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In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
BT Roll-out Constraints
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
Roll out Criteria
• To meet Oftel Jan 2000 volume forecast
• Parity with BT Broadband programme
• OSS designed to meet Oftel Jan 2000 volume forecast
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only
Pre-Launch Milestones in Jeopardy?
• Framework Contract, non-disclosure agreement & Property Licence available.
• Release MDF Location information and Post-Code mapping data.
• First Survey orders submitted for for co-location (PCR1)
• Transfer co-location ordering to automated system.
• Release first 30 co-location POPs.
31 May 2000?
30 June 2000
1 Sept 2000
April-May2001
May-June2001
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
First Year Roll out Plan
• PoPs14 trial sites+ 30 by 30/6/01= 44 total
• Loops 2100
1/7/02
548
Ramping up as PoPscome on stream. Start in 7/01 at 13500 reaching50,000 per month in Dec 01
42 per month(physical + distant)
Trial exit 1/7/01
490,000-530,000PoP = Point of Presence
either physical or distant
Throughput
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
Constraints (1)
• MDF jumpering (requires geographic spread)
• Field force (CS)*
• Planners, construction resources, backhaul provision, networkBuild, BT Security, suppliers for PoPs
• Management of bow wave
400 changes per month per MDF42 PoPs per month
50,000 loops per month
* Recruitment for a 3 month peak is not efficient
42 PoPs per month
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
Constraints (2)Co-location and MPF ordering - geographic split
• London customer service areas 20%• North 25%• South 30%• Midlands 25%
Planning teams PoPsNorthern Ireland 2Scotland 3Wales + West 6North East/North West 6Midlands 6Northern Home Counties 6South East 5London 8
One month’s typical order breakdown -
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
Co-location Oftel Yearly Forecast
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Vol.
YR1 YR2 YR3
Jan-00May-00
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
MPF Oftel Yearly Forecasts
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Vol.(000)
yr1 yr2 yr3
Jan-00May-00
In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus
Group only
Conclusion • New Oftel forecast makes co-location volume
assumptions look sick.• Geographical detail required for further analysis.• Need commercial surround to Forecasting • Special ‘forecasting’ process to start as soon as:
– Framework Contract + Plan & Build agreed; (by 30/06/00)
– BT supplies MDF mapping data ( by 30/06/00)– Reward for early forecast must be “priority on
delivery”.