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Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the Arctic Pacific Environment (ICESCAPE)- Synthesis W. Balch (and entire ICESCAPE Team) Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Science E. Boothbay, ME 04544 [email protected] Arrigo, Bates, Benitez-Nelson, Chavez, Cooper, Frey, Freeman, Frouin, Hooker, Laney, Matrai, Mitchell, Ortega-Retuerta, Perovitch, Pickart, Reynolds, Sosik, Steel, Stramski, Swift, Werdell, Yvon, Zhang

Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

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Page 1: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems

and Chemistry of the Arctic Pacific

Environment (ICESCAPE)- Synthesis

W. Balch (and entire ICESCAPE Team)

Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Science

E. Boothbay, ME 04544

[email protected]

Arrigo, Bates, Benitez-Nelson, Chavez, Cooper, Frey,

Freeman, Frouin, Hooker, Laney, Matrai, Mitchell,

Ortega-Retuerta, Perovitch, Pickart, Reynolds, Sosik,

Steel, Stramski, Swift, Werdell, Yvon, Zhang

Page 2: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Acknowledgements

• Investigators who sent me slides

• Paty Matrai for some of the early literature citations

• Captains and crew of the USCGC Healy

• Quincey Allison, Sue Tolley-NASA logistics for moving people and gear

• NASA for funding

Page 3: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Outline

• Introduction and perspective

• Physics

• Chemistry and Biogeochemistry

• Optics and Bio-optics

• Biology

• Modeling

• Summary

Page 4: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Introduction and perspective

Spencer Apollonio, Yale Univ. Summer 1957; T-3 Ice Island.

“ICESKATE”

Page 5: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered
Page 6: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered
Page 7: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

More justification for ICESCAPE… Ic

e C

ove

r (m

illio

n s

qu

are

kilo

met

ers)

Page 8: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Given ongoing changes in

the Arctic Ocean…

How has primary production

changed in recent years?

Page 9: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Changes in Pan-Arctic Annual Productivity

-Suggested 38% increase

-What is responsible for this increase?

• Lower ice cover and longer growing seasons play a role

• Increased nutrient supply also must be important

- Greater shelf-break upwelling as sea ice retreats?

- Increased eddy activity?

- Intensified advection of nutrients from Bering Strait?

Page 10: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

ICESCAPE

Central science question:

What is the impact of climate change (natural and

anthropogenic) on the biogeochemistry and

ecology of the Chukchi and Beaufort seas?

Page 11: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

When?

June 15 - July 21, 2010

& September 2011

Where?

Start in Dutch Harbor, AK

Cruise to Bering Strait

Beaufort/Chukchi Sea

- Continental shelf

- Canada Basin

Sea ice sampling

Back through Bering Strait

End In Seward, AK

ICESCAPE

Page 12: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Physical Oceanography/modeling: Bob Pickart – XBTs, ADCP, eddies

Jim Swift – CTD, O2, salinity

Mike Steele– Bio-ARGO floats (hydrographic measurements)

Jinlun Zhang – 3D coupled physical-chemical-biological ice-ocean

modeling

Biological Oceanography/Biogeochemistry: Kevin Arrigo, Greg Mitchell, Barney Balch – Carbon fixation,

microalgal abundance (ice and water column), physiology

Sam Laney/Heidi Sosik – Phytoplankton community composition

Eva Ortega-Retuerta - Bacterial production

Claudia Benitez-Nelson- Export fluxes with thorium

Patricia Matrai- Bio-ARGO Floats (chlorophyll, optics, nitrate, O2)

ICESCAPE- Investigators

Page 13: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Chemical Oceanography: Nick Bates – Carbon cycle measurements (e.g. DIC, alkalinity)

Jim Swift – Nutrients (e.g. NO3, NO2, NH4, PO4 , SiO3), O2, salinity

Optical Oceanography: Greg Mitchell, Barney Balch, Stan Hooker – Spectral Lu, Ed, AOPs, IOPs, underway

IOPs

Rick Reynolds and Dariusz Stramski – Particle size distribution, bb, volume

scattering, SPM

Atsushi Matsuoka – absorption of CDOM

Robert Frouin – Atmospheric correction

Sea Ice: Don Perovich, Bonnie Light – Concentration, thickness, salinity, snow cover, optical

properties

Karen Frey – CDOM, DOC, O2 isotopes

Modeling: Jinlun Zhang- modeling bloom onset

Robert Frouin – Modeling primary productivity (PISCES model)

ICESCAPE-Investigators (cont.)

Page 14: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Physical observations

Page 15: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Revised circulation scheme of high-nutrient winter water

Based on the ICESCAPE hydrographic/velocity surveys

Jul 2011 massive under-ice bloom

Pickard, WHOI

Barrow Canyon

Hannah Shoal

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Schematic of upwelling at the shelfbreak due to easterly winds

Pickard, WHOI

Vertical section of model

chlorophyll tracer after upwelling

Vertical section of observed

chlorophyll tracer during ICESCAPE

Chl a (color) overlain by density (contours)

Page 17: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

T – Tf 1-day & 10 m running boxcar smoothed

°C

September October

180W

Red: September Blue: October

Barrow, AK

Day of 2012

1st float obs of NSTM formation

(Near-Surface Temperature Maximum)

Chukchi Borderland

Canada Basin

Chukchi Sea

0 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0

ICESCAPE float program: Steele, Matrai, Riser

Beaufort Sea obs

Day of 2012

Pre

ssure

(db)

Page 18: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Chemistry/Biogeochemistry

Page 19: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered waters

P. Matrai1, M. Steele2, D.Swift2, S. Riser2, K. Johnson3 and J. Nutt1 1Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences, 2University of Washington, 3MBARI

Float 7078 (o 8/21/2012 – 4/23/2014)

Float 7596 (o 8/20/2012 – 2/9/2014)

Float 7564 (o 8/23/2011 – 3/19/2013)

Jan Mayen Is.

Under sea ice

7564

7078

2012 | 2013 |2014

2011 | 2012 | 2013

2012 | 2013 | 2014

2011 | 2012 | 2013

2012 | 2013 |2014

2011 | 2012 | 2013

7564

7596

7596

7564 7564

7596

ICE

2012 | 2013 |2014

7078

7596

T, S, NO3, O2, fluorescence, backscatter => chl, POC, PP, NCP

ICE

ICE ICE

Oxygen [ml l-1]

Nitrate [µM] Chlorophyll [µg l-1] Spring

bloom:

Ice, no ice

2011 | 2012 | 2013

Temperature [oC]

Page 20: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Arrigo et al. Stanford

Page 21: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Benitez-Nelson, Univ. S. Carolina

Under-Ice Bloom Stations

Page 22: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

S.Chukchi N.Chukchi W.Beaufort E.Beaufort

d15

N a

nd

d18

O

0

2

4

6

8

10

12 d15N

d18O

flowpath

NH

4 (

µM

), δ

15N

NO

3 a

nd

δ1

8O

NO

3 (‰

)

δ15NNO3

δ18ONO3

NH4

Brown et al. , Stanford Univ.

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C E

xpo

rt R

ate

(mm

ol C

m-2

d-1

)

Mean POC Export

% of Prim. Prod.

2010 ICESCAPE Whole Chukchi Shelf (non-ACC) 45±15%

2011 ICESCAPE

Whole Chukchi Shelf (non-ACC)

55%±19%

Quantify C Export Rate

Strong, Arrigo and Bates

Page 24: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

d18O in sea ice and

seawater from on-ice collections -

2010

Average d18O values Ice Cores -0.97 ± 0.9 Under Ice Waters -2.8 ± 0.8

End-member identification

Lee Cooper, UMCES

Page 25: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Western Arctic OA Impacts

Bates et al., 2013

Page 26: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Optical observations

Page 27: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Figure courtesy of K. Frey

2010

2011

Page 28: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

ICESCAPE – Sea ice studies

Courtesy of

K. Frey

-4 -2 0 2 40.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Pond

Wavelength (nm)

380

490

555

660

750

PAR

BoundaryBare

Tra

nsm

itta

nce

Bare ice thickness = 1.27 m Pond ice thickness = 0.83 m, Pond water depth = 0.15 m

Light field is spatially complex – ponds are skylights to the ocean

Perovich, Light; CRREL

Page 29: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Impacts of a declining Arctic sea ice cover on the photodegradation of dissolved organic matter

Loss of CDOM absorbance with irradiation (over 72-hours) for triplicate samples from representative samples.

Karen Frey, Christie Logvinova, et al.,Clark Univ.

T1

Page 30: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Optical detection of particle concentration, composition,

and size within Arctic waters

Particle diameter D [ µm ]

0.04 0.06 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.80.1 1

FN(D

) [

cm

-3 µ

m-1

]

106

107

108

109

Kotzebue Sound

Colville River

Beaufort Sea

Submicron particle size distributions measured for surface waters at three locations during the 2011 ICESCAPE cruise.

Rick A. Reynolds and Dariusz Stramski, SIO, UCSD

Page 31: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

[Matsuoka et al., 2013b]

CDOM and DOC estimates using semi-analytical algorithm

Page 32: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Balch; Bigelow Laboratory

Log chl a

ICESCAPE: Bio-optics and coccolithophore observations in Arctic under-ice bloom

Page 33: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

OC3M Ca (A), Stramski POC (B), GIOP aph(443) (C), and GIOP adg(443) (D) using in situ Rrs versus in situ measured values.

in situ ICESCAPE match-ups measured with in situ radiometry

(not a problem with a satellite)

Werdell, Chavez, Freeman, Neely, Mannino

Page 34: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

OC3M Ca (A), Stramski POC (B); GIOP aph(443) (C) and adg(443) (D) using MODIS-Aqua Rrs(l) versus in situ measured values.

MODIS-Aqua ICESCAPE match-ups

Werdell, Chavez, Freeman, Neely, Mannino

Page 35: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Biological Observations

Page 36: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Merge IFCB-derived and FCM C cell carbon estimates

Greatest number of identifiable algal classes (~19-20)

Fewest identifiable classes (~6-8)

Where is greatest diversity seen in the microphytoplankton?

E.g., which taxa contribute most to algal C biomass in the Chukchi overall, or in under-ice bloom?

How much of the total POC can be attributed to algae, within or outside of the under-ice bloom?

Laney & Sosik 2014

Page 37: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

B

Icescape 2011. Phytoplankton-bacteria coupling in the under-ice bloom

Ortega-Retuerta et. al. 2014 DSRII

Page 38: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Modeling

Page 39: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Biological Model

Palmer & Arrigo

Page 40: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

BIOMAS surface [chlorophyll-a] on July 4, 2011

Black lines: bathymetry contours While line: satellite sea ice edge.

Jinlun Zhang, APL, Univ. Washington

Station 56

From Arrigo et al.

2012; transect 1

with stations 46-57

Page 41: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Modeled Primary production under ice in the Arctic

(ORCA2/LIM2/PISCES configuration of the NEMO GCM)

Frouin, SIO

Page 42: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Nitrate deficit- Apollonio, 1959 • 14uM drawdown in top

100m over 6 weeks

• =1400mmol N m-2 drawdown

• 6.625 mol C/mol N

• =9275 mmolC m-2/42d

• 2.64gC m-2-d-1

• Arrigo et al. estimated 1.2-4.8 g C m-2 d-1 with standard 14C method

• Balch indep. measured 2.86 g C m-2 d-1 with 14C microdiffusion

Page 43: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

So from “ICESKATE” to “ICESCAPE”, science has come full

circle…ICESCAPE unequivocally demonstrated presence of massive

under-ice algal blooms only hinted at 57 years earlier! ~1980

Page 44: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Thank you!

?

Page 45: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered
Page 46: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Summary-Main points

• Physics • The pathways of winter water across the Chukchi

shelf have been clarified

• Shelfbreak upwelling leads to significant primary production

• NSTM (Near Surface Temperature Maximum) is the “world’s newest water mass.”

• First ever Arctic ARGO bio-floats with ice avoidance algorithm, survive stratification and function under sea ice, 0-1000m, 20+ months!

Page 47: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Summary-Main points

• Biogeochemistry/Chemistry • If 2011 ice sheets were to melt they would decrease overall

Phosphorous concentrations in the Arctic mixed layer.

• ~50% of primary productivity is exported vertically

• ~58% of the Pacific-origin NO3 in the Canada Basin was newly nitrified on the Chukchi shelf, rather than from the Bering Sea

• Values for oxygen isotopes in Arctic sea ice, interface waters, melt ponds and under-ice waters have been identified for first time.

• Ocean Acidification- At least 40% of the Chukchi Sea benthos is exposed to bottom waters that are corrosive to CaCO3 during summertime

Page 48: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Summary-Main points

• Optics and Bio-optics

• Light transmittance through ponded ice is 3-10 X greater than through bare ice and first-year ice has lower light extinction than multiyear ice (both for bare and ponded ice)

• Solar UV-induced photooxidation of CDOM (ap254) ranged from ~48–62% whereas the percent loss in DOC was only ~0–8%.

• First measurements of particle size distribution for oceanic submicron particles in native state

• Arctic Shelf DOC budget now indicates largest sources of terrestrially-derived DOC to Arctic (presumably associated with melting tundra)

• Semi-analytical algorithm approaches remove biases in chlorophyll and IOPs

Page 49: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Summary-Main points

• Biology • Chlorophyll biomass up to ~1300 mg Chl m-2 in under-ice

bloom (higher than any depth-integrated biomass in NASA Sea BASS (n=12,048!)

• NPP 1.2-4.8 gC m-2 d-1

• Phytoplankton growth rates of 0.83-1.44 d-1 (at -1.6oC!!) • Coccolithophore calcification, <1% of photosynthesis and

combined evidence shows unequivocal proof of coccolithophores in and under the Arctic ice cap

• Imaging Flow Cytobot and Flow Cytometry summed cell C is typically ~½ of bottle POC (i.e. on average, ~50% of POC is detritus)

• Bacterial biomass typically 11% of phytoplankton biomass, only 3.5% inside under-ice bloom

Page 50: Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the … › meetings › scienceteam › ocrt › ma… · Arctic Phytoplankton Productivity: Bio-float observations in ice-covered

Summary-Main points

• Modeling • Key change: a large Under-ice bloom =

reduced marginal ice zone bloom because no nutrients left after such an under-ice bloom

• BIOMAS model captures the basic features of ICESCAPE observed under-ice blooms