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Identifying Population Demographics of a Geographical Area that Influence ATM Usage Submitted By Ganga Reddy Papaigari MBA 2012-14, IME, IIT Kanpur. Under the Guidance of Dr. Raghu Kisore Neelisetti Assistant Professor, IDRBT, Hyderabad.

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Identifying Population Demographics of

a Geographical Area that Influence

ATM Usage

Submitted By

Ganga Reddy Papaigari

MBA 2012-14,

IME, IIT Kanpur.

Under the Guidance of

Dr. Raghu Kisore Neelisetti Assistant Professor,

IDRBT, Hyderabad.

INSTITUTE OF DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH IN BANKING TECHNOLOGY

(IDRBT)

Road No. 1, Castle Hills, Masab Tank,

Hyderabad-500057

CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that Mr. Ganga Reddy Papaigari, pursuing MBA course in the Department

of Industrial and Management Engineering (IME) at Indian Institute of Technology (IIT),

Kanpur, has undertaken a project as an intern at Institute of Development and Research in

Banking Technology (IDRBT), Hyderabad from May 14, 2013 to July 15, 2013.

He was assigned the project “Identifying Population Demographics of a Geographical Area

that Influence ATM Usage” which he completed successfully under my guidance.

I wish him all the best for all his endeavors.

Dr. Raghu Kisore Neelisetti

(Project Guide)

Assistant Professor

IDRBT, Hyderabad

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

The successful accomplishment of this project, and the contentment it accounts for would be

incomplete without the mention of people whose ceaseless cooperation made it possible,

whose constant guidance and encouragement crowned all efforts with success.

I would like to express my sincere gratitude to the Institute for Development and Research in

Banking Technology (IDRBT) and particularly Dr. Raghu Kisore Neelisetti, Assistant

Professor, IDRBT who was my guide in this project. I would not hesitate to add that this

short stint in IDRBT has added a different facet to my life as this is a unique organization

being a combination of academics, research, technology, communication services, crucial

applications etc. and at the same time performing roles as an arm of regulation, spread of

technology, facilitator for implementing technology in banking and non-banking system.

I am extremely grateful to Dr. Raghu Kisore Neelisetti for their guidance and useful

critiques of this work.

I am thankful to IME, IIT Kanpur for giving me this opportunity to work in a high-end

research institute like IDRBT.

I would further thank people who participated in the survey, for their cooperation and

suggestions.

Ganga Reddy Papaigari

MBA 2012-14

IME, IIT Kanpur

Contents

Abstract ................................................................................................................................ 6

1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 7

1.1 Objective ..................................................................................................................... 7

1.2 Motivation ................................................................................................................... 7

1.3 Related Work ............................................................................................................... 7

1.4 Drawbacks of existing work ......................................................................................... 7

2. Research Framework ...................................................................................................... 8

2.1 Research Questions ...................................................................................................... 8

2.2 Hypotheses .................................................................................................................. 8

2.2.1 Null Hypothesis H1 ............................................................................................... 8

2.2.2 Null Hypothesis H2 ............................................................................................... 8

2.2.3 Null Hypothesis H3 ............................................................................................... 9

2.2.4 Null Hypothesis H4 ............................................................................................... 9

2.3 Collection of Variables ................................................................................................ 9

2.4 Formulation of Research Questions and Hypotheses .................................................... 9

3. Research Method ........................................................................................................... 9

3.1 Sampling Technique .................................................................................................... 9

3.2 Research Design .......................................................................................................... 9

3.2.1 Descriptive Research (Questionnaire in the form of online survey) ........................ 9

3.3 Research Instruments ................................................................................................. 10

3.3.1 Primary Data ....................................................................................................... 10

3.4 Description of questionnaire ...................................................................................... 10

3.5 Procedure................................................................................................................... 10

3.5.1 Responses obtained: ............................................................................................ 10

3.6 Data Preparation ........................................................................................................ 11

3.6.1 Questionnaire Checking and Editing .................................................................... 11

3.6.2 Coding ................................................................................................................ 11

3.6.3 Data Transcribing ................................................................................................ 11

3.6.4 Data Cleaning ...................................................................................................... 11

3.7 Data Analysis ............................................................................................................ 11

3.7.1 t-Test and Anova test ........................................................................................... 11

3.7.2 Factor Analysis ................................................................................................... 12

4. Inferences & Findings of the Study .............................................................................. 15

4.1 t-Test and Anova test Analysis ................................................................................... 15

4.2 Factor Analysis .......................................................................................................... 15

5. Conclusions and recommendations of the study ............................................................... 19

5.1 Conclusions ............................................................................................................... 19

5.2 Recommendations for Usage...................................................................................... 19

References .......................................................................................................................... 20

Appendix ............................................................................................................................ 21

Survey Questionnaire ...................................................................................................... 21

ATM Location Survey ................................................................................................. 21

Abstract

ATM has become an essential banking service that is used by banks to provide 24*7 banking

operations. This purpose can be better served if the ATM locations are optimized for better

coverage in a geographical area. The problem of ATM location is further complicated as

customers of one bank can use their debit cards at any other bank ATMs for the first few

transactions in a cycle. Today RBI is contemplating the establishment of white color and

ground level ATMs. These ATMs are in addition to a bank’s own ATM and would be run

and managed by 3rd party agencies.

Given these diverse set of options of ATM running, banks need to have mechanism to

quantitatively measure the benefits of one mechanism over the other. This can only be done

through an appropriate optimizing function. The ability to arrive at such a function can in turn

only be done by knowing the variables that influence ATM usage.

This work aims to identify the parameters that impact a bank ATM location and also identify

relative weights of each of these factors. The parameters that influence ATM usage are

arrived at through an online survey. The online responses were analyzed using Rapid miner

tool. The analysis helped us to qualitatively evaluate people’s preferences for ATM usage.

1. Introduction

1.1 Objective

To identify the population demographics that influence ATM usage at a given location.

1.2 Motivation

Provide banks with a mechanism to quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of their ATMs.

This is necessary as ATM operation incurs cost in the form of upkeep, security (though

relatively lesser compared to operation of a full-fledged bank) and this cost will become

overburden if underutilized.

1.3 Related Work

Banks keep very detailed customer records, but these records exist in independent business

systems that are organized around products rather than around the customer. In the United

States, business systems are tied together and organized around the customer household in the

Marketing Customer Information File (MCIF). These customer-centric files give banks a

distinct advantage over other business sectors that don't have that data and/or are not as

efficient in the collection of customer data for marketing purposes.

Financial institutions understand the Master Customer Information File (MCIF) contains

valuable information about their customers. Using one of the humblest data elements in

MCIF, the customer's street address, financial service marketers can yield a bonanza of

information. ESRI's Community Tapestry lifestyle data combined with Community Coder

adds the power of lifestyle segmentation to each customer record, essentially telling a bank or

financial institution which consumption category the customer falls within. Summary

demographic reports are included in Community Coder. A bank's own customer databases

enhanced with ESRI's geo-positional technology tells it both where the customers are and

what they "look like." ESRI offers a wide range of enhancement data and automated

reporting that identifies new marketing opportunities and quantifies risk.

1.4 Drawbacks of existing work

In India, there exists no such database for use by banking institutions. Mining for the right

information requires skill and experience that banks may not have.

So we have used an online survey questionnaire to get the customers’ demographic,

geographic, segmentation details and their location preference for the ATM and the

underlying factors.

2. Research Framework

Our research focuses on finding out the individual factors and their significant impact on the

usage of ATM. There are many factors/locations which influence the people to use an ATM

like Multiplexes, Shopping malls, Public transport hubs, etcetera. We have carefully framed

our questionnaire through explorative research and by asking our respondents, the questions

related all these factors.

� Study the population demographics that influence ATM usage at a given location in India.

� Marketing research objective:

a) Factors that influence usage of an ATM

b) Research type: Exploratory &Descriptive

� Research questions and hypothesis

� Research questions and hypothesis

� Data collection:

Online survey among the general public who use ATM.

2.1 Research Questions

In our research we are majorly using two types of questions. One is Objective and another is

Classifying. In classifying questions we are asking gender, age, profession and type of house

he/she currently stays. Through the objective part we are studying their requirement of an

ATM at different places, their attitude towards several attributes (which are important for

ATM usage).

2.2 Hypotheses

2.2.1 Null Hypothesis H1

Age doesn’t have any significant impact on the requirement of ATM by general public.

2.2.2 Null Hypothesis H2

Gender doesn’t have any significant impact on the requirement of ATM by general public.

2.2.3 Null Hypothesis H3

Profession doesn’t have any significant impact on the requirement of ATM by general public.

2.2.4 Null Hypothesis H4

There is no significant difference on the requirement of ATM by different home residents.

2.3 Collection of Variables

Based on general requirement of ATM, we came up with a set of variables. Then, conducting

a test survey based on that and collecting feedbacks from respondents helped us to realize

that some of the variables were correlated. After adjusting for correlation, the number of

variables was reduced down.

2.4 Formulation of Research Questions and Hypotheses

Corresponding to the variables identified in the exploratory research, hypotheses to be tested

were formulated. The hypotheses are discussed in detail later in the report.

3. Research Method

3.1 Sampling Technique

Data was collected by floating the survey online on Facebook and other social networking

sites like Twitter. Also we mailed individuals present in our address book. Non probability

convenience sampling was used.

3.2 Research Design

3.2.1 Descriptive Research (Questionnaire in the form of online survey)

Descriptive research is a type of conclusive research that has major objective of description

of something, usually a market characteristic. It is preplanned and structured. We have used

online survey method to obtain information from the people. The people were asked to fill a

questionnaire depending on their usage requirement of an ATM. Our data collection method

was structured where in formal questionnaire was prepared and questions were asked in

certain order. There was a fixed set of alternatives for each question and they had to make a

choice among those alternatives. Also the purpose of the questionnaire was revealed to the

respondents, so it was a direct method of data collection.

To analyze the responses we have used Factor analysis, t-Test and Anova test. Also Likert

scale is being used for measurement of ATM requirement on scale of 5 (highest) to 1

(lowest).

3.3 Research Instruments

The following research instruments are used for conducting the research:

3.3.1 Primary Data

1. Questionnaire

3.4 Description of questionnaire

In our research we are majorly using two types of questions. One is Objective and another is

Classifying. In classifying questions we are asking gender, age, profession and type of house

he/she currently stays. Through the objective part we are studying their requirement of an

ATM at different places, their attitude towards several attributes (which are important for

ATM usage).

3.5 Procedure

We have designed an online questionnaire through Google Forms.

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1tGXIzablhigBbE4lSJBko87gxCwURG9CR7pLmh4vAK8/

viewform

Alternate URL:

https://qtrial.qualtrics.com/SE/?SID=SV_9YqVGPDteOO0Tm5

We have floated the link of that through e-mails and sent the link through social networking

sites. The responses were stored in Google docs and Qualtrics. After collecting and

consolidating the required data, we proceeded into analysis part. Then, we have analyzed the

data and drawn conclusion.

3.5.1 Responses obtained: 480

3.6 Data Preparation

3.6.1 Questionnaire Checking and Editing

While doing the test survey, we found that few questions were being left blank initially

because of the inability to comprehend the questions. So we had to revisit the questionnaire

and make appropriate modifications. Some questions were rephrased to give a better

understanding of the questions.

3.6.2 Coding

We have assigned proper codes or number specific to each of the responses for a question.

For example Highest Priority gets 5, Lowest Priority gets 1.

3.6.3 Data Transcribing

As the survey was done online, online form helped in preparing the spread sheet of the

responses at the back end. Then we had to consolidate the responses from Qualtrics (alternate

survey URL).

3.6.4 Data Cleaning

In this process we tried to analyze the reason for the responses which were left unanswered in

the beginning. For example - in the beginning few respondents did not mention their age

group (after which the response was made mandatory in the online form).

3.7 Data Analysis

The data obtained was then prepared in order to make it suitable for analysis using the

software tools like Rapidminer and R. The following tests have been applied to the prepared

data:

3.7.1 t-Test and Anova test

t-Test and Anova test are to find out whether the ATM usage depends on the age of the

individual, gender of the individual, profession of the individual or type of the house the

person stays in.

3.7.2 Factor Analysis

It is used when we have variables that show interdependence. Through this we have reduced

the number of variables to a few factors where each factor contains a set of related variables.

4. Inferences & Findings of the Study

4.1 t-Test and Anova test Analysis

In our project, we have tested the possibility of any relationship between the ATM usage and

age, gender, profession and type of residence.

We found that ATM usage is independent of gender and profession. In both cases, we

obtained P-value to be 0.9007 and 0.8874 respectively. Both the values are greater than 0.05

(5% significance level). Thus the null hypothesis in both these cases cannot be rejected. This

means ATM usage is independent of gender and profession.

But there is significant difference between the responses of different age groups with respect

to ATM usage at the 5% (0.05) significance level. P-value obtained in this case is 0.0006

which is less than 0.05(5% significance level). Thus the null hypothesis in this case can be

rejected. This means that ATM usage is influenced by the age of the individuals.

We noticed that ATM usage is indifferent to the type house the individual stays in. From

Anova test, the P-values obtained in this case for most of the variables is greater than 0.05

(5% significance level). Thus the null hypothesis in this case cannot be rejected. This means

ATM usage is independent of type of residence the individual stays in.

4.2 Factor Analysis

Through explorative research, we identified 23 variables and included them in our

questionnaire. But many of these variables were highly correlated and thus it became

essential to reduce the number of variables to a manageable number. Thus we went for the

factor analysis to identify a new smaller set of uncorrelated factors or dimension, from the

original set of variables.

Step-1

Through Factor analysis we first obtained a correlation matrix and noticed that the variables

are quite correlated and hence factor analysis is a good approach.

Step-2

The method of principle component analysis was followed to get the factors. Thus it provided

us with 19 factors (sufficient to explain 95% of the variance) from Rapidminer.

Component

Standard

Deviation

Proportion of

Variance

Cumulative

Variance

PC 1 3.61 0.373 0.373

PC 2 2.058 0.121 0.495

PC 3 1.437 0.059 0.554

PC 4 1.283 0.047 0.601

PC 5 1.235 0.044 0.645

PC 6 1.138 0.037 0.682

PC 7 1.079 0.033 0.715

PC 8 0.985 0.028 0.743

PC 9 0.97 0.027 0.77

PC 10 0.957 0.026 0.796

PC 11 0.928 0.025 0.821

PC 12 0.901 0.023 0.844

PC 13 0.834 0.02 0.864

PC 14 0.818 0.019 0.883

PC 15 0.776 0.017 0.9

PC 16 0.751 0.016 0.916

PC 17 0.728 0.015 0.932

PC 18 0.713 0.015 0.946

PC 19 0.69 0.014 0.96

PC 20 0.651 0.012 0.972

PC 21 0.637 0.012 0.984

PC 22 0.611 0.011 0.994

PC 23 0.444 0.006 1

Step-3

Determination of factors: We have set an Eigen value of 1. This means only those factors

whose Eigen values are greater than one was retained and remaining were left out as

insignificant factors. Thus only 13 factors were extracted.

This can also be interpreted from the Scree plot where after component number #13 the slope

of the curve became increasingly flatter.

Step-4

Interpretation of factor matrix: Rapidminer then provided us the factor matrix on the basis of

which communalities of the 25 variables were calculated. As for example now from factor

matrix we got -

V1=F1*a1+F2*a2+F3*a3+F4*a4+F5*a5+F6*a6+F7*a7+F8*a8+F9*a9+F10*a10+F11*a

11+F12*a12+F13*a13 where F1…13 are individual factors and a1…13 are the respective factor

loadings. This means correlation between F8 and V1 is a8.

Now sum of the squares of the factor loadings will give us the communality or the total

variance in the variable that is explained by all the 13 factors.

0.9985

0.999

0.9995

1

1.0005

1.001

1.0015

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Eigenvalues

Eigenvalues

Since we could not get a clear distinction between the factors and variables, we went for

rotating the factor matrix. Thus by rotating the factors we obtained neat nonzero significant

loadings for only some of the variables which made the interpretation simple as now we can

clearly categorize all variables under certain specific factors or groups. Varimax rotational

method has been used.

Factors Variables

1 Bus Stations, Railway Stations, Airports

2 Gaming zones, Bar/Clubs/Pubs

3 Shopping Malls, Multiplexes

4 At workplace, At Residence

5 Govt. offices, E-seva Centres

6 Temples

7 Vending Machines

8 Market Places where card payment is not accepted

9 Gated Communities

10 Gas Stations

11 Popular Highway Halts, Tourist Spots

12 Hotels

13 Stadiums

14

The shops where transaction charges are levied on card

payment

15 Hospitals

16 Convenience Stores

Thus from our result we can identify that factor 1 or ‘Public transport hubs’ is by far the most

important factor that can alone explain 11.9% of variation.

5. Conclusions and recommendations of the study

5.1 Conclusions

From the above analysis we can conclude the following:

We started with 23 location variables as points of interest and got a reduced subset of

13-19 factors thru different tests like PCA, Scree test and EFA.

Number of factors with Eigen values greater than 1 is 13.

Number of factors from Scree test is 19.

Number of factors sufficient to explain 95% of the variance (thru Rapidminer) is 19.

We see that the locations like public transport hubs, Shopping Malls/Multiplexes,

Hospitals, Market places where card payment is not accepted, near residential

area/workplace are the places where people highly likely to use the ATM.

This preference varies with the segmentation of the people based on important

demographic and socioeconomic characteristics.

5.2 Recommendations for Usage

The factors identified are indicative and depend on the population demographics in a

given area. Care must be taken by making use of appropriate weight factors so as to

account to variances in the population demographics.

This model doesn't take into possible future growth potential of a given business area.

References

1. H. F. Oliveira, M. B. Gonçalves, E. Souza de Cursi and A. G. Novaes, “A Model

Based On Voronoi Diagrams to Find the best Bus-stop Spacing to Minimize Total

Travel Time of the travelers,” in Proc. Of Eng. Opt., Rio de Janeiro, 2008.

2. W. F. Yushimito, M. Jaller, and S. Ukkusuri, “A Voronoi-Based Heuristic Algorithm

for Locating Distribution Centers in Disasters,” in journal of Netw. Spat. Econ., vol.

12, no. 1, pp. 21-39.

3. A. A. Khanban, A. Edalat, and A. Lieutier, “Computability of partial Delaunay

triangulation and Voronoi diagram,” In Electronic Notes in Theoretical Computer

Science, volume 66. Elsevier, 2002. 4. P. Iamtrakul, K. Teknomo, and K. Hokao, “Evaluation of Public Park Location Using

Voronoi Diagram,” In 9th International Student Seminar on Transport Research

(ISSOT 2003), pp. 146-155, 2003.

5. M. Abellanas, F. Hurtado, C. Icking, R. Klein, E. Langetepe, L. Ma, B. Palop, and V.

Sacrist´an, “Voronoi diagram for services neighboring a highway,” Information

Processing Letters, vol. 86, pp. 283–288, 2003. 6. R. Cheng, Xike Xie, Man Lung Yiu, Jinchuan Chen and Liwen Sun, "UV-diagram: A

Voronoi diagram for uncertain data," In Proc. of IEEE 26th International Conference

on Data Engineering, pp.796-807, 2010.

7. A.B. Mendes and I.H. Themido, "Multi-outlet retail site location assessment," In

International Transactions in Operational Research, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 1–18, 2004.

8. Antonio G. N. Novaes, J. E. Souza de Cursi, Arinei C. L. da Silva, and C. Souza,

"Solving continuous location-districting problems with Voronoi diagrams," In

Computers and Operation Research, vol. 36, no. 1, pp. 40-59, 2009.

9. Oswin Aichholzer, Franz Aurenhammer, and Belén Palop, "Quickest paths, straight

skeletons, and the city Voronoi diagram," In Proceedings of the eighteenth annual

symposium on Computational geometry, pp. 151-159, 2002.

10. M. Karavelas and M. Yvinec, "Dynamic additively weighted Voronoi diagrams in

2D," In Lecture Notes in Comput. Sci., vol. 2461, Springer, Berlin, 2002, pp. 586–

598. 11. Sunil Arya, Theocharis Malamatos, and David M. Mount, "Space-time tradeoffs for

approximate nearest neighbor searching," In Journal of the ACM, vol. 57, no. 1, 2009. 12. C. M. Gold, P. R. Remmele and T. Roos, "Voronoi methods in GIS," In Algorithmic

Foundations of Geographic Information Systems Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 1340, pp 21-35, 1997.

13. C. Gold, P. Remmele and T. Roos, "Fully Dynamic and Kinematic Voronoi Diagrams in GIS", Algorithmica, 1998.

Appendix

Survey Questionnaire

ATM Location Survey

This survey has been designed to evaluate 'the best location for ATM' and 'the factors considered while choosing an ATM' as part of an

internship undertaken by a student from IIT Kanpur. Please fill the survey and stand a chance to win prize money/item worth Rs.500. The

survey contains 11 questions and it takes approximately 5 min.

* Required

What is your name? (Optional)

What are your contact details? (Optional - This information is only if you want to

participate in the lucky dip for prize money/item worth Rs.500/-)

Email ID

Contact Number

What is your age? *

Are you male or female? *

o Male

o Female

Where do you live in? *

City

*Locality

What is the type of house you live in? *

o Own

o Rented

o Independent house

o Apartment

o Gated Community

What is your Profession? *

What is the nature of your job? *

Rate the below places according to your requirement of an ATM (5 being the highest

and 1 being the lowest). *

1 2 3 4 5

At Workplace

Near Home/Residential Area

Gated Communities

Shopping Malls

Market Places where card

1 2 3 4 5

payment is not accepted

Multiplexes

Hospitals

Bus Stations

Railway Stations

Airports

Government Offices

E-seva Centers

Popular Highway Halts

Gas Stations

Temples

Stadiums

Hotels

Gaming Zones

1 2 3 4 5

Tourist Spots

Bar/Clubs/Pubs

Convenience Stores

Vending Machines

The shops where transaction

charges are levied on card

payment

Rate the factors that you look for in an ATM (5 being the highest and 1 being the

lowest). *

1 2 3 4 5

Proximity

ATM in which you have an

account

History of Bank/ATM

User friendly interface/software

Security

AC

1 2 3 4 5

Low Traffic

Past Experience

Ease of Use

Balance Enquiry

Cash Withdrawal

Quick Cash

Cash Deposit

Change Pin

Change Contact Number

Option to select/skip different

denominations(100,500,1000)

Fixed and Recurring Deposits

Credit Card bill Payment

Utility Services

1 2 3 4 5

Money Transfer

Prepaid mobile recharge

Why do you prefer CASH payment over card payment at POS terminal/Shopping? *

o To avoid surcharges if any

o Concern over security features of the machine

o I prefer card payment

o Other:

Submit