2015)

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THE CONNECTIVITY WORK STREAMS

Vietnam Logistics National Action

Plan

Cluster Connectivity Assessment for

the Vietnam Development Report

Vietnam Logistics Statistical System

Proposed DPO on Trade Facilitation

and Logistics

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Challenges for FDI-SME linkages

42

• Domestic private sector weak

• FDI sector with limited spill-overs

• Low productivity and lack of innovation

• Local supporting industries (SI) behind peers in the region (e.g. Malaysia, Thailand)

• Imperative to strength domestic

private sector via supporting

industries

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

All Countries EAP Vietnam All Countries EAP Vietnam

Per

cen

t

% Firms with Internationally

Recognized Quality Certification % of Firms with Annual Financial

Statement Reviewed by External Auditor

Source of growth

Innovation capacity

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Scope of analysis

43

3 areas of analysis:

• Enterprise productivity and investment climate analysis

• Factors influencing FDI-SME linkages

• Review of SME and linkage programs

FDI Spillover Potential, Domestic Private Sector Capabilities and Business Environment

Attracting FDI with vertical

spillovers potential

Promoting absorptive capacity of

private sector

Business Environment – Polices and Institutions

FDI-domestic firm linkages

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Conceptual framework of analysis: What market failures deter the

development of FDI-SME linkages?

44

Enhance MNE linkages to increase DVA, employment,

local firm productivity & market access Goal

government

Technology, skills, finance, standards

goods & services

Demand-side constraints:

• Lack of local suppliers

• Lack of competitive local suppliers

(quality, quantity and price)

• Lack of information on domestic

suppliers & capacity

• Distortive LCR policies or

incentives

Supply-side constraints:

• Technology & skills gaps

• Lack of targeted financial and

tech support for upgrading

• Lack of information on MNE

sourcing strategies and

standards

Policy

Policy

Investor

(MNE)

VN supporting

industries

Public sector constraints:

• Insufficient policy alignment

• Coordination failures

• Lack of supporting services

Policy

feedback

Policy

feedback

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Key Findings of a Review of SME Programs in Vietnam

• Need for an alignment of SME support programs to address demand-side and supply-side

market failures

48

• Credit guarantees through VDB

• Credit guarantee fund for SMEs (provincial level)

• SME Development Fund*

Lack of access to finance

• Training-specific program: Human resource development for SMEs program

• Training activities within programs

Lack of skilled

workforce

• Supporting Industry Development Program 2011-2020

• Master plan on supporting industry development to 2020, Vision to 2030

• National Product Development Program

• ‘Enhancing the productivity and quality of products of SMEs’ program (Standards)

Lack of competitive

local suppliers

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Operationalizing the Supporting Industries Agenda

• Based on the diagnostic, a “Roadmap for Implementing the Supporting Industries Program

and Strengthening SME Competitiveness” was proposed.

• The proposal focuses on four pillars:

49

Institutional and governance environment for SI policy

Pillar 1: (i) Establishment of SI and

Competitiveness Inter-ministerial Committee

with key stakeholders –public and private (lead firms and suppliers in

GVCs); (ii) Improve business regulatory environment; (iii) SI

agency for managing the SDP

Establishing a Supplier Development program for developing SI in priority

sectors

Pillar 2: Connecting MNEs & local firms

Pillar 3: Setting up a SDP to support domestic

firms with : (i) consulting/advisory

services; and (ii) upgrading equipment.

Addressing investment climate constraints to strengthen innovation

Pillar 4: Facilitate and promote demand-driven

skills training, managerial services,

quality/standards as well as improvements in R&D eco-system through: (i)

use of behavioural incentives; (ii) promoting alternative training and consulting modalities, development of R& D

clusters through public-private partnerships with

universities.

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Discussion / Q&A

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Questions for Discussion

51

• In what ways are value chains relevant for your country?

• Do you see opportunities for supporting inclusivity through value chain

participation or upgrading?

• What are the challenges?

• Is the World Bank actively engaged with the Government to address

these constraints?

• What additional information can we provide to support dialogue between

the World Bank and the Government on inclusive value chains?