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9/21/2015
1
Institute for Healthcare Improvement Faculty
Michael Posencheg, MD
Rebecca Steinfield, MA
Day 1ASeptember 9 2015
Improvement Science
In Action: Introduction
These presenters have nothing to disclose.
Objectives
At the end of this session, participants will be able to:
• Describe the context for quality improvement in health care
• Identify the elements of Deming’s System of Profound Knowledge
• Apply the lens of profound knowledge to your improvement project
• Define the system you want to improve
• Review, revise, and refine your improvement project aims
• Develop a family of measures for an improvement project, including outcome, process, and balancing measures
• Develop change ideas from change concepts
• Identify opportunities to use the core improvement tools in your improvement project
9/21/2015
2
IHI’s Mission:To improve health and health care worldwide
3
IHI Faculty
Rebecca Steinfield
Rebecca Steinfield, MA, has been with IHI since
1996. She currently serves as Director of IHI’s
Improvement Advisor Professional Development
Program, teaches IHI courses on improvement
methods, and mentors “improvers-in-training.”
Rebecca sits on IHI’s Improvement Capability
Focus Area and Research and Evaluation teams.
Past IHI work includes serving as an Improvement
Advisor on IHI’s programming for reducing
unnecessary rehospitalizations and primary care
transformation in academic settings. She is also
mother to two teenagers: Jacob, 18, and Susie, 15.
4
9/21/2015
3
IHI Faculty
Michael PosenchegMichael Posencheg, MD, is an attending neonatologist
at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and the
Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania where he is
the Medical Director of the Intensive Care Nursery and
Newborn Nursery. He has completed the Improvement
Advisor (IA) program at the IHI (Wave 23) and the
Graduate IA program (Wave 30). As part of his duties
as Medical Director, he coordinates quality improvement
projects for his unit and has published on some of those
results. He is on the QI faculty and steering committee
for the University of Pennsylvania Health System. He is
also father of twin teenage daughters, Hannah and
Hayden, 16, and a son, Dylan, 11.
5
Housekeeping
• In this room all 3 days
• Restrooms
• Coffee Breaks and Lunch
• Parking Lot – questions, feed forward
• Turn off your cells & e-mail please
6
9/21/2015
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Time to say hello at your table!
Develop a Group Resume
8
Background
All our work is a process that involves teams of one sort or another.
Can you think of any activity in the healthcare field, for example, that
can be completed by only one person with no direct or indirect
involvement of other individuals? It is very difficult to come up with a
healthcare related activity that does not involve more than one person.
Successful improvement work requires teams. No one individual is
smart enough to know all facets of an issue, a problem or how to make
the process be more efficient and effective.
Each member of a team has a unique array of talents, skills, and
experiences to offer the group. When working in teams, however, it is
important to understand what each person brings to the group. By
getting to know your fellow team members early in this program, you
will be better able to leverage each of your individual talents, skills, and
experiences as you proceed through the workshop.
9/21/2015
5
Develop a Group Resume
9
Purpose of this Exercise
The purpose of this exercise is to provide you with an opportunity to
familiarize yourselves with the other participants at your table and gain an
understanding of the many talents, skills, and experiences each of you
can bring to the group.
Activity Duration
Your team will have ~15 minutes to create your team resume. You will
then be given 2 minutes to present it to the rest of the class.
Guidance
Organize your resume to “sell” your team. Be creative, clever and
imagine that you are making a pitch to have your table hired as a
consulting team.
Develop a Group Resume
10
Group Resume Directions
Select a team recorder who will present the group resume to the entire class
Use a flipchart page to prepare your summary
Your team resume should include, but is not limited to, the following:
Team Name (This should be something that uniquely identifies your team)
Each team member/s name
Educational background (schools attended, number of years of formal education,
number of degrees, etc.)
Professional Skills (public speaking, writing skills, organization, listening, persuasion,
planning, building, creativity, artistic, analytical, etc.)
Work experiences (years in healthcare, years at your current institution, etc.)
Major Accomplishments in your particular field
Publications and Awards
Volunteer and Community activities
Hobbies, hidden talents, travel, family
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11
Improvement Science In Action
(ISIA)
Improvement Science helps health
care organisations and individuals
develop the skills and resources
needed to carry out and sustain
successful improvement projects.
Program AIM
12
The ISIA is designed to help you…
• Plan and execute improvement projects using systems
principles.
• Apply a set of project measures to assess improvement.
• Understand and shape the organisational factors that drive
project progress.
• Implement and spread improvements.
• Utilise the Model for Improvement to develop, test, and
sustain reliable improvements.
• Make appropriate management decisions based on an
understanding of the variation that lies in your data.
9/21/2015
7
ISIA is grounded in the
Science of Improvement
W. Edwards Deming
1900-1993API’s Model for Improvement
14
How Will We Do This?
1. Projects
• Focused on Goals of MonashHealth
• Solution is currently unknown
• Scoped for success within ~6 months
2. Improvement Theory, Methods and Tools
• System of Profound Knowledge and the Model for Improvement
• Variety of Team and Analytic Tools
• Measurement: designing measures, planning data collection,
understanding variation
3.Collaboration• Assignments and Conference calls
• Building a learning community (all teach, all learn!)
9/21/2015
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Expectations of Participation
• A project – essential for successful learning!
• Attend all 3 days of the face-to-face workshop
• Participate in all 3 follow-up Conference Calls.
• Develop a Charter and a Driver Diagram for your project.
• Commitment to work on your project (test changes!) immediately following the workshop.
16
Your Project…Should support our organization’s quality improvement
strategy and objectives.
Can be completed in 3-9 months.
Should have baseline data defining the need to work on
this topic and the potential measures have been identified.
Should be one in which the team has a reasonable
level of control over the factors that drive the process
or system of interest.
Has an assigned sponsor who will serve as your advocate
and support the team’s work.
9/21/2015
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17
Not Good Candidates for a Project
• Developing a measurement or data collection system.
• Fix a transient problem or an emergency.
• A one-time or infrequent training or educational
workshop.
• Any project where you cannot answer the question
“How will you know a change is an improvement?”
• Huge (“solving world hunger”) projects with short
timeframes.
• Politically charged issues.
• Improving employee compensation.
18
Role of your Project Charter
• Challenges you to think through the problem and
potential improvements
• Helps you outline the scope and boundaries for your
project (when does it start and when does it end)
• Focuses the timeline for your project
• Provides a document that can foster communication
and education
9/21/2015
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19
Key Components of a Charter
Overview (Aim)
Problem Statement
Project Scope
Expected Outcomes
Measures
Ideas for Change
Sponsor(s)
Program Structure
• Prework
• Workshop: September 9-11, 2015─ Face-to-face session
─ Learn and apply the fundamentals of Improvement Science
─ Refine your charter and plan your project
• Continuing Learning Conference Calls─ October 6, 3:00 PM – 4:00 PM ET: Tests of Change
─ November 3, 3:00 PM – 4:00 PM ET: Data Collection & Analysis
─ December 1, 3:00PM – 3:00 PM ET: Holding the Gains
20
9/21/2015
11
ISIA provides a 5 month learning path
(August – December 2015)
PreworkWorkshop
9/29-10/1
Webex 1
10/14
Webex 2
11/2
Supports:
• Listserve
• Assignments
AP-1 AP-2Webex 3
11/30AP-3
Project
PlanningReliability
Sustaining
Gains
August
Workshop
Sept
(3 days)
Webex #3
Dec
Webex #1
Oct
• Faculty consults
• Webex calls
• Coaching calls
Webex #2
Nov
PDSA Measurement Holding
the Gains
ISIA Workshop Agenda by Day
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
AM• Welcome & Introductions
• How do you improve?
• Profound Knowledge
• Model for Improvement Overview
• Aims
• Measurement
• Change Concepts & Ideas
LUNCH
PM• Tool Time!
• Divergent-Convergent Thinking
• Affinity Diagrams
• Force Field Analysis
• Pareto Diagram
• Scatter Plots
• Cause & Effect Diagram
• Flowcharting
• Close Day 1
• Adjourn (5:00)
AM• Morning reflection
• Assessing your Measurement Skills
& Knowledge
• Why are you measuring?
• Milestones in the Quality
Measurement Journey
• Selecting measures
• Building Operational Definitions
• Data collection strategies and
methods
LUNCH
PM• Understanding Variation
Conceptually
• Understanding Variation Statistically
• Run Chart construction and
interpretation
• Linking measurement to
improvement strategies
• Defining the system/Driver diagrams
• Adjourn (5:00)
AM• Morning reflection
• More on Driver Diagrams
• Setting Priorities with DDs
• Hanging Measures on the DD
• PDSA cycle and testing
LUNCH
PM• Teams and culture
• Learning from failed PDSAs
• Increasing the pace
• Planning your first/next PDSA
• Experiencing PDSAs Part II
• Implementing and Spreading
• Next steps
• Adjourn (2:30)
9/21/2015
12
Consultations
• We have a few slots for individual consultations in the
evenings and at lunch (see sign-up sheets).
• If we don’t have space for everyone, we will arrange for
follow-up phone calls.
23
24
The Roadmap:
The Model for Improvement (MFI)
A P
DS
Plan
DoStudy
Act
AIM: What are we trying to accomplish?
MEASURES: How will we know if a
change is an improvement?
CHANGE: What changes can we make
that will result in improvement?
Your project
and charter will
serve as the
focal points for
improvement.
The MFI will
provide the
roadmap!
9/21/2015
13
. So …
Let’s start by taking a closer look at…
…improvement!
9/21/2015
14
How Do YOU improve?
How Do YOU improve?
• Build Skills?
• Increase Knowledge?
• Hard work?
• Build Relationships?
• Attention to detail?
• Write More Policies?
• Design a Study?
• Work more hours?
• Pay Attention?
• More Resources?
• Hire More Staff?
• Power & Control?
• Collect Data?
• Hope & Luck?
9/21/2015
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The Primary Drivers of
Organizational Improvement
Will
IdeasExecution
QI
Having the Will (desire) to change the current state
to one that is better
Developing Ideas
that will contribute
to making
processes and
outcome better
Having the capacity
and capability to
apply CQI theories,
tools and
techniques that
enable the
Execution of the
ideas
Key Components* Self-Assessment
Will (to change)
Ideas
Execution
Low Medium High
Low Medium High
Low Medium High
*All three components MUST be viewed together. Focusing on one or even two of the components will
guarantee sub optimized performance. Systems thinking lies at the heart of QI!
How prepared are you?(your work group, department, team or facility?)
9/21/2015
16
The Tennis Ball Exercise
Time to see how good you are at improving!
Team Aim
Teams of 5-9 people at a table
attempt to pass/touch a tennis ball
in a specified sequence in the
shortest time possible.
32
9/21/2015
17
Guidance
33
• People represent steps in patient process.
• The same person starts passing the ball and must end with the ball.
• Each person must pass/toss the ball and remember who they passed it to.
• If you drop the ball the test is over and you must start again.
• Designate a Timekeeper to:Document each test (what was your theory for
accomplishing the Aim?) The time it takes to complete a test
• Each test should follow the same sequence shown on the next slide.
• Do tests to improve the team’s time.34
More Guidance
9/21/2015
18
6 people
7 people
8 people
9 people
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
1
2
3
4
6
7
5
1
1
5
3
4
7
8
2
6
1
1
2
3
5
7
9
6
4
8
1
5 people
1
1
2
3
4
5
The sequence for different sized tables
Courtesy of
Break out Exercise
Courtesy of
Ready to run your first test?
Get set…
GO!
9/21/2015
19
Break out ExerciseRevisit the Team Aim:
To reduce the time taken for every person
to touch the ball!
Courtesy of
• Come up with change ideas and try them out.
• You can run as many tests as you wish.
• Just make sure your timekeeper records:
The time it takes to complete the task
Each new idea you came up with
Rules:
• The initial sequence as provided must be adhered to
• You may only test one change idea at a time
6 people
7 people
8 people
9 people
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
1
2
3
4
6
7
5
1
1
5
3
4
7
8
2
6
1
1
2
3
5
7
9
6
4
8
1
5 people
1
1
2
3
4
5
The sequence for different sized tables
Courtesy of
9/21/2015
20
How did you do?
Did your times constantly go
down with every test?
How many different ideas did
you come up with?
Break out Exercise
Did you try these ideas?
The Tower
The Tower
The Waterfall
9/21/2015
21
Langley et. al
PDSA Learning CyclePDSA
Institute for Healthcare Improvement Faculty
Michael Posencheg, MD
Rebecca Steinfield, MA
Day 1BSeptember 9
2015
Setting the Context for Quality Improvement
These presenters have
nothing to disclose.
9/21/2015
22
• What do you think is the definition of
quality?
• Use the sticky notes on your table.
• Fill in the following statement:
Quality is ___________________.
• Place your note(s) on the designated
flipchart.
What is Quality?
Quality is…a combination of value and outcome in the eyes of the consumer
a product or service delivered with 100% satisfaction the first time, every time
a product or service that provides an expected value
a product that lasts, for the best price
a satisfied customer
a very good product or service - one you would want again
above standard results or outcomes
an excellent product or service delivered by professional, friendly, knowledgeable people in a
timely manner at the appropriate time
an unending struggle for excellence
accurate results to health care consumers
anticipation and fulfillment of needs
A vision which provides growth and satisfaction for the customer or consumer of our service
attentive and excellent patient care
attention to detail, timeliness, competence
being the best, best of the best!
being present for every experience
best result possible in a given category
44
9/21/2015
23
“Quality is meeting and
exceeding the customer’s
needs and expectations and
then continuing to improve.”W. Edwards Deming
What is Quality?
QualityBetter
Old Way
(Quality Assurance)
QualityBetter Worse
New Way
(Quality Improvement)
Action taken
on all
occurrences
Reject
defectives
Defining Quality:
Old Way, New Way
Source: Robert Lloyd, Ph.D.
Requirement,
Specification or
Threshold
No
action
taken
here
Worse
9/21/2015
24
Institute for Healthcare Improvement, 2004
Quality Models & Approaches
Across the Years
Human Factors (Ancient Greece, early 1900s)
International Organization for Standardization (ISO) (1926)
Toyota Production System (1950s)
Six Sigma (Motorola, 1980s)
Baldrige Criteria (1987)
European Foundation for Quality Management
(EFQM) (1988)
Model for Improvement (1996)
Institute for Healthcare Improvement, 2004
Where do I begin
to untangle all
this stuff?
Models or Approaches to QI
9/21/2015
25
49
Theoretical
Concepts
(ideas & hypotheses)
Interpretation
of the Results
(asking why?)
Information
for Decision
Making
Data
Analysis and
Output
Select &
Define
Indicators
Data
Collection (plans & methods)
Deductive Phase
(general to specific)
Inductive Phase
(specific to general)
Source: R. Lloyd Quality Health Care, 2004, p. 153.
Theory
and
Prediction
The Scientific Method provides the
foundation for all improvement
Source: Moen, R. and Norman, C. “Circling Back: Clearing up Myths about the Deming
Cycle and Seeing How it Keeps Evolving,” Quality Progress November, 2010:22-28.
Understanding the Timeline is Critical
See the Appendix for additional details on the
Evolution of Quality Management
9/21/2015
26
Adding Six Sigma & Lean to the Timeline
Bill Smith (1986)
Motorola
Six SigmaMikel Harry (1988)
Motorola- MAIC
Forrest Breyfogle 111
(1992)- Integration
Michael George
(1991)- Integration
F.Taylor-The Principles of
Scientific Management
(1911)
Toyoda Family
Kiichiro Toyoda
Sakichi Tooda
Taiichi Ohno 1950-1980
Toyota Production System
Reference: Wortman 2001
Womack & Jones
Scoville & Little
Comparing Lean and
Quality Improvement
(2014)
Evolution of Quality Management in Healthcare
B.C. – Hippocrates (3rd century B.C.). Medicine was and is taught and learned as a craft.
1973 – Avedis Donabedian proposed measuring the quality of healthcare by observing :
structure, processes, and outcomes.
1970s – Quality Assurance (QA) of hospital care using structural standards
1980s – QA by government and insurers. The regulatory route relied on punishment and blame.
1986 – Joint Commission on the Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations (JCAHO) announced
its Agenda for Change and stated that the “philosophical context” for the Agenda of
change is set by the theories of Continual Quality Improvement (QI).
1986 – National Demonstration Project (NDP) on Quality Improvement in Healthcare. A
demonstration project to explore the application of modern quality improvement methods
to healthcare.
1990 – NDP report: Berwick, D, Godfrey, J and Roessner, J. Curing Health Care. Jossey-Bass,
1990.
1991 – Don Berwick founded the Institute for Healthcare Improvement (IHI) committed to
redesigning health care delivery systems in order to ensure the best health care
outcomes at the lowest costs.
1993 – IHI adopts API Model for Improvement as its foundation for Improvement.
Source: Ron Moen, Associates in Process in Improvement
9/21/2015
27
Institute for Healthcare Improvement, 2004
The choice of a quality system, approach
or model should be driven by the
objectives of the organization, its culture
and its products or services!
The decision should NOT be driven by
how popular a particular approach is or
even if it has been used successfully in
other settings.
In short…
57
Walter
Shewhart
(1891 – 1967)
Joseph
Juran
(1904 - 2008)
W. Edwards
Deming
(1900 - 1993)
Three Quality Pioneers
9/21/2015
28
“These statistics will enable us to ascertain what diseases and ages press most heavily on the resources of particular hospitals."
“They will show subscribers how their money is being spent, what amount of good is really being done with it, or whether the money is doing mischief rather than good."
“To understand God's thoughts we must study statistics, for these are the measure of His purpose.”
Florence Nightingale
(1820-1910)
Women in Quality Improvement
Two Types of Knowledge
SOI
Knowledge
Subject Matter
Knowledge
Science of Improvement (SOI) Knowledge: The interplay of the
theories of systems, variation, knowledge, and psychology.
Subject Matter Knowledge:Knowledge basic to the things we do in life. Professional knowledge. Knowledge of work processes.
9/21/2015
29
Knowledge for Improvement
SOI
Knowledge
Subject Matter
Knowledge
Improvement: Learn to combine subject matter knowledge and SOI knowledge in creative ways to
develop effective changes for improvement.
Improvement
61
Joseph Juran
The Quality
Trilogy
W. Edwards
Deming
System of Profound
Knowledge
Two Key Approaches
9/21/2015
30
Juran Trilogy
The Lens of Profound
Knowledge63
Appreciation
of a system
Understanding Variation
Theoryof Knowledge
Human
BehaviorQI
“The system of profound knowledge provides a lens. It provides a new map of theory by which to understand and optimize our organizations.” (Deming, Out of the Crisis)
It provides an opportunity for dialogue and learning!
9/21/2015
31
64
Juran’s
Quality
Trilogy
Quality
Planning
Quality
Improvement
Quality
Control
Appreciation of a System
Theory of Knowledge
Human
Behavior
UnderstandingVariation
Deming’s System of
Profound Knowledge
The Quality Improvement Journey(blending Juran’s and Deming’s approaches)
Source: Robert Lloyd, Ph.D.
1939
The Deming Wheel
1. Design the product (with appropriate tests).
2. Make it; test it in the production line and in the laboratory.
3. Sell the product.
4. Test the product in service, through market research. Find out
what user think about it and why the nonusers have not bought it.
1950
Development of the
Shewhart Cycle
1986
Source: Moen, R. and Norman, C. “Circling Back” Quality Progress,
November 2010: 22-28.
Walter A.
Shewhart
(1891 – 1967)
9/21/2015
32
Deming’s
Sketch of the
Shewhart
Cycle for
Learning and
Improvement,
1985
The PDSA Cycle for Learning and Improvement
Plan• Objective
• Questions &
predictions
• Plan to carry out:
Who?When?
How? Where?
Do• Carry out plan
• Document
problems
• Begin data
analysis
Act• Ready to
implement?
• Try something
else?
• Next cycle
Study• Complete data
analysis
• Compare to
predictions
• Summarize
What will
happen if we
try something
different?
Let’s try it!Did it
work?
What’s
next?
9/21/2015
33
69You actually do PDSAs every day
70
• Is applicable to all types of
organizations.
• Provides a framework for the
application of improvement
methods guided by theory.
• Emphasizes and encourages the
iterative learning process of
deductive and inductive reasoning.
• Allows project plans to adapt as
learning occurs.
API added three basic questions to supplement the PDSA Cycle. The PDSA Cycle is used to develop, test, and implement changes.
API = Associates in Process Improvement
9/21/2015
34
Langley, J. et al. The Improvement Guide. Jossey-Bass Publishers, 2009.
The IHI Approach
When you
combine
the 3
questions
with the…
…the Model
for
Improvement.
PDSA cycle,
you get…
Finally, remember that you do PDSAs
throughout the Sequence of Improvement
Sustaining
improvements and
Spreading changes to
other locations
Developing
a change
Implementing a
change
Testing a
changeTheory
and
Prediction
Test under a
variety of
conditions
Make part of
routine
operations
Start Small
9/21/2015
35
Institute for Healthcare Improvement Faculty
Michael Posencheg, MD
Rebecca Steinfield, MA
Day 1CSeptember 2015
The Science of Improvement
and Profound Knowledge
These presenters have
nothing to disclose.
75
Is life this simple?
X Y
(If only it was this simple!)
Patient
encounter
with
physician
A healthy
and
satisfied
patient
9/21/2015
36
The Messiness of Life!
76
“Some problems are so
complex that you have to be
highly intelligent and well
informed just to be undecided
about them.”--Laurence J. Peter
A good reference on this topic is “Wicked Problems and Social Complexity “
by Jeff Conklin, Ph.D., Chapter 1 in Dialogue Mapping: Defragmenting Projects through Shared Understanding. For more
information see the CogNexus Institute website at http://cognexus.org, 2004.
Life looks more like this…
X3
X2
X1
X5
X4
Y
There are numerous direct effects between the independent
variables (the Xs) and the dependent variable (Y).
Time 1 Time 3Time 2
Patient
Assessment Score
(could be health
outcomes,
functional status or
satisfaction)
Ind
ep
en
de
nt
Va
ria
ble
s
Current
health
status
Age
Gender
Communication
Coordination of care
9/21/2015
37
78
In this case, there are numerous direct and indirect effects between the
independent variables and the dependent variable. For example, X1 and X4
both have direct effects on Y plus there is an indirect effect due to the interaction
of X1 and X4 conjointly on Y.
Y
Actually life looks like this…
X3
X2
X1
X5
X4
Time 1 Time 3Time 2R3
R2
R1
R5
R4
RY
R = residuals or error terms
representing the effects of
variables not included in the
model.Coordination of
care
Age
Gender
Communication
Patient Assessment
Score (could be health
outcomes, functional
status or satisfaction)
Current
health
status
79
Walter
Shewhart
(1891 – 1967) Joseph Juran
(1904 - 2008)W. Edwards
Deming
(1900 - 1993)
The Quality Pioneers
9/21/2015
38
80
"Both pure and applied science have
gradually pushed further and further the
requirements for accuracy and precision.
However, applied science, is even
more exacting than pure science in
certain matters of accuracy and
precision."
Dr. Walter Shewhart
81
Y
The messiness of liferequires applied science.
X3
X2
X1
X5
X4
Time 1
Time 3
Time 2
R3
R2
R1
R5
R4
RY
9/21/2015
39
82
And, you
need to find
joy in the
messiness
of life!
I REALLY
do enjoy
the
messiness
of life!
Don’t you?
83
OK, enough of
this messy
talk.
Let’s start
untangling
this stuff!
9/21/2015
40
Knowledge for Improvement
SOI
Knowledge
Subject Matter
Knowledge
Improvement: Learn to combine subject matter knowledge and Science of Improvement (SOI) knowledge in creative ways to develop effective
changes for improvement.
Improvement
“Dr. Edwards Deming made an
important contribution to the science
of improvement by recognizing the
elements of knowledge that
underpin improvements over a wide
spectrum of applications.
He gave this body of knowledge the
foreboding name “a System of
Profound Knowledge.” “Profound”
denotes the deep insight that this
knowledge provided into how to
make changes that will result in
improvement in a variety of settings.
“System” denotes the emphasis on
the interaction of the components
rather than on the components
themselves.”
The Improvement Guide, page xxiv.
9/21/2015
41
W. E. Deming, The New Economics for
Industry, Government, Education. MIT, 1993
"One need not be eminent in any part of profound
knowledge in order to understand it and to apply it. The various segments of the
system of profound knowledge cannot be
separated. They interact with each other. For example
knowledge about psychology is incomplete without
knowledge of variation."
Profound - having intellectual depth and insight (Webster)
Appreciation of a System
Theory of Knowledge
Psychology
(Human
Behavior)
UnderstandingVariation
Milestones for the Development of Profound Knowledge
Variation
Systems
Psychology
Knowledge
1900 1920 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
ShewhartControlChart 1924
Design ofExperimentsSir RonaldFisher, 1925
SamplingmethodsDeveloped,H. F. Dodge
Use of statisticalmethods tosupport the wareffort 1941 - 1945
Enumerative vs AnalyticStudies in Statistics, Deming
Shewhart’s 1931 and 1939Books on Quality Control*
Principles of SystemsJay Forrester, 1968
General Systems TheoryLugwig vonBertalanffy, 1949
5th DisciplinePeter Senge1990
Theory of ConstraintsE. Goldratt, 1990
The Goal1984
F. Taylor, Frank & Lillian Gilbreth, Scientific Management
B - f(p,e)Kurt Lewin1920
AnthropologyExpertsapply theoryto business
OrganizationDevelopmentD. McGregor
Tavistockinstitute 1951Eric TristSoclotechnicalSystem
Open SystemsFred Emery
Maslow – Hierarchy of Needs1962
Participatory ManagementMary Parker Follett, 1925
Human Side of EnterpriseD. McGregor, 1960
Motivation TheoryHerzberg,1968
Hawthorne ExperimentsPlant, EltonMayo, 1927
Mind & The World Order, C.I. Lewis1929*
Double LoopLearning in OrganizationsChris Argyris,1977
Lectures atThe USDA,1938, organizedBy Deming*
John DeweyRealism ofPragmatism, 1905
How We ThinkDewey, 1933
Motivation TheoryKohn1993
Motivation TheoryHerzberg,2003
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88
Appreciation
of a system
Understanding Variation
Theoryof Knowledge
Human
Behavior
The Lens of
Profound Knowledge
QI
“The system of profound knowledge provides a lens. It provides a new map of theory by which to understand and optimize our organizations.” (Deming, Out of the Crisis)
It provides an opportunity for dialogue and learning!
89
Appreciation for a System• Interdependence, dynamism of the parts
• The world is not deterministic
• Direct, indirect and interactive variables
• The system must have an aim
• The whole is greater than sum of the parts
Understanding Variation• Variation is to be expected!
• Common or special causes of variation
• Data for judgment or improvement?
• Ranking, tampering & performance management
• Potential sampling errors
Theory of Knowledge
• What theories drive
the system?• Can we predict?
• Learning from theory and
experience
• Operational definitions
(what does a concept
mean?)
• PDSAs for learning and
improvement
Human Behavior• Interaction between people
• Intrinsic versus extrinsic
motivation
• Beliefs, values & assumptions
• What is the Will to change?
What insights might be obtained by looking
through the Lens of Profound Knowledge?
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• Now that you understand the components of PK, we
would like you to apply the Lens of Profound Knowledge
to your project.
• You can work alone or with others.
• Use the PK Worksheet to record your responses.
Remember that there are no right or wrong responses.
• Engage in a dialogue on PK (i.e., the theories and
assumptions surrounding your project and the degree to
which it is “messy.”
• Spend about 10 minutes working on this exercise.
Exercise
Profound Knowledge
91
Profound Knowledge Worksheet
Appreciation for a System
•
•
•
•
• Human Behaviour
•
•
•
Theory of Knowledge
•
•
•
•
Understanding Variation
•
•
•
•
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44
Institute for Healthcare Improvement Faculty
Michael Posencheg, M.D.
Rebecca Steinfield, MA
Day 1D1September 9,
2015
The Model for Improvement
These presenters have
nothing to disclose.
Now, let’s take a
another look at …
…the Model for Improvement!
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45
Langley, et al, The Improvement Guide, 2009
A Model for Learning and Change
When you
combine
the 3
questions
with the…
…the Model
for
Improvement.
PDSA cycle,
you get…
Langley, et al, The Improvement Guide, 2009
A Model for Learning and Change
Let’s start
with the three
questions
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96
Developing the team’s
Aim Statement
Question #1:
What are We Trying to Accomplish?
97
Constructing an Aim Statement
• The System: the system to be improved
(scope, boundaries, patient population,
processes to address, providers, beginning &
end, etc.)
• Specific numerical goals for outcomes
─Ambitious but achievable
• Includes timeframe (How good by when?)
• Provides guidance on sponsor, resources,
strategies, barriers, interim & process goals
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98
• Involve senior leaders• Obtain sponsorship (geared to the project’s
complexity)
• Provide frequent and brief updates(practice the 2 minute elevator speech)
• Focus on issues that are important to your organization• Connect the team Aim Statement to the Strategic
Plan
• Build on the work of others (steal shamelessly!)
Constructing an Aim Statement
VOC VOP
Ideally you’d like the Voice of the Process (VOP) to
EXCEED the expectations of those you serve. At a
minimum, however, you want the VOC and the VOP
to at least be balanced.
And…don’t forget the
Voice of the Customer (VOC!)
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Identify
Customer
Expectations
Measure
Organizational
Performance
Manage
Unsolicited
Feedback
Pre-Service
Point-of-Service
Post-Service
Design Customer-Friendly
Systems
Identify Opportunities for
Further Improvement
Solicit
Point-
of -Service
Feedback
Consider when you listen to the VOC
Source: Lloyd, R. Quality Healthcare: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators. Jones and Bartlett Publishers, Sudbury, MA, 2004.
Surveys X X X
Focus Groups X X
Observation X
Personal Interviews X X X
Unsolicited Feedback X X
High-Tech Tools X
Mystery Shopper X
Tool/Approach Pre POS Post
VOC Measurement should combine
Qualitative and Quantitative Data
Source: Lloyd, R. Quality Healthcare: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators. Jones and Bartlett Publishers, Sudbury, MA, 2004.
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Qualitative Quantitative
You should also strive to strike a balance between
qualitative and quantitative data. But, most of the
time healthcare focuses more on the quantitative
side of the ledger.
Balancing the Types of Data
103
Quantitative & Qualitative Data
“Wallander knew that interpreting statistics was
like pulling rabbits out of a hat. You could
always present a statistic as fact even if it was
an illusion.”From Henning Mankell, A Troubled Man, Vintage Books, 2009:457.
“Statistics are human beings with the tears
wiped off.”Victor Sidel in Paul Brodeur's Outrageous Misconduct:
The Asbestos Industry on Trial, Pantheon, 1985.
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104
Qualitative & Quantitative Data
“Trying to take satisfaction in life from the numbers you
ring up is ultimately no more successful than making
survival your goal. Meaning cannot be measured.”
“Measurement is a profoundly useful device, but it cannot tell us
what makes life worth living. The challenge Is to use measurement
every day, knowing all the while that we cannot measure that which
is of essential value.”
“Using measurement as a device is not the same as believing that
measurement captures the essential value of anything. You cannot
measure the good that you do.”
105
“Meaning cannot be measured.”
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106
How will you include the VOC
in your project?
107
Aim
Statement
Exercise:
You Make
the Call!
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108
Aim Statement Checklist
The System (scope & boundaries)
Numerical goals (How good?)
Timeframe (By when?)
Guidance (constraints in the system,
the VOC or other special considerations)
109
In the pilot units, we will reduce the incidence of falls (with
and without injury) by 50% within 3 months and to zero
within 1 year.
We will ensure that our work contributes to a sustainable QI
infrastructure to support future projects and we will gather
input on falls assessment and prevention practices from
patients and their caregivers.
• System: falls with and without injury in pilot units
• Goal: Reduce falls by 50% then to zero
• Timeframe: 3 months and 1 year
• Guidance: Build QI infrastructure and input from the VOC
Example of an Aim Statement
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©Copyright 2013 Institute for Healthcare Improvement/R. Lloyd
Aim Statement System of
interest?
How
good?
By
when?
Conclusion?
Good? Bad? Ugly?
1. We aim to reduce harm, improve safety and customer service for all
of our patients.
2. By December 2015 we will reduce the incidence of pressure ulcers
in the critical care unit by 50%. We hope to make patients and family
members involved in this project.
3. Our outpatient testing and therapy patient satisfaction scores are in
the bottom 10% of the national comparative database we use. As
directed by senior management, we need to get the score above the
50th percentile by the end of the year.
4. We will reduce all types of hospital acquired infections.
5. According to the consultant we hired to evaluate the flow of patients
in our outpatient clinic, we need to decrease wait times and improve
productivity. The board agrees, so we will work on these issues this
year.
6. Our most recent data reveal that on the average we only reconcile
the medications for 35% of our discharged inpatients. We intend to
increase this average to 50% by 31 Dec 2015 and to 75% by 31 March
2016. We will need to assess the impact of moving the pharmacy
department to a new location schedule for October 2015.
You Make the Call!
©2015 Institute for Healthcare Improvement and R. Lloyd.
Reproduction of this exercise without written permission from Dr.
Lloyd is prohibited.
111
Exercise: Aim Statement
• If you are already on an improvement team and have an Aim Statement then review your Aim for clarity, performance expectations, and completion date.
• If you aren’t on an improvement team yet create an Aim Statement for a team you plan to start.
• Spend about 10 minutes working on this exercise, then compare your Aim Statement with your neighbors.
• Use the Aim Statement Worksheet to create or revisit your an Aim Statement.
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112
Aim Statement Worksheet
Team name: ___________________________________
How good? ____________________________________
By when? _____________________________________
Who is the customer? ___________________________
Aim Statement: (What’s the problem? Why is it important? What are we going to do about it?)
“I have no data yet. It is a capital
mistake to theorise before one has
data. Insensibly one begins to
twist facts to suit theories, instead
of theories to suit facts.”
Source: Doyle, Sir Arthur Conan (1999-03-01).
The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes (p. 3).
(Courtesy of Dr. Imran Aurangzeb, FCCP, Sutter Health)
Question #2: How Do We Know that a
Change is an Improvement?
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114
“You can’t fatten a cow by weighing it”- Palestinian Proverb
Improvement is
NOT just about
measurement!
However, without measurement you will
never be able to know the answer to
question #2 in the MFI.
The Role of Measurement
Measurement is Central to the Team’s
Ability to Improve
• The purpose of measurement in QI work is for learning not judgment!
• All measures have limitations, but the limitations do not negate
their value for learning.
• You need a balanced set of measures reported daily, weekly or
monthly to determine if the process has improved, stayed the same
or become worse.
• These measures should be linked to the team’s Aim.
• Measures should be used to guide improvement and test changes.
• Measures should be integrated into the team’s daily routine.
• Data should be plotted over time on annotate graphs.
• Focus on the Vital Few!
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Even with this
thing, I have no
idea where we’re
headed!So, the question
is…do you have a
plan to guide your
quality measurement
journey?116
117
AIM (How good? By when?)
Concept
Measure
Operational Definitions
Data Collection Plan
Data Collection
Analysis ACTION
The Milestones in the Quality
Measurement Journey
Source: R. Lloyd. Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators. Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2004.
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Types of Variation
Common Cause Variation• Is inherent in the design of the
process
• Is due to regular, natural or ordinary causes
• Affects all the outcomes of a process
• Results in a “stable” process that is predictable
• Also known as random or unassignable variation
Special Cause Variation
• Is due to irregular or unnatural
causes that are not inherent in the
design of the process
• Affect some, but not necessarily all aspects of the process
• Results in an “unstable” process
that is not predictable
• Also known as non-random or
assignable variation
118
If you do not understand variation
Deming’s Cycle of Fear will occur
Source: William Scherkenbach. The Deming Route to Quality and Productivity. Ceep Press,
Washington, DC, 1990, page 71.
Kill the
MessengerIncreased
Fear
Filtered
Information
Micro-
management
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Annotated Time Series(the minimum standard for QI projects)
Line Graph
Control Chart
Run Chart
121
AIM (How good? By when?)
Concept
Measure
Operational Definitions
Data Collection Plan
Data Collection
Analysis ACTION
The Quality Measurement Journey
Source: R. Lloyd. Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators. Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2004.
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Question #3: What Changes Can We Make that
will Result in Improvement?
“Nobody really looks forward to change, except a wet baby!”
122
OK, I’m ready for a
change now…any
time would be fine!
On the Nature of Change
The Model for Improvement (MFI) provides an
approach to help increase the odds that the
changes we make will result in lasting
improvement.
123
“All improvement will require change,
but not all change will result in
improvement!”G. Langley, et al The Improvement Guide. Jossey-Bass Publishers,
San Francisco, 1996: xxi.
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Why don’t we change?
US standard rail gauge is 4’8.5” - Why?
Because English standard rail gauge is 4’8.5” -
Why?
Because pre-rail trams used that gauge - Why?
Because the same tools were used for building
railroads and wagons -Why?
Because the wheel spacing was designed to fit
the width of ruts in old English roads - Why?
Because the width of the ruts was
carved into the dirt by Roman
war chariots
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Change requires Creative Thinking
Creativity implies having thoughts that
are outside the normal pattern.
What can you do to have “new” thoughts
and ideas?
How do we “provoke” new thinking?
“I’ll be happy to give you creative thinking.
What are the guidelines?”
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Lateral Thinking of Edward de Bono
Provocation occurs
New thought
Logical in hindsight
(after that fact everyone is a genius)
IH: 16-2
Normal thought
Provocation introduces instability and allows
us to move to a new stable state.
“Provocation has
everything to do
with experiments
in the mind.”
Dr. Edward de Bono
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Case Study:
Organizations Learning from Patients
The Old Way
Ryhov Hospital in Jönköping, Sweden had traditional
hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis center.
But in 2005, a patient, Christian, asked about doing it
himself.
The New Way
Christian taught a 73-yr-old woman how to do it…
…and they started to teach others how to do it.
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The New Way
Now they aim to have 75% of patients to be on
self-dialysis
They currently have 60% of patients
Lessons to Date (the VOC)
From Christian (patient):
– “I have a new definition of health.”
– “I want to live a full life. I have more energy and am
complete.”
– “I learned and I taught the person next to me, and
next to her. The oldest patient on self-dialysis is 83
years old.”
– “Of course the care is safer in my hands.”
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Lessons to Date (the VOP)
From Anette (nurse leader at Ryhov Hospital):
– Surprised at design differences between patients,
family, and staff
– Managing at 1/2 – 1/3 less cost per patient
– Evidence of better outcomes, lower costs, far fewer
complications and infections
– “We brought in the county’s employment office which
helped the patients make or update the CVs, and
trained them for a new career.”
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2015 Update
Now calculated costs at 50% of the costs in
other hemo-dialysis units
Complications dramatically reduced and
subsequent expensive care avoided
Measuring success by “number of patients
working”
Provocation: Random Entry
1. Choose one project at the table
2. Each table will be given a random word
3. Spend three minutes sharing ideas and associations related to the word
4. Spend three minutes thinking about connections between the word and related associations and the project
5. Be prepared to share one or two interesting ideas…
141
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Using Change Concepts
Change Concept: a general notion or approach to change that has been found to be useful in developing specific ideas for changes that lead to improvement.
Critical and creative thinking can lead to change concepts.
ConceptThoughtProcess
ConceptAn opportunity to create a new connection
Specific
Idea A
Specific
Idea B
143
Change Concepts
The Improvement Guide
contains an Appendix
(Appendix A: A Resource
Guide to Change
Concepts) that describes in
detail how 72 change
concepts can be used to
create ideas for testing.
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Complete List of Change Concepts
Eliminate Waste1. Eliminate things that are not used2. Eliminate multiple entry3. Reduce or eliminate overkill4. Reduce controls on the system5. Recycle or reuse6. Use substitution7. Reduce classifications8. Remove intermediaries9. Match the amount to the need10. Use Sampling 11. Change targets or set points
Improve Work Flow12. Synchronize13. Schedule into multiple processes14. Minimize handoffs15. Move steps in the process close
together16. Find and remove bottlenecks17. Us automation18. Smooth workflow19. Do tasks in parallel20. Consider people as in the same system21. Use multiple processing units22. Adjust to peak demand
Optimize Inventory23 Match inventory to predicted demand24 Use pull systems25 Reduce choice of features26 Reduce multiple brands of the same
item
Change the Work Environment
27. Give people access to information
28. Use Proper Measurements
29. Take Care of basics
30. Reduce de-motivating aspects of pay system
31. Conduct training
32. Implement cross-training
33. Invest more resources in improvement
34. Focus on core process and purpose
35. Share risks
36. Emphasize natural and logical consequences
37. Develop alliances/cooperative relationships
Enhance the Producer/customer
relationship
38. Listen to customers
39. Coach customer to use product/service
40. Focus on the outcome to a customer
41. Use a coordinator
42. Reach agreement on expectations
43. Outsource for “Free”
44. Optimize level of inspection
45. Work with suppliers
Manage Time
46. Reduce setup or startup time
47. Set up timing to use discounts
48. Optimize maintenance
49. Extend specialist’s time
50. Reduce wait time
Manage Variation51. Standardization (Create a Formal Process)
52. Stop tampering
53. Develop operation definitions
54. Improve predictions
55. Develop contingency plans
56. Sort product into grades
57. Desensitize
58. Exploit variation
Design Systems to avoid mistakes59. Use reminders
60. Use differentiation
61. Use constraints
62. Use affordances
Focus on the product or service63. Mass customize
64. Offer product/service anytime
65. Offer product/service anyplace
66. Emphasize intangibles
67. Influence or take advantage of fashion trends
68. Reduce the number of components
69. Disguise defects or problems
70. Differentiate product using quality dimensions
Reference: The Improvement Guide, Langley, Nolan, Nolan, Norman and Provost, p.295
Change Concepts vs. Ideas
Vague, strategic, Improve process to reduce
creative anxiety
Give patients and families
access to information
Use beepers for family and friends waiting
Specific, actionable, Make beepers available to
results families of all surgery patients for one day next week as first test of change
Taking a concept and getting specific. Getting to actionable ideas.
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IHI Improvement App
MFI Mobile App – Home Screen
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• Provocations
• Creative thinking
• Change concepts
• Watch out for the “yabuts”
What change can we make that will
result in improvement?
Exercise:
Developing Change Concepts & Ideas
• Develop several Change Concepts and Ideas to
Test for your project. Use the 72 Change Concepts
list in the Improvement Guide to stimulate
discussion (the list is in your Worksheet packet).
• Use the Developing Ideas for Change Worksheet
to record your ideas.
• Be sure to explore your theories and predictions
about each change concept with those at your table.
•
Exercise
Developing Change Concepts
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150Developing Ideas for Change
Worksheet
Discussion Questions:
• What specific change concepts and related ideas will achieve the Aim?
• What theories and predictions can you make about how these change concepts and ideas will cause improvement?
• Use Force Filed Analysis to evaluate the ideas
Work Area or Project: ____________________________
Change Concept Specific Ideas to Test
Theories and Predictions as to how or
why this idea will achieve the Aim
Now that you have some ideas
for change, how do you get
people to make the change?
Cass SunsteinRichard Thaler• Harvard Law School
• U Chicago Law School
• White House Office of
Information and
Regulatory Affairs
• Economist
• U Chicago Booth
School of Business
• Previously Cornell, MIT
Thaler, R. and C. Sunstein (2008). Nudge. New York, Penguin.
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QuestionWithout changing the menu, can you influence the foods
children select from a cafeteria line by rearranging the
placement of the food?
An example of a nudge
Nudges occur
every day!
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“A nudge is any aspect of the choice architecture that
alters peoples’ behavior in a particular way without
forbidding any options or significantly changing their
economic incentives.
To count as a mere nudge, the intervention must be
easy and cheap to avoid. Nudges are not mandates.
Putting the fruit at eye level counts as a nudge.
Banning junk food does not.”
Nudge, page 6.
A Nudge is based on the concept of
Libertarian Paternalism
“Libertarian aspect of our strategies lies in the
straightforward insistence that, in general. People
should be free to do what they like – and to opt out of
undesirable arrangements if they want to do so.”
“When we use the term libertarian to modify the word
paternalism, we simply mean liberty-preserving.
Libertarian paternalists want to make it easy for people
to go their own way; they do not want to burden those
who want to exercise their freedom.” Nudge, page 5.
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A Universal Impulse: Hit a Target!
Schiphol Airport, Amsterdam,
The Netherlands.
“Apparently insignificant
details can have major
impacts on people’s
behavior. A good rule of
thumb, therefore, is to
assume that everything
matters.”Nudge, page 3-4.
(NOTE: This nudge is claimed to
have reduced ‘spillage’ by 80%)
A Nudge with Architecture
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A Creative NudgeHow does a German senior center stop
Alzheimer’s patients from wandering off?
It builds a phony bus stop outside its
entrance.
The nursing home was continuously
relying on police to find wayward patients
who left the site in search of old homes
and families (that sometimes did not
exist).
“It sounds funny,” said Old Lions
Chairman Franz-Josef Goebel, “but (the
fake bus stop) helps. Our members are
84 years-old on average. Their short-term
memory hardly works at all, but the long-
term memory is still active. They know the
green and yellow bus sign and remember
that waiting there means they will go
home.”
The result is that errant patients now wait
for their trip home at the bus stop, before
quickly forgetting why they were there in
the first place.
Nursing home staff members then
approach them and invite them inside for
coffee.
As you plan and begin your project will
you be able to nudge people into a new
way of thinking?
If not, how do you plan to get new ideas
adopted?
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Langley, et al, The Improvement Guide, 2009
A Model for Learning and Change
Now, let’s
review the
PDSA part of
the MFI and
tests of
change
161Quick Quiz
1.How many of you know what PDSA
stands for?
Well don’t be too quick to
assume that people know what
PDSA stand for!
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It is
important,
however,
to know
which
PDSA you
are
referring
to!
P
PDSA
D
A
S
Please
Do
Something
Anything!
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164Quick Quiz
1.How many of you know what PDSA
stands for?
2.How many of you have run 1 or more
PDSAs in the same day?
3.How many of you ran a PDSA last
week?
4.If you didn’t run one last week when did
you last run a PDSA?
The PDSA Cycle for Learning and Improvement
Plan• Objective
• Questions &
predictions
• Plan to carry out:
Who?When?
How? Where?
Do• Carry out plan
• Document
problems
• Begin data
analysis
Act• Ready to
implement?
• Try something
else?
• Next cycle
Study• Complete data
analysis
• Compare to
predictions
• Summarize
What will
happen if we
try something
different?
Let’s try it!Did it
work?
What’s
next?
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Repeated Use of the PDSA Cycle for
Testing
Hunches
Theories
Ideas
Changes That
Result in
Improvement
Very Small
Scale Test
Follow-up
Tests
Wide-Scale Tests of Change
Implementation of Change
What are we trying toaccomplish?
How will we know that achange is an improvement?
What change can we make thatwill result in improvement?
Model for Improvement
Sequential building of
knowledge under a wide range
of conditions
Spreading
AP D
S
A
P
D
S
AP
D S
A
P
D
S
APD
S
A
P
D
S
A P
DS
Sustaining the gains
The Sequence of Improvement
Sustaining improvements
and Spreading changes to
other locations
Developing
a change
Implementing
a change
Testing a
changeTheory
and
Prediction
Test under a
variety of
conditions
Make part of
routine
operations
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“It is the poetry of speculation that
makes a good scientist, provided the
rigor of information collecting is also
present.”
Edward De Bono, 1992, Serious Creativity, Harper Collins
(p. 65)
OK…hold that
thought. We will
dive into the PDSA
cycle in depth on
Day 3!
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Institute for Healthcare Improvement Faculty
Michael Posencheg, MD
Rebecca Steinfield, MA
Day 1ESeptember 9 2015
Tool Time!
These presenters have
nothing to disclose.
IHI Functional Groupings of Tools
I. Viewing Systems & Processes
II. Gathering Information
III. Organizing Information
IV. Understanding Variation
V. Understanding Relationships
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173
Category Method or Tool Typical Use of Method or Tool
Viewing
Systems
and Processes
1. Flow Diagram Develop a picture of a process. Communicate and standardize processes.
2. Linkage of Processes (LOP)
Map
Develop a picture of a system composed of processes linked together.
Gathering
Information
3. Form for Collecting Data Plan and organize a data collection effort.
4. Surveys Obtain information from people.
5. Benchmarking Obtain information on performance and approaches from other organizations.
6. Creativity Methods Develop new ideas and fresh thinking.
Organizing
Information
7. Affinity Diagram Organize and summarize qualitative information.
8. Force Field Analysis Summarize forces supporting and hindering change.
9. Cause and Effect Diagram Collect and organize current knowledge about potential causes of problems or variation.
10. Matrix Diagram Arrange information to understand relationships and make decisions.
11.Tree Diagram Visualize the structure of a problem, plan, or any other opportunity of interest.
12. Quality Function
Deployment (QFD)
Communicate customer needs and requirements through the design and production
processes.
Understanding
Variation
13. Run Chart Study variation in data over time; understand the impact of changes on measures.
14. Control Chart Distinguish between special and common causes of variation.
15. Pareto Chart Focus on areas of improvement with greatest impact.
16. Frequency Plot Understand location, spread, shape, and patterns of data.
Understanding
Relationships
17. Scatterplot Analyze the associations or relationship between two variables; test for possible cause-
and-effect.
18. Two-Way Table Understand cause-and-effect for qualitative variables.
19. Planned Experimentation Design studies to evaluate cause-and-effect relationships and test changes.
Methods and Tools for Improvement
175
Tools we will focus on today
• Team Tools (for divergent and
convergent thinking)
• Force Field Analysis
• Pareto Diagram
• Scatter Plots
• Cause & Effect Diagram
• Flowcharting
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176
Few ideas or None Few Ideas
Affinity Diagram
Nominal Group
Technique
Brainstorming Structured
Discussion
Rank ordering
Multi-voting
Many Ideas
• Teams start with a few ideas for improvement or none.
• They need to engage in divergent thinking to open up their
brains and generate ideas.
• Once a team generates many ideas, however, they need to
engage in convergent thinking to reduce the many to the vital
few that they can test.
Team Tools
Divergent and Convergent Thinking
Divergent and Convergent Thinking
177
Divergent Thinking
Open-ended
Generative
Creative
Associative
A ‘brain dump’
Free wheeling
Convergent Thinking
Decisive
Organized
Evaluative
Planned
Focused
Structured
Teams need to
figure out how
to harness the
bet of both
types of
thinking!
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Divergent Thinking Tools(Idea Generating)
178
A form of structured brainstorming:
Nominal Group Technique (NGT)
1. Define THE SUBJECT of the brainstorming and ensure that it is written so all
group members can understand it.
2. Each member of the team is given a pile of sticky notes.
3. Each person writes their ideas on sticky notes - one idea per sticky note.
4. Usually about 5-10 minutes is sufficient to get their ideas down on the sticky
notes.
5. Each team member in turn reads one sticky note and they are placed on the flip
chart
6. No ideas are criticized. Ever!
7. Keep going around till all ideas are presented
• team members can write down new ideas throughout the process if new
ideas are generated
• Passing is permitted
8. When everyone is passing the idea generating part is over.
9. Review the written list for clarity and eliminate duplicate ideas.
10.Move on to Convergent Thinking Processes (affitizing, multi-voting, etc…)!
179
Exercise #1:
Nominal Group Technique
(abbreviated!)
• Use the NGT to generate ideas on ways to engage
patients and families in the care process.
• You will have 2 minutes to write down as many ideas as
you can on individual sticky notes (1 idea per sticky note).
• Select one person at your table to facilitate the next step.
• In turn, each person reads one idea and hands to the
facilitator who will place on the flip chart
• Continue until all ideas have been read and placed on the
flip chart
• Review each idea, clarify any idea that is unclear and
eliminate duplicate ideas.
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Affinity Diagram (Organizing Ideas)
180
Affinity Diagrams are used to organize ideas into categories that seem to form natural
groupings. The steps include:
1. Generate at least 20 ideas using brainstorming or NGT.
2. Each idea should be on a separate sticky note.
3. Place the ideas randomly on the wall, a window or flipchart pages.
4. Without talking (and believe me this is THE hardest thing for team members to do) start
sorting the ideas into related groups that have an “affinity” for each other.
5. This is usually done by having the team stand around all the notes and read them.
6. The facilitator invites someone to start putting ideas together that seem to more or less
have something in common.
7. Others will quickly join in this process. But remember it is done silently!
8. There will be times when a person will take a note from one grouping and place it in
another. This is acceptable.
9. New groupings may emerge, groups might be split up and there may be a few that don’t
fit with any others.
10. If you have a group of 20 ideas, it is typical to end up with about 4-5 groupings.
11. Finally create a label or header for each grouping.
Example of an
Affinity Diagram
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24 items were
listed here that the
respondent was
asked to group
into ‘logical’
categories.
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The Affinity
Diagram I
created
ended up
with 5
categories
AIM: To reduce inpatient physical violence at Tower
Hamlets Centre for Mental Health by 30% by Dec 2015
Social therapists, nurses, Drs, pharmacist, OT, psychologists, police, patients, carers
Courtesy of
Generate the ideas
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The Generated Ideas
pre-ward round activities to identify needs and anxieties
Daily reviews and
no WR
Respecting each others
opinions
Openness and fairness
Respect and dignity
More accessible
Provide an opportunity for
patients to express their needs
Patients feel they have more ownership
over choice of activities, WR
A mechanism by which patients are
able to express unhappiness
Advocate in ward
rounds
Courtesy of
Organizing Ideas(Which ideas have an “affinity” with others?)
pre-ward round activities to identify needs and anxieties
Daily reviews and
no WR
Openness and fairness
Respect and dignity
More accessible
Provide an opportunity for
patients to express their needsA mechanism by which patients are
able to express unhappiness
Advocate in ward
roundsRespecting each others
opinions
Patients feel they have more ownership
over choice of activities, WR
Courtesy of
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Staff attitudePatient choice and
empowermentWard Round
A mechanism by which patients are
able to express unhappiness
Patients feel they have more
ownership over choice of activities,
WR
Provide an opportunity for
patients to express their needs
pre-ward round activities to identify needs and anxieties
Daily reviews and no
weekly WR
Advocate in ward rounds
Respecting each others
opinions
Openness and
fairness
More accessible
Respect and dignity
Ideas arranged into categories with headings
Courtesy of
Exercise #2:
Affinity Diagram
189
• Now that you have generated a set of ideas, it is time to
use the Affinity Diagram to determine if there are clusters
of ideas that hang together (i.e., have an “affinity” to each
other).
• You will have 5 minutes to apply the Affinity Diagram
process to the ideas on your flipchart related to patient
and family engagement.
• Once you have identified groups of ideas that seem to
hang together or have a common theme, give a name or
title to each cluster.
• How many affinity groups did you end up with?
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Convergent Thinking Tools(Reaching Consensus on Ideas)
190
• Once you have generated a lot of ideas (e.g., more than
20-30) the team needs to come to some consensus on
which of these will form the vital few that can be tested.
• This Is when the Convergent Thinking tools are used.
• The sequence is that you use:
• Multivoting to reduce the list to less than 10 ideas.
• Rank order to put the 10 or less ideas in order of
preference or priority.
• Structured discussion to make sure all team members
get to voice their opinions on the final ideas selected.
Convergent Thinking Tools
191
Multivoting (MV)
(used with >10 ideas)
Rank Ordering (RO)
(used with <10 ideas)
Structured Discussion (SD)
(used with the final 1-3
ideas)
• This is a data reduction
procedure.
• Clarifying and eliminate duplicate
ideas.
• Decide on how many final ideas
you want to take to rank ordering
(this is usually 10 or less).
• Give the participants sticky dots.
The number of dots will depend
on (1) the number of people on
the team and (2) the total number
of ideas under consideration.
• Usually 5-8 dots works well.
• Each sticky dot is = 1 vote.
• You can place all your
dotes(votes) on 1 idea or spread
them around.
• Participants should place a dot on
an idea that they think has merit.
• The 5-10 ideas with the most dots
(votes) are the ones you can take
to a Rank Ordering exercise.
• If you still have a lot of ideas that
get only a few votes (say 15-20)
you can do another round of MV
to reduce the initial set of ideas.
• When you have a set of ideas
that are 10 or less, you can use
RO to decide which ideas are
the vital few.
• Assign a letter to each idea (not
numbers).
• Tape several flipchart pages
together and lay out a RO table.
• The rows are the letters
assigned to each of the ideas.
• The columns are the initials of
the team members.
• The far right column is the “total”
column.
• Each person reviews the list of
ideas and assigns a number
(e.g., 1-5 if you have 5 ideas) to
each idea.
• The idea they favor the most
receives the highest number of
votes (i.e., 5 in this example).
• Total the numbers assigned to
each idea.
• The idea with the highest total
number of votes is the first
choice, next highest the 2nd
choice and so on.
• Once you have settled on the
vital few ideas either through MV
and/or RO it is a good idea to
engage in a round of SD.
• Take the top 1-3 ideas (any more
makes this process too long).
• Decide on how long each person
gets to speak (usually no more
than 1-2 minutes).
• Assign someone to be
timekeeper and another to be
recorder.
• Each team member gets the
allotted time to say whatever they
want about the top ideas (pro or
con).
• The recorder notes key points on
the flipchart.
• This is not a debate so each
person presents their views
without rebuttal or debate from
the rest of the team.
• When everyone has had a
chance to present their views the
notes are reviewed and
questions or additional thoughts
are discussed and resolved.
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192
Step #1: Multi-Voting, Rank Ordering &
Structured Discussion Matrix
Idea Multi-
Vote
Individual Rank
Ordering
Total
RO
Score
Final
Ranking
SD comments
BL JB DV KJ FF
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
j
193
Step #2: Multi-Voting
Idea Multi-
Vote
Individual Rank
Ordering
Total
RO
Score
Final
Ranking
SD comments
BL JB DV KJ FF
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
Each person gets 5 dots (votes).
They can place them all on one idea or spread them around.
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194
Idea Multi-
Vote
Individual Rank
Ordering
Total
RO
Score
Final
Ranking
SD comments
BL JB DV KJ FF
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
With 10 ideas you would pick 40-50% of the ideas that got the most votes and
then rank order these ideas. In this case we took the top 5 ideas.
Step #2: Multi-Voting
195
Idea Multi-
Vote
Individual Rank
Ordering
Total
RO
Score
Final
Ranking
SD comments
BL JB DV KJ FF
A
B 1 3 4 2 3 13 4
C 5 1 3 3 2 14 3
D
E
F 3 2 1 3 1 10 5
G
H 2 5 2 5 4 18 2
I
J 4 4 5 4 5 22 1
Silently, everyone ranks the 5 ideas with 5 being their 1st choice, 4 their 2nd choice and so
on. Total the numbers for each idea. The idea with the highest score is the #1 choice.
Step #3: Rank Ordering
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196
Idea Multi-
Vote
Individual Rank
Ordering
Total
RO
Score
Final
Ranking
SD comments
BL JB DV KJ FF
A
B 1 3 4 2 3 13 4
C 5 1 3 3 2 14 3
D
E
F 3 2 1 3 1 10 5
G
H 2 5 2 5 4 18 2
I
J 4 4 5 4 5 22 1
Finally, move to structured discussion. Each person gets 1-2 uninterrupted minutes to
offer their views on the ideas and the reasons why they favor or do not favor the idea.
Especially explore why some ideas got very different rankings (e.g., item C or B) .
Step #4: Structured Discussion
Once the team has reached consensus on the #1 idea you could use force Field Analysis to
explore the factors that are associated with this idea being successfully implemented.
Exercise #3:
Convergent Thinking
197
• The final step is to engage in convergent thinking and narrow the list of many
ideas on patient and family engagement down to a few that can be taken into
PDSA testing.
• Take 2 flipchart pages tape them together and lay out the table for MV, RO
and SD.
• Start with MV then proceed to RO the final set of ideas (10 or less). What
idea was selected as the top idea to start testing?
• The last thing to do is to have a SD on the final ranking of ideas. It is
especially useful at this point to review the individual rankings and see if
there are wide discrepancies amongst the team member votes.
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198
What is it?
Force Field Analysis is a QI tool designed to identify driving
(positive) and restraining (negative) forces that support or work
against the solution of an issue or problem.
Once forces are identified, steps can be taken to reinforce the
driving forces and reduce the restraining forces
What does the Force Field do?
Allows comparisons of the “positives” and “negatives” of a situation
Encourages people to agree about the relative priority of factors on
each side of an issue
Supports the honest and open reflection on the underlying root
causes of a problem and ways to break down barriers
Forces people to think together about all the aspects of making the
desired change a permanent one
Force Field Analysis
Kurt Lewin,
Social
Psychologist,
1890 -1947
199
1. Draw a letter “T” on a flipchart page
2. Write the name of the issue or project across the top of the page
3. Label the left column “Driving Forces” and the right column the
“Restraining Forces”
4. Use brainstorming or nominal group technique (NGT) to generate the
list of forces or factors that are driving the issue or project and those
that are restraining or the holding things back
5. Eliminate duplicate ideas and clarify any ideas that are vague or not
specific
6. If the team feels the need, they can use rank ordering to set priorities
for the driving and restraining forces
7. Generate a list of ideas about actions that can be taken to reduce the
restraining forces
How do I set up a Force Field Analysis?
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Force Field Analysis Worksheet
Issue or Project: ______________________________________
Driving Forces (+) Restraining Forces (-)
Actions to reduce the Restraining Forces:
•
•
•
Courtesy of
CPA = Care Programme Approach which is a statutory framework in England for coordinating care
for people with severe mental illness.
MHCOP = Mental Health Care of Older People Team which combines both a Community Mental
Health Team (CMHT) and a Dementia Care Team (DCT).
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Exercise #4:
Force Field Analysis
202
• Issue: A patient or family member must be on
every QI team.
• Select a recorder to facilitate the conversation and
capture the ideas.
• Draw a Force Field Analysis table on the flipchart.
• Analyze the nominated project in terms of Driving
and Restraining Forces.
• For each of the Restraining Forces propose possible
actions that can be taken to reduce the restraining
forces.
Vilfredo Federico Damaso Pareto (1848-1923) was an Italian engineer,
sociologist, economist, political scientist and philosopher. He made several
important contributions to economics, particularly in the study of income
distribution and in the analysis of individuals' economic choices. He also
contributed to the fields of sociology and mathematics.
He introduced the concept of Pareto efficiency and helped develop the field of
microeconomics. He also was the first to discover that income follows a
distribution (now referred to as a Pareto distribution), which is technically called
a ‘power law probability distribution.’ The Pareto principle was named after him
and built on observations of Pareto’s that 80% of the land in Italy was owned by
20% of the people. The Pareto Diagram is a modification of the Lorenz curve
(1905).
Meet Vilfredo Pareto
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204
What is it?
A graphical display of the most important factors
contributing to a problem
What can the Pareto chart do?
Allows identification of the elements contributing most
to a problem (most common source of complaints,
most common incidents of harm, aspects of care of
most concern to service users..)
Identifies:
• Absolute Frequency
• Relative contribution to the total problem
• Which area(s) to focus on for greatest impact
Pareto Diagram
Vilfredo Pareto,
Economist and
political
scientist, 1848 -
1923
Pareto Diagram of Causes
TYPE OF ACCIDENT
Cars
Falls
Pedestrian
Drowning
Fire
Motorcycle
Poisoning
Chocking
Guns
Bicycles
Electrocution
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
CAUSES OF WRECKS
Intoxication
Weather
Poor Visibility
Mechanical
Distractions
Medication
Road Maintenance
Road Design
0
10
20
30
40
50
Method of Determining Causes:District Captain Using Investigator’s
Observations and the HighwayPatrol Procedures.
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wr o n g t im e wr o n g d o s e m e d o m it t e d wr o n g p a t ie n t wr o n g m e d
Type of Medicat ion Er ror
Perc
ent
0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
6 0
7 0
8 0
9 0
1 0 0
3 7 3
1 0 7
3 22 0 1 3
Pareto Diagram
Reasons why a
Medication Administration Error Occurred
Most frequently
occurring reason for
a med error
This line indicates the cumulative percentage
100%
50%
0%
80%
25%
Cu
mu
lati
ve p
erc
en
tag
e
Source: R. Lloyd, Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators. Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2004:309.
Pareto Diagram: incidents at ELFT
Courtesy of
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Unplanned Extubations - 7/11 to 2/12
13
10
7
4 4
34.2%
60.5%
78.9%
89.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Tape loose or during retaping With patient care or procedure Suspected dislodgement Self Suspected plug
Even
ts
Causes of Unplanned Extubations
Tape loose
or during
retaping
With
procedure or
patient care
Suspected
dislodgement
Self / patient
motion
Suspected
plug
Updated Causes – 2/12 to 7/13
13
5
3 32
1 1 1
44.8%
62.1%
72.4%
82.8%
89.7%93.1%
96.6%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
5
10
15
20
25
Nu
mb
er
of
Even
ts
Causes of Unplanned Extubations
Still our
main
problem
A new
issue
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Ivory Ward ColumbiaWard
CazaubonWard
LeadenhallWard
Larch Lodge IntermediateCare Service
SallySherman
Ward
FothergillWard
ExtendedPrimary Care
Team -Central
ExtendedPrimary CareTeam - North
East
Falls by Service MHCOP and CHN 2014 - 2015
Services with the highest number of falls
between April 2014 – May 2015
Courtesy of
Vertical or Horizontal Pareto Charts?
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Pareto Example:
ADEs by Medication Type and Location
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
A B C D
Medication Surgical Medicine ICU
Dig 228 143 200
Hep 203 324 284
MorS 165 103 144
PotC 83 53 73
Insulin 160 100 140
War 194 121 170
Lov 45 28 39
Amp/P 27 17 23
Con 22 14 19
Cycl 19 12 17
Albt 14 9 13
MorS 12 8 11
Cef/T 12 8 11
Ben/P 11 7 10
Roc 10 7 9
Other 364 228 319
Pareto of Total ADEs
#
Medications Associated with Harmful Adverse Druge Event (ADE)
Total Counts
4228.90
21.52%
19.18%
13.49%
11.46%
10.45%
9.45%
4.95%
2.65%
1.59% 1.30% 1.13%
0.84% 0.71% 0.66% 0.61%
Percent
5%
10%
15%
20%
Other Hep Dig War MorS Insulin PotC Lov Amp/P Con Cycl Albt Cef/T Ben/P Roc
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Use of Stratification with Pareto
#
Medications Associated with Harmful Adverse Druge Event (ADE)
Total Counts
4228.90
Surgical
1569.60
Medicine
1179.50
ICU
1479.80
910.00
21.52% 811.20
19.18%
570.50
13.49% 484.75
11.46% 441.85
10.45% 399.65
9.45%
209.15
4.95%
112.20
2.65% 67.20
1.59% 55.00
1.30% 47.80
1.13% 35.60
0.84%
30.00
0.71%
28.00
0.66% 26.00
0.61%
364.00
23.19%
203.00
12.93%
228.00
14.53% 194.00
12.36% 177.00
11.28% 160.00
10.19%
83.00
5.29% 45.00
2.87% 27.00
1.72% 22.00
1.40% 19.00
1.21% 14.00
0.89%
12.00
0.76%
11.20
0.71% 10.40
0.66%
227.50
19.29%
324.00
27.47%
143.00
12.12% 121.00
10.26% 110.50
9.37% 100.00
8.48%
53.00
4.49% 28.00
2.37% 16.75
1.42%
13.75
1.17% 12.00
1.02% 9.00
0.76%
7.50
0.64%
7.00
0.59%
6.50
0.55%
318.50
21.52% 284.20
19.21%
199.50
13.48% 169.75
11.47% 154.35
10.43% 139.65
9.44%
73.15
4.94%
39.20
2.65% 23.45
1.58% 19.25
1.30% 16.80
1.14% 12.60
0.85%
10.50
0.71%
9.80
0.66% 9.10
0.61%
Count Percent
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
200
400
600
800
1000
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
50100150200250300350400
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Other Hep Dig War MorS Insulin PotC Lov Amp/P Con Cycl Albt Cef/T Ben/P Roc
Total ADEs
ICU ADEs
Medicine ADEs
Surgical ADEs
A Scatter Plot is a graphic display of two
variables, one on the Y axis (the dependent
variable) and the other on the X axis (the
independent variable).
The resulting plot allows the researcher to test
the strength of the relationship between the
two variables.
More advanced applications of the Scatter Plot
include the use of correlation coefficients and
regression lines.
Scatter Plots:
Moving Beyond One Variable
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X YIs there a relationship between these
two variables?
If so, what influences what?
As X increases do you think Y will also increase?
As X increases do you think Y will decrease?
Or, do you think that there is no relationship between X and Y?
Its all about relationships!
Theories on Relationships (X Y) +/-/None?
Variables (X & Y) Pos Neg None StrengthWeak-------Strong
Time on the job (tenure) and income
Nurse satisfaction and patient satisfaction
Volume of lab tests and turnaround time
Seniority on the job and errors made
Number of cars in the parking lot and the number of meals served in the cafeteria
Number of falls and the number of RN vacancies
Number medications delivered late to the ward and the number of requests for refills phoned into the pharmacy
The number of days to hire a new FTE and the number of open positions
Days of sick leave and case load
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What Does a Scatter Plot Look Like?
Figure 7.9 A strong positive relationship between the two variables
# of RN Vacancies
# of RN Vacancies
Figure 7.10 A weak positive relationship between the two variables
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
Figure 7.11 A strong negative relationship between the two variables
# of RN Vacancies
Figure 7.12 A weak negative relationship between the two variables
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
# of RN Vacancies
# o
f F
all
s
Low High
Low
High
Source: R. Lloyd. Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators.
Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2044; caste Study #6, 244-256.
What Does a Scatter Plot Look Like?
Figure 7.9 A strong positive relationship between the two variables
# of RN Vacancies
# of RN Vacancies
Figure 7.10 A weak positive relationship between the two variables
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
Figure 7.11 A strong negative relationship between the two variables
# of RN Vacancies
Figure 7.12 A weak negative relationship between the two variables
# o
f F
all
s
Low
High
Low High
# of RN Vacancies
# o
f F
all
s
Low High
Low
High
Source: R. Lloyd. Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators.
Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2044; caste Study #6, 244-256.
Strong +r
Weak +r
Strong -r
Weak -r
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No Relationship Between X & Y
Variable Y
Variable
X
No correlation (r = ~0)
Source: R. Lloyd. Quality Health Care: A Guide to Developing and Using Indicators.
Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 2044; caste Study #6, 244-256.
222
Note to Self:
Not all relationships are linear
Stopping Distance by Speed
Fuel Used by SpeedReading Score by
Hours of Sleep
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You are asked to report the results
at an upcoming management
meeting.
The raw data are shown at the left.
What would you tell the group
about the relationship of case load
(volume) and sick days of the
staff?
Are there differences between
departments or are they all
performing the same?
How could you present this data in
the meeting?
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
A B C
Case Load (X) Days Sick (Y) Dept.
64 17 A
31 2 B
35 0 B
45 2 C
43 0 C
43 1 B
45 1 C
48 0 A
63 6 A
41 1 A
55 2 A
60 3 B
32 0 C
41 0 B
53 3 B
40 0 A
38 0 A
62 8 A
43 0 B
40 0 C
44 1 B
36 1 C
37 0 B
48 2 B
45 0 C
47 1 C
50 4 A
54 3 C
37 2 B
40 1 B
41 0 B
Case Load versus
Days Sick Leave Used
by Staff
Scatter sick days to case load
Scattergram
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
Scatter sick days to case load
Scattergram
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
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Case Load Vs Sick Days Total
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
Case Load Vs Sick Days Dept A
40 45 50 55 60 65Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
Case Load Vs Sick Days Dept B
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
Case Load Vs Sick Days Dept C
35 40 45 50 55 60Case Load (X)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Days S
ick (
Y)
Total Dept. A
Dept. CDept. B
Is there a difference between
departments?
A Final Thought on Scatterplots
Scatterplots do not prove anything!
They help you:
Understand relationships
Understand the direction and strength of the relationships
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The Cause & Effect Diagram(a.k.a. the Ishikawa Diagram or Fishbone Diagram )
The Effect
or
Outcome
Environment Methods
Materials Equipment
People
The Causes
A search for
causes and cures
not symptoms!
Cause & Effect Diagram(Why would I use it and what does it do?)
• It is used to identify, explore and graphically display the variables that
“cause” a particular problem or condition to occur.
• The “effect” is the problem or undesirable outcome, issue or event being
studied.
• The branches (i.e., the fishbones) lead to functions or categories of
causes that can be broken down further when conducting a root cause
analysis (RCA).
• Brainstorming or nominal group technique can be used to help the team
generate the causes of the problem.
• The team discussion related to building the cause & effect diagrams is
the most important outcome of process. This is a tool to be used by the
team not an individual.
• Forces people to think explicitly about the specifics of the process as
well as their theories as to why something happened.
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Cause & Effect Diagram(How do I construct it?)
1. Write and effect or outcome in a box on the right side of the page or
flipchart.
2. Draw a horizontal line to the left of the effect.
3. Decide on the categories of causes that are most appropriate for the
effect.
4. Draw diagonal lines (i.e., the spines of the fishbone) above and below
the horizontal line and label each line with a category name.
5. Generate a list of causes for each category using brainstorming or
nominal group technique. Post-it notes are very useful in this step.
6. Organize the various causes on each diagonal line (i.e., the fishbone)
by drawing branches (new bones) off each diagonal. If the problem is
quite complex you may have branches off these bones as well.
7. Develop each main branch of the diagram and is related sub-branches
by asking “why” until the team agrees that a sufficient amount of detail
has been identified.
Basic C & E
Diagram format
Detailed C & E
Diagram format
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Cause & Effect Diagram Categories(How do I organize the causes?
There are several ways to organize the categories.
The traditional category labels for the main bones of the diagram
are:
• People (the individuals involved such as physicians, nurses,
patients, family members, support staff)
• Methods (how work is done including procedures and policies)
• Materials (inputs to the process such as tubing, needles,
cleaning agents, medications, forms, supplies, etc.)
• Equipment (machines)
• Environment (physical
environment as well as
social environment, weather
conditions and human
interactions)
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Delay in transfer
from ED to
Inpatient Unit
Reducing MRSA Colonization
234
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Cause & Effect Diagram Categories(How do I organize the causes?
Another approach is to use functions or steps in a process as the
main category labels and then within each function use the People,
Methods, Materials, Equipment and Environment as the sub-headings.
Consider a medication error and the role that ordering the medication
plays.
Ordering Medication
Medication
Error
EnvironmentMaterials
Equipment
PeopleMethods
Source: Kaoru Ishikawa, 1982
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Interpreting a Cause & Effect Diagram243
• Focus on theories not symptoms or facts!
• Develop questions not answers!
• Look for biases and areas of shallow knowledge!
• Minimize anecdotes, personal opinions and biases!
• Clarify the complexity of the problem!
• Develop and organize theories as to why this happened!
• Develop a flowchart of the process next!
A C & E Diagram does not PROVE that the
identified variables cause the effect that has
been observed!
The diagram merely provides a convenient ways
to organize potential relationships and causes
for further dialogue and analysis.
244
Flowcharting
Flowcharting
Types of Flowcharts
• High Level Block Diagram
• Top down
• Detailed
• Supplier-Customer
• Swim-lane (matrix or
functional deployment)
• Cost Added-Value Added
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245
Flowcharting Part I
Flowcharting Exercise246
Make 3 Flowcharts
• High Level Block Diagram
• Top down
• Detailed
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247
Top Down
Flowchart
Current
Process
Source: East London Foundation Trust
248
Detailed
FlowchartSource: East London Foundation Trust
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249
Flowcharting
Types of Flowcharts
• High Level Block Diagram
• Top down
• Detailed
• Supplier-Customer
• Swim-lane (matrix or
functional deployment)
• Cost Added-Value Added
250
Flowcharting Part II
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251
A final point about
tools…
be sure to think
about how you can
link the tools?
Example of Linking the Tools:
Where will you go for coronary by-pass graph (CABG) surgery?
Study the next 3 slides to see how you should be thinking
about linking the tools to gain even more knowledge.
What summary points can you make about these data
and the different ways to present it?
Medical
Group
Percent
Mortality
Average
CABG Cost
A 3.48% $17,000
B 3.48% $13,000
C 3.48% $14,500
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Comparison of Averages and HistogramsGroup A: % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Group B: % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Group C: % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Based on these
histograms and
the average
percent mortality
(3.48% for each
medical group)
which one would
you select to
perform the
procedure?
Average = 3.48%
Average = 3.48%
Average = 3.48%
Group A
Group C
Group B
Comparison of Averages, Histograms and Run ChartsGroup A: % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Group A: Percent CABG Mortality
Sequential Months
Perc
ent
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
1
2
3
4
5
6
Mean
Group B: % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Group B: Percent CABG Mortality
Sequential Months
Perc
ent
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
2
3
4
5
6 UCL
Mean
Group C % Monthly CABG Mortality (Ave 3.48%)
Percent Mortality
# M
onth
s F
alli
ng i
n T
his
Cate
gory
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Group C: Percent CABG Mortality
Sequential Months
Perc
ent
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mean
Group A
Group C
Group B
Average cost = $17,000
Average cost = $13,000
Average cost = $14,500
Average = 3.48%
Average = 3.48%
Average = 3.48%
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255
Good Luck in Filling and Using your Toolbox!
256
Measures
PDSA
Fitting the pieces together!