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Research Collection Doctoral Thesis In Silico Investigation of Bone Adaptation in Health and Disease Author(s): Levchuk, Alina Publication Date: 2015 Permanent Link: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-010530732 Rights / License: In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted This page was generated automatically upon download from the ETH Zurich Research Collection . For more information please consult the Terms of use . ETH Library

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Research Collection

Doctoral Thesis

In Silico Investigation of Bone Adaptation in Health and Disease

Author(s): Levchuk, Alina

Publication Date: 2015

Permanent Link: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-010530732

Rights / License: In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted

This page was generated automatically upon download from the ETH Zurich Research Collection. For moreinformation please consult the Terms of use.

ETH Library

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Diss. ETH No. 22769

In silico investigation of bone adaptation in health and

disease

A thesis submitted to attain the degree of

DOCTOR OF SCIENCES of ETH ZURICH

(Dr. sc. ETH Zurich)

presented by

Alina Levchuk

Master of Science in Biomedical Engineering, ETH Zürich

Bachelor of Science in Biomedical Engineering, The City College of New York

born on 28th

May, 1986

citizen of the United States of America

accepted on the recommendation of

Prof. Dr. Ralph Müller, examiner

Dr. Bert van Rietbergen, co-examiner

2015

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Table of contents

Acknowledgements .................................................................................................. v

Summary ................................................................................................................. vii

Résumé ..................................................................................................................... x

1. Introduction ....................................................................................................... 3

1.1 Motivation ................................................................................................... 3

1.2 Sepecific objectives ..................................................................................... 5

1.3 Thesis outline .............................................................................................. 6

2. Background...................................................................................................... 11

2.1 Bone biology in reference to computational modeling ............................. 13

2.2 Animal models in bone research ............................................................... 16

2.3 In vivo validation of predictive models for bone remodeling and

mechanobiology .............................................................................................. 23

3. Simulations of bone remodeling in human femur and vertebra in

health and disease: open-loop phenomonological approach .......................... 43

4. Large-scale simulations of bone remodeling in a mouse model:

closed-loop, mechanical feedback algorithm validation ................................. 61

4.1 Correlative closed-loop model for bone remodeling simulation .............. 63

4.2 Algorithm validation using mouse model for bone loss and

associated treatments ....................................................................................... 67

5. Predictive simulations of bone remodeling in a mouse model: closed-

loop, mechanical feedback model update and validation ............................... 95

6. Synthesis ........................................................................................................ 139

Curriculum Vitae .................................................................................................. 155

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iii

Acknowledgements

I would like to dedicate the work presented in this thesis to my grandparents,

Anna and Ivan Belis and Helena and Yakiv Levchuk, whose wisdom, resilience,

and endless kindness are a guiding light and a daily inspiration in my life.

I am thankful to Ralph Müller, my advisor of seven years, for giving me a

chance to experience work at the Institute in so many different functions: first as a

Whitaker fellow, then as a Master’s student, and finally as a PhD student. I would

like to thank for his continued trust, support, encouragement, and for sharing his

knowledge and enthusiasm for research.

I am much indebted to Bert van Rietbergen for co-supervising my work. I have

a deep appreciation of his expertise and frankness, and am certain that I would

have not been able to grasp the different perspectives of our work without his

feedback.

I would like to express my gratitude to Matias Meier and Christian Hoffmann,

for sharing their passion for research, curiosity, and dedication, and for inspiring

me to take on this challenging path.

Friederike Schulte, Floor Lambers, Claudia Weigt, Alex Zwahlen, and Gisela

Kuhn all deserve a special thank you for allowing me to use their data and for

passing on their vast know-how. This work would not have been possible without

their contributions.

I am thankful to Remo Sommer, Harsha Vardhan, and Elisa Fattorini, whom I

have supervised in their graduate and undergraduate projects, for their diligence

over many months of work, and for the commendable results all of them have

achieved.

The knowledge and resources shared or generously provided by our

collaborators at the VPHOP project, the CSCS community, and former B Cube,

most certainly deserve a separate thank you.

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I would like to thank all members of the Institute for Biomechanics for shaping

these years into a memorable and productive experience. Every day was a new

adventure and a possibility to expand my horizons.

I am endlessly appreciative of all of my wonderful friends around the world for

always being there for me regardless of distances and time differences, and for

accompanying me through all the challenges and joys of those years.

I thank my brilliant sister for challenging and inspiring me to always do my

best. Finally, no words can express the depth of gratitude I feel towards my

parents for their boundless altruism, understanding, and encouragement.

Zurich, April 2015

Alina Levchuk

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v

Summary

The interplay between trabecular bone structure and function has been

investigated for more than one hundred years. The ability of this tissue to adapt to

the external mechanical environments has become the focus of many

investigations ranging from molecular signaling to whole bone mechanics. While,

many details of healthy and unbalanced bone remodeling processes are still to be

elucidated, medical and societal benefits such knowledge would bring about are

invaluable. Osteoporotic changes in bone threaten the lives and the well-being of

millions of patients annually, and this number is bound to further increase as the

world population ages. Clinical prediction and prevention of the consequences of

the bone loss associated with osteoporosis could help doctors save millions of

lives and decrease growing social and economic burdens. While accepted clinical

tools make it difficult to innovate current state of the art practices in bone disease

diagnosis, computational tools can provide the so far unavailable support in

patient-specific risk assessment.

Therefore, the main objectives of this thesis were to contribute to the

current understanding of bone remodeling processes and to develop in silico tools

capable of simulating bone changes in health and disease.

Within the first aim of the thesis phenomenological simulations of bone

remodeling in three dimensional human vertebrae and femora were performed.

Age-related bone loss and bone gain associated with preventive and curative

treatments with clinically available therapies were captured in the in silico

simulations. Furthermore, a reference database supporting clinical assessment of

bone quality was generated. While the objectives of this study were met, the

inherent lack of mechanical feedback in the algorithm allowed us to establish a

preference for a model that incorporated this mechanism, and thus led to the next

aim of the thesis.

Therefore, the second aim comprised large-scale in vivo validation of the

strain-adaptive algorithm for simulation of bone remodeling using an in vivo study

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vi

of 181 animals. Scenarios of early and late bone loss, as well as treatment with

mechanical and pharmaceutical interventions were simulated. The outcomes of

this study established capabilities of the model to reflect in vivo changes in bone

quality and architecture. For example, average errors in bone volume fraction

across all investigated groups after correlative simulation of a 4 week in vivo

study remained under 5%. On the other hand, dynamic morphometric parameters

were more difficult to capture in the simulations. Further analysis of these results

provided a clear direction for the third objective.

Within the final aim of the thesis, iterative strain-adaptive algorithm was

expanded to incorporate current knowledge of dissimilarity between bone

formation and resorption processes. The following in vivo derivation of the model

settings from the experimental data allowed simplified control of the algorithm.

The development also comprised the first attempt to control a computational

algorithm with model parameters directly derived from in vivo measurements. An

update from step-wise linear to logarithmic functions to describe the relationships

between bone remodeling and mechanical signal was performed as the next step

in the study. This process facilitated not only improvement in the simulation

outcomes, but also revealed valuable insight into computational bone mechanics.

Finally, a novel statistical model for the prediction of individual remodeling

processes was developed. The full scope of the predictive capacity of the in silico

framework was then validated using an independent in vivo dataset. The outcomes

of the study were encouraging in their accuracy in prediction of bone remodeling.

For example, after 8 weeks of predictive simulations errors in bone volume

fraction for healthy, osteopenic, and mechanically treated groups remained under

3%, a result which has not been achieved previously even with the correlative

approach.

In summary, the results of the work associated with this thesis lead to

better understanding of bone remodeling in healthy and diseased bone, and

provided novel tools for the in silico simulations of changes in bone in human and

animal models.

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Résumé

La relation entre la structure de l’os trabéculaire et sa fonction est étudiée depuis

plusieurs siècles. La capacité de ce tissu à s’adapter aux contraintes mécaniques

extérieures a fait l’objet de nombreuses recherches allant de l’étude de la

signalisation moléculaire à l’étude mécanique de l’os dans son ensemble.

Cependant, une connaissance plus précise des processus de remodelage osseux

dans les cas sains et pathologiques est susceptible d’apporter des bénéfices

médicaux et sociaux considérables. Les conséquences de l’ostéoporose sur la

structure osseuse menacent en effet chaque année la vie et le bien-être de millions

de patients, et ces chiffres sont appelés à croître avec l’allongement de la durée de

vie de la population mondiale. Prédire et prévenir la perte de masse osseuse

associée à l’ostéoporose pourrait permettre de sauver des millions de vies et de

diminuer ce fardeau social et économique toujours plus grand. Bien que les outils

cliniques existants et largement acceptés rendent difficile l’innovation en matière

de diagnostic osseux, de nouveaux outils numériques sont en mesure de fournir

pour la première fois une prédiction de risque personnalisée.

Par conséquent, les objectifs de cette thèse sont de contribuer à la

compréhension des processus de remodelage osseux et de développer des outils

numériques (in silico) capables de prédire l’évolution de la masse et de

l’architecture osseuses dans les cas sains et pathologiques.

Dans le cadre du premier objectif de cette thèse, des simulations

tridimensionnelles phénoménologiques du remodelage osseux de vertèbres et de

fémurs humains sont développées. Les résultats de ces simulations in silico

mettent en évidence la perte de masse osseuse liée à l’âge ainsi que son

augmentation suite à des traitements préventifs ou curatifs. De plus, ils ont permis

la génération d’une base de données de référence destinée à l’évaluation clinique

de la qualité osseuse. Bien que les objectifs de cette étude soient atteints, la

nécessité de l’ajout d’un rétrocontrôle mécanique est constatée. Ceci amène le

deuxième objectif de cette thèse.

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viii

Ce second objectif consiste en une validation in vivo et à grande échelle de

l’algorithme simulant le remodelage osseux à partir d’une étude in vivo sur 181

animaux. Des scénarios avec perte de masse osseuse précoce ou tardive, avec

traitements médicamenteux ou stimulations mécaniques, sont simulés. Les

résultats de cette étude confirment la capacité du modèle à refléter l’évolution in

vivo de la qualité et de l’architecture osseuse. Par exemple, l’erreur moyenne sur

la fraction volumique osseuse sur l’ensemble des groupes soumis à une simulation

corrélative in vivo de 4 semaines demeure inférieure à 5%. Cependant, les

paramètres morphométriques dynamiques s’avèrent plus difficiles à prédire. Le

troisième objectif de ce travail a été établi à partir d’une analyse approfondie de

ces résultats.

Dans le cadre du troisième objectif de cette thèse, l’algorithme itératif avec

déformations rétrocontrôlées est modifié afin d’incorporer les connaissances

actuelles sur les dissimilarités entre les processus de formation et de résorption de

la masse osseuse. L’obtention des paramètres du modèle à partir des données

expérimentales permet alors une simplification du contrôle de l’algorithme. Dans

un premier temps, un algorithme numérique contrôlé directement par les

paramètres mesurés expérimentalement est développé. Dans un second temps, une

relation logarithmique reliant remodelage osseux et stimuli mécaniques est

implémentée en remplacement de la relation linéaire par morceaux initialement

retenue. Cette modification améliore les résultats de la simulation et permet une

compréhension plus poussée de la mécanique osseuse numérique. Enfin, un

modèle statistique préliminaire est développé pour permettre une prédiction

personnalisée du remodelage osseux. La capacité prédictive de ce procédé in

silico est alors évaluée dans sa totalité à l’aide de résultats in vivo indépendants.

Les résultats obtenus par cette étude présentent une précision encourageante dans

la prédiction du remodelage osseux. Par exemple, les prédictions sur 8 semaines

présentent une erreur inférieure à 3% pour les groupes sains, pour ceux présentant

une ostéopénie, ainsi que pour ceux soumis à une stimulation mécanique. Un tel

résultat qui n’avait jusqu’à présent jamais pu être obtenu ni avec une approche

corrélative, ni aucune autre méthode.

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En résumé, ce travail apporte d’une part une meilleure compréhension du

remodelage osseux, dans les cas sains comme dans les cas pathologiques, et

d’autre part de nouveaux outils pour la prédiction in silico du remodelage osseux

humain et animal.

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Chapter 1

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3

Introduction

1.1 Motivation

Healthy bone is a dynamic tissue prone to constant adaptive processes in response

to mechanical and systemic changes an organism undergoes [1]. Age-related

metabolic alterations and reduced physical activity, such as prolonged bed rest,

often lead to degenerative conditions of bone tissue, most prevalent of which is

osteopenia, followed by osteoporosis [2]. While loss of bone in itself is not a life-

threatening process, it often results in elevated risks of developing bone fractures

[3-5]. While current medical technology provides effective treatment options [6,

7]; sustaining a fracture inevitably leads to decreased mobility, compromised

quality of life, and financial expenditures [8-10]. Furthermore, such fracture-

related complications and their consequences can lead to fatal outcomes. For

example, the number of deaths reportedly related to fractures in the European

Union in 2010 alone was estimated to be 43,000 [10]. Once an individual suffers

the first bone fracture, the risk of the follow up event increases by 86% [11].

Global statistics are also striking, with 8.9 million fractures reported annually

[12].

The most rational approach to alleviate health and economic consequences of

bone fractures appears to be prevention of the initial fracture, which is only

possible if the event can be foreseen. Fracture prediction is not currently available

in clinics, in fact many patients are not appropriately diagnosed or treated for

osteoporosis until it is too late to prevent its adverse effects [13, 14].

Incorporation of in silico models with the current diagnostic methods of

quantifying bone quality could make patient-specific predictions of bone

degeneration possible. Such computational approaches can be further utilized for

the selection of appropriate treatment options based on their mechanisms of

action.

Prior to integrating in silico algorithms in clinical diagnostics and treatment

planning, the principles of bone remodeling have to be deciphered, translated into

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mathematical format, and carefully validated against controlled experimental data

[15, 16]. For this purpose, in vivo experiments to investigate the exact

mechanisms of disease progression and drug action and interaction are often

carried out in phenotypically controlled animals [17-19]. The outcomes of such

studies not only enable better understanding of biological processes, but can be

used to improve and validate computational algorithms [15].

A comprehensive review of existing in silico models for the simulation of bone

remodeling has been compiled by Gerhard et al [20]. The main limitation for

many algorithms remains the scale of the whole bone simulations, which often

exceeds available computational resources. This in turn calls for geometrical

simplifications and/or volume sub-selection, reducing both biological relevance of

the developed tools and their applicability in clinics. In addition, lack of

appropriate validation techniques leaves the legitimacy and accuracy of many of

the algorithms unverified, further limiting their value [16].

Two of the in-house developed algorithms have been designed to process large

data sets of three dimensional (3D) whole bone volumes [21, 22]. At the same

time extensive experimental studies of bone adaptation in a mouse model, carried

out as part of two pervious theses [23, 24], provide the necessary in vivo

foundation for further development of these in silico algorithms.

The simulated bone atrophy (SIBA) algorithm was initially developed for the

prediction of trabecular bone remodeling due to age-related bone loss, and was

based on the phenomenological open-loop approach [22]. It was also successfully

validated using a model for anabolic changes in mouse bones [25]. The next

application that could show clinical relevance of this computational model would

be evaluation of its capacities to simulate the effects of osteoporosis in

combination with anabolic and antiresorptive treatments for whole human bone.

The second algorithm was implemented in a closed-loop mechanical feedback

manner [21] and was based on the well-established Mechanostat Theory of bone

regulation [26]. Briefly, the model allows iterative simulation of bone adaptation

as a function of the local mechanical signals, and was designed using

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experimental mouse data. However, in vivo validation of the algorithm function

was missing. In addition, the control parameters required iterative selection due to

the lack of biological linkage. These two short-comings, therefore, comprised the

next objective in the algorithm development process.

With the available computational tools, and supporting data from experimental

animal studies, the overall goal of this thesis was to combine the available

resources in the in silico investigation of bone adaptation in health and disease.

1.2 Specific Objectives

The main purpose of this thesis was to develop a framework facilitating the

prediction of bone adaptation for clinically relevant scenarios, while also

elucidating new mechanisms for simulating bone remodeling processes in silico.

In short, the phenomenological algorithm was used for predictive

simulations of bone remodeling in whole human vertebrae and femora in an effort

to test its clinical applicability. In addition, to address the lack of biological

feedback, a model allowing for incorporation of mechanical signaling in an

iterative loop was further developed. This computational algorithm was first

subjected to an exhaustive in vivo validation using a mouse model for bone

adaptation, followed by analysis of the underlying biological processes, with the

consequent integration of the insights from the in vivo measurements into models

control parameters. Finally, the new implementation of the algorithm was

validated in its predictive capacity with an independent animal study.

Following, are the aims of the dissertation:

Aim 1: Simulations of bone remodeling in human femur and vertebra in health

and disease using simulated bone atrophy (SIBA) algorithm

Aim 2: Large-scale validation of a closed-loop mechanical feedback algorithm

against experimental animal data

Aim 3: Hypothesis-driven investigation of bone remodeling in a mouse model:

algorithm development and validation

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1.3 Thesis Outline

Chapter 2 provides the background information for the thesis. First, features of

bone structure and function relevant to in silico model development and

implementation are discussed. Second, the limited extent of human studies, and

corresponding ubiquity of animal models in the investigation of bone diseases is

covered. Finally, a review of the current in silico models in bone biomechanics

and the gold-standard for their validation are presented.

Chapter 3 describes implementation of the previously developed SIBA algorithm

for the simulation of bone adaptation in human femora and vertebra. This chapter

provides evidence of the clinical relevance of the approach, and gives an overview

of the methodology. In short, high resolution (82 µm for the femora and 37 µm for

the vertebrae) 3D scans of whole organ sample were used for the prediction of the

effects of menopause and consequent development of osteoporosis in bone

architecture. In addition, preventive and curative treatments with anabolic and

anti-catabolic treatments have been included. Finally, study outcomes, as well as

data analysis and significance to the scientific community are presented.

Chapter 4 introduces in-house developed mechanical feedback model and

presents validation of the algorithm using an in vivo mouse study. The results

cover large-scale simulations of experimental studies of bone loss accompanied

by mechanical loading, anabolic (PTH: parathyroid hormone) and anti-catabolic

(BIS: bisphosphonate) treatments. Quantitative and qualitative analyses are

discussed with respect to the accuracy of the computational model.

Chapter 5 comprises a hypothesis-driven examination of biological relevance of

the algorithm, as well as its long-term validation. First, the algorithm is expanded

to decouple the control mechanisms of bone formation and resorption processes.

Second, incorporation of the in vivo derived parameters into the control settings of

the model is presented, followed by the update of the algorithm format from linear

into natural logarithm function to further strengthen its links to the experimental

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observations. Fourth, a statistical model for the prediction of algorithm settings on

the animal-specific basis is outlined. Finally, model validation though group and

animal-specific predictions of bone remodeling in an independent animal study

are presented.

Chapter 6 synthesizes the results of the thesis. Major outcomes, their value to the

scientific community and society, as well as limitations, and trajectories for future

research are outlined.

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26. Frost, H.M., Bone's mechanostat: a 2003 update. Anat Rec A Discov Mol

Cell Evol Biol, 2003. 275(2): p. 1081-101.

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Chapter 2

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Background

2.1 Bone biology in reference to computational

modeling

In silico modeling is often referred to as a “third pillar of science”, and is

positioned right after deductive investigation and empirical approaches. More

and more it is becoming the method of choice, particularly in studies where

theoretical and inductive investigations are too costly, too complex and time

consuming, or where the understanding of the underlying processes is too poor.

Multidisciplinary computational approaches bridge natural sciences and

applied mathematics with the technological tools that not only allow

researchers to overcome these drawbacks, but also facilitate discovery of the

new insights in the biological realm.

The human body is a complex physical system, in which the skeleton is

responsible for locomotive and postural functions, as well as for mineral

homeostasis, and hematopoiesis . On the organ level bones are composed of

dense cortical and porous trabecular compartments. These two types of tissue

are specific to their physiological location and function (Figure 2.1). Thus, it is

believed that cortical bone, which comprises the outer surfaces of short bones,

and the diaphysis of long bones, is mainly employed in protective and

supportive role [1, 2]. Trabecular, or cancellous, bone, on the other hand, is

located internally in the vertebrae, ribs, iliac crest, and metaphysis of the long

bones. The most marked attribute of this tissue type is its elaborate architecture

based on the rod- and plate-like trabecular arrangement (Figure 2.1), which is

responsible for the light weight of the material, and its surprisingly high stress-

bearing capabilities. Thus, material and structural properties of trabecular bone

have received continuous attention in research, and can be characterized using

a standardized metric system, which includes trabecular number (Tb.N),

trabecular thickness (Tb.Th), trabecular separation (Tb.Sp), specific bone

surface (BS/BV), and bone volume fraction (BV/TV) [3]. In the clinical

setting, bone quality is often evaluated in terms of bone mineral density

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(BMD), which allows physicians to recognize health conditions in which the

ratio of plate-like to rod-like structures is unbalanced, thus disrupting the

ability of bone to withstand stress.

One of the most prevalent bone diseases, characterized by decreased bone

mass and corresponding increased risk of developing bone fractures, is

osteoporosis. The World Health Organization reported that in 2004 more 75

million people in the United States, Europe, and Japan were affected by

osteoporosis [4]. While not life-threatening in itself, the disease resulted in

almost 9 million annual bone fractures, with many leading to recurring

accidents and complications that have often left patients bed-ridden. Aside

from personal impairments, economic burdens must be taken into account. It

has been reported that in the EU alone in 2010 the cost of osteoporosis

treatment including pharmaceutical interventions was €37 billion [5]. While the

human and financial tolls of the disease are growing along with the global

population aging, the most effective measure of dealing with osteoporosis is

prevention of the disease.

Figure 2.1: (Left) Cortical and trabecular bone in a human vertebra (T12).

(Right) Sub-volume of human trabecular bone showing heterogeneous plate-

like and rod-like structure.

5 mm

7.5 mm

Cortical bone

Trabecular bone

Rod-like trabecula

Plate-like trabecula

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General clinical practice in bone loss prevention involves administration of

bisphosphonates [6-8]. These are therapeutic compounds with anti-catabolic

qualities, which cause a reduction in bone resorption while keeping bone

formation constant [9, 10]. However, such a combination of decreased

resorption and stable formation has been shown to have detrimental effects on

bone quality due to reduced bone turnover and corresponding increases in

mineral content tissue brittleness [11, 12]. Therefore, a tailored approach to

identify patients, for whom the benefits of such pharmaceutical interventions

would outweigh the side effects, could potentially prevent fragility-induced

bone fractures and lead to better selection of bone-loss therapies. While such

capabilities are unavailable in current clinical practice, advances in in silico

modeling can provide a solution for patient-specific prognosis and treatment

selection.

Aside from endocrine pathways, dynamic bone remodeling is often

discussed in the context of mechanical stresses, which are believed to be the

driving mechanism in homeostatic and imbalanced formation and resorption

processes. Osteocytes, simplistically referred to as “bone cells”, are widely

believed to be a key player in mechanosensation in bone tissue. Despite

dedicated efforts to unravel their true function and exact mechanisms of actions

in experimental and computational studies [13-16], the complete

comprehension of the cellular involvement in bone remodeling processes has

not been achieved yet. Nevertheless, the established bone remodeling

phenomena at the tissue level state that bone will be removed if mechanical

stimulus is absent or insufficient, for example in the event of extended bed rest

[17] or in the microgravity environment [14]; and correspondingly, that bone

will be added if the mechanical stimuli are increased on a permanent or long-

term basis, as has been observed in competitive athletes [18] or in animal

models of mechanical loading [19, 20]. While these observations have formed

the basic premise of the mathematical and computational models of bone

remodeling, the precise relationship between mechanical loading and the

corresponding amount of bone remodeling remains unknown. Mechanostat

Theory [21], which suggests ranges of mechanical strain capable of inducing

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local formation, resorption, or quiescence in bone, is often integrated into in

silico models of bone remodeling [22, 23]. However, the biological relevance

of these models, as well as confidence in the chosen implementations, remains

an active area of research.

In addition, before such models can be used in clinics, they should be

validated with the corresponding in vivo data in line with the current gold

standards [24]. While long-term monitoring and non-destructive tracking of

bone changes in human patients is difficult and costly, animal models can

provide valuable supporting in vivo data for model development and validation.

2.2 Animal models in bone research

A major requirement for animal models in pre-clinical research is the ability to

mirror corresponding biological processes in humans. For the purposes of bone

remodeling investigations at the tissue and molecular level, it is also preferred

to have genetically controlled animals, as this allows researchers to control for

all environmental factors, isolating only the effects that are being investigated.

In terms of bone adaptation studies, mouse models have been established for

both genetic and physiological investigations, with dense genetic maps of the

whole genome [25, 26] and models for osteopenia [27, 28], mechanical loading

[29-31], and drug development [32] readily available.

In addition to the convenience of genomic modification, mouse models offer

very short generation time, with animals taking only 10 weeks to go from birth

to reproductive maturity [33], in turn reducing maintenance costs. Laboratory

mice can also give birth to up to 12 pups in a single litter with an average of 3-

4 litters per mouse [34], further reducing breeding and purchasing expenses.

Finally, mice are social animals that can be housed together and are easy to

handle, reducing both space requirements and breeding costs. One of the

limitations of the mouse model for osteoporosis is that with removal of the

ovaries (OVX), the resulting estrogen depletion results in weight gain in some

animals, which in turn leads to increased mechanical loading, and a

corresponding increase in bone mass. As this does not entirely correspond to

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the progression of human osteoporosis, the bone changes in mouse models are

usually classified as osteopenia rather than osteoporosis as is the case in

humans [35]. In addition, younger animals have different bone growth and

remodeling patterns compared to humans; this discrepancy is diminished with

age, and the inability of mice to maintain bone mass in the OVX model is

similar to the menopause effects observed in humans [36]. Finally, as tissue

changes and loading scenarios are markedly different in mice and humans,

direct comparisons of mechanical properties between the two models are

limited. Nevertheless, mouse models remain the most frequently used animal

system in osteoporosis investigations [37], and can provide fast and reliable

comparative outcomes provided the limitations are taken into account.

In computational applications, mouse models provide invaluable benefits by

reducing size, complexity, and computational times of the calculations. In fact,

similar to clinical trials, the performance of the in silico model is easier to

access and validate using more readily available animal in vivo data. For

example, an average mouse caudal vertebra (CV6) scanned at 10.5 µm

isotropic resolution, would require approximately 1.8 million elements for

conversion into 8 node hexahedral elements. A corresponding meshing

procedure of a human lumbar vertebra (L2) scanned at 41µm resolution would

require 360 million elements. In terms of computational time, a mouse model

can be solved with ParFE [38] with 128 CPU’s in less than 60 seconds, while

a human model requires 960 CPU’s and about 2400 seconds of solving time

with the same solver.

The benefits of using mouse models in computational studies of bone

remodeling are numerous. A recent validation of the in vivo mouse model for

osteopenia [28] and an earlier established model for mechanical loading [39]

provide further justification for using mouse models in computational

investigations. Animal models can also provide support not only in the

algorithm development process, but, perhaps even more importantly, in

supplying data for the direct in vivo validation of the model assumptions and in

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silico outcomes. The next section of this chapter discusses gold standard and

common practices in model validation in the computational bone

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2.3 In vivo validation of predictive models for bone

remodeling and mechanobiology

Alina Levchuk and Ralph Müller

Published as: A. Levchuk and R. Müller. In vivo validation of predictive models

for bone remodeling and mechanobiology. In G. Holzapfel and E. Kuhl, editors,

Computer Models in Biomechanics, Springer Science+Business Media,

Dordrecht, Part 5, Chapter 27, pp. 383-394, 2013..

Reprinted with permission, and in compliance with the publisher copyright policy

Abstract

In silico modeling is a powerful tool for the prediction of bone remodeling and

mechanobiology. As the method is gaining popularity a standardized measure for

the in vivo validation of the quality of the produced simulations is required. In this

review, we discuss current validity assessment approaches, as well as the

validation “gold standard”, in which the experimental and computational parts are

carried out concomitantly, and by the same research team. A novel validation

framework for the tissue level model, based on the true geometry is introduced.

Introduction

Our understanding of bone remodeling and its governing mechanisms has come a

long way since the first attempts to explain these complex processes [1, 2]. In fact,

it is now often left to the biologists to characterize the elaborate signaling

processes in bone, while a new branch of computational biomechanics has

emerged, with the focus on creating realistic models of these biological events. In

silico modeling, supported by experimental investigations, is a powerful tool that

allows translation of biological phenomena into mathematical laws, thus

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facilitating detailed analyses of distinct biological processes. The true value of in

silico modeling is, however, in its predictive power, which, if close enough to the

in vivo events can not only save large efforts in the experimental domain both

resource and time wise, but also introduce treatment prediction options in clinics,

thus improving therapeutic outcomes.

The transition from theoretical modeling to in silico simulations required a

major improvement in the available computational capabilities. The advent of the

finite element (FE) analysis in the second part of the 20th century has become

such a breakthrough for the field of biomechanics. The first published

investigation, which incorporated the technique, was performed by Brekelmans et

al. [3]. The popularity of the application grew exponentially ever since, many of

the prominent publications of the first decade of its existence being reviewed in

Huiskes and Chao (1983).

Micro-computed tomography (micro-CT), introduced several years later [4],

allowed not only three-dimensional (3D) visualization of bone architecture, but

also a more reliable image-based validation method for the computational models.

However, the first validation of an in silico model against the corresponding

biological data was reported only in 1997, in a study that compared FE models of

trabecular bone with contact radiographs both quantitatively and qualitatively [5].

In the meantime, both computational and visualization advances have provided

a framework for accurate simulations of bone remodeling and mechanobiology

throughout the hierarchical levels of its complexity, while algorithm validation

with experimental data collected within the same study was deemed “gold

standard” for model confirmation [6]. This review focuses on different approaches

of in vivo validation across multiscale modeling of bone remodeling and

mechanobiology from cell to tissue and on to the organ level.

Cell Level

Bone is a tissue subject to frequent remodeling due to various mechanically

triggered remodeling processes as well as micro- and macro-fractures. The study

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of bone mechanobiology, thus, remains relevant throughout the lifetime of the

organism. However, understanding and prediction of the cell mechanics is

particularly significant for the multiscale applications, such as implant selection

and fixation, and fracture healing [7]. Nevertheless, even with the focus of

research narrowed down to the single cell level, in silico studies range from the

simulations of cellular interactions, to signaling pathway modeling, and all the

way to the intracellular predictions of cytoskeletal reorganization.

The first validated model in mechanobiology described osteocyte excitation by

mechanical stresses in mathematical terms [8]. The model was based on the

experimental observations, and attempted to quantify mechanical stimuli sensed

by osteocytes within the bone tissue. For validation purposes, the calculations

were compared to experimentally measured results, reported by a collaborating

group [9].

Incorporation of the FE analysis into the mechanobiological models was

initially an attempt to provide analytical perspectives on observed in vivo events;

this trend later developed quantification and even prediction of the mechanical

changes on the local level. Nevertheless, comparison with literature remained a

preferred method of validation in the field [10-12].

In an effort to create more realistic and sophisticated in silico models

researchers started incorporating true geometries obtained by various imaging

methods [13, 14]. The study by Anderson and collaborators, for example, was

based on high-resolution transmitted electron micrographs to analyze stresses

imposed on osteocytes by fluid drag, while McGarry and colleagues incorporated

previously reported images of cell spreading [15] to assess the effect of fluid shear

stress and strain on the mechanical response of bone cells using FE analysis.

Nevertheless, while computational and experimental components of the

investigations are rarely carried out within a single integrative study addressing

the same research question using both in silico and in vivo modalities

concomitantly, the possibility of direct validation remains slim.

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A computational model for signaling pathways and interactions between

osteoblast and osteoclasts has attempted to predict the effects of catabolic

treatment with parathyroid hormone (PTH), as well as to simulate the interaction

between receptor activator of nuclear factor-κβ, its ligand, and osteoprotegerin

(RANK – RANKL – OPG pathway), which is essential for osteoclast formation

[16]. This complex in silico framework has reportedly been able to correctly

predict cellular interaction, and the effects of the common metabolic diseases,

such as estrogen deficiency, calcitriol deficiency, senescence and glucocorticoid

excess. The results of the simulation find convincing evidence in the extensive

comparison with literature; however no other direct validation has been

undertaken. Other theoretical models with the focus on the prediction of

molecular signaling pathways and mechanobiology have also been presented [17-

19]; unfortunately, despite the fact that all of them strive to predict bone

adaptation on the micro scale, none of them have been verified against

corresponding in vivo data, and thus are lacking confirmation of the level of

fidelity.

The need for validation has also been emphasized for in silico models of

cellular chemotaxis and cytoskeletal reorganization [20, 21]. Both investigations

compare results of the computational simulations with the in vitro experiments. In

both reports sample geometries and boundary conditions for the models were

derived directly from the experimental data. For example, the study by Landsberg

and colleagues used a tetrahedral mesh for micro -CT reconstruction, as a starting

point for the chemotaxis simulation, while Loosli and colleagues reconstructed the

shapes of the adhesive islands from the in vitro study to computationally predict

the adhesion sites of the cells (Figure 2.2). Such complementary experimental and

in silico studies tend to enable better understanding of the model limitations. For

example, Landsberg and colleagues refer to a similar ongoing experimental study,

utilizing signaling molecules, for further model validation. Loosli and colleagues,

on the other hand, mention the algorithm’s failure to predict adhesion formation at

curved geometries, due to a missing model parameter, as one of the limitations,

requiring further improvements.

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Figure 2.2 Experimental (top row) and in silico (bottom row) results of controlled

spreading on T- and V-shaped adhesive islands. Adapted with permission from

[21].

The overall lack of adequate validation for the predictive value of microscale

models in bone mechanobiology has also been noted by other authors [22-24]. A

particular concern of validating models with in vivo data provided by

collaborating investigators is that important details of experimental setup, and

measurements relevant for the confirmation of the computational results, might be

omitted. This is often the case for boundary conditions and mechanical properties

of the material, which generally hold true only for the exact conditions of the

testing setup. Consequently, while numerous experimental reports can be found in

literature, extrapolations or estimations of such data for validation purposes could

be misleading and erroneous.

Tissue Level

It has long been shown that trabecular bone is more susceptible to the effects of

osteoporosis than cortical bone [25]. Non-surprisingly, most predictive models for

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bone adaptation on the tissue level focus on this particular component of bone.

While a large number of existing models have already been extensively reviewed

[24, 26], validation of those studies has never been comprehensively discussed.

This section covers bone remodeling algorithms which have been validated in one

way or another. Additionally, a new in vivo validation technique for a recently

developed model of mechanically triggered trabecular remodeling is discussed.

The first algorithm based on true bone geometry comprised a

phenomenological model for bone resorption and was performed on the high

resolution quantitative computed tomography (QCT) images [27]. In the study,

3D FE models were paired with controlled Gaussian filtration to derive two

models of moderate and pronounced bone atrophy. While the resulting apparent

Young’s moduli were the only mode of validation for this early attempt of in

silico simulation of bone adaptation, the reported methods became the foundation

many subsequent models. Thus, a follow-up study introduced further

improvement to the application by using 3D micro CT scans as the input for the

algorithm [28]. The isotropic resolution of the input images increased from 170 to

14 µm. In addition, the original simulated bone atrophy (SIBA) model was

expanded to follow the mechanostat hypothesis [29], allowing controlled

formation and resorption. This, in turn, facilitated simulation of various stages of

bone loss, as well as a more realistic “age-match”. For validation the results were

compared to the experimental measurement of the post-menopausal group both

qualitatively and quantitatively, and proved to be in good agreement. Finally, the

model was applied to the 3D micro CT scans of human iliac crest and lumbar

spine biopsies selected from the pre- and post-menopausal groups, in an attempt

to simulate pre-, peri-, and post-menopausal bone states [30]. In this study strong

emphasis was placed on the validation of the results against biological data. Thus,

visual comparison after the simulation of 43 years confirmed that the model

produced realistic trabecular architecture when compared to the in vivo group,

while quantitative bone morphometry, carried out for both groups produced a

100% match for the bone volume density (BV/TV) parameter, and excellent

agreement for the other parameters.

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Another in silico simulation, based on true bone geometry and verified against

in vivo biological data, employed a voxel-based surface adaptation under uniaxial

compression [31]. In this algorithm, micro-CT measurements of canine cancellous

bone were obtained from the previously published investigation [32], and the

results of the simulation were compared to the corresponding animals at the end

of the in vivo study [33]. The validation was performed based on a comparison of

the calculated morphometric indices for the in silico and in vivo experiments

respectively. The results from the two approaches were in good agreement with

values for bone volume fraction (BV/TV) being 0.230 and 0.222 for the

experimental and simulated samples, respectively.

Several other notable studies, presenting elaborate models with realistic results,

should be mentioned. For example, long-term investigation performed on the 3D

micro-CT scans of human vertebra modeled the period of 50 years [34].

Morphometric indices, calculated for the resulting structures, correlated closely

with the values reported in literature. Unfortunately, no validation against

experimental data has been performed for this study. Another remarkable

algorithm has been presented by Ruimerman et al. [35]. The simulation was

carried out on computer generated cubes of trabecular bone, and investigated the

ability of bone to adapt in response to elevated strains. In addition to

implementing the theory for metabolic expression under load [36], an extensive

examination of osteocytic stimuli, such as maximal principal strain, volumetric

strain, and strain energy density (SED) have been carried out as part of the study

[37]. While the model parameters themselves are largely based on the values

found in literature, the results of the simulations have not received any validity

confirmation past the “circumstantial evidence” validation, a term the authors

used to summarize the similarity of the assumption-based prediction and

biological reality.

A different algorithm for stochastic simulation of bone adaptation via the

exchange of discrete bone packets and an accompanying novel approach for

validation has recently been introduced [38]. The study was subdivided into the

investigation of the most effective signal integration for this in silico model, as

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30

well as validation of the results with quantitative backscattered electron imaging

(qBEI) data. The model assumed that resorption takes place randomly on the bone

surface, while deposition is mechanically controlled. The investigation of

collective (summed), individual (maximal) and total (the sum of the previous two)

signaling modalities indicated that using collective signal from the osteocyte

network will introduce effective surface tension, which the authors argue plays a

key role in bone morphogenesis and cell sorting. Validation of the simulation

results against experimental qBEI data centered on correlating the values of

quantified material heterogeneity. For this purpose, the age of bone packets

(voxels) has been converted to represent corresponding mineral content [39].

When comparing simulated structures to the experimental images, bone

mineralization density distribution (BMDD) exhibited similar trends, where older

bone was enclosed under layers of younger bone. Notably, this validation method

helped identify one of the limitations of the algorithm, as it did not comply with

the proposed theory that older bone is more likely to be remodeled than younger

bone [40], and was capable of remodeling only bone surface voxels.

More recently, Schulte et al. [41] introduced an algorithm to simulate bone

thickening in response to cyclic mechanical loading using an open control loop.

This in silico model is based on the assumption that a single remodeling signal

submitted as an input for the simulation is sufficient to predict the long-term

outcome of the remodeling process. Micro-CT scans of whole murine caudal

vertebrae measured at the beginning of the in vivo study were used as the input for

the simulation and the results computed from the time-lapsed in vivo images were

compared to the simulated time points. This approach allowed not only

comparison of the morphometric indexes and relative geometries in vivo and in

silico, but also quantification and spatial distribution of the errors produced by the

algorithm for each individual animal. The authors report a maximum error of

2.4% for bone volume fraction and 5.4% for other morphometric parameters. In

addition, similarly to the previous study, the appropriate validation method helped

detect one of the less obvious model limitations, namely that in the simulation

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31

remodeling occurred rather homogenously in the surface layers, while a similar

assessment of the in vivo data revealed localized areas of stronger deposition.

Finally, a similar approach has been extended for the validation of a newly

developed algorithm for bone remodeling employing Frost’s mechanostat theory

and using SED values calculated after each remodeling iteration, in a closed

feedback loop [42]. The growth velocity was calculated with a set of iteratively

solved non-linear equations, and the mechanical thresholds for resorption,

formation or homeostasis were selected interactively. The algorithm was applied

for a short-term prediction of the effects of hormone depletion due to

ovariectomy, cyclic loading, and pharmaceutical treatments with anabolic

(parathyroid hormone (PTH)), and anti-resorptive (bisphosphonate (BIS)) agents,

as well as for the control studies for all groups. The model is also capable of long-

term prediction (Figure 2.3). The input micro-CT images of the murine caudal

vertebra were obtained from a concomitant in vivo study. The results of both in

silico and in vivo study have been assessed qualitatively as described elsewhere

[42]. For the quantitative evaluation, both static and dynamic morphometric

parameters were calculated, and comparative physiome maps were constructed for

each parameter showing again strong agreement between experiment and

simulation.

Organ Level

Due to their place in the hierarchy of bone modeling, organ-level simulations

often treat bone as a continuum, disregarding local architecture, and biological

events. Instead, such models focus on global stresses and strains, as well as on the

interaction of bone tissue with other materials. Thus, computational models on the

organ level can be an invaluable tool for the pre-clinical studies of orthopedic

implant performance and whole bone fracture healing. Since such investigations

have the potential to go to clinics, thorough and well planned validation is

mandatory in order to assess practicality and applicability of such in silico efforts.

The questions of importance of validation and its existing modalities have been

comprehensively discussed by Huiskes [43]. In the same study, the author

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32

presented a three-tier approach to validation of the augmented femur model.

According to the model, periprosthetic remodeling runs under the effects of stress

shielding, and can be estimated according to the adaptive bone-remodeling theory.

The levels in the proposed validation included quantitative validity of the results

at large, the validity of the outcome in a specific population, which was verified

again with results from a canine study [44], and the validity of the prediction

relative to a single specimen in the population, assessed with the human post-

mortem retrieval study [45]. Remarkably, the suggested model performed well on

all levels, and was deemed clinically relevant. Another two studies that attempted

to predict pre-operative implant fit and fill [46], as well as to analyze different

mechanical signals [47] for the total hip arthroplasty application have been

validated with a similar approach. The presented algorithms were first validated

against the in vitro CT data for the surface assessment and distance map accuracy

in the first study, and performance of the FE code in the second study. Following

this validation step, both algorithms were tested in vivo on patient specific clinical

data. Eventually, both models were declared clinically applicable, with only the

cortical penetration parameter performing slightly lower than expected in the

sensitivity test of the first investigation. The second study also demonstrated that

SED and deviatoric strains were the best candidates for the in silico mechanical

signal used in the remodeling algorithm.

In addition, as both the need for computational modeling, and validation of

such models is getting increasing recognition among researchers, several groups

have focused on generating and collecting potential validation data [48-50],where

micro CT imaging was performed either pre-operatively, and/or in the follow up

studies, with the hope of making this data useful for future in silico studies,

needing validation.

Another common validation method for the organ level computer models is

comparison with the in vivo performed dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA).

Several studies reported successful use of bone mineral density (BMD)

measurements obtained from the 2D DXA images to validate and improve their

algorithms [51-53]. Thus, Kerner and collegues were able to demonstrate that the

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results of both in silico patient specific model and clinical results agree in that

bone loss corresponds to the inverse of the pre-operative bone mineral content

(BMC). This result suggests that the model can be used to improve current

implant design, by taking into account predicted bone loss. An investigation by

Coelho et al. proposes a hierarchical model on the organ and tissue levels, where

each scale of complexity was represented by density based variables. The model

correlated apparent density distribution with that measured with clinical DXA,

and found good agreements in both quantitative and qualitative results. The latest

of the validated studies [53] was based on the patient-specific model for the

prediction of BMD (Figure 2.4).

Week 22 Week 24 Week 26 Week 28 Week 30

Week 40Week 32 Week 34 Week 36 Week 38

Figure 2.3 Long-term simulation of the catabolic effect of PTH treatment

combined with cyclic mechanical loading in a murine caudal vertebra.

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34

When quantitatively compared to the DXA derived results for the normal,

osteopenic, and osteoporotic bone, the maximum discrepancy between the in

silico and in vivo measurements was only 3.92%. In addition, the authors report,

that comparison with the clinical data has helped them improve the model by

selecting the parameters that lead to the biologically relevant results.

Figure 2.4 Methodology framework for comparative analysis of the in silico and

in vivo studies on the organ level. Reprinted with permission from [53].

Fracture healing is another area of interest that borders on the cellular and

organ levels, in that it focuses on an event associated with the cellular level, such

as sheer forces or angiogenic processes, but the algorithm is still based on a

continuum assumption. One of the first computational models attempting to

simulate tissue differentiation during fracture healing was based on the biphasic

poroelastic FE algorithm that started at granulation and traced the process all the

way to bone resorption [54]. The model was validated against histomorphometric

data from literature, with different fracture gap sizes. The validation confirmed

that the proposed mechanobiological model produced realistic results for different

gap sizes and loading magnitudes on the rate of reduction in interfragmentary

strains. Isaksson and colleagues have performed a comparative review of the

existing approaches, and determined that deviatoric strain is the most significant

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35

parameter for the modeling of tissue differentiation [55]. Unfortunately, since

fracture healing is an inflammatory time-dependent process that is difficult to

monitor, this investigation relied only on previous reports for validation.

Conclusions

While in silico simulations are gaining popularity, and have even been referred to

as the “third method of science”, following logic and experiment [56], adequate

validation is the only way to ascertain the level of fidelity, and thus, the advantage

of such studies. It is generally accepted that the “gold standard” method of

validation is a complementary in vivo investigation, ideally be carried out within

the same research group. Both in silico and in vivo approaches should focus on the

same research questions, and match boundary conditions, time scales, and other

relevant parameters on the sample basis. Additionally, current imaging

capabilities allow the use of the experiment data as direct input for the

computational models, an improvement that should be taken advantage of for all

suitable studies. Finally, it is important that both qualitative and quantitative

modules of validation are comprehensively evaluated for the convincing evidence

of the algorithm’s capability to produce realistic results.

Index

In vivo, in silico, bone, remodeling, mechanobiology, simulation, validation

Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Union for the

Osteoporotic Virtual Physiological Human project (VPHOP FP7-ICT2008-

223865) and computational time from the Swiss National Supercomputing Center

(CSCS, Manno, Switzerland).

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Chapter 3

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45

Simulations of bone remodeling in human femur

and vertebra in health and disease: open-loop phe-

nomenological approach

Levchuk A1, Badilatti SD

1, Webster DJ

1, van Rietbergen, B

2, Hazrati Mangalou, J

2,

Ito, K2, Müller R

1

1Institute for Biomechanics, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

2Department of Biomedical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology,

Eindhoven, The Netherlands

Adapted from : A. Levchuk, S. D. Badilatti, D. J. Webster, B. van Rietbergen, J.

Hazrati Marangalou, K. Ito and R. Müller. In silico medicine approach to predict

changes in human vertebrae due to osteoporosis and treatment. Proc. Gemeinsame

Jahrestagung der Deutschen, österreichischen und Schweizerischen Gesellschaft

für Biomedizinische Technik, Graz, Austria, September 19-21, Biomed. Tech.,

58(S1):4343, 2013.

Reprinted and edited with permission, and in compliance with the publisher copy-

right policy

Abstract

It is generally accepted that trabecular architecture plays a pivotal role in the

mechanical behavior of bone. With age, bone undergoes structural changes

resulting in osteoporosis, which can lead to life-threatening fractures, and

inevitable decrease in the quality of life. As the mathematical representations of

bone remodeling remain poorly understood, the aim of this study was to apply a

previously reported phenomenological in silico model to simulate changes in the

bone architecture due to age in a clinical setting. In addition, the effects of the

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46

current recommended treatments were incorporated into the model. Using high-

resolution three-dimensional µCT scans of whole human vertebrae and femora,

age-related bone loss and recovery simulations have produced realistic models of

structural changes over the period of 30 years. Finally, a database comprising 27

femoral and 20 vertebral samples with the corresponding computational

simulation of osteoporosis, as well preventive and curative anabolic and anti-

catabolic treatments, was compiled for clinical reference.

Keywords

Bone microstructure, simulation, osteoporosis, pharmaceutical treatment, in silico

medicine

Introduction

Mechanical behavior of bone depends on the internal trabecular structure and its

ability to withstand applied loads [1-3]. Resistance to stress often becomes

impaired due to age-related osteopenia. If left untreated, the condition can develop

into osteoporosis and lead to potentially life-threatening bone fractures and

reduced quality of life [4, 5]. Despite the ability of current clinical practice to lead

to accurate diagnosis of reduced bone quality, it remains unable to identify

individuals that are prone to developing fractures. Patient-specific analysis of

bone architecture and long-term prediction of bone adaptation could lead to

improved treatment planning and fracture prevention.

Extensive efforts have been made to provide deeper insight into the biological

phenomena involved in bone remodeling, as well as to translate those processes

into mathematical terms [5, 6]. In silico medicine attempts to apply this

knowledge to artificially reproduce and predict in vivo events in patients using

modelling simulation and visualization techniques of biological and medical

processes. Development and long term use of such an approach could not only

reduce the need for animal studies, but also aid in clinical diagnostics and

treatment planning.

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47

This study was based on the previously established simulated bone atrophy

(SIBA) algorithm [5], which was initially developed for the prediction of

trabecular bone remodeling due to age-related bone loss. The model allows use of

three dimensional (3D) whole bone samples, and is capable of handling large

volume datasets of high-resolution micro-computed tomography (µCT) scans of

human specimens. The phenomenological basis for the parametric selection

within the algorithm carries both limitations and benefits. On one hand, this

allows use of clinical measurements extracted from literature or experimental

studies to be integrated directly into the model. On the other hand, it makes the

model contingent on the availability of the clinical measurements. Nevertheless,

the algorithm was successfully validated against in vivo data through the

simulation of anabolic changes due to mechanical loading in a controlled mouse

population [6]. This in turn led to the first aim of the thesis, namely, a test of

model capacity to produce realistic outcomes of the simulation. Specifically, this

was assessed in bone degeneration, as well as in bone formation in response to

anabolic or anti-resorptive treatments.

In the clinical setting, vertebral fractures are reported to be the most prevalent,

yet the least understood type of fractures [7]. This type of fracture often goes

undiagnosed and is very difficult to predict [8]. Femoral fractures, on the other

hand, are the most relevant with respect to decreased quality of life, functionality,

and mortality [7, 9]. Hip fractures pose the highest risk in the elderly population

due to high rate of falls in this age category. Diagnosis and prognosis of the

fracture risk usually is based on the bone mineral density (BMD) measurements,

which explain a large part of material properties of the tissue [10]. A measure of

degree of anisotropy (DA) however, can help link bone mechanics to trabecular

architecture, thus improving fracture prediction efficacy [10]. However, the

reliance of a clinical prognosis on population-based databases [8] creates the need

for a resource that would establish a connection between clinically linked BMD

and prediction-relevant DA.

With respect to available treatment options, estrogen replacement therapies

remain the most effective preventive therapy for of the decrease in bone mass.

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48

However, this method is only effective for women in the stage of menopause. The

two other widely used clinical therapies that have been shown to counteract the

effects of osteoporosis are bisphosphonate agents (BIS), which reduce the amount

of bone resorption, and parathyroid hormone (PTH), which was shown to improve

bone quality through a number of different mechanisms of action [11, 12].

With this in mind, the aim of this project was to extend the application of the

SIBA algorithm to simulate the progression of osteoporosis, as well as the effects

of the BIS and PTH therapies in preventive and curative scenarios. The modelling

was performed on high-resolution images of whole human vertebrae and femora

from both male and female donors with the algorithm settings based on the reports

of the clinical data. The final output of the study was then arranged in a database

of 1598 bone samples, allowing for the clinical referencing of bone architectures

to the corresponding bone quality.

Methods

Human Samples

The sample pool for femora consisted of 27 human cadaveric specimens obtained

from 15 male and 12 female donors. The mean donor age was 77.4, with the range

of 61–93 years (Figure 3.1). The twelfth thoracic vertebra (T12) sample pool

comprised 20 specimens obtained from a previous investigation (9 male and 11

female donors). The mean age was 76.5, within the range of 64–92 years (Figure

3.2). All donors were of Caucasian origin, with no known bone or metastatic

disorders. All experimental procedures were carried out at the Eindhoven

University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands. The complete

methodologies were previously published within associated studies [13, 14].

High Resolution Imaging

All samples were stored in buffered formalin solution for preservation purposes

prior to imaging. The femoral samples have been scanned with an HR-pQCT

system (XtremeCT, Scanco Medical AG, Brüttisellen, Switzerland) according to

the previously published protocol [14]. In short, a region of approximately 90mm

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49

was visualized from the proximal end of the femora, making sure that the femoral

head was fully included in the field of view. The scans were recorded with the

isotropic voxel size of 82 μm. Images were processed using the standard

procedure, as previously described [14], which consisted of a Laplace–Hamming

filter (epsilon = 0.5, frequency cutoff = 0.4) followed by segmentation with the

default threshold setting of 400 ‰.

The vertebral samples were scanned using a different µCT setup (microCT 80,

Scanco Medical AG, Brüttisellen, Switzerland), according to the previously

described protocol [15]. This system allowed visualization of the vertebral

microstructure with an isotropic resolution of 37 μm. Contrary to the femoral

investigation, higher resolution was shown to be necessary for the analysis of

vertebral trabecular microstructure [16, 17]. As part of image processing protocol,

all scans were treated with Gaussian filtration (sigma=0.6, support=1) followed by

thresholding to reduce the noise.

Computational Algorithm

Simulated bone atrophy (SIBA) algorithm comprised a combination of Gaussian

filtration and thresholding [5], where the settings of the model were linked to the

biological parameters. For example, sigma of the Gaussian filter was linked to the

osteocyte penetration depth, while support, which corresponds to the radius of voxels

affected by the Gaussian kernel, controlled maximum penetration depth. Threshold

values were related to the efficiency of the osteocyte in refilling the resorption

cavities, and iteration length reflected to the activation frequency of the basic

multicellular unit (BMU) formation rate [5, 18]. For the current implementation of the

algorithm we relied entirely on the clinical reports of those biological values in

humans, and attempted to differentiate between femoral and vertebral sites if

corresponding data was available.

Parameter Selection

Within the study, simulations of osteoporosis (30 years), antiresorptive (BIS)

treatment (11 years), and anabolic (PTH) treatment (11 years) have been performed.

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Two treatment scenarios were considered to mimic realistic clinical settings: in the

preventive treatment case, pharmaceutical intervention was started instantaneously

with the onset of menopause; in the late treatment case, simulation of treatment began

after 9 years of bone loss.

Figure 3.1 Donor database for the femoral samples based on the ratio between

the DA and BV/TV. Age and gender of each individual are displayed next to the

corresponding sample.

The first year of pharmaceutical treatment was simulated separately for both

treatment options, due to the initial increase of up to 6%/year in BV/TV shown

clinically. In the following two years the effect was allowed to plateau in accordance

with the clinical reports [19-21]. Despite the fact that treatment with PTH is currently

approved for a maximum of 18 months, simulations were projected to reflect 10 years

of treatment for both BIS and PTH cases to allow comparison of microstructural

changes due to different simulation scenarios. As one of the objectives of the study

was to populate the morphometric database correlating DA and trabecular BV/TV,

biological age and gender of the donors were not considered in the simulations,

allowing the use of the same method for all samples. Table 3.1 lists simulation

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51

assumptions, corresponding sources from literature, and selected parameter settings

for each scenario.

Figure 3.2 Map of the donor distribution for the T12 vertebral samples based on

the ratio between the DA and BV/TV. Age and gender of each individual are

displayed next to the corresponding sample.

Data Analysis

Simulation outcomes were assessed both morphometrically and visually to compared

to the clinically reported outcomes. BV/TV and DA were computed for all samples to

generate a reference database comprising 1598 simulation outcomes.

Results

Following the selection of corresponding algorithm settings for each scenario, the

long-term effect of bone loss and pharmaceutical treatments have been simulated in

20 vertebral and 27 femoral human samples (Figures 3.1 and 3.2). In addition, a

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52

database of resulting outcome was constructed for each anatomical side, comprising a

total of 1598 samples (Figures 3.3 and 3.4).

In our simulations, we observed an average decrease of 37% in the vertebral, and

59% in the femoral BV/TV due to 30 years of osteoporosis-related bone loss. The

first years of treatment, either BIS- of PTH-related, was simulated with identical

settings due to the similarity of the values reported in literature, and resulted in

average increases of 6% in the femora and 5.5% in the vertebra. The variance

between preventive and late treatment scenarios was 2%.

Total increase of 5-9% and 10-12% in bone volume fraction was simulated in

response to BIS treatment in femora and vertebrae, respectively, for the period of

additional 10 years regardless of the start of treatment. In the case of PTH therapy, an

average increase in BV/TV simulated for the femora for 11 years from the start of the

treatment was 0-2%. For the vertebra, an increase of 8-11% was observed over the

total treatment course of the same length. Figure 3.5 shows an example of changes in

femoral BV/TV for a 63 year old female as a result of untreated bone loss and related

preventive and curative treatments. Figure 3.6 depicts a similar example of changed

in vertebral BV/TV for a different 63 year old individual.

Table 3.1 SIBA algorithm parameters used for the simulation of osteoporosis and

associated treatments with BIS or PTH.

Scenario Sigma Support Threshold Iteration

Length

Literature

source

FEM T12 FEM T12 FEM T12

Osteopenia 1.5 1.2 3 2 0.5 0.5 3 [5, 22]

1st year of

treatment 1.5 1.5 3 3 0.4 0.4 1 [19-21]

BIS 0.7 1.5 2 3 0.4 0.4 10 [23]

PTH 0.7 0.7 2 2 0.49 0.4 2.2 [24]

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53

Figure 3.3 Database of all in silico outcomes of the femoral simulations. The

purpose of such a visualization is to facilitate sample referencing comparing

BV/TV and DA measures.

Discussion

The goal of this study was to simulate microstructural changes in bone architecture

due to osteoporosis and related pharmaceutical treatments in whole human bone

samples. SIBA has been successfully employed to model long-term effects of both

osteopenia and bone formation processes in 3D high-resolution images. The

outcomes of the simulations performed in 20 vertebrae and 27 femora have both

realistic trabecular architecture, and morphometric indices comparable to clinical

findings.

For example, Müller [5] reported an average decrease of 38% in vertebral BV/TV

following 30 years of menopause, a results that could be recreated exactly in the

current implementation of the algorithm. Clinical reports of bone changes after the

first year of treatment with either PTH [19, 21] or BIS [20], were in the range of 6%

increase across all studies, and could also be accurately reflected in the simulations of

femora and vertebrae alike.

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Projected in silico result for the BIS treatment matched expected changes in

clinics, as reported by Seeman and Delmas [20], despite the challenge of a single 10

year-long iteration required to match the physiological parameters. Simulated PTH

treatment aligned well with the data reported for the 18 month long administration of

the drug, in which average increases of 2.3% and 6.5% were reported for the femoral

neck and lumbar spine measurements, respectively [21].

Figure 3.4 Database of all in silico outcomes of the T12 vertebral simulations.

The referencing system allows sample tracing based on BV/TV and DA

measurements.

The large scale simulations have also resulted in the creation of a sample database,

capable of tracing of the individual bone architectures based on the measurement of

BV/TV. The purpose of this approach is to include a measure of trabecular DA into

diagnosis and treatment of bone loss in clinics, a measure that would allow physicians

to include structural arrangement in addition to bone density into the diagnostic

process.

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55

Figure 3.5 In silico modelling of microstructural changes in human femur due to

osteoporosis and pharmaceutical treatments. Top left: Initial bone structure prior

to treatment or bone loss (62 y.o.). Top right: Bone structure affected by 30 year

of untreated osteoporosis (92 y.o.). Bottom left: Effect of the preventive treatment

scenario (73 y.o.). Bottom right: Corresponding results for the late treatment

scenario (82 y.o.). Lower section: Simulated changes in bone volume fraction

(BV/TV) due to osteoporosis and pharmaceutical treatments in a 62 year old

female.

Preventive treatment Late treatment

Treatment

Osteoporosis

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Figure 3.6 In silico modelling of microstructural changes in human T12 vertebra

due to osteoporosis and pharmaceutical treatments. Top left: Initial bone

structure prior to treatment or bone loss (62 y.o.). Top right: Bone structure

affected by 30 year of untreated osteoporosis (92 y.o.). Bottom left: Effect of the

preventive treatment scenario (73 y.o.). Bottom right: Corresponding results for

the late treatment scenario (82 y.o.). Lower section: Simulated changes in bone

volume fraction (BV/TV) due to osteoporosis and pharmaceutical treatments in a

62 year old female.

Preventive treatment Late treatment

Treatment

Osteoporosis

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Currently, this parameter is not measured in patients, despite its potential to draw

more accurate concussions about the state of bone health and lead to better diagnostic

and therapeutic outcomes. Providing a guiding database to the physicians would

allow them to trace clinically measured parameters to corresponding DA measures.

In conclusion, in silico medicine is a powerful tool that allowed us to accurately

predict changes in bone microstructure using a previously presented

phenomenological model for bone remodeling. With this implementation both bone

formation and bone resorption could be realistically simulated for age-related bone

loss, as well as for preventive and curative treatment scenarios. A database linking

parameter describing bone structure and density was created in an attempt of establish

a connection to the clinical practice. In the future, this and similar in sicilo application

could not only improve the accuracy of the diagnosis, but also contribute to patient-

specific treatment planning.

References

1. Johnell, O. and J.A. Kanis, An estimate of the worldwide prevalence and

disability associated with osteoporotic fractures. Osteoporos Int, 2006.

17(12): p. 1726-33.

2. Kanis, J.A., Diagnosis of osteoporosis and assessment of fracture risk.

Lancet, 2002. 359(9321): p. 1929-36.

3. Christen, P., et al., Bone remodelling in humans is load-driven but not lazy.

Nat Commun, 2014. 5: p. 4855.

4. Huiskes, R., Validation of adaptive bone-remodeling simulation models. Stud

Health Technol Inform, 1997. 40: p. 33-48.

5. Muller, R., Long-term prediction of three-dimensional bone architecture in

simulations of pre-, peri- and post-menopausal microstructural bone

remodeling. Osteoporos Int, 2005. 16 Suppl 2: p. S25-35.

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6. Gerhard, F.A., et al., In silico biology of bone modelling and remodelling:

adaptation. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 2009. 367(1895): p. 2011-30.

7. Melton, L.J., 3rd, Epidemiology of hip fractures: implications of the

exponential increase with age. Bone, 1996. 18(3 Suppl): p. 121S-125S.

8. Wasnich, R.D., Vertebral fracture epidemiology. Bone, 1996. 18(3 Suppl): p.

179S-183S.

9. Kanis, J.A. and E.V. McCloskey, Evaluation of the risk of hip fracture. Bone,

1996. 18(3 Suppl): p. 127S-132S.

10. Chappard, C., et al., Anisotropy changes in post-menopausal osteoporosis:

characterization by a new index applied to trabecular bone radiographic

images. Osteoporos Int, 2005. 16(10): p. 1193-202.

11. Neer, R.M., et al., Effect of parathyroid hormone (1-34) on fractures and

bone mineral density in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. N Engl J

Med, 2001. 344(19): p. 1434-41.

12. Riggs, B.L. and L.J. Melton, 3rd, The prevention and treatment of

osteoporosis. N Engl J Med, 1992. 327(9): p. 620-7.

13. Lochmuller, E.M., et al., Does thoracic or lumbar spine bone architecture

predict vertebral failure strength more accurately than density? Osteoporos

Int, 2008. 19(4): p. 537-45.

14. Hazrati Marangalou, J., et al., A novel approach to estimate trabecular bone

anisotropy using a database approach. J Biomech, 2013. 46(14): p. 2356-62.

15. Hazrati Marangalou, J., et al., Locally measured microstructural parameters

are better associated with vertebral strength than whole bone density.

Osteoporos Int, 2014. 25(4): p. 1285-96.

16. Ulrich, D., et al., Finite element analysis of trabecular bone structure: a

comparison of image-based meshing techniques. J Biomech, 1998. 31(12): p.

1187-92.

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17. Hazrati Marangalou, J., et al., Inter-individual variability of bone density and

morphology distribution in the proximal femur and T12 vertebra. Bone, 2014.

60: p. 213-20.

18. Schulte, F.A., et al., In vivo validation of a computational bone adaptation

model using open-loop control and time-lapsed micro-computed tomography.

Bone, 2011. 49(6): p. 1166-72.

19. Zanchetta, J.R., et al., Treatment of postmenopausal women with osteoporosis

with PTH(1-84) for 36 months: treatment extension study. Curr Med Res

Opin, 2010. 26(11): p. 2627-33.

20. Seeman, E. and P.D. Delmas, Bone quality--the material and structural basis

of bone strength and fragility. N Engl J Med, 2006. 354(21): p. 2250-61.

21. Jodar-Gimeno, E., Full length parathyroid hormone (1-84) in the treatment of

osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. Clin Interv Aging, 2007. 2(1): p.

163-74.

22. Recker, R., et al., Bone remodeling increases substantially in the years after

menopause and remains increased in older osteoporosis patients. J Bone

Miner Res, 2004. 19(10): p. 1628-33.

23. Stepan, J.J., et al., Mechanisms of action of antiresorptive therapies of

postmenopausal osteoporosis. Endocr Regul, 2003. 37(4): p. 225-38.

24. Arlot, M., et al., Differential effects of teriparatide and alendronate on bone

remodeling in postmenopausal women assessed by histomorphometric

parameters. J Bone Miner Res, 2005. 20(7): p. 1244-53.

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Chapter 4

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63

Large-scale simulations of bone remodeling in a

mouse model: closed-loop, mechanical feedback

algorithm validation

4.1 Correlative closed-loop model for bone remodeling

simulation

The relationship between external load and architectural alignment within the

trabecular bone is one of the earliest phenomena that was recognized in the field

of bone biomechanics [1, 2]. Computational tools in the form of finite element

(FE) analysis are capable of using realistic geometries and experimentally-derived

tissue properties to calculate local effect of external mechanical environments. At

the same time, despite extensive investigation into the endocrine and molecular

interactions that govern bone remodeling, our understanding of this domain

remains rather limited.

It is therefore, a logical step to consider local mechanical signals, as the major

driving force behind bone modeling and remodeling in computational

applications. Indeed, a number of successful algorithms capable of producing

realistic outcomes of changes in bone have been based on these principles [3, 4].

An in-house developed framework was based on Mechanostat Theory [5] and

integrated local mechanical feedback loop directly into the remodeling decision

making process [6]. Micro-computed tomography (µCT) scans of live animals

were used as input into the model. The single voxels of each segmented scan were

then converted into 8 node brick elements for the FE calculation. Tissue

properties derived from literature and realistic boundary conditions were then

used to solve micro FE models and derive local strain energy density (SED)

values. The signal was then incorporated into the so called “advection equation”,

which also factored in the normal direction from the surface and the pre-set

remodeling control parameters to produce final output of surface adaptation.

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64

The framework was previously validated through correlative comparison of in

silico outcomes against the results of the concurrent in vivo study using both

quantitative and qualitative techniques. Mechanical loading and estrogen-

depletion related bone loss studies were used in the model development. The

authors reported maximum errors of 2.4% in bone volume fraction after four

weeks of the simulation for the mechanical loading group, and 12.1% for the

ovariectomy group. In the group that underwent mechanical loading, the most

challenging index within the static morphometric evaluation was trabecular

spacing. The maximum error between in vivo and in silico results for this

parameter reached 8.4%. In the hormone depletion group, bone volume fraction

resulted in the highest errors, while other static parameters were simulated with

errors less than 4.6%.

The main challenge the model faced was capturing the dynamic morphometric

indices, and correspondingly the local remodeling sites. Statistical evaluation

showed no significant differences between in vivo and in silico values for bone

formation and bone resorption rates, however, the large errors of over 50% in the

mineral apposition and resorption rates proved to be significantly different

between the simulation and the experiment. Therefore, the objective of the study

presented in the following section of the chapter was to optimize parametric

settings for the improved simulation outcomes for catabolic, anabolic, and anti-

resorptive processes in bone, and thus to validate the model in its capabilities to

reproduce those effects.

References:

1. Roux, W., Der Kampf der Theile im Organismus ein Beitrag zur

Vervollständigung der mechanischen Zweckmässigkeitslehre. 1881,

Leipzig: Engelmann. 1 Band (mehrere Zählungen).

2. Wolff, J., Das Gesetz der Transformation der Knochen. 1892, Berlin: A.

Hirschwald. 152 S.

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65

3. Adachi, T., et al., Trabecular surface remodeling simulation for

cancellous bone using microstructural voxel finite element models. Journal

of biomechanical engineering, 2001. 123(5): p. 403-9.

4. Ruimerman, R., et al., A theoretical framework for strain-related

trabecular bone maintenance and adaptation. Journal of Biomechanics,

2005. 38(4): p. 931-941.

5. Frost, H.M., Bone's mechanostat: A 2003 update. Anatomical Record Part

A: Discoveries in Molecular, Cellular, and Evolutionary Biology, 2003.

275A(2): p. 1081-1101.

6. Schulte, F.A., et al., Strain-adaptive in silico modeling of bone adaptation

- A computer simulation validated by in vivo micro-computed tomography

data. Bone, 2013. 52(1): p. 485-492.

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67

4.2 Algorithm validation using mouse model for bone loss

and associated treatments

Alina Levchuka, Alexander Zwahlen

a, Claudia Weigt

a, Floor M. Lambers

a, Sandro

D. Badilattia, Friederike A. Schulte

a, Gisela Kuhn

a, Ralph Müller*

a

Affiliation: aInstitute for Biomechanics, ETH Zurich, Wolfgang-Pauli-Strasse 10,

8093 Zurich, Switzerland

Published as: A. Levchuk, A. Zwahlen, C. Weigt, F. M. Lambers, S. D. Badilatti,

F. A. Schulte, G. Kuhn and R. Müller. The Clinical Biomechanics Award 2012 -

Presented by the European Society of Biomechanics: Large scale simulations of

trabecular bone adaptation to loading and treatment. Clin. Biomech., 29:355-362,

2014.

Reprinted with permission, and in compliance with the publisher copyright policy

Abstract

Microstructural simulations of bone remodeling are particularly relevant in the

clinical management of osteoporosis. Before a model can be applied in the clinics,

a validation against controlled in vivo data is crucial. In this study, we present a

strain-adaptive feedback algorithm for the simulation of trabecular bone

remodeling in response to loading and pharmaceutical treatment, and report on the

results of the large-scale validation against in vivo reference data.

The presented algorithm follows the mechanostat principle and incorporates

mechanical feedback, based on the local strain-energy density. For the validation

of the algorithm, simulations of bone remodeling and adaptation in 180 osteopenic

mice were performed, and included a permutation of the conditions for early (20th

week) and late (26th week) loading of 8N or 0N, and treatments with

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68

bisphosphonates, or parathyroid hormone. Static and dynamic morphometry and

local remodeling sites from in vivo and in silico studies were compared.

For each study, an individual set of model parameters was selected. Trabecular

bone volume fraction was chosen as an indicator of the accuracy of the

simulations. Overall errors for this parameter were 0.1-4.5%. Other morphometric

indices were simulated with errors of less than 19%. Dynamic morphometry was

more difficult to predict, which resulted in significant differences from the

experimental data.

We validated a new algorithm for simulation of bone remodeling in trabecular

bone. The results indicate that the simulations accurately reflect effects of

treatment and loading seen in respective in vivo data, and thus, following

adaptation to human data, could be transferred into clinical setting.

Keywords

Bone remodeling, simulation, in vivo validation, mechanical loading,

pharmaceutical treatment

Introduction

Osteoporosis is a systemic disease, characterized by reduced bone quality and

increased susceptibility to fracture [1]. The symptoms are common in menopausal

women and elderly of both sexes [2-5]. At the present, osteoporosis is considered

a pandemic in the aging world population [6, 7]. The biggest challenge in the

clinical handling of the disease is not identification of those individuals that are

suffering from decreased bone quality due to the homeostatic shifts, but detection

of those that are prone to developing fractures [1]. Once the first osteoporosis-

related fracture is sustained, an individual becomes more likely to suffer repeated

incidences of broken bones [8, 9], thus leading to ever decreasing mobility and

quality of life, as well as growing financial costs [7, 10, 11]. If identified prior to

fracture, osteoporosis can be clinically managed with appropriate physical

therapy, pharmacological treatments, or a combination of both [12-14]. In this

context, microstructural simulation models of bone remodeling, capable of

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69

reflecting changes in the tissue over time, can become a valuable auxiliary tool in

clinical prediction and prevention of osteoporosis.

Before a model can be practically applied in the clinics, however, a thorough

validation is of major importance [15]. An extensive validation routine overview

has been presented by Huiskes [16]. Several types and levels of validation for

bone adaptation models are proposed prior to clinical transfer. Briefly, numerical

validation should establish that the algorithm is functional and does not produce

obscure artifacts. Mechanistic validation attests that the model accurately reflects

realistic mechanisms and processes. Finally, predictive validation verifies the

results of the simulation against controlled reference data. In the first step, model

performance according to bone-remodeling phenomena at large should be tested.

The next step of predictive validity assessment juxtaposes simulated predictions

with the experimental results for a population. Lastly, a specimen-specific

quantitative validation has to be performed. This last step has always been a

bottleneck for in silico models in the past, mainly due to the lack of appropriate in

vivo data [15, 16].

One of the earlier in silico models for the prediction of trabecular bone-

remodeling focused on voxel-based surface adaptation by means of combined

Gaussian filtration and thresholding as an open-loop control model, and did not

include mechanical feedback [17]. In another study, mechanical feedback was

incorporated in the form of strain gradients, and the algorithm was applied on the

data from an ongoing in vivo study, thus allowing for a subsequent indirect

validation of the results [18]. A different model for examination of bone

metabolic expression under load was presented by Ruimerman et al. [19]. The

same group of researchers has also introduced an algorithm where formation was

coupled with strain energy density (SED), while resorption was randomized

according to a certain probability [20]. Finally, a more recent in silico model has

been introduced by Schulte and colleagues [21]. This approach is based on the

previously established open-loop control model, which did not include mechanical

feedback between iterations of the simulation [22]. In the new algorithm, on the

other hand, SED stimuli for local control of formation and resorption sites are

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70

calculated for each iteration using the large-scale micro finite element (µFE)

analysis. The inherent approach to strain adaptation allows the algorithm to run in

a closed-loop feedback mode [21].

In this study, we extended Schulte in silico framework to simulate trabecular

bone remodeling in response to loading and pharmaceutical treatment. Scans

obtained directly from in vivo micro-computed tomography (μCT) measurements

were used input for the model, thus allowing systematic time-lapsed comparison

of the simulation results with the biological changes in experimental subjects. The

study incorporated a total of 180 genetically inbred mice, subjected to controlled

experimental conditions. This parallel setup of in vivo and in silico studies has

allowed us to carry out an extensive validation of the algorithm, covering full

range of pre-clinical validity testing. Here, we report on the results of this large-

scale validation of the closed-loop strain adaptive algorithm against three-

dimensional (3D) in vivo reference data of bone adaptation due to pharmaceutical

treatments and mechanical loading in mouse vertebrae.

Methods

In vivo reference data

All animals used in the validation study were ovariectomized at the age of 15

weeks to create a state of estrogen depletion, and mimic the effect of osteoporosis

(CTR, control group). All animal procedures were performed under isoflurane

anaesthesia (2-2.5%, 0.4 L/min) delivered through a nose mask, and were

approved by the local authorities (Kantonales Veterinäramt Zürich, Zurich,

Switzerland). The studies were subdivided into two time-dependent groups in

order to emulate the consequences of and treatment effects during initial rapid

bone loss, as well as at the later stage of osteopenia [23, 24]. In the early treatment

(ET) group treatment intervention started 5 weeks post-operatively or at the 20th

week of life for the animals. In the late treatment (LT) study, a lag period of 11

weeks was allowed prior to the start of treatment in the 26-week-old mice [25].

The animals in the ET group were losing bone during the first half of study

period, and consequently recovering some of the loss in the second half. In the LT

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71

group, on the other hand, the bone condition could be described as osteopenic at

the onset of the treatment, and there was not further bone loss observed during the

entire study period. Therefore, the in vivo experiments have been designed in this

manner to investigate the effects of preventive and curative treatments. The

experimental study was based on an established mouse model for bone adaptation

[26], in which sixth caudal vertebra (CV6) of the female C57BL/6 mice

underwent mechanical loading (ML) through the metal pins inserted into CV5 and

CV7. In the experiment, a sinusoidal force of 8N was applied at the frequency of

10Hz for 5 min/day, three times a week, for 4 weeks. Pharmacological treatments

included parathyroid hormone (PTH; hPTH 1-34, Bachem AG, Switzerland),

administered at a dose of 80 µg/kg for 4 weeks, or bisphosphonate (BIS; Zometa

4mg/5ml; Novartis Pharma Schweiz AG, Bern) administered once at the start of

the treatment at a dose of 100 µg/kg.

A total of 12 studies investigating single and combined effects of loading and

pharmacological treatments at different stages of bone loss have been used in the

validation, where all experimental procedures have been carried out as part of a

doctoral thesis [27]. Changes in bone microstructure were monitored bi-weekly,

starting at the beginning of treatments with in vivo μCT (vivaCT 40, Scanco

Medical, Brüttisellen, Switzerland) at an isotropic voxel resolution of 10.5 µm.

Computational algorithm and µFE analysis

A strain-adaptive feedback algorithm for the simulation of trabecular bone

remodeling has recently been developed in house [21]. While the experimental

data in this project would allow investigation of biological changes in both

cortical and cancellous bone, the algorithm was developed exclusively for the

simulations of changes in the trabecular bone tissue. The model itself is based on

the principles of mechanical control, which has not been shown to have the same

impact on the cortical bone as it does on the trabecular bone [28, 29]. In silico

bone adaptation was derived from the mechanostat theory proposed by Frost [30]

and is computed by moving bone surface through adding or removing bone

volume depending on local mechanical stimuli. In short, as represented in Figure

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72

1, a segmented imaged of an in vivo μCT scan is used as input. μFE analysis is

then applied on the input image for the calculation of local mechanical signals

represented by strain energy density (SED). µFE analysis was performed

following a previously established protocol [26], where simplified disks were

applied on each side of the full vertebra to ensure even force distribution. Material

properties of the segmented input images were based on the assumption of tissue

homogeneity. Young’s Modulus of 14.8 GPa and a Poisson ratio of 0.3 were

assigned to all elements [26], and the model was solved on a super computing

system (CSCS, Lugano, Switzerland) [31]. The amount of bone loss or gain is

calculated with the advection equation based on the model input parameters

(Table 4.1) and SED values. A total of four parameters that control the algorithm

can be adjusted individually for each simulation. These include bone formation

and resorption rate per SED value (τ), upper and lower SED thresholds for the

formation and resorption (SEDupp and SEDlow), and maximum remodeling

velocity (umax). The output image is created by moving the bone surface in the

direction normal to the surface. This image is then used as input for the

subsequent iteration loop (Figure 4.1).

Selection of parameters

For all simulations bone formation and resorption rate was kept constant, while

the remodeling saturation level and SED thresholds were optimized to produce the

best match of bone volume fraction (BV/TV) with in vivo data across all

measurement time point. Matches in all other morphometric and dynamic

parameters were the outcome of this optimization, and reflect the accuracy of the

algorithm.

An initial parameter set was carried over from the previous study performed on

C57B/6 data [21]. Similarly to the reported method, mechanostat theory was

assumed to act on the osteocytic network, where signals for the remodeling are

released in response to change in mechanical environment, and has a certain

radius of action and a specific time interval. In this study, the iteration length was

set to two weeks, which corresponds to the measurement interval of the in vivo

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73

study. Gaussian filtration, performed at each iteration prior to solving the

advection equation was set to reflect the maximum osteocyte signal radius of 52

µm [32].

Due to lack of reference data, formation and resorption rate per SED value (τ)

was kept constant at 1 (mm/wk)/(J/mm3) for all simulations. The strategy for

finding a matching set of parameters included adapting the maximum remodeling

velocity (umax) first, while keeping SED thresholds constant. Once the best BV/TV

match with this set of parameters was found, SED threshold settings were adapted

one by one to refine the simulation outcome. An individual set of parameters was

selected for each treatment scenario; and subsequently applied for all subjects

within the group.

Comparison of static and dynamic morphometry

Static and dynamic morphometric parameters were computed for the trabecular

compartment of in vivo and in silico data sets, where trabecular masks were

created using distance transformation map from the cortex, based on the baseline

scans and according to the established protocol [33]. Static parameters such as

BV/TV, specific bone surface (BS/BV), trabecular thickness (Tb.Th), trabecular

number (Tb.N) and trabecular separation (Tb.Sp) were assessed at each

measurement point according to the guideline paper on the assessment of bone

microstructure in rodents using micro-computed tomography [34]. Dynamic bone

morphometry was calculated by overlaying the first and the last measurements,

identifying areas that were formed and removed in the course of the experiment.

3D bone formation rate (BFR), mineral apposition rate (MAR), mineralizing

surface (MS), as well as bone resorption rate (BRR), mineral resorption rate

(MRR) and eroded surface (ES) were computed for each treatment group.

Algorithms and parameters needed for the calculation of the dynamic indices have

been set according to Schulte and colleagues [35]. The thresholding value (22% of

maximum grayscale value) for the segmentation of formed and resorbed bone has

been chosen to yield accurate results as compared to an earlier study using

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74

standard histomorphometry [36], where also precision and sensitivity of this

method were determined to be very high.

Table 4.1. Model parameters: Selected parametric settings for early (5 weeks

after ovariectomy) and late (11 weeks after ovariectomy) treatments, where

formation and resorption rate per SED (τ) was kept constant at 1, and the

remaining three parameters were optimized to produce the best match of BV/TV

between in vivo and in silico groups. CTR stands for control group; ML, for

mechanical loading; BIS, for bisphosphonate treatment; and PTH, for

parathyroid hormone treatment.

Study/Parameter

SEDlow:

Formation

threshold

[10-3

·J/mm3]

SEDupp:

Resorption

threshold

[10-3

·J/mm3]

umax:

Saturation level [10-3

·mm/week]

Ear

ly T

reat

men

t

CTR 0.85 0.85 3

ML 10 15 3.1

BIS 2.5 5.5 4

BIS+ML 5 15 4

PTH 0.1 0.1 3.1

PTH+ML 2.5 7 7.5

Lat

e T

reat

men

t

CTR 2.5 6.5 5

ML 10 22 5

BIS 2.5 5.5 5

BIS+ML 5 20 5

PTH 1 2 9

PTH+ML 5 8 8

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75

Figure 4.1. Top: Schematic workflow of the in silico algorithm for bone

remodeling (adapted from [21]). The binary input image is used to calculate SED

signal using µFE analysis. The advection equation solved with input parameters

is then used to determine surface growth velocity and direction. An output image

derived from the process is then used as input for the second iteration. Bottom:

The Mechanostat plot showing model input parameters. The plot is used to

determine remodeling events based on the calculated SED values. In the current

implementation the value for the formation and resorption rate per SED (τ) was

kept constant at 1.

For the statistical analysis, errors of means per group were calculated for all

static parameters. Simulated and experimental static morphometry was compared

using ANOVA adjusted for multiple comparisons, while dynamic morphometry

was evaluated with paired Student’s t-test. Normal distribution of residuals was

verified using Q-Q plots and histograms, while Levene’s test was applied to test

for the quality of variances. In case of dynamic morphometric evaluation, where

homoscedacity could not be confirmed Welch’s modification of Student’s t-test

was used. p-Values less than 0.05 were considered significant.

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76

Finally, visual investigation of the 3D surfaces of bone formation and

resorption allowed direct qualitative comparison of the local remodeling sites

between in vivo and in silico samples.

Results

Model parameters

All values assigned to the model can be found in Table 4.1. Validation of the in

silico algorithm for bone adaptation was performed against experimentally

collected data. SED thresholds for bone formation and resorption (SEDupp and

SEDlow), as well as remodeling saturation setting (umax), were lower or equal to for

the ET, compared to the LT group. ML studies in the ET group required higher

“remodeling saturation level” than the control and treatment only cases. In the

CTR and PTH studies of the ET group bone formation and resorption thresholds,

SEDlow and SEDupp, respectively, resulted in the same value following the

optimization, thus eliminating the so called “lazy zone” [37].

Static morphometric evaluation

The simulations were optimized for the best match of the trabecular BV/TV,

while other parameters were used to assess the accuracy of the algorithm (Table

4.2). In the ET group BV/TV errors ranged from 0.2-4.5% for all time points. The

simulations of ML, BIS and BIS+ML resulted in the lowest errors in bone volume

fraction, with error values under 1% for both measurement points. Meanwhile,

CTR and PTH treated groups resulted in the highest BV/TV errors. Nevertheless,

in silico BV/TV was not significantly different from the in vivo results for the ET

studies, except for the first comparison point in the CTR group. In the LT group

the errors in trabecular BV/TV ranged from 0.1-1.9%, and were not significant.

CTR, PTH, BIS, and BIS+ML simulations resulted in less than 1% errors, while

the highest error of 1.9% corresponded to the PTH+ML study. With respect to

other static morphometric parameters, Tb.N, Tb.Sp and BS/BV produced errors in

the range of 0-10% in all investigated scenarios, while accurate match in Tb.Th

proved more difficult to achieve with the current parametric settings. The errors

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77

for Tb.Th reached 18.1% in the LT, and 14.3% in the ET groups. These results in

BS/BV and Tb.Th were also largely statistically significant (p<0.05). The full

overview of the errors in the static morphometry between in silico and in vivo

samples is provided in Table 4.2.

Results for in silico simulations have been organized to match physiome maps

constructed for the static morphometric parameters of the experimental data [25].

This type of representation allows direct comparison of matches in the parameter

of interest, and displays how the trends change over time (Figure 4.2). For the

simplification of analysis all values have been normalized by the initial

measurement. Since the first measurement has been used as input for the

algorithm, the nominal value is 100% for all groups, with the consecutive values

reflecting changes measured at the following time points. Errors or means greater

than 1% have also been indicated where applicable, while errors of lesser values

are not shown.

Figure 4.2. Normalized trabecular bone volume fraction (BV/TV) plots

comparing experimental and simulated results. Listed numbers correspond to the

average errors for the group of corresponding color code. Errors under 1% are

not shown.

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78

Dynamic morphometric evaluation

With respect to the dynamic morphometry, we were able to show that the

algorithm is capable of reproducing experimental formation and resorption for

both low and high levels of remodeling (Figure 4.3). The accuracy of the matches

in this domain has been compromised to assure better fit in the static

morphometry, as well as in the local remodeling sites. On average, dynamic

parameters have been underestimated in the simulations to prevent excessive

deposition and resorption on the trabecular surface, and thus preserve realistic

structures. BFR and MS in the in silico samples resulted in the lowest average

errors of 17% and 3%, respectively. MS produced the lowest average error of 3%,

and was closest to the in vivo results in the studies involving anabolic treatments

and mechanical loading. BFR was simulated with the least number of significant

errors from the experimental results. On the other hand, BRR, MRR, and ES

produced less accurate matches, where underestimations range was 11-100%.

Dynamic morphometry was most accurately simulated for the LT ML study, for

which BFR, BRR, and MS were not significantly different from the in vivo

measurements, and errors across all parameters were 3-34%. On average, groups

undergoing ML showed lower errors in all dynamic parameters in both ET and LT

groups. All results for dynamic morphometry can be found in Table 4.3.

Visual examination

Visual analysis of the local remodeling sites was in agreement with morphometric

results, and confirmed that in silico results often showed excellent matches for the

areas of formation when compared to the in vivo samples, while resorbed areas

seemed to be underestimated and less on target (Figure 4.4). In addition, bone

remodeling matches were hindered by the removal of whole trabeculae, which

appeared to be attached only on one side in the in silico cases, thus preventing

load transmission in the FE calculation. In the experimental case, on the other

hand, initiation of the growth of the previously undetected and visually

disconnected trabecular structures was frequently observed from measurement to

measurement.

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79

Table 4.2. Static morphometric parameters: Absolute error of means [%] between

simulated and experimental bone structural parameters for early (5 weeks after

ovariectomy) and late (11 weeks after ovariectomy) treatments. The simulation

errors at weeks 20 and 26, respectively, were 0, since the experimental

measurement was used directly as input for the model. Simulations were

optimized to produce the best match of the BV/TV between in vivo and in silico

groups. *p<0.05,

**p<0.01 from repeated measures ANOVA are considered

significant.

Study Age [weeks]

Error [%] of Means

BV/TV BS/BV Tb.Th Tb.Sp Tb.N

Ear

ly T

reat

men

t

CTR

22 2.7* 8.5

** 3.5

** 5.8

** 7.4

**

24 4.5 9.4**

5.8**

7.1**

8.7**

ML

22 0.2 2.4* 1.7

* 3.9

** 4.9

**

24 0.7 4.2**

1.1**

7.6**

10.7**

BIS

22 0.5 2.0**

2.8**

1.4 0.2

24 0.2 4.6**

6.3**

3.5 2.6

BIS+ML

22 0.5 2.5**

2.7**

1.5 1.5

24 0.3 2.5* 2.2

* 3.5

* 2.2

PTH

22 1.6 1.5 6.0* 3.6

* 2.8

*

24 3.9 5.7 6.3* 0.1 0.4

PTH+ML

22 2.9 3.3 4.6* 3.8

* 3.7

*

24 1.7 6.6**

14.3**

1.4 0.4

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80

Lat

e T

reat

men

t

CTR

28 0.9 1.5* 2.5

* 0.7 0.8

30 0.7 2.3* 4.8

** 1.4 2.0

*

ML

28 0.2 3.1**

4.3**

0.7 0.2

30 1.3 3.5**

8.8**

0.1 2.3*

BIS

28 0.3 2.7* 2.9 1.5 1.4

30 0.6 4.7 6.0* 0 0.4

BIS+ML

28 0.1 1.4**

1.4**

1.5* 1.5

30 0.1 2.7**

2.7**

3.0 3.1

PTH

28 0.9 6.6**

12.0**

0.4 0.5

30 0.5 9.1**

17.2**

5.3* 4.9

*

PTH+ML

28 1.9 7.8**

9.3**

3.7 1.3

30 1.4 9.8**

18.1**

8.7**

4.9

Discussion

The aim of this work was the validation of a novel strain-adaptive in silico

algorithm for the simulation of trabecular bone adaptation. The unique

comprehensive validation was achieved by means of direct comparison of the

simulation results with the mouse in vivo µCT data from the osteopenia-inducing

ovariectomy experiment, as well as a combination of ML, PTH and BIS therapies.

Unlike many of the previously introduced algorithms that underwent population-

based validation [16-18, 20], this study provides more advanced group-based

validation, which included static and dynamic morphometric assessments, as well

as comparison of the resultant bone architecture.

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81

In the current validation, in silico algorithm was able to reproduce changes in

BV/TV with a maximum error of 4.5% for all investigated scenarios. This result is

an improvement of the outcome of 12.1% reported when the algorithm was first

introduced [21], and could be achieved with careful parametric selection. The

agreement of other morphometric parameters was also better, with the remaining

discrepancy in Tb.Th matches. The juxtaposition of in vivo and in silico results in

a physiom map (Figure 4.2) provides an intuitive way to compare the success of

algorithm performance for each of the investigated scenarios. For example, it

becomes evident that simulations resulted in the most precise matches for the

studies with the linear change in BV/TV, as most cases in the LT group are. On

the other hand, if the trend changed along the course of the experiment, as in the

CTR and PTH scenarios of the ET group, in silico results did not match both time

points perfectly, but followed the average of two measurements. The amounts of

in vivo bone formation and resorption were reproduced well in the simulations;

however more accurate matches were compromised in favor of better static

morphometry and local remodeling site agreements. In particular, to achieve the

same formation rates as observed in vivo with the formation of new structures,

resorption was often underestimated in the simulation. With the focus on

optimization of overall bone volume fraction, this resulted in successful prediction

of trabecular spacing and number, along with bone formation rates, and less

accurate bone surface, trabecular thickness, and resorption rate estimations.

Comparison with literature is difficult, as this is the first in silico algorithm

which has undergone a comprehensive validation against corresponding time-

lapsed in vivo data. Other promising models for bone adaptation have been

published [18, 20, 22, 38]; however, the presented approach reflects not only the

effects of bone-loss, but also a variety of corresponding treatments based on

different mechanisms of action. These features make the algorithm suitable for

clinically relevant applications, such as prediction of bone changes in real

patients, including the effects of pharmaceutical treatments or physical therapy, as

well as assistance in identification of the individuals prone to fracture.

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82

One of the limitations to the proposed approach with respect to the method is

the assumption of the tissue homogeneity. In order to address this issue, more

experimental data would be needed to evaluate mechanical properties of newly

formed bone, as well as a way to incorporate this information in the FE modeling,

something that to our knowledge is currently not available.

Another major limitation of the in silico algorithm is its inability to simulate

complex biological events, such as formation of new trabecular structures, a

phenomenon frequently induced by anabolic treatments in vivo. This, in turn,

results in less accurate distribution of the remodeling sites, particularly for the

cases of high bone formation, such as PTH and ML studies, where BV/TV of the

missing trabecular structure has to be compensated for elsewhere on the bone

surface. The difficulty of targeting formation and resorption rates is also

exacerbated by the current simplistic coupling of the controlling parameters for

formation and resorption rates (τ), as well as for the remodeling saturation (umax).

Separate definition of those settings for formation and resorption would allow for

better optimization of bone adaptation processes, at the same time preserving the

mechanical-feedback principle of the model. While current selection of

parameters followed the observations of the in vivo studies [25, 39], more

realistic, decoupled setup of the control parameters could also make direct linking

of the setting to the in vivo observed phenomena possible.

In conclusion, we presented a comprehensive in vivo validation of the

predictive strain-adaptive computational model with the experimental animal data.

The validation has been carried out for a hormone-related catabolic disease, as

well as anabolic and anti-resorptive treatments. The simulation errors for the static

and dynamic morphometric parameters have been determined, along with visual

local remodeling site comparisons. With the current validation, and the on-going

transfer of the control settings from the animal to the human scale, the model is on

the way to clinical implementation. Therefore, the presented in silico algorithm

could contribute to more accurate identification of fracture risk, as well as aid in

long-term patient-specific treatment planning.

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83

Figure 4.3. Visual comparison of spatial patterns of bone formation and

resorption within the trabecular network (cortical bone not shown) after four

weeks between simulation and experiment for the group with the lowest (CTR)

and highest (PTH+ML) remodeling rates. (Top row) spatial patterns and changes

in the trabecular bone volume for experimental (solid line), and simulated

(dashed line) CTR sample. (Bottom row) spatial patterns and changes in the

trabecular bone volume for experimental (solid line), and simulated (dashed line)

PTH+ML sample.

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84

Figure 4.4. Visual comparison of bone formation and resorption patterns within

the trabecular network (cortical bone not shown) between in vivo (last column)

and in silico (first and second columns) results in the LT study. The accumulation

and adaptation of the remodeling sites can be traced from the first two weeks

(first column) to the full four weeks (second column) of the simulation. Rows

correspond to the denoted control and treatment scenarios.

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Table 4.3. Dynamic morphometric parameters: Mean of the three-dimensional

dynamic bone morphometry in the experiment compared to the simulation for

early (5 weeks after ovariectomy) and late (11 weeks after ovariectomy)

treatments. *p<0.05,

**p<0.01 from paired Student’s t-test or Welch’s t-test are

considered significant.

BFR

[%/d]

BRR

[%/d]

MAR

[µm/d]

MRR

[µm/d]

MS

[%]

ES

[%]

Ear

ly T

reat

men

t

CTR

in

silico 0.3

** 0.7

** 0.4

** 0.4

** 26.9

** 46.9

**

in

vivo 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.4 37.0 28.6

ML

in

silico 0.9

** 0.2

** 0.4

** 0.4

** 62.3

** 14.7

**

in

vivo 1.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 55.1 20.7

BIS

in

silico 0.7

** 0.1

** 0.5

** 0.4

** 40.2

** 13.2

**

in

vivo 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.7 47.8 28.1

BIS+ML

in

silico 1.2

* 0.1

** 0.5

** 0.5

** 61.5 6.3

**

in

vivo 1.3 0.3 0.9 0.7 60.0 19.9

PTH

in

silico 1.1

** 0

** 0.4

** 0.4

** 84.0

** 0.3

**

in

vivo 2.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 61.2 24.0

PTH+ML

in

silico 2.8

* 0

** 0.7

** 0.4

** 77.2

** 3.6

**

in

vivo 3.2 0.4 1.3 1.2 70.7 17.3

Lat

e T

reat

men

t

CTR

in

silico 0.6 0.1

** 0.6

* 0.4

** 33.7

** 14.1

**

in

vivo 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.9 49.1 23.7

ML in

silico 1.0 0.2 0.7

* 0.6

** 49.7 19.9

*

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86

in

vivo 1.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 56.0 20.3

BIS

in

silico 0.7

* 0.1

** 0.6

** 0.4

** 39.2

** 13.6

**

in

vivo 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.6 50.0 26.5

BIS+ML

in

silico 1.1 0.3

* 0.7

** 0.6

* 50.4

** 14.4

**

in

vivo 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 57.0 20.2

PTH

in

silico 2.0 0

* 0.8

** 0.4

** 70.4

* 3.5

**

in

vivo 2.6 0.5 1.1 1.2 66.8 18.9

PTH+ML

in

silico 3.5

** 0

** 0.8

** 0.4

** 84.0

** 2.5

**

in

vivo 3.2 0.3 1.2 1.3 77.7 12.0

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87

Supplementary Material:

Table S4.1. Static morphometric parameters: Absolute error of means [%]

between simulated and experimental bone structural parameters for early (5

weeks after ovariectomy) and late (11 weeks after ovariectomy) treatments.

Simulations were optimized to produce the best match of the BV/TV between in

vivo and in silico groups. The simulation errors at weeks 20 and 26, respectively,

were 0, since the experimental measurement was used directly as input for the

model. *p<0.05,

**p<0.01 from repeated measures ANOVA are considered

significant.

Study Age

[wks]

BV/TV

[%]

BS/BV

[mm2/

mm3]

Tb.Th

[mm]

Tb.Sp

[mm]

Tb.N

[1/mm]

Ear

ly T

reat

men

t

CTR

in

silico 22 8.56

* 3.94

** 0.06

** 0.46

** 2.04

**

in vivo 8.33 3.63 0.06 0.49 1.90

in

silico 24 8.05 3.89

** 0.06

** 0.47

** 2.03

**

in vivo 8.44 3.56 0.06 0.50 1.87

ML

in

silico 22 11.23 4.32

* 0.07

* 0.45

** 2.10

**

in vivo 11.26 4.22 0.07 0.46 2.01

in

silico 24 12.78 4.40

** 0.08

** 0.44

** 2.14

**

in vivo 12.70 4.22 0.08 0.48 1.94

BIS

in

silico 22 10.08 4.16

** 0.07

** 0.46 2.07

in vivo 10.02 4.24 0.06 0.45 2.08

in

silico 24 10.80 4.21

** 0.07

** 0.46 2.07

in vivo 10.83 4.42 0.07 0.44 2.12

BIS+ML

in

silico 22 12.10 4.35

** 0.07

** 0.45 2.06

in vivo 12.03 4.46 0.07 0.45 2.10

in

silico 24 13.76 4.47

* 0.08

* 0.45

* 2.08

in vivo 13.80 4.58 0.08 0.44 2.13

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88

PTH

in

silico 22 12.05 4.42 0.07

* 0.43 2.15

*

in vivo 11.86 4.49 0.07 0.45 2.09

in

silico 24 14.26 4.57 0.08

* 0.43 2.18

in vivo 14.83 4.85 0.08 0.42 2.17

PTH+ML

in

silico 22 14.86 4.81 0.08

* 0.40

* 2.31

*

in vivo 15.30 4.98 0.08 0.42 2.23

in

silico 24 19.10 5.02

** 0.10

** 0.40 2.35

in vivo 18.79 5.38 0.09 0.39 2.36

Lat

e T

reat

men

t

CTR

in

silico 28 9.71 3.77

* 0.07

* 0.47 1.98

in vivo 9.63 3.83 0.07 0.48 1.96

in

silico 30 10.19 3.80

* 0.07

** 0.48 1.98

*

in vivo 10.12 3.89 0.07 0.482 1.94

ML

in

silico 28 10.77 3.94

** 0.07

** 0.47 2.03

in vivo 10.75 4.06 0.07 0.46 2.03

in

silico 30 12.09 4.01

** 0.08

** 0.47 2.04

*

in vivo 11.93 4.15 0.08 0.47 2.00

BIS

in

silico 28 10.15 3.83

* 0.07 0.48 1.94

in vivo 10.12 3.94 0.07 0.47 1.97

in

silico 30 10.90 3.89 0.08

* 0.48 1.94

in vivo 10.97 4.08 0.07 0.48 1.94

BIS+ML

in

silico 28 11.16 3.93

** 0.08

** 0.46

* 2.05

in vivo 11.15 4.11 0.07 0.45 2.08

in

silico 30 12.61 4.00

** 0.08

** 0.46 2.07

in vivo 12.63 4.26 0.08 0.45 2.08

PTH

in

silico 28 12.69 4.34

** 0.08

** 0.47 2.03

in vivo 12.39 4.73 0.07 0.46 2.03

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89

in

silico 30 15.31 4.48

** 0.10

** 0.46

* 2.04

*

in vivo 15.14 5.04 0.08 0.43 2.14

PTH+ML

in

silico 28 14.15 4.37

** 0.08

** 0.45 2.08

in vivo 14.42 4.74 0.08 0.44 2.13

in

silico 30 18.39 4.55

** 0.10

** 0.45

** 2.11

in vivo 18.13 5.05 0.09 0.41 2.21

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90

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Chapter 5

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97

Predictive simulations of bone remodeling in a

mouse model: closed-loop, mechanical feedback

model update and validation

Alina Levchuka, Remo Sommer

a, Claudia Weigt

a, Floor M. Lambers

a, Gisela

Kuhna, Ralph Müller

a

aInstitute for Biomechanics, ETH Zurich, Vladimir-Prelog-Weg 3, 8093 Zurich,

Switzerland

Prepared for publication as: Hypothesis-based investigation of load-driven

remodeling in trabecular bone

Reprinted with approval from all co-authors.

Abstract

Bone adaptation to external loads is often explained by the widely accepted

Mechanostat Theory, which allowed simplified translation of biological process

into mathematical and computational terms. While in silico simulations of bone

remodeling can provide a reliable method for modeling of in vivo events, and thus

contribute to alleviating experimental and clinical challenges, clear understanding

of the underlying remodeling rules must be established and validated first. A

previously developed algorithm using a mouse model for bone remodeling

demonstrated consistent agreement between in vivo and in silico results.

Nevertheless, biological relevance of the parametric settings, and verification of

the predictive power of the model was missing. In this study we relied on the

hypothesis-driven approach to guide the development of bone remodeling rules

using serial in vivo mouse study. First, we hypothesized that bone formation and

resorption require separate control parameters in the algorithm to reflect the

distinct in vivo pathways. The second hypothesis was that linking of the control

parameters to the experimental data could further improve simulation outcomes.

Third, we hypothesized that accuracy and biological relevance of the model can

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98

be enhanced through replacing linear relationships with the non-linear functions.

Consequently, logarithmic remodeling rules were derived and implemented for

controlling bone remodeling in the simulations. The results confirmed the

hypothesis, when validated against corresponding in vivo data. Finally, to assess

predictive power of the algorithm, a long-term study with an independent

experimental dataset was carried out. The control parameters were calculated both

individually and on the group level. While the outcomes of the individual

predictions require further improvement, group-wise logarithmic remodeling

rules, as well as biologically derived parameters present a necessary update to the

existing in silico approaches, and help establishing firmer basis for the in silico

technology transfer into clinics.

Introduction

Trabecular bone, synonymous with cancellous bone, is characterized as an

ultimate load-bearing design, where weight is minimized through structural

porosity, while stiffness and strength are maintained through the architectural

arrangement and material properties of the tissue [1, 2]. It has been long

hypothesized that this structural form is following the function of the organ,

namely to support the body in the principal loading directions, while also

maintaining the minimal acceptable weight. Extensive attempts both in vitro and

in situ [9-11] have been made to characterize the mechanisms of local

mechanosensation and mechanotransduction in bone, both of which are

hypothesized to be a precursor of structural adaptation [3]. On the other hand,

tissue level load-adaptive properties of bone have long been accepted, initially

derived from the simple anatomical observations [4, 5], and later extended

through further clinical and mechanical analysis [6-8].

Currently favored explanation of bone adaptation rests with the Mechanostat

Theory, proposed in 1987 [9], and last updated in 2003 [10], according to which

changes in bone mass follow mechanical stimuli on the tissue. In other words,

there exist theoretical mechanical thresholds for bone resorption and formation,

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99

separated by the so called “lazy zone”, a loading range at which bone remains

quiescent and no net change of mass is incurred [11].

The Mechanostat Theory, although not without its sceptics [12, 13], has been

implemented extensively in the computational models of bone adaptation [14, 15].

The value of experiment-based in silico models is often attributed to their ability

to aid our understanding of biological phenomena and explaining complex

ambiguous interactions of different variables involved in the bone remodeling

process [16, 17]. The true potential of the computational approach, however, lies

in its capacity to predict biological events, thus reducing the need for extensive

experimental efforts, and allowing for control of the precise environmental

factors. Adequately implemented and validated computational frameworks could

facilitate better understanding of the governing mechanisms of bone adaptation,

and if transferred into clinical setting, enable patient-specific predictions of

disease and/or treatment outcomes. Yet, deeper comprehension of bone

remodeling rules needs to be established before such level of reliability can be

attained.

The first in silico model for bone adaptation incorporating mechanical

feedback in a closed-loop feedback scenario was based on a symmetric

implementation of the Mechanostat Theory, with respect to modeling of the

formation and resorption phenomena [18]. The major drawback the authors cited

was lack of biological relevance, as the corresponding experimental studies for

derivation of the model parameters were unavailable at that time. In another

model, mechanical signal threshold was implemented for the formation processes

only, while resorption was modeled as a spatially random stochastic event [19].

While the implementation proved to be successful in replicating in vivo-like load-

induced adaptation, remodeled surfaces of the trabecular crossings were rougher

and sharper than realistically possible, which made comparison of the results to

the in vivo measurements difficult. In the most recent model for bone adaptation,

formation and resorption events have been represented by the identical linear

functions with strain energy density (SED) chosen as the driving mechanical

signal [14]. The model was built in a closed-loop mechanical feedback scenario,

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100

developed on the three dimensional (3D) whole mouse vertebrae. While fully

validated against the concurrent in vivo study [20], the model was shown to have

limited capabilities in targeting the resorption side of remodeling events, leading

to the conclusion that symmetric implementation of the remodeling rules might

not be the best strategy. Additionally, similarly to the previously mentioned model

by Adachi et al. [18], control settings in this implementation were subject to

literature derivation and iterative fitting, as opposed to direct linking to the

experimental data.

With this in mind, a series of hypotheses based on the experimental

observation were used to drive this study. The project as a whole relied on the

serial in vivo micro-computed tomography (µCT) scans, collected as part of the

controlled study of trabecular bone adaptation in the caudal vertebra of inbred

mice. Experimental groups allowed investigation of the healthy bone remodeling

(SHM 0N), estrogen-depletion related bone loss (OVX 0N), and mechanically

induced bone formation state (SHM 8N). Scans from the short-term (4 weeks) and

long-term (8 weeks) studies were used for model training, and predictive

validation, respectively (Figure 5.1). Simulations were carried out according to

the previously published protocol [20]. Parametric settings of the computational

model were decoupled to verify the first hypothesis, questioning the effects of

using separate control parameters for formation and resorption processes (Figures

5.2A-B). Direct and implicit links between in vivo measurements and the control

parameters were then established to address the second hypothesis of the study

(Figure 5.2C). Third hypothesis stated that linear relationships, used to represent

Mechanostat Theory in terms of rate of bone remodeling and measured

mechanical signal, could be replaced with continuous mathematical functions

without compromising the quality of the simulations. To test this hypothesis

analytical and iterative investigation was used to formulate logarithmic functional

relationships of bone remodeling parameters for each of the experimental groups

(Figure 5.2D). The main motivation for this undertaking was on one hand,

simplification of the control parameters, and on the other hand, an attempt to

make the model more biologically relevant. With the fourth hypothesis the goal

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101

was to investigate, whether prediction of individual control settings could be

possible. Using statistical techniques of logistical regression, classification, and

linear modeling with predictor variable interactions the hypothesis could be

confirmed, and prediction of the individual remodeling parameters for each

animal was achieved. Finally, group and individual predictive simulations were

carried out and comparted to the long-term in vivo data to validate the prognostic

power of the algorithm, as well as to test the developed methods for parameter

selection.

Results

Expanded linear model with in vivo derived control parameters (Hypotheses 1

and 2)

Once control parameters for formation and resorption processes of the in silico

algorithm had been decoupled, model parameters were linked to or derived from

experimental data, leading to the formulation of the new remodeling rules. (Table

5.1).

In the SHM 0N group, both SED thresholds were determined to be at the same

point of 0.0024 MPa (Figure 5.3, Table 5.1). This outcome, derived from the

probability plots, and verified based on the simulation outcomes, leads to the

conclusion, that “lazy zone” was not necessary for simulations of bone

remodeling for the control group with the current implementation. Bone formation

and resorption rates were iteratively derived through incorporation of other

parameters, and resulted in values of 1.2 (mm/week)/MPa and 5.0

(mm/week)/MPa, respectively. The maximal formation and maximal resorption

velocities were extracted directly from the in vivo data at 0.0138 mm/week and

0.0167 mm/week, respectively. No significant differences between simulated and

experimental data were observed. Errors of means for between in silico and in

vivo results remained at 5% or lower across all static morphometric indexes

(Figure 5.4, Table 5.2).

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102

Table 5.1. In vivo derived parameters for the expanded linear model

Parameter Unit Symbol

Settings

SHM 0N OVX 0N SHM 8N

Resorption

threshold MPa SEDres 0.0024 0.0041 0.0095

Formation

threshold MPa SEDfor 0.0024 0.0041 0.0110

Resorption

rate

(mm/week)/M

Pa τres 5.0 3.8 0.9

Formation

rate

(mm/week)/M

Pa τfor 1.2 0.6 0.3

Resorption

saturation mm/week ures 0.0167 0.0158 0.0128

Formation

saturation mm/week ufor 0.0138 0.0105 0.0128

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103

Fig

ure

5.1

. E

xper

imen

tal

des

ign

an

d a

lgo

rith

m d

evel

opm

ent.

(T

op

pa

nel

) T

he

ori

gin

al

4 p

ara

met

er a

lgo

rith

m f

or

the

sim

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lati

on

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bon

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mo

del

ing

wa

s ex

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nd

ed t

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ug

h d

ecoup

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on

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ls.

Tra

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e a

l-

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sin

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sh

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n v

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dy

com

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ite

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an

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sis

(FE

A)

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np

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n,

foll

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y

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f bo

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eriv

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dy.

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104

Fig

ure 5

.2. P

rog

ressive develo

pm

ent o

f the rem

od

eling

rules fo

r the sim

ula

tion

s in tra

becu

lar b

on

e (A-D

). (A) A

mo

del

with

the co

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metric fo

rma

tion

an

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pa

ram

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r imp

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) Deco

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rptio

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ara

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eters. (D) L

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nd

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rptio

n

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Bone resorption rate (BRR) was overestimated by over a factor of two, which

resulted in the only dynamic morphometric parameter that differed significantly

(p<0.05) between simulation and experiment when compared using Student’s t-

test with the Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons. The rest of the

dynamic morphometric parameters were simulated with errors of less than 25%

that were also not statistically significant compared to the in vivo measurements

(Figure 5.4, Table 5.3).

In the OVX 0N case, SED thresholds for both formation and resorption were at

0.0041 MPa (Figure 5.3, Table 5.1). Similarly to the SHM 0N group, “lazy zone”

was not critical for the simulations of bone remodeling for this group. Maximum

formation velocity, extracted directly from the in vivo data was 0.0105 mm/week

and the corresponding value on the resorption side was 0.0158 mm/week. The

values for bone formation and resorption rates were determined to be 0.6

(mm/week)/MPa and 3.8 (mm/week)/MPa, respectively. Evaluation of the static

morphometry, resulted in the errors of means from the in vivo data ranging from

0.8% for trabecular thickness (Tb.Th) and specific bone surface (BS/BV) to 2.0%

for bone volume density (BV/TV) (Figure 5.4, Table 5.2). None of the reported

static morphometric indices differed significantly from experimental data. On the

side of the dynamic morphometry, none of the parameters showed significant

differences between simulation and experimental data either. Most errors

remained under 5% with only bone formation rate (BFR) and BRR at 24.8% and

56.6%, respectively (Figure 5.4, Table 5.3).

Remodeling thresholds for SHM 8N group were 0.0095 MPa and 0.0110 MPa

for resorption and formation, respectively (Figure 5.3, Table 5.1). Bone formation

rate was determined to be 0.3 (mm/week)/MPa, while bone resorption rate for this

group was 0.9 (mm/week)/MPa. Maximum formation and resorption velocities,

extracted from the in vivo data, were both 0.0128 mm/week. Maximum errors of

means for the static morphometric parameters in this group were under 4.5%, with

no significant differences from the experimental data (Figure 5.4, Table 5.2).

BRR was the only index in the dynamic morphometry to differ significantly

between simulation and in vivo study (p<0.05) (Figure 5.4, Table 5.3).

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Figures 5.3. Linear and logarithmic functions selected as remodeling rules for

three investigated experimental scenarios. Each graph juxtaposes linear

relationships based on the in vivo derived setting and a corresponding

logarithmic function. Of note are the intersection points on the SED curve, which

denote the absence of the remodeling “lazy zone”, as well as the areas under the

curves, which correspond to the total amount of formation or resorption at any

given value of the SED.

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Fig

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Table 5.2. Static morphometry for the training set: linear and logarithmic models

Study Remodeling

rule

Static morphometric parameters

BV/TV

[%]

BS/BV

[1/mm]

Tb.Th

[µm]

Tb.N

[1/mm]

SHM

0N

Experimental 15.1 ± 2.4 30.1± 2.4 84.0 ± 6.0 2.18 ± 0.18

Linear 14.6 ± 1.1 29.5 ± 1.3 88.2 ± 4.1 2.09 ± 0.19

Logarithmic 15.0 ± 1.5 28.7 ± 1.1 87.1 ± 3.3 2.09 ± 0.19

OVX

0N

Experimental 8.5 ± 1.1 40.2 ± 5.4 72.9 ± 8.6 1.87 ± 0.25

Linear 8.7 ± 0.8 38.8 ± 3.6 73.5 ± 6.0 1.85 ± 0.24

Logarithmic 8.6 ± 0.7 40.3 ± 3.7 69.6 ± 5.5 1.86 ± 0.23

SHM

8N

Experimental 15.6 ± 2.3 31.4 ± 3.4 80.9± 7.9 2.30 ± 0.19

Linear 15.4 ± 1.0 30.5 ± 1.1 84.4 ± 2.2 2.28 ± 0.17

Logarithmic 15.8 ± 1.2 29.7 ± 1.5 84.7 ± 3.3 2.26 ± 0.15

No significant differences from ANOVA corrected for multiple comparison at

p<0.05

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Logarithmic model: algorithm training (Hypothesis 3)

In the SHM 0N group SED axis crossing point with the selected logarithmic

relationship was at 0.0021 MPa, compared to 0.0024 MPa derived from the in

vivo experiment (Figure 5.3, Table 5.4). Maximum formation and resorption rates

calculated form the experimental data were preserved. The biggest improvement

with this implementation was in the dynamic morphometry, where all errors were

reduced below 22%, with MAR and MRR remaining significantly different from

the in vivo measurement (Figure 5.4, Table 5.3). Notably, the biggest reduction of

errors was observed for the BFR and BRR. This improvement could be at least in

part attributed to the shape of the log curve, which in combination with the

Gaussian distribution of the SED values, comprises a more physiological response

to loading. A corresponding improvement was also observed in the correlation of

the static morphometric indexes, where maximum errors were reduced to less than

4.2% (Figure 5.4, Table 5.2).

The intercept of the remodeling curve for OVX 0N group was 0.0051 MPa

(Figure 5.3, Table 5.4). While the maximum resorption rate was preserved for this

group too, the maximum in vivo calculated formation rate was exceeded for the

higher values of the SED, which was relevant for less than 1% of all SED values,

and had no adverse effects on the simulation outcomes. The errors for all indexes

within the dynamic morphometry were reduced to less than 24% (Figure 5.4,

Table 5.3), with only MAR and MRR remaining significantly different from the

experiment (p<0.05). Static morphometric evaluation showed that all parameters

were simulated with error of less than 5%, which despite the slight increase in

values from the linear model resulted in no significant differences from the

experimental measurement (Figure 5.4, Table 5.2).

SHM 8N was the only group where a “lazy zone” was present in the linear

model. In selecting an appropriate logarithmic function for this scenario, the best

results were achieved if the SED intercept was set at 0.0103, which fell between

the resorption and formation thresholds of the linear model. The limits of the

resorption and formation saturations were preserved for the selected logarithmic

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110

remodeling rule (Figure 5.3, Table 5.4). The outcomes of the dynamic

morphometric analysis showed an improvement for BFR and BRR, where the

error fell under 40%, and that of the BRR was reduced almost three-fold. Errors

for other indexes showed no consistent trends; however the overall errors

remained under 21% with only MAR significantly different from the experiment

(p<0.05) (Figure 5.4, Table 5.3). Static morphometric indexes showed a general

slight increase in errors, however still remained under 5% and showed no

significant differences from the experimental measurements (Figure 5.4, Table

5.2).

Finally, visual assessment of the local remodeling sites also confirmed an

improvement in the simulation quality, when comparing logarithmic to linear

remodeling rules (Figures 5.5-5.7). However, because differences were mostly on

a single voxel level, the formation and resorption patterns remained fairly uniform

between the two implementations.

Predictive simulation with logarithmic remodeling rules (Hypotheses 4 and 5)

The following section discusses results of the long-term predictive simulations

with individual and group settings using logarithmic remodeling rules.

In the SHM 0N group individually predicted intercept parameters ranged from

0.0191-0.0232, while the group parameter selected earlier using the training data

set was 0.0217. The success of the individual outcomes was difficult to judge as

there was no consistent trend for the morphometric indexes. For example, in the

case of static morphometry, error from the experimental data in BV/TV evaluated

with the group setting was 1.02%, compared to 2.71% calculated for the

simulations with individual settings (Table 5.5). On the other hand, in the most

improved sample the error in the final BV/TV measurement decreased from

11.38% to 3.44%. The outcomes were inconsistent for other indexes too, although

on the group level predictions of BS/BV and Tb.Th improved, while Tb.N slightly

increased, whereby no significant differences from the in vivo measurements were

detected even after 8 weeks of the simulation for either group or individual

outcomes. Similar results have also been found in the dynamic morphometric

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111

analysis (Table 5.6). Errors in BFR, MAR, MRR, and MS were reduced with the

individual predictions, while the remaining two indexes were predicted less

accurately. In both group and individual approaches BRR remained significantly

different from the in vivo outcome after 8 week predictive study (p<0.01). Overall

structural changes in trabecular architecture were captured in both individual and

group simulations with very minor differences between the two methods. Results

were consistently successful across all time-lapsed measurements, as well as in

the cumulative outcomes of the remodeling predictions both in the qualitative and

quantitative domains (Figures 5.8 and 5.11).

Individual β parameters in the OVX 0N group ranged from 0.0223-0.0264,

where previously selected group parameter was 0.0243. Errors in static

morphometry were reduced across all evaluated indexes, and absolute mean errors

from the in vivo measurements were less than 2% with the individual prediction

approach (Table 5.5). Nevertheless, all but BV/TV remained significantly

different from the experimental data. On the dynamic side of the evaluation,

calculated errors using animal-specific approach were in line with the group-wise

prediction outcomes, with slight improvements in the accuracy of MS and ES

(Table 5.6). Visualization of the dynamic changes in bone architecture and total

formation and resorption processes for the OVX 0N group showed that while total

bone turnover was captured, changes in the trabecular structures were difficult to

match due to resolution and boundary condition restrictions, which is a common

drawback of the computational approach [14, 20] (Figure 5.9).

Group setting for SED intercept of the SHM 8N group was 0.0160, while

animal-specific settings ranged from 0.0159-0.0175. No trends were observed in

this group for changes in the prediction accuracy either in static or dynamic

morphometric evaluation comparing individual and group predictions (Tables 5.5,

5.6). Errors in the static morphometric indices remained under 8% and were not

significantly different from the experimental outcomes. In the dynamic

assessment, final errors after 8 weeks of predictive simulations were under 35%,

and only MAR and MRR significantly differed from the in vivo study.

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Table 5.3. Dynamic morphometry for the training set: linear and logarithmic

models

Study Remodeling

rule

Dynamic morphometric parameters

BFR

[%/d]

BRR

[%/d]

MAR

[µm/d]

MRR

[µm/d] MS [%] ES [%]

SHM

0N

Experimental 0.8 ±

0.2

0.5 ±

0.2

1.2 ±

0.1

1.6 ±

0.3

49.3 ±

3.7

26.3 ±

3.8

Linear 1.2 ±

0.6

0.9 ±

0.3**

1.2 ±

0.2

1.5 ±

0.1

48.9 ±

9.8

27.2 ±

7.7

Logarithmic 0.9 ±

0.4

0.5 ±

0.2

1.0 ±

0.1*

1.3 ±

0.2*

49.6 ±

10

24.0 ±

7.2

OVX

0N

Experimental 1.3 ±

0.3

0.9 ±

0.5

1.3 ±

0.1

1.8 ±

0.4

47.2 ±

5.2

22.9 ±

3.8

Linear 1.7 ±

0.6

1.4 ±

0.4

1.3 ±

0.1

1.8 ±

0.1

46.6 ±

8.5

21.8 ±

4.2

Logarithmic 1.3 ±

0.5

1.1 ±

0.3

1.1 ±

0.1**

1.5 ±

0.1**

41.8 ±

8.7

26.2 ±

5.1

SHM

8N

Experimental 0.7 ±

0.3

0.3 ±

0.1

1.1 ±

0.1

1.2 ±

0.3

46.8 ±

7.8

23.8 ±

2.3

Linear 1.1 ±

0.5

0.7 ±

0.2**

1.2 ±

0.1

1.3 ±

0.1

47.2 ±

9.8

23.1 ±

7.9

Logarithmic 1.0 ±

0.4

0.4 ±

0.1

0.9 ±

0.1*

1.2 ±

0.2

54.6 ±

9.1

18.9 ±

6.9

* p<0.05 and ** p<0.01 from paired Student’s t-test corrected for multiple

comparison considered significant

Visual examination of the local remodeling for SHM 8N group showed close

matches of the formation and resorption sites (Figure 5.10), however some

structural distinctions on the single trabecula level were present similarly to the

OVX 0N group. Quantitative analysis of the serial comparison with the in vivo

data revealed initial challenge of the simulation in matching experimental data,

however after the third iteration the model fully captured morphometric changes

with no significant differences between the in vivo and in silico outcomes.

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113

In conclusion, while it is remarkable, that model parameters could be

successfully calculated without having any a priori knowledge of the individual

and using only statistical modeling, these results showed no convincing evidence

that animal-specific approach should be preferred over group-wise simulations.

Table 5.4. Control parameters for the logarithmic remodeling rules

Parameters for

u=α·ln(SED)+β

Unit Symbol

Settings

SHM 0N OVX 0N SHM 8N

Gradient mm/week α 0.0035 0.0046 0.0035

Intercept mm/week β 0.0217 0.0243 0.0160

Discussion

The work in this project has been structured on the basis of the logical hypothesis

flow, where the results from the first investigation were used as motivation for the

following hypothesis. First, we were able to show that separate control functions

for bone formation and resorption processes of the in silico model performed

better than previously implemented symmetric settings [14].

On the other hand, such algorithm expansion further increased the complexity

of the control parameters. Consequently, we were able to link in silico setting to

the in vivo measurements. Establishing a connection between experimental

measurements and computational algorithm has not only simplified the process of

choosing the right parameters, but also brought a degree of biological relevance to

the in silico model for the first time. Notably, the parameters that have been

derived from the experimental data, and resulted in the best simulation outcomes,

lead to the remodeling curves where the “lazy zone” was absent for the

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114

experimental groups without the loading regime, thus contradicting the

assumption of the Mechanostat Theory.

Figure 5.5. Visualization of the local remodeling sites for SHM 0N group. From

left to right the images show a coronal cross sectional view of the 6th caudale

vertebra for the in vivo experiment, in silico simulation with a linear model, and

in silico simulation with the logarithmic model. Color code refers to the total

formation, resorption, and quiescence of bone over the period of 4 weeks of the

study. Fine details of the linear and logarithmic implementations of the

computational remodeling algorithm can be better assessed in the 4X zoom in

view.

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115

Table 5.5: Static morphometry for the predictive study: long-term group and

individual outcomes

Study Remodeling

Rule

Static Morphometric Parameters

BV/TV [%] BS/BV

[1/mm] Tb.Th [µm]

Tb.N

[1/mm]

SHM

0N

Experimental 17.4 ± 2.2 31.7 ± 4.4 79.7 ± 8.0 2.46 ± 0.11

Group 17.3 ± 0.7 29.7 ± 1.6 88.1 ± 3.3 2.39 ± 0.12

Individual 16.9 ± 3.5 30.9 ± 4.8 86.3 ± 10.6 2.40 ± 0.14

OVX

0N

Experimental 9.5 ± 1.6 40.7 ± 2.0 67.3 ±3.0 2.13 ± 0.21

Group 9.0 ± 0.5 48.8 ± 4.3** 60.9 ± 3.9* 2.26 ± 0.11*

Individual 9.2 ± 1.0 48.6 ± 4.9** 61.3 ± 4.9* 2.31 ± 0.13*

SHM

8N

Experimental 14.7 ± 1.9 30.3 ± 3.4 85.4 ± 7.1 2.04 ± 0.12

Group 14.4 ± 0.5 31.5 ± 1.0 85.1 ± 2.7 2.16 ± 0.03

Individual 15.1 ± 1.8 30.4 ± 3.3 87.9 ± 6.4 2.18 ± 0.02

* p<0.05 and ** p<0.01 from ANOVA corrected for multiple comparison

considered significant

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116

Table 5.6: Dynamic morphometry for the predictive study: long-term group and

individual outcomes

Study Remodeling Rule

Dynamic Morphometric Parameters

BFR

[%/d]

BRR

[%/d]

MAR

[µm/d]

MRR

[µm/d] MS [%] ES [%]

SHM

0N

Experimental 0.2 ±

0.1 0.1 ± 0 0.3 ± 0

0.4 ±

0.1

46.1 ±

3.8

26.5 ±

3.5

Group 0.4 ±

0.2

0.2 ±

0.1**

0.3 ± 0 0.4 ± 0

51.4 ±

8.2

26.4 ±

7.4

Individual 0.3 ±

0.2

0.3 ±

0.1**

0.3 ± 0 0.4 ± 0

48.5 ±

13.5

28.1 ±

9.8

OVX

0N

Experimental 0.2 ±

0.1

0.9 ±

0.1 0.4 ± 0

0.9 ±

0.1

25.8 ±

2.9

35.3 ±

2.8

Group 0.3 ±

0.2

2.9 ±

0.5**

1.1 ±

0.1**

2.1 ±

0.1**

13.7

±5.6**

51.1

±3.8**

Individual 0.3 ±

0.2

2.9 ±

0.8**

1.1 ±

0.1**

2.1 ±

0.2**

14.6

±7.8**

49.5

±4.2**

SHM

8N

Experimental 1.2 ±

0.3

1.4 ±

0.4

1.6 ±

0.2

2.4 ±

0.3

44.0 ±

5.8

35.2 ±

5.5

Group 0.8 ±

0.1

1.1 ±

0.2 1.1 ± 0

*

1.6 ±

0.1*

40.2 ±

3.9

35.1 ±

3.9

Individual 1.0 ±

0.4

1.0 ±

0.3

1.1 ±

0.1**

1.5 ±

0.1**

43.9 ±

9.4

32.2 ±

6.9

* p<0.05 and ** p<0.01 from paired Student’s t-test corrected for multiple

comparison considered significant

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117

Figure 5.6. Visualization of the local remodeling sites for OVX 0N group. From

left to right the images show a coronal cross sectional view of the 6th caudale

vertebra for the experiment, simulation with a linear model, and simulation with

the logarithmic model. Color code refers to the total formation, resorption, and

quiescence of bone over the period of 4 weeks of the study. Fine details of the

linear and logarithmic implementations of the computational remodeling

algorithm can be better assessed in the 4X zoom in view.

For the group that was undergoing mechanical loading, the separation between

bone formation and resorption thresholds was present, although in a minimal

representation, comprising less than 1% of the total SED range. The

insignificance of the “lazy zone” phenomenon in load-driven bone remodeling is

in agreement with a number of other recent investigations both in animal and

human bone [12, 21-23].

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118

Figure 5.7. Visualization of the local remodeling sites for SHM 8N group. From

left to right the images show a coronal cross sectional view of the 6th caudale

vertebra for the experiment, simulation with a linear model, and simulation with

the logarithmic model. Color code refers to the total formation, resorption, and

quiescence of bone over the period of 4 weeks of the study. Fine detailsof the

linear and logarithmic implementations of the computational remodeling

algorithm can be better assessed in the 4X zoom in view.

Interestingly, supporting evidence for this conclusion was also found in an

earlier animal study [12], which considered linear rather than logarithmic

remodeling relationship between bone remodeling and mechanical strains.

Combined, these findings provide justification for implementing a bone

remodeling function, such as a natural logarithm, which does not accommodate

“lazy zone”.

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119

Therefore, we have been able to simplify the model with in vivo derived

parameters further by replacing the piece-wise linear remodeling rules with

continuous analytical relationships of the logarithmic form. Natural logarithm

functions were given consideration due to their resemblance of the shapes of the

linear remodeling rules, as well as their ubiquity in the biological world [24-27].

The relationship between resorption and formation and their rate of change with

respect to the local mechanical strains could also be regarded as an underlying

principle for selecting logarithmic functions. For example, in vivo derived linear

remodeling rules suggest that bone is more sensitive to changes in mechanical

environment in the regulation of resorptive processes, while the rate of formation

is more stable once the corresponding mechanical threshold is reached. A natural

logarithmic function represents a derivative of such a response rate, and therefore

appears to be an appropriate selection for reflecting such differences in bone

formation and resorption processes.

In addition, in the transfer from linear to logarithmic rules we observed that the

major differences between the SHM 0N and OVX 0N groups was in the gradient

of the SED curve, while the intercept of the functions remained almost identical

(Figure 5.3). This change resulted in the reduction of maximum formation rate for

the osteopenic animals, while resorption controls remained very close to those of

the healthy group, an effect reported in many biological investigations across

species [28, 29]. In the SHM 8N group, on the other hand, the gradient remained

similar to that of the control group, while the intercept shifted to reflect the effect

of changes in the mechanical state of the system. As follows, both formation and

resorption processes were reduced. While this is in agreement with literature

reports of decreased bone resorption under mechanical loading conditions [30,

31], the finding disagrees with the earlier computational study on the lack of

effect of mechanical loading in bone formation [7]. Additionally, the relation

between SED and bone formation differed between loaded and control groups,

which could lead to two conclusions: first, the sensitivity of bone to mechanical

stimulus is reduced in the elevated strain scenarios, and second, it is the ratio of

resorption and formation, and not a single process, that leads to the net bone gain

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120

in the loading scenarios. While easily observable in the logarithmic functions,

these biologically relevant conclusions are not evident from the analysis of the

linear relationships. Stable outcomes in the static morphometry and improved

results of the dynamic morphometric evaluation further justified the selection of

the logarithmic remodeling rules for bone remodeling (Tables 5.3,5.4). Close

visual examination of the local remodeling sites was also in agreement with other

measurements: while the locations of the formation and resorption have hardly

shifted between the linear and logarithmic models, the amount of bone added and

removed appeared to resemble biological patterns closer in simulations with the

logarithmic models (Figures 5.5-5.7). In conclusion, the replacement of the linear

relationship with the logarithmic functions improved the quality of the simulation

outcomes and particularly correlations of the dynamic morphometry between the

in silico and in vivo outcomes.

Another confirmation of the advantage of logarithmic rules and decoupling of

bone formation and resorption was that long-term (8 week) studies resulted in

accurate in silico predictions of in vivo outcomes using both animal and group-

specific control settings. As part of this approach control settings for the algorithm

were calculated on the individual basis using newly developed statistical tools.

Our original hypothesis was that such single-animal predictions could improve not

only individual outcomes, but also those of the entire group. While the approach

is noteworthy in that it is the first true attempt of long-term prediction of the bone

remodeling without any a priori knowledge about the subject, the variable success

of the outcomes suggests that the statistical model for the calculation of individual

parameters still lacks the precision and accuracy to confirm our hypothesis. The

lack of improvement in the individual outcomes can also be partially explained by

the genetic homogeneity of the animal pool, which was already well captured in

the group-wise simulations. While not sensitive enough for applications in inbred

animals, this approach can lead to more successful outcomes in the clinical setting

where the variability between subjects is much higher.

In conclusion, we have developed a new implementation of the load-driven

algorithm for in silico prediction of bone remodeling. Using a mouse model, bone

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remodeling rules were established for healthy, osteopenic, and mechanically

loaded animals. Our results not only contradicted the existence of the “lazy zone”

in the mechanical control of bone remodeling, but also provided strong evidence

of logarithmic relationship between local mechanical strains and bone formation

and resorption processes. These results provided new insights into the effects of

mechanical loading on bone remodeling that improve in silico predictions and

contributed to better understanding of the underlying biological processes. The

outcomes of the first fully predictive simulations and their validation against in

vivo study were reported. Finally, we have attempted to classify individual

animals and predict their long-term remodeling outcomes without previous

knowledge of their bone health in an effort to imitate clinical setting. While no

distinct advantages were seen in the inbred animal pool, the technique opens a

door of possibility for further development of the model and its applications in the

medical realm.

Materials and Methods

Ethics Statement

All animal studies have been approved by the veterinary authority of the canton of

Zurich, license number 117/2008 (Kantonales Veterinaeramt Zurich, Zurich,

Switzerland). Experiments have been carried out under veterinary supervision,

with an extra effort to minimize animal suffering.

Animal and visualization procedure

For the purposes of algorithm training and validation, we have relied on two

separately planned and executed animal studies. For the training setup a shorter

experiment was used in which female C57Bl/6 (B6) mice were either

ovariectomized or sham operated at 15 weeks of age [20, 32]. The procedure of

removing the ovaries leads to the state of estrogen depletion, and has been

established as a valid model for osteopenia, and eventually osteoporosis in

animals. The sham operation, in which animals undergo similar procedure, but all

internal structures remain intact, served as a control measure in the experiment.

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The lag of 11 weeks was allowed for animal maturation and development of

changes in the bone structure. At week 26 mechanical loading of the 6th caudal

vertebra (CV6) was started for the animals assigned to the loading treatment

group [33]. This setup was designed to test the effect of controlled loading on

bone adaptation and architecture, which is highly relevant in the context of

Mechanostat Theory.

Briefly, the experimental procedure involved insertion of metal pins into the

5th and 7th caudal vertebrae of the animals and application of a sinusoidal force

of 8N at the frequency of 10Hz for 5 min/day, three times a week. All

experimental procedures were carried out under general anesthesia over the period

of 4 weeks. A total of three experimental scenarios have been investigated: sham

operated (SHM 0N; n=8) or healthy group, sham operated and mechanically

loaded group (SHM 8N; n=8), and ovariectomized group (OVX 0N; n=9). Time-

lapsed bone adaptation was monitored on the fortnightly basis for a period of 4

weeks, resulting in a total of 3 measurements. In vivo micro computed

tomography (μCT) scans were performed with the isotropic voxel resolution of

10.5 µm (vivaCT 40, Scanco Medical, Brüttisellen, Switzerland).

In the validation setup experimental data was taken from two previously

published longitudinal studies. Where experimental procedures for SHM 0N (n=7)

and OVX 0N (n=9) followed a similar protocol as described for the training set

but for a period of 12 instead of 4 weeks [34]. The SHM 8N (n=5) group used in

the validation study has not undergone surgery, but otherwise has been subjected

to the similar treatment, loading, and monitoring procedures as previously

described [35]. Consistently with the other two groups in the validation setup

SHM 8N animals have been subject to biweekly μCT scanning for a total of 7

measurements.

In the validation study the first three measurements were not used in the

simulations due to the rapid bone changes associated with the effect of the

ovariectomy in a juvenile animal for the OVX 0N group [34], and for consistency

reasons in the other two groups.

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123

Fig

ure

5.8

. S

eria

l a

nd

cu

mu

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isu

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on

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bo

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od

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el.

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124

Fig

ure 5

.9S

erial a

nd

cum

ula

tive visualiza

tion

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125

Fig

ure

5.1

0. S

eria

lan

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el.

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126

Figure 5.11. Time course of static morphometric parameters over all time points

for SHM 0N. The solid black line represents the experimental group, while grey

dashed line corresponds to the simulation. The error bars describe the standard

deviation calculated for all animals. Stars denote statistical significance assessed

with ANOVA corrected for repeated measurements, where p values bellow 0.05

were considered significant.

All post-processing and image registration procedures, as well as resulting

differentiation of the sites of bone formation and resorption have followed

previously published protocols [21, 36].

Finite Element Calculation

Based on the existing literature and previous implementation of the bone

remodeling algorithm [14, 37], strain energy density (SED) was chosen as a

mechanical signal in the remodeling simulations. Individual voxels in the μCT

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127

scans were converted to 8 node hexahedral elements. Tissue properties were

carried over from literature, where Young’s modulus was set to 14.8 GPa, and

Poisson’s ratio to 0.3 [33].

Figure 5.12. Time course of static morphometric parameters over all time points

for OVX 0N. The solid black line represents the experimental group, while grey

dashed line corresponds to the simulation. The error bars describe the standard

deviation calculated for all animals. Stars denote statistical significance assessed

with ANOVA corrected for repeated measurements, where p values bellow 0.05

were considered significant.

All models were assumed to be linear elastic. Circular intervertebral discs were

applied on the top and bottom surfaces of the vertebrae to ensure even force

distribution. To prevent numerical issues during solving, intervertebral discs were

assigned same tissue properties as the rest of the model. SED distributions were

derived from applying uniaxial compressive forces of 4N for the non-loaded

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128

groups [38], and 8N for the animals undergoing mechanical loading in vivo. FE

analysis was performed on a reference input image, as well as on follow-up

simulation outputs in an iterative manner. All calculations were carried out at the

Swiss National Supercomputing Center (CSCS, Lugano, Switzerland) using

ParFE solver [39] with 128 CPUs and solution time of less than 60 seconds for a

model of approximately 1.8 million elements

Bone remodeling algorithm

To test the first hypothesis of whether decoupling the control parameters for bone

resorption and formation events would improve the outcomes of the simulations

the original algorithm for bone adaptation had to be modified respectively (Figure

5.2A-B). Briefly, the framework was structured in a strain-adaptive feedback

structure, where bone surface was modified by adding or removing voxels in

response to the mechanical stimuli in an iterative manner [1]..

This version of the algorithm was based on the symmetric interpretation of the

Mechanostat Theory, where both formation and resorption were controlled by

four variable parameters, according to the following formula (adapted from [1]):

maxmax

max

max

maxmax

, ( )

( ) ( ), ( )

( ) 0, ( )

( ) ( ), ( )

, ( )

res

res res res

res for

for for for

for

uu SED x SED

uSED SED x SED SED x SED

u x SED SED x SED

uSED SED x SED SED x SED

uu SED SED x

Where u(x) is bone remodeling rate in mm/week, τ is bone formation and

resorption rate per SED in (mm/week)/MPa, SEDres and SEDfor are resorption and

formation thresholds respectively in MPa, and umax is a maximum remodeling

velocity in mm/week. The first modification of the algorithm comprised

decoupling τ and umax into formation and resorption components. The

corresponding remodeling equation is as follows:

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129

, ( )

( ) ( ), ( )

0, ( )( )

( ) ( ), ( )

, ( )

resres res

res

resres res res res res

res

res for

for

for for for for for

for

for

for for

for

uu SED x SED

uSED SED x SED SED x SED

SED SED x SEDu x

uSED SED x SED SED x SED

uu SED SED x

In the second modification, several non-linear functions (exponential and

logarithmic) were considered as a replacement to the linear implementation. The

major motivation in testing this hypothesis was reduction of the model

complexity, as well as improvement of the biological relevance of the model.

Natural logarithm implementation was found to be the closest fit to the existing

remodeling curves, and produced better or similar simulation outcomes than linear

models. Logarithmic approach thus was chosen as the preferred form of the bone

remodeling rules.

Selection of parameters for the linear model

Following the decoupling of formation and resorption controls, the number of

variable parameters in the algorithm increased from four to six. In order to reduce

the complexity of the model, we have attempted to derive all of the control

parameters from the corresponding in vivo measurements, and thus test the second

hypothesis (Table 5.1). Therefore, ures and ufor were calculated directly from the

maximum detected formation and resorption rates in the experimental data. This

was achieved through using registered time-lapsed in vivo μCT scans to detect

formation and resorption pits [36], measuring their maximum depth and

converting the values to the appropriate time scale. The extracted maximum

values were then averaged over all animals within each group, resulting in the

maximum formation and resorption velocities for each experimental scenario. To

derive the settings for formation and resorption thresholds we have relied on the

previously introduced method of remodeling probability curves [21]. Briefly,

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130

according to the technique, there exists a number of voxels that will be formed,

removed, or remain quiescent for each SED value. When incorporating time into

this method, probability of each remodeling event can be calculated using non-

linear regression analysis. To make results comparable across individual animals

and groups SED values were normalized by the maximum value calculated for

each animal. Due to the uncertainty factor associated with the probability

calculation, direct transfer of the outcomes into the model parameters was less

successful than expected, however SED intersection points between resorption

and quiescence, and quiescence and formation derived from the remodeling

probability curves could be used as reliable reference values for SEDres and SEDfor

settings. Similarly, due to the lack of direct links between experimental

measurements and formation and resorption rates (τres and τfor) with respect to

measured SED value this parameter has to be selected iteratively. However,

because of the strong interplay between the SED thresholds and remodeling rates

and derivation of the former from in vivo data, the number of available settings for

τres and τfor was reduced from the previous algorithm implementation. Therefore,

this approach not only improved biological relevance of the model, but also

established reasonable basis for the parameter selection, reducing the optimization

time.

While the expansion of the algorithm improved simulation capacity for

formation and resorption, as well as allowed direct incorporation of the in vivo

measured parameters into the model, it also made controlling the model more

challenging. In an attempt to simplify the extended remodeling rules, we have

hypothesized that by replacing linear curves governed by 6 parameters with non-

linear functions the model could be simplified without compromising the quality

of the simulations. In the process of selecting appropriate non-linear functions

focus was placed on exponential and logarithmic relationships that resembled the

shapes of the existing in vivo derived linear relationships (Figure 5.2C-D).

Logarithmic curves proved to be the best fit for the linear functions and produced

improved outcomes when compared to in vivo data. Selection of the group-wise

logarithmic functions was optimized around SED thresholds derived from the

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experimental data, as well as maximum formation and resorption rates, calculated

directly from the in vivo measurements (Figure 5.3, Table 5.4). SED values of 0

were inherently excluded from the evaluation, eliminating the need for the cut off

values on the resorption sides. Excessive remodeling at either end of the

logarithmic curve was not relevant due to the Gaussian distribution of the SED

values. In addition, concave down shape of the logarithmic functions reduced the

number of available parametric option for the gradient (α) and intercept (β) terms,

thus simplifying the optimization of the group remodeling rules [20]. In summary,

in selecting two parameters of the logarithmic remodeling rules interplay between

the two variables was a deciding factor, at the same time proximity to the values

of the linear relationships was favored whenever possible (Figure 5.3, Table 5.2).

Statistical analysis for the calculation of individual remodeling rules

The fourth hypothesis we have posed explored the potential of predicting animal-

specific model parameters for the logarithmic relationships from the experimental

data. To be able to verify whether exists a relationship between in vivo measured

parameters and control setting of the algorithm, individual simulation for each

animal in the training data set were carried out. Within this process, distinct sets

of α and β values were derived for each animal. From the resulting remodeling

rules it became apparent that α parameter is related to the experimental treatment

of the group, where the value for the parameter was identical for both SHM

groups and distinct for the OVX group, while β was strictly individual.

Therefore, to predict α term of the logarithmic function, a logistic regression,

or in the case of binary coefficients, conditional probability approach was chosen

to differentiate between the treatment groups [40]. Within this approach a ratio of

probabilities of the individual belonging to either group is calculated. In the case

of the training set there was a clear separation between SHM and OVX groups,

where one of the probability terms was always 0, leading us to consider the

classification approach instead [41].

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132

Figure 5.13. Time course of static morphometric parameters over all time points

for SHM 8N. The solid black line represents the experimental group, while grey

dashed line corresponds to the simulation. The error bars describe the standard

deviation calculated for all animals. Stars denote statistical significance assessed

with ANOVA corrected for repeated measurements, where p values bellow 0.05

were considered significant.

Selection of logarithmic remodeling rules

This method allowed establishing a rule for the separation of all animals into

the respective treatment groups, using three parameters from the in vivo

measurement, namely, the starting bone volume fraction (BV/TV), the final

BV/TV measurement, and the overall bone resorption rate (BRR).

Linear models allowing complex interactions between the predictor variables

were then used for each group to calculate individual β terms [41]. For SHM 0N

group the model was based on the cubic interaction between the starting BV/TV,

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133

and a combination of BFR and BRR (r2>0.61). The predictive model for SHM 8N

group comprised a quadratic interaction of BFR and BRR (r2>0.60). Finally, for

the OVX 0N, similarly to the SHM 0N group, the prediction was based on the

cubic interaction of the starting BV/TV values and BFR and BRR (r2>0.99).

Simulations for the long-term data set were then performed on the group-wise

basis, using earlier selected logarithmic remodeling curves, as well as

individually, with the animal-specific determination of the α and β terms of based

on the predictive models established with the training set. The certainty of the

differentiation of α parameter was 100% without any a priori knowledge of the

group classification. In calculating the individual β terms, the predicted fit value

was considered in the first simulation attempt, and then modified within the range

of the prediction to maximally improve the outcomes. Statistical analysis was

performed with the software package R 3.1.2 (www.r-project.org/) and SPSS

(IBM SPSS Statistics, V20.0).

Comparison of static and dynamic morphometry

Static and dynamic morphometry was assessed for both in vivo and in silico data

sets according to the previously established protocols [20, 36]. Bone volume

fraction (BV/TV), specific bone surface (BS/BV), trabecular thickness (Tb.Th),

and trabecular number (Tb.N) were included for the static evaluation. Dynamic

morphometry was derived from the registration of the last measurement onto the

first one, and included 3D bone formation rate (BFR), mineral apposition rate

(MAR), mineralizing surface (MS), as well as bone resorption rate (BRR),

mineral resorption rate (MRR) and eroded surface (ES).

For static morphometric evaluation residual plots, Q-Q plots, histograms, and

Levine’s tests for homogeneity of variances were used to test model assumptions

prior to comparing group means using one-way ANOVA analysis with post hoc

Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons. Kolmogorov-Smirnof test was

used to test for equal variances prior to applying a paired two-sample Student’s t-

test corrected for multiple comparisons for the dynamic evaluation. p values of

0.05 or less were considered significant for all test.

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Financial Disclosure

The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Union for the

Osteoporotic Virtual Physiological Human Project (VPHOP FP7-ICT2008-

223865) and computational time from the Swiss National Supercomputing Center

(CSCS, Lugano, Switzerland). The funders had no role in study design, data

collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge help with the algorithm management from

Alexander Zwahlen and Sandro D. Badilatti, both of the Institute for

Biomechanics at the ETH Zurich, as well conceptual inputs from Dr. Friederike

A. Schulte, Dr. Davide Ruffoni (formerly of the Institute for Biomechanics at the

ETH Zurich), and Dr. Bert van Rietbergen (of the Technical University of

Eindhoven).

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validation study. Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin, 2008. 11(5):

p. 435-41.

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34. Lambers, F.M., et al., Longitudinal assessment of in vivo bone dynamics in

a mouse tail model of postmenopausal osteoporosis. Calcif Tissue Int,

2012. 90(2): p. 108-19.

35. Lambers, F.M., et al., Trabecular bone adapts to long-term cyclic loading

by increasing stiffness and normalization of dynamic morphometric rates.

Bone, 2013. 55(2): p. 325-34.

36. Schulte, F.A., et al., In vivo micro-computed tomography allows direct

three-dimensional quantification of both bone formation and bone

resorption parameters using time-lapsed imaging. Bone, 2011. 48(3): p.

433-442.

37. Ruimerman, R., et al., The effects of trabecular-bone loading variables on

the surface signaling potential for bone remodeling and adaptation.

Annals of Biomedical Engineering, 2005. 33(1): p. 71-78.

38. Christen, P., et al., Bone morphology allows estimation of loading history

in a murine model of bone adaptation. Biomech Model Mechanobiol,

2012. 11(3-4): p. 483-92.

39. Arbenz, P., et al., A scalable multi-level preconditioner for matrix-free

mu-finite element analysis of human bone structures. International Journal

for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 2008. 73(7): p. 927-947.

40. Menard, S.W., Applied logistic regression analysis. 2nd. ed. Quantitative

applications in the social sciences. 2002, Thousand Oaks, Calif.: Sage. 111

S.

41. Little, T.D., The Oxford handbook of quantitative methods. Oxford library

of psychology. 2013, New York: Oxford University Press. 2 vol.

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Chapter 6

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Synthesis

Trabecular bone tissue is fascinating in its adaptive capacity. It is known to react

to physiological stresses and strains by changing its architectural orientation, and

adding or removing material as needed. At the same time it is an integral part of

the body, and is thus governed by systemic endocrine and molecular processes.

When the homeostatic state of bone is disrupted, the trabecular structures remodel

in a manner that compromises their physiological function. One of the most

common diseases of bone in humans is osteoporosis. While there are a number of

pathways that lead to this condition, its effect on bone tissue is predictable: the

remodeling processes become impaired and a net loss of bone is sustained. In its

early stages the condition is referred to as osteopenia and it is characterized by

moderate bone loss, which is relatively benign in its consequences. If left

undetected and untreated, the disease often develops into osteoporosis, which is

characterized by significant bone loss, and a corresponding increased risk of

developing fractures. While regular clinical screening with dual X-ray

absorptiometry (DXA) are recommended for women over the age of 65, the

individual course of the disease is difficult to predict, and early fractures often go

unnoticed. Once the first fracture takes place, the quality of life of a patient will be

irreversibly decreased. Severe cases can even result in life-threatening

complications. The best way to deal with the effects of osteoporosis is by

preventing fractures and stopping the progression of bone loss. While a number of

pharmaceutical treatments to counter the effects of the disease are available in

clinics, computational approaches provide a promising auxiliary tool to the

medical practice in individual prediction and treatment planning of bone diseases.

Similar to the drug development process, the development of in silico tools for

clinical integration is an extensive and time-intensive process comprising concept

development, programming and implementation of the idea, and stage-wise

testing and validation procedures. Before the functional framework can be used in

practice, accuracy and reproducibility studies should be carried out in animals,

and if possible validated against in vivo data.

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A number of promising computational models for bone remodeling were

brought to the attention of the scientific community when the associated

computational tools became available in the early 2000’s [1-3]. Yet, none has

advanced through all the stages of clinical integration due to large scale of

required resources, or limited validation tools. In addition, poor understanding of

the underlying biological processes, and the difficulty of translating patient-

specific bone remodeling processed into a controlled algorithm framework, have

further reduced relevance of such in silico models in the clinical setting.

The work presented in this thesis aimed to address a number of the above

outlined limitations of the current computational approaches in bone research.

First, previously developed simulated bone atrophy (SIBA) algorithm was tested

in its correlative modeling capacity. Cases of age-related bone loss, as well as

preventive and curative treatments with anti-resorptive and anabolic agents were

simulated. High-resolution three dimensional geometries of human vertebrae and

femora were used as input for the model. Population- and literature-based

validations were a final objective of this study.

Additionally, a more biologically integrative algorithm for bone remodeling

was considered for further development [4]. Briefly, this model was developed on

the principles of the Mechanostat Theory of bone modeling and remodeling [5].

The workflow was based on the iterative strain-feedback loop, in which an output

of the first step served as an input for the next step. The model was developed

using in vivo animal data collected as part of ovariectomy and mechanical loading

experiments. The aim within this thesis was to perform a comprehensive

validation of the framework using a database of 240 animals. The validation

addressed not only bone loss and mechanical loading scenarios, but encompassed

preventive and curative stages of treatment with anabolic and anti-resorptive

therapies. This was the first case where the algorithm was subjected to such an

exhaustive validation process, performed not only on the population level, but

rather in the animal-specific format using both quantitative and qualitative

assessment techniques.

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Several of the algorithm limitations became apparent during the large-scale

simulations of catabolic and anabolic processes in bone. While some of the

limitations, such as simplified tissue properties and boundary conditions, seemed

to be inherent to the current state of computational capabilities, the restrictive

capacities of the model in controlling bone adaptation processes became a major

focus of the thesis. Within this part of the study, the control parameters of the in

silico algorithm were decoupled to allow independent control of formation and

resorption. In addition, the original iterative process of parameter matching and

selection was abandoned in favor of deriving the settings directly from the

available in vivo data. Briefly, the maximum formation and resorption rates were

calculated directly from the experimental measurements, while strain thresholds

for both formation and resorption were derived using a sophisticated remodeling

probability technique [6]. The remaining formation and resorption rate per SED

could also be integrated with the other settings, leaving very little room for

iterative selection. One of the observations that resulted from this development

process was that the previously linear relationships between bone remodeling and

strain resembled a logarithmic curve once the in vivo settings were incorporated.

This led to the hypothesis that using a single logarithmic curve to model bone

remodeling with respect to mechanical signal would allow simplification of the

algorithm controls without compromising the quality of the simulation outcomes.

This indeed proved to be correct when verified in a correlative study with the

experimental animal data. A reduction in the number of model controls by a factor

of three allowed construction of a statistical model of manageable complexity for

the prediction of individual parametric settings. This was a novel and clinically

relevant advance. Both earlier selected group-specific parameters and individually

predicted model controls were then verified in a truly predictive investigation. In

this most advanced validation to date, an independent animal in vivo datasets of

healthy, osteopenic, and pharmaceutically- and mechanically-treated bone

conditions were used for quantitative and qualitative verification of the in silico

outputs. The result of this hypothesis-driven algorithm development was a new set

of biological relationships between bone remodeling and local strain environment

for healthy, mechanically loaded, and osteopenic conditions; a statistical model

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for the prediction of patient-specific simulation parameters; and finally, predictive

validation outcomes that exceeded accuracy of any previously reported

simulation.

The main outcome of this thesis was the development of an in silico model for

prediction of bone adaptation in clinically relevant scenarios. Additionally,

previously unexplored computational representations bone remodeling processes

were investigated and integrated into the in silico algorithm.

Simulations of bone remodeling in whole human bone in health and disease

The main objective of this study was simulation of the microstructural changes in

high resolution three dimensional samples of whole human bone. An additional

novelty to this work was brought in through expanding the focus from

osteoporotic effects alone to incorporation the effects of the clinically relevant

treatments, such as bisphosphonates and parathyroid hormone.

The SIBA algorithm was previously shown to be a suitable tool for the

simulation of bone loss in human samples [7] and bone gain in an animal model

[8]. The present work in effect combines both developments into a comprehensive

study of catabolic, anabolic, and anti-resorptive transformations in bone. One of

the major outcomes of the investigation was the development of a sample

database, which allowed juxtaposition of individual bone architecture with the

clinical measure of bone quality. It has been shown that degree of anisotropy

(DA) can provide valuable additional information regarding the structural

integrity of trabecular bone [9], however, due to the extensive analysis required

for the measurement of this parameter, the practice is currently not included in the

clinical evaluation of bone quality. A sample database would allow indirect

incorporation of this metric into patient assessment through a reference system.

With respect to the simulation outcomes, the data is in agreement with previous

literature reports. For example, Müller reported an average decrease of 38% in

vertebral BV/TV as a result of 30 years of bone loss [7]. This result was

confirmed and repeated in the current study, supporting the consistency of the

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approach. Clinical reports of changes due to PTH and BIS treatments could also

be captured in the in silico measurements, despite the fact that the initial year of

therapy required a separate set of control parameters to reflect the striking effect

of 6% increase in bone mass [10-12]. The algorithm was also able to replicate the

subsequent plateau of the treatment effect, as well as match the iteration lengths

reported in literature.

In conclusion, in silico tools can offer not only a powerful model of biological

events, but also serve as the reinforcement to the established clinical approaches.

Current application of the SIBA algorithm for the simulation of microstructural

changes in whole three-dimensional human vertebrae and femora resulted in

accurate predictions of bone formation and resorption processes in response to

osteoporosis and associated treatment therapies. Nevertheless, further

development of the model to increase its biological relevance was required to

maximize its clinical applicability and predictive potential.

In vivo validation of the mechanical feedback algorithm

The objective of the second study was to carry out a validation of a novel strain-

adaptive in silico algorithm for simulation of trabecular bone adaptation. The

comprehensive validation process of the model was facilitated through direct

comparison of the simulation results with the in vivo µCT data. The experimental

study was based on a mouse model for estrogen-depletion induced osteopenia at

an early and advanced age, as well as interventions in the form of mechanical

loading, bisphosphonate and parathyroid hormone treatments. Unlike many of the

previously introduced algorithms that underwent population-based validation [1-

3], including the one discussed in the previous section, this study provided

encompassing validation according to the proposed gold standard [13], and

included static and dynamic morphometric assessments [14], as well as

comparison of the local bone architecture.

With this application of the mechanical-feedback algorithm we were able to

reproduce changes in BV/TV with a maximum error of 4.5% for all investigated

scenarios. This result is an improvement on the previously reported error of group

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means of 12.1% [4]. The overall agreement of other morphometric indexes

between in vivo and in silico results was also improved, with the exception of

Tb.Th, which remained a challenging target. Dynamic morphometry, evaluated in

terms of bone formation and resorption rates, and mineral apposition and

resorption rates, and surfaces, was also captured well in the simulations; however

closer matches were compromised in favor of better static morphometric and local

architectural agreements. For example, due to the symmetric implementation of

the remodeling algorithm for formation and resorption, and the major focus on the

bone volume fraction, the best results were achieved in predictions of trabecular

spacing and number, along with bone formation rates, while mineralizing and

eroding surfaces, trabecular thickness, and bone resorption rate were more

difficult to match.

Among many other promising models for bone adaptation that have been

previously published [1, 2, 4, 15]; none have undergone such an extensive

validation based not only on direct comparison with in vivo data, but also

inclusive of the effects of bone loss and therapeutic strategies with distinct

mechanisms of action. These developments increase the degree of biological

validity of the model, and grant it further relevance on the way to clinical

implementation.

Nevertheless, there is a number of limitations that must be discussed and

addressed with the proposed model. The first is the assumption of the tissue

homogeneity, which can only be addressed through adapting higher resolution

tissue visualization and finite element analysis methods, both of which are

currently technologically unavailable. The second limitation of the presented

model, which became apparent in the validation process, was the coupling of the

control parameters for formation and resorption, as well as for the remodeling

saturation. Separate definition of those parameters would allow independent

control of the two processes, at the same time preserving the mechanical-feedback

principle of the model. Finally, linking the parameters to the in vivo measurements

could improve model outcomes, at the same time simplifying the simulation

process and adding a more realistic dimension to the outcomes.

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In conclusion, a comprehensive in vivo validation of the predictive strain-

adaptive computational model was presented. The validation was performed for

hormone-related bone loss, as well as for anabolic and anti-resorptive therapies.

The simulation errors for the static and dynamic morphometric indices were

evaluated along with accompanying visual comparison of the local remodeling

sites for 181 animals.

Predictive simulations of bone remodeling

The first objective of this section of the thesis was driven by the main limitation

observed in the validation study, namely that formation and resorption could not

be adequately simulated with a single set of parameters. Therefore, the first aim

was to decouple the control parameters for bone formation and resorption. While

this modification increased the overall complexity of the algorithm, the outcomes

of the simulations confirmed that this was indeed a necessary step. The biological

basis for this modification were also undeniable, with numerous studies [16-18]

demonstrating distinct pathways for the two remodeling processes.

In an effort to simplify parametric selection for the model, as well as to add

biological relevance to the implementation, control settings for the expanded

algorithm were derived from the in vivo data. A large dataset of experimental

outcomes from the mouse model for osteoporosis and related treatments was

utilized to directly calculate or indirectly derive all six control setting. Previous

computational algorithms have mostly relied on literature and/or assumptions

from the experimental studies to choose control settings, therefore, this effort

denotes the first attempt to run an algorithm fully based on the in vivo

measurements. Improved simulation outcomes in terms of quantitative and

qualitative comparison with experimental data confirmed the advantages of the

chosen strategy.

Further analysis of the in vivo derived settings with respect to the relationship

between bone remodeling and local mechanical signal, revealed not only a distinct

similarity of the resultant piece-wise linear functions to the shape of the natural

logarithm curve, but also the absence of the so called “lazy zone”. This is not an

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entirely new finding, as several recent studies reported results contradicting this

previously widely accepted concept [19-21]; however, the results of this study

provide valuable evidence that further supports this paradigm shift.

The following conversion of the remodeling equations into natural logarithm

format allowed reduction in the complexity of the model, and facilitated some

further discoveries of bone remodeling processes. For example, we observed that

thresholds for formation and resorption between ovariectomized and healthy

animals were very similar, while the sensitivity to the local strains was increased,

and the overall maximum formation rate decreased. In the mechanically loaded

group, on the other hand, the maximum remodeling rates remained the same,

while the threshold shifted to reflect the effect of changes in the mechanical state

of the system, thus reducing both formation and resorption processes. This led to

two possible interpretations: first, that the sensitivity of bone to mechanical

stimulus is reduced if systemic strain rates are increased, and second, that it is the

ratio of resorption to formation, rather than a change on either side, that resulted

in the net bone change. These conclusions, while apparent in the logarithmic

implementation, were not evident in the linear model. The outcomes of the

simulations were also further improved, particularly with respect to the dynamic

morphometric parameters.

In the last two objectives of the study a novel method to predict individual

remodeling settings was introduced. Additionally, group-wise logarithmic

relationships and animal-specific predictions were validated using a separate in

vivo dataset. The results of these truly prognostic simulations were encouraging in

their accuracy, as both quantitative and qualitative outcomes were better than

previously reported with the original model [22, 23].

Limitations and future research

The thesis was structured in a way that facilitated each objective to address the

main limitation of the previous study with the focus on improving the capabilities

of bone remodeling simulations. Nevertheless, there remain many drawbacks of

the available tools and selected implementations. Following is the discussion of

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the major limitations of the work along with the suggestions for potential

improvements.

The SIBA algorithm in itself is a useful tool for simulating changes in bone;

however, due to its lack of mechanical or endocrine feedbacks, the outcomes have

very limited level of biological relevance. This results in a global simulation of

bone changes, where local environment is given no consideration. The second

algorithm used in this thesis addressed both of those limitations by incorporating

the strain energy density signal calculated for each individual voxel. On the other

hand, this new implementation required the use of Finite Element analysis, a

ubiquitous computational tool, subject to many criticisms of its own. Thus, the

main concerns in the analysis were the use of homogeneous tissue properties for

the entire bone, as well as simplified boundary condition assumptions. On the side

of the model controls for the bone remodeling, the first and foremost drawback

was a combined implementation of formation and resorption controls. This issue

was addressed in the last objective of the thesis, along with a better system for

parametric selection. With respect to the current status of bone remodeling

frameworks, there remain a number of limitations to be addressed. First, the

statistical tool developed for the prediction of individual parameters did not prove

to be as useful as expected in the validation with genetically controlled population

of animals. A verification of the model potential with human data, or a diverse

animal pool could show a direction for further development. The algorithm could

also benefit from converting micro-CT grey scale values directly into the tissue

properties. Additionally, using more realistic loading scenarios, such as those

proposed by Christen et al. [24] could lead to more accurate strain maps, and thus

better matches in the remodeled surfaces. Finally, since the model has undergone

exhaustive validation with the animal data, transfer into the human domain would

be the next logical step on the way to clinical applications.

Conclusions

In summary, the work carried out within this thesis led to relevant developments

of computational application for bone remodeling and made a contribution to the

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current understanding and in silico implementation of the underlying biological

processes. The thesis commenced with the phenomenological simulations of

clinically relevant cases in human vertebrae and femora. The second achievement

was a large-scale validation of the mechanical-feedback algorithm according to

the current gold standard. Third, the in vivo derivation of the relationships

between bone remodeling and local mechanical environment was carried out.

Fourth, conversion of the linear model into a logarithmic format accompanied by

the introduction of the statistical model for the prediction of algorithm setting was

performed. Finally, the predictive power and validity of the developed algorithm

were established.

These achievements correspond to the goals of the thesis to develop an in

silico framework for the prediction of bone adaptation in clinically relevant

scenarios, and brings the algorithm for bone remodeling one step closer to clinical

applications.

References

1. Adachi, T., et al., Trabecular surface remodeling simulation for

cancellous bone using microstructural voxel finite element models. Journal

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2. Ruimerman, R., et al., A theoretical framework for strain-related

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3. Müller, R., Long-term prediction of three-dimensional bone architecture

in simulations of pre-, peri- and post-menopausal microstructural bone

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6. Schulte, F.A., et al., Local mechanical stimuli regulate bone formation and

resorption in mice at the tissue level. PLoS One, 2013. 8(4): p. e62172.

7. Muller, R., Long-term prediction of three-dimensional bone architecture

in simulations of pre-, peri- and post-menopausal microstructural bone

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8. Schulte, F.A., et al., In vivo validation of a computational bone adaptation

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9. Chappard, C., et al., Anisotropy changes in post-menopausal osteoporosis:

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images. Osteoporos Int, 2005. 16(10): p. 1193-202.

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12. Jodar-Gimeno, E., Full length parathyroid hormone (1-84) in the

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14. Schulte, F.A., et al., In vivo micro-computed tomography allows direct

three-dimensional quantification of both bone formation and bone

resorption parameters using time-lapsed imaging. Bone, 2011. 48(3): p.

433-442.

15. Mc Donnell, P., et al., Simulation of vertebral trabecular bone loss using

voxel finite element analysis. Journal of biomechanics, 2009. 42(16): p.

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16. Huiskes, R., Validation of adaptive bone-remodeling simulation models.

Stud Health Technol Inform, 1997. 40: p. 33-48.

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17. Teitelbaum, S.L., Bone resorption by osteoclasts. Science, 2000.

289(5484): p. 1504-8.

18. Urist, M.R., Bone: formation by autoinduction. Science, 1965. 150(3698):

p. 893-9.

19. Sugiyama, T., et al., Bones' adaptive response to mechanical loading is

essentially linear between the low strains associated with disuse and the

high strains associated with the lamellar/woven bone transition. J Bone

Miner Res, 2012. 27(8): p. 1784-93.

20. Schulte, F.A., et al., Local Mechanical Stimuli Regulate Bone Formation

and Resorption in Mice at the Tissue Level. Plos One, 2013. 8(4).

21. Christen, P., et al., Bone remodelling in humans is load-driven but not

lazy. Nat Commun, 2014. 5: p. 4855.

22. Levchuk, A., et al., The Clinical Biomechanics Award 2012 - presented by

the European Society of Biomechanics: large scale simulations of

trabecular bone adaptation to loading and treatment. Clin Biomech

(Bristol, Avon), 2014. 29(4): p. 355-62.

23. Schulte, F.A., et al., Strain-adaptive in silico modeling of bone adaptation

- A computer simulation validated by in vivo micro-computed tomography

data. Bone, 2013. 52(1): p. 485-492.

24. Christen, P., et al., Bone morphology allows estimation of loading history

in a murine model of bone adaptation. Biomech Model Mechanobiol,

2012. 11(3-4): p. 483-92.

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Curriculum Vitae

Alina Levchuk

Born on 28th

May, 1986

Citizen of the United States of America

Education

2011 – 2015 Ph.D., ETH Zurich, Institute for Biomechanics, Zurich,

Switzerland

2009 – 2010 M.S., Specialization in Biomechanics, ETH Zurich,

Zurich, Switzerland

2004 – 2008 B.S., Biomedical Engineering, Macaulay Honors College,

The City College Of New York, New York, NY

Awards and honors (since 2008)

2014 Deutsche Gesellschaft für Biomechanik Award Finalist,

World Congress of Biomechanics (WCB)

2013 Student Competition Finalist, Dreiländertagung der

Deutschen, Schweizerischen und Österreichischen

Gesellschaft für Biomedizinische Technik (BMT)

2012 ESB Clinical Biomechanics Award Winner, European

Society of Biomechanics (ESB)

2009 Extension to the Whitaker International Fellowship

2008 – 2009 Whitaker International Fellowship

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Publications

1. A. Dhillon, P. Schneider, G. A. Kuhn, Y. Reinwald, L. White, A. Levchuk,

F. R. A. J. Rose, R. Müller, K. M. Shakesheff and C. V. Rahman. Analysis

of sintered polymer scaffolds using concomitant synchrotron computed

tomography and in situ mechanical testing. J. Mater. Sci. Mater. Med.,

22:2599-2605, 2012.

2. D. Christen, A. Levchuk, S. Schori, P. Schneider, S. K. Boyd and R. Müller.

Deformable image registration and 3D strain mapping for the quantitative

assessment of cortical bone microdamage. J. Mech. Behav. Biomed. Mater.,

8:184-193, 2012.

3. A. Levchuk and R. Müller. In vivo validation of predictive models for bone

remodeling and mechanobiology. In G. Holzapfel and E. Kuhl, editors,

Computer Models in Biomechanics, Springer Science+Business Media,

Dordrecht, Part 5, Chapter 27, pp. 383-394, 2013.

4. F. Donaldson, D. Ruffoni, P. Schneider, A. Levchuk, P. Pankaj and R.

Müller. A multilevel finite element approach to relate microdamage

behavior to cortical bone microstructure. Biomech. Model. Mechanobiol.,

13:1227-1242, 2014.

5. A. Carriero, M. Doube, M. Vogt, B. Busse, J. Zustin, A. Levchuk, P.

Schneider, R. Müller and S. J. Shefelbine. Altered lacunar and vascular

porosity in osteogenesis imperfecta mouse bone as revealed by synchrotron

tomography contributes to bone fragility. Bone, 61:116-124, 2014.

6. A. Levchuk, P. Schneider, M. Meier, P. Vogel, F. Donaldson and R. Müller.

An automated micro-compression device for 3D dynamic image-guided

failure assessment of bone tissue on a microstructural level. In preparation.

7. A. Levchuk, A. Zwahlen, C. Weigt, F. M. Lambers, S. D. Badilatti, F. A.

Schulte, G. Kuhn and R. Müller. The Clinical Biomechanics Award 2012 –

Presented by the European Society of Biomechanics: Large scale

simulations of trabecular bone adaptation to loading and treatment. Clin.

Biomech., 29:355-362, 2014.

8. S.D. Badilatti, P. Christen, A. Levchuk, J. Hazrati Marangalou, B. van

Rietbergen, I. Parkinson, R. Müller. Large-scale microstructural simulations

of load-adaptive bone remodeling in whole human vertebrae. Submitted.

9. A. Levchuk, R. Sommer, C. Weigt, F.M. Lambers, G. Kuhn, R. Müller.

Hypothesis-based investigation of load-driven remodeling in trabecular

bone. In preparation.