Upload
anthony-maynard
View
17
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
10 . 6 . 200 8. IMPACTS OF TRAFFIC VOLUMES AND WIND DIRECTIONS ON AIR POLLUTION CONCENTRATIONS IN SEOUL, KOREA. Youngkook Kim * Jean-Michel Guldmann * Hui-Mun Ra* *. * Ph.D. Candidate and Professor in Department of City and Regional Planning, OSU - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
City and Regional Planning / The Ohio State University
IMPACTS OF TRAFFIC VOLUMES AND WIND DIRECTIONS
ON AIR POLLUTION CONCENTRATIONS
IN SEOUL, KOREA
Youngkook Kim *Jean-Michel Guldmann *
Hui-Mun Ra**
* Ph.D. Candidate and Professor in Department of City and Regional Planning, OSU** Assistant Professor in Dept. of Public Administration, Sungkyul University, Anyang, S. Korea
10. 6. 2008
2 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
I. Introduction
1 Transportation is known to be responsible for a substantial share of urban air pollution such as carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), volatile organic compounds (VOC), particulate matter (PM), and sulfur dioxide (SO2),
a) Sources: EPA (2000), Korea Ministry of Environment (2005)b) Includes on-road and off-road engines and vehicles.c) Includes on-road vehicles only.
Share of emission from transportation
CO NO2 VOC PM10 SO2
USb) 79 % 53 % 43 % 19 % 7 %
South Koreac) 79.4 % 42.2 % 16.7 % 43.4 % 1.3 %
Seoulc) 90.0 % 61.1 % 31.1 % 73.8 % 11.0 %
3 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
Estimate hourly VKT around air quality monitoring stations (AQM)
Hourly VKTs are weighted by wind direction frequencies
The relationships between AQM pollution concentrations, WD-
weighted and un-weighted VKTs are investigated
PurposesPurposes
It is reasonable to expect that, as vehicle-kilometers-traveled (VKT)
increase, ambient air pollution concentrations also increase.
1
4 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
II. Research Method & Data
2
Location of AQMs, Circular Buffers, and Assigned Traffic Flows
5 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
II. Research Method & Data
Research framework
2
6 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
2
Wind direction data
7 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
2
Wind direction impacts on VKT
8 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
1) Hourly NO2 concentrations and Traffic Counts
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
010203040506070809101112131415161718192021222324
Hour
Tra
ffic
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
Po
lluti
on
(p
pb
)
Traffic NO2_Roadside NO2_Background
9 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
Positive impacts on NO2 concentration
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
223 ONOONO
Negative impacts on NO2 concentration
ONONO2 hv
10 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
2) Hourly CO concentrations and Traffic Counts
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
010203040506070809101112131415161718192021222324
Hour
Tra
ffic
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Po
llu
tio
n (
pp
m)
Traffic CO_Roadside CO_Background
11 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
3) Hourly SO2 concentrations and Traffic Counts
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour
Tra
ffic
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
Po
llu
tio
n (
pp
b)
Traffic SO2_Roadside SO2_Background
12 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
4) Hourly PM10 concentrations and Traffic Counts
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
0102 0304 0506 07 0809 1011 1213 1415 1617 18 1920 2122 2324
Hour
Tra
ffic
60
65
70
75
80
85
Po
llu
tio
n (
ug
/m3)
Traffic PM10_Roadside PM10_Background
13 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
3
5) Hourly O3 concentrations and Traffic Counts
III. Traffic flows vs. Pollution concentration
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
010203040506070809101112131415161718192021222324
Hour
Tra
ffic
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Po
llu
tio
n (
pp
b)
Traffic O3_Roadside O3_Background
14 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
IV. Wind Direction Impacts
4
Parameter St. Error t Value Pr > | t | R2 Parameter St. Error t Value Pr > | t | R2
500 1118.40 95.49 11.71 <.0001 0.14 6460.49 632.05 10.22 <.0001 0.111000 410.09 26.61 15.41 <.0001 0.23 3089.95 183.74 16.82 <.0001 0.261500 235.52 13.13 17.94 <.0001 0.28 1875.06 90.99 20.61 <.0001 0.342000 141.73 7.96 17.81 <.0001 0.28 1157.81 54.17 21.37 <.0001 0.362500 99.32 5.43 18.30 <.0001 0.29 789.11 36.82 21.43 <.0001 0.363000 73.19 3.90 18.78 <.0001 0.30 591.54 26.05 22.70 <.0001 0.393500 55.84 2.91 19.21 <.0001 0.31 457.70 19.64 23.31 <.0001 0.404000 43.58 2.26 19.28 <.0001 0.31 357.29 15.25 23.43 <.0001 0.404500 34.98 1.81 19.34 <.0001 0.31 289.58 12.41 23.34 <.0001 0.405000 28.71 1.51 19.00 <.0001 0.31 235.72 10.48 22.49 <.0001 0.385500 24.18 1.27 19.04 <.0001 0.31 197.96 8.87 22.32 <.0001 0.38500 202.54 14.48 13.98 <.0001 0.19 1243.25 95.44 13.03 <.0001 0.17
1000 59.32 4.24 13.97 <.0001 0.19 451.74 29.33 15.40 <.0001 0.231500 33.53 2.12 15.82 <.0001 0.24 244.65 15.30 15.99 <.0001 0.242000 19.99 1.29 15.52 <.0001 0.23 137.92 9.41 14.66 <.0001 0.212500 13.66 0.89 15.42 <.0001 0.23 94.81 6.38 14.85 <.0001 0.213000 9.82 0.64 15.28 <.0001 0.22 72.18 4.55 15.87 <.0001 0.243500 7.14 0.49 14.67 <.0001 0.21 52.80 3.50 15.07 <.0001 0.224000 5.57 0.38 14.70 <.0001 0.21 41.67 2.72 15.34 <.0001 0.224500 4.44 0.30 14.58 <.0001 0.21 33.78 2.21 15.30 <.0001 0.225000 3.55 0.26 13.91 <.0001 0.19 27.01 1.86 14.54 <.0001 0.215500 2.93 0.22 13.58 <.0001 0.18 22.16 1.58 14.03 <.0001 0.19500 214.0 27.1 7.91 <.0001 0.07 1632.5 173.5 9.41 <.0001 0.10
1000 64.8 7.9 8.19 <.0001 0.08 657.1 53.3 12.34 <.0001 0.161500 34.5 4.0 8.52 <.0001 0.08 350.1 28.0 12.52 <.0001 0.162000 15.9 2.5 6.39 <.0001 0.05 169.5 17.4 9.73 <.0001 0.102500 11.3 1.7 6.64 <.0001 0.05 127.0 11.7 10.84 <.0001 0.133000 7.7 1.2 6.20 <.0001 0.05 95.6 8.4 11.36 <.0001 0.143500 5.9 0.9 6.38 <.0001 0.05 74.8 6.4 11.73 <.0001 0.144000 4.5 0.7 6.20 <.0001 0.05 56.4 5.0 11.29 <.0001 0.144500 3.6 0.6 6.20 <.0001 0.05 44.5 4.1 10.93 <.0001 0.135000 2.9 0.5 5.92 <.0001 0.04 35.2 3.4 10.31 <.0001 0.125500 2.4 0.4 6.02 <.0001 0.04 29.1 2.9 10.06 <.0001 0.11500 482.91 105.07 4.60 <.0001 0.03 5610.07 663.71 8.45 <.0001 0.08
1000 71.82 31.08 2.31 0.02 0.01 988.76 217.16 4.55 <.0001 0.021500 33.21 15.95 2.08 0.04 0.01 418.98 114.79 3.65 0.00 0.022000 8.57 9.67 0.89 0.38 0.00 151.20 69.59 2.17 0.03 0.012500 5.72 6.64 0.86 0.39 0.00 102.47 47.35 2.16 0.03 0.013000 2.07 4.81 0.43 0.67 0.00 61.79 34.26 1.80 0.07 0.003500 3.35 3.61 0.93 0.35 0.00 58.47 26.06 2.24 0.03 0.014000 4.05 2.81 1.44 0.15 0.00 53.69 20.26 2.65 0.01 0.014500 4.01 2.25 1.78 0.08 0.00 47.10 16.45 2.86 0.00 0.015000 3.20 1.87 1.71 0.09 0.00 39.12 13.69 2.86 0.00 0.015500 2.29 1.57 1.46 0.15 0.00 30.55 11.56 2.64 0.01 0.01
With Wind Direction Impacts
PM10
Buffer Radius(meters)
Without Wind Direction Impacts
CO
NO2
SO2
15 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
IV. Wind Direction Impacts
4
Parameter St. Error t Value Pr > | t | R2 Parameter St. Error t Value Pr > | t | R2
00-01 -13.64 5.16 -2.64 0.01 0.18 -64.62 21.57 -3.00 0.01 0.2201-02 -17.33 7.41 -2.34 0.03 0.15 -82.41 30.58 -2.69 0.01 0.1902-03 -22.75 9.86 -2.31 0.03 0.14 -110.21 44.00 -2.50 0.02 0.1603-04 -25.07 12.74 -1.97 0.06 0.11 -139.79 66.23 -2.11 0.04 0.1204-05 -22.29 13.20 -1.69 0.10 0.08 -115.28 63.20 -1.82 0.08 0.0905-06 -16.92 9.50 -1.78 0.08 0.09 -84.44 45.12 -1.87 0.07 0.1006-07 -7.94 3.97 -2.00 0.05 0.11 -41.32 19.45 -2.12 0.04 0.1207-08 -3.98 2.22 -1.80 0.08 0.09 -28.39 13.57 -2.09 0.04 0.1208-09 -4.46 2.13 -2.09 0.04 0.12 -27.43 11.50 -2.39 0.02 0.1509-10 -9.08 2.69 -3.38 0.00 0.26 -55.34 15.65 -3.54 0.00 0.2810-11 -14.19 3.53 -4.02 0.00 0.34 -103.24 24.89 -4.15 0.00 0.3511-12 -19.55 4.68 -4.18 0.00 0.35 -133.73 32.11 -4.16 0.00 0.3512-13 -25.19 6.52 -3.86 0.00 0.32 -180.35 48.35 -3.73 0.00 0.3013-14 -27.79 7.31 -3.80 0.00 0.31 -196.59 53.83 -3.65 0.00 0.2914-15 -30.03 7.67 -3.91 0.00 0.32 -219.53 58.96 -3.72 0.00 0.3015-16 -31.41 7.78 -4.04 0.00 0.34 -213.13 54.26 -3.93 0.00 0.3316-17 -30.75 7.08 -4.34 0.00 0.37 -210.80 50.46 -4.18 0.00 0.3517-18 -26.83 5.72 -4.69 <.0001 0.41 -191.98 44.92 -4.27 0.00 0.3618-19 -21.10 4.24 -4.98 <.0001 0.44 -145.54 29.46 -4.94 <.0001 0.4319-20 -17.89 3.52 -5.08 <.0001 0.45 -117.24 21.28 -5.51 <.0001 0.4920-21 -15.79 3.25 -4.87 <.0001 0.43 -114.16 19.98 -5.71 <.0001 0.5021-22 -12.92 2.91 -4.44 0.00 0.38 -74.78 14.34 -5.22 <.0001 0.4622-23 -11.85 3.26 -3.64 0.00 0.29 -71.12 16.50 -4.31 0.00 0.3723-24 -11.55 3.61 -3.20 0.00 0.24 -63.71 17.10 -3.73 0.00 0.30
With Wind Direction ImpactsTime
Without Wind Direction Impacts
O3
16 / 16
Introduction
Impacts of Traffic Volumes and Wind Directions on Air Pollution Concentrations in Seoul, Korea
YOUNGKOOK KIM / JEAN-MICHEL GULDMANN / HUI-MUN RA
Research Method
Traffic vs.
Pollution
Conclusion
WindDirectionImpacts
5
V. Conclusion
• Positive relationships with NO2, SO2, CO, and PM10 concentrations
• On the other hand, O3 concentration is negatively correlated with
VKTs
Relations between hourly VKTs and air pollution concentration
• WD-weighted VKTs increase explanatory powers in most cases
• In the case of O3, however, WVKTs during the afternoon 8 hours do
not enhance model predictability, which calls for further research
WD-weighted impacts on pollution concentration