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Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand
Dr. Hooman Rezaei IAEA Founder & President
China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China
@IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association
www.turbineengine.org
Commercial Engine Industry Overview
World Regions
Africa 2,045 4%
Asia Pacific 6,634 15%
China 3,599 8%
Eastern Europe 2,115 5%
India 770 2%
South America 2,965 7%
Middle East 2,456 5%
North America 14,951 33%
Western Europe 9,728 21%
Total (2012) 45,263
Total (2022) 62,544 +38%
OEMs 2012 2022
CFMI 16,658 26,951
GE Aviation 9,860 13,085
Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775
Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638
IAE 4,118 5,405
EA = GE + P&W 120 824
Power Jet 8 592
Honeywell 924 276
ACAE - TBD
CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15
RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022
Source Fleet Data: Ascend
$22bn+ Industry, 120,000+ Professionals
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Association’s Vision
Founded Jan 2012 Based on 6500+ Social Media Professional Members
Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among: Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers
Operators Maintenance Providers Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions
Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As: Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident
Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry
Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums
Provide Professional Opinions & Industry Voice – CAA, Forensic, Assessment
Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally
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Board of Directors
Lease & Finance Board of Advisors
Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA
Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
MRO Board of Advisors
Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines Team Leader: Kevin Kearns, P&W
OEM Board of Advisors
Bob Keady - SVP P&W TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Consulting Board of Advisors
Academia Board of Advisors
Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle TBD TBD Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
Media & Events Board of Advisors
Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Association’s Boards
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Supply Chain Board of Advisors
Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD http://career.turbineengine.org Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based Manpower solution across spectrums
C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain
Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management Collaboration with Embry Riddle Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers
Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars Collaboration with Airfinance Journal Update community with latest development in the industry www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule
Phase I Execution
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Fan Size trend
FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost
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Fan Drive System
Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture? Open Rotor?
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Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl
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Manufacturing Technology: Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS)
• Cobalt Chromium • Inconel 718 • Inconel 625 • Titanium-6Al-4V • Titanium-6Al-4V ELI • Aluminum 6061-T6 • Stainless 316L • Stainless 17-4PH • EOS Stainless GP1 • EOS Stainless PH1 • EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg • EOS Maraging Steel MS1 • EOS Direct Metal 20
Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply
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Modular Intermix Design Management
TUI’s -7B Game Changing World record of 50K First Run GE90’s successful propulsor concept backs intermix design Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module
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Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems
Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons
Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs
Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation
Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership
Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs
Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain
Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template
What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts
Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept
Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons
PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time
PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement?
Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions
Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time
OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, …
Design For Optimum MRO
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THANK YOU!
QUESTIONS?
Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514 IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association
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