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Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

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Page 1: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2):

Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet

By: Eric DoBroka

Page 2: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Professor Edward HannaProfessor of Climate Change

-Edward Hanna received a BS in Planetary Science (First Class Honors) from University College London in 1995

-He was appointed as lecturer in climate change in 2003 in Sheffield, UK -Member of both Meteorological and Astronomical Societies; International Glaciological Society

-Published over 80 research papers

-Got questions? Call +44-144-222-7965

Page 3: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Increased Runoff from Melt from the Greenland Ice Sheet: A Response to Global Warming

(2008)

Greenland IS Going Green!!

Page 4: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

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Attributes significant ice melt for 3 reasons:

1) Increased Summertime Temperatures (Numerous records smashed)

2) Significant Increasing Trend in Water Runoff

3) Change in NAO from positive to less positive/more neutral state

Where’d all the ice go??

Page 5: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Topography of Greenland

Page 6: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

1) Increased Summertime Temperatures

Page 7: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Top 10 Warmest Summers in Southern Greenland

Page 8: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

2) Excessive Water Runoff

1998, 2003, and 2006 were respectively the first, second, and third highest runoff years

5 highest runoff years have all occurred since 1995

During these years, significant 24.3% increase in runoff (113 cubic km as opposed to the standard deviation of 68.7 cubic km)

Page 10: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Conclusions Both Greenland and the Northern Hemisphere summer

temperatures exhibit common strong warming trends since the early 90s

Period of temperature recovery from volcanic eruptions Significant glacier melting is in fact taking place at an

alarming rate Uncertainties: As observed since 1987 at Summit,

summer temps near top of the ice sheet have declined slightly

Dichotomous Response due to high thermal inertia, higher atmospheric cooling, or changes in wind, cloud, radiation patterns?

Page 12: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Melt-induced speed-up of Greenland ice sheet offset by efficient subglacial drainage (2011)

Fluctuations in surface melting effects speeds of glaciers and ice sheets

Impact of warming climate decreases acceleration of Greenland’s flow despite melting??

Satellite observations of ice motion in SW Greenland

Rates of ice speed positively correlated w/ degree of melting; mean flow rates are NOT

Warmer years, ice flow is 3x shorter; overall flow slower

Page 13: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Explored spatial and temporal variations comparing velocities Overall, significant

flow increase in summer for all 6 glaciers w/ speed-ups of 50% to 125%

Seasonal surface melting drives seasonal cycles in ice sheet flow

Dependent upon altitude

Page 14: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Mirrors mountain glaciersMelt induced

acceleration of flow ceases during years of high melting once subglacial drainage becomes efficient!!

Page 15: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Video Clip of Greenland Ice Melt

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4QjyrGkaUg

Page 16: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Conclusions Data shows that subglacial drainage system

in SW Greenland evolves in response to variable surface melting similar to mountain glaciers.

Rates of surface melting at the Greenland ice sheet are predicted to double

over the course of this century. Would add .15m to .4m in sea level rise

Page 17: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Conclusions Cont. BUT….their data is first to

indicate a drop in summer speed-up of glaciers in years of high melting compared to years of low melting

Supports views that subglacial drainage system may adjust to accommodate increased melting

Uncertainties “The net effect of melt-

induced speed-up and efficient drainage remains uncertain.”

Page 18: Ice-Atmosphere Interaction (2): Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet By: Eric DoBroka

Let’s Play 20 QuestionsNo really let’s not