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PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Hydrology and forests – approaches to modelling
Dr. Potočki Kristina, CE
University of Zagreb
Faculty of Civil Engineering
Water Research Department
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Contents
1. Introduction to hydrological modeling
2. Classification of mathematical hydrological models
3. Processes in a Hydrologic Simulation Model
4. Model building approach
5. Overview of some models
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
1. Introduction to hydrological modeling
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Models in general
• What is a model? What is the purpose of a model?
• Types of Models• Physical
• Analog• Special case of physical models• Ohm’s law analogous to Darcy’s law
• Mathematical• Equations to represent hydrologic process
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Classification of mathematical hydrological models
DETERMINISTIC STOCHASTIC
Probabilistic Time SeriesPhisically Based
Conceptual Empirical
Distributed Lumped
Grid Based Subwatershed No Distribution
Semi-distributed
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Classification of mathematical hydrological models
1. Degree of knowledge about system
• deterministic• Outcomes are obtained through known
relationships among states and events.
• One outcome for defined inputs
• stochastic• Evaluates historical time series, based on
probability
• Multiple possible outputs/outcomes
• Uncertainty analysis
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Classification of mathematical hydrological models
2. Process representation• Empirical: Based on highly simplified relationships
• data-driven, including statistical models• e.g. Flow-stage relationship
• Conceptual: Based on mathematically convenient components that capture essential processes• abstractions of physical processes• e.g. Linear reservoir model
• Physically Based• Derived from equations representing actual physics of process• e.g. St. Venant equations for overland flow, kinematic wave
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Statistically and data driven based modelling
Classical statistical models• Regression based models
• Time series models
Data-driven models (based on AI) • Genetic algorithms (GAs)
• Artificial neural networks (ANN)
• Fuzzy logic (FL)
com
plexity
• Stand/alone models
• Assistance in watershed modeling• processing data
• developing relationships between hydrologic processes
• filling voids in measured data
• combining these processes at a much larger, watershed-scale
• requires additional expertise and data resources
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Classification of mathematical hydrological models
3. Spatial representation • Lumped: Watershed is a single spatial unit
• Semi-distributed: Watershed is divided into a number of spatial units, areas that are considered to be "homogeneous" according to some specified criteria
• Distributed: Watershed is represented by a grid/cells
Lumped
Distributed
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Classification of mathematical hydrological models
3. Spatial representation
Lumped
Distributed
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Temporal scale of hydrological models
• The computational time step of a model must be matched to its spatial scale and process descriptions.
• Time steps - from minutes to a year.
• Typical hydrologic simulation models - time step of one day or less.
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Hydrologic Models - Goals
• Understand and Predict the Movement of Water
• Example: hydrograph modeling - simulate shape of hydrograph for measured or designed water input
time
Pre
cip
itati
on
time
flo
w
Hydrologic
Model
Hyetograph Hydrograph
V – surface runoff volume[m3]
Qmax– max discharge [m3/s]
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Processes in a Hydrologic Simulation Model
• Each process in the watershed system represents a flux and storage of mass and/or energy. These processes have mathematical representations of one kind or another in a hydrologic simulation model.
Precipitation Runoff
Evapotranspiration Snow
Interception Glaciers
Infiltration Groundwater
Percolation
• The water balance
• system of fluxes and storages for each spatial and temporal unit
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Processes in a Hydrologic Simulation Model
LumpedMODEL
P
SW1
SW2
SW3
SW4
SW5
Semi Distributed MODEL
Distributed MODEL
Formalization of Hydrologic process in each spatial unit
e.g. Stanford Watershed Model
e.g. HEC-HMS, HSPF e.g. SHE
Complexity and Data Requirement 𝝏∅
𝝏𝒕= 𝜵. ∅𝑼 + 𝜵. 𝜞𝜵∅ + 𝑸𝒔𝒔
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Hydrologic Models – Approach examples
• Physically Based, distributed
• Mass transfer, momentum, and energy - simulated using partial differential equations
• Solved by various numerical methods
• E.g. SHE model
• Major physical processes in each cell/grid
• Evapotranspiration – Penman-Monteith
• Overland flow - St. Venant equations
• Unsaturated zone flow – Richards equations
• Saturated zone flow –Boussinesq equation
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Hydrologic Models – Approach examples
• A transfer function - represents the lumped processes operating in a watershed
time
Pre
cip
itati
on
time
flo
w
Mathematical transfer function
input output
• Empirical and conceptual, lumped
• Transforms numerical inputs through simplified parameters that “lump” processes to numerical outputs
• Model is calibrated to obtain proper parameters
• Predictions - at outlet only
• E.g. Unit hydrograph, SCS CN method
outlet
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
History od watershed models1850 Rational model
1932 ShermanUnit Hydrograph
1941 GumbelExtreme Flow Analysis
Lumped conceptual modeling
Physical based Distributed modeling
Macroscale Distributed modeling
CHM
Watershed models
1800
1900
19501960
19701980
1990
1794 Chezy formula
1856 Darcy Law
1871 Saint-Venant
1802 Dalton equation
1891 Manning Formula
1911 Green & Ampt
1931 Richards
1933 Horton
Theory (physics)
MHM
Aplications
Urban Design
Hydrological Design
Hydrological Design
Design,Forecasting
Research + Management
Impact + Management
History ofWatershedModels
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Watershed based modeling
• models primarily focused on individual processes
• multiple processes at relatively small-or field-scale without full incorporation of a watershed area
watershed modeling approach
Integrated Hydrologic Models – integrated processes
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Watershed based modeling
VS
COUPLED models - e.g. surface-groundwater interactions
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Excess Precipitation
Model
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Stream and/or Reservoir “Routing”
EXCESS PRECIPITATION
Precipitation
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
DOWNSTREAM HYDROGRAPH
Necessary for a single catchment
Necessary for a whole basin
1. After all „losses” –Excess precipitation
2. Flow generation• Within sub-basin/cells• excess water
concentration /routing/ transformation
• Time-area method or unit hydrograph (UGH) method
3. Flow routing between cells using river flow routing method
1
2
3
Hydrological modeling – Components
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Transfer function approach
• Transfer functions
1. Estimate “losses”.• P minus losses = effective
precipitation (Peff)
• Determines the volume of streamflow response
2. Distribute Peff in time• Gives shape to the
hydrograph
• Loss function examples:• SCS CN, rational method
Excess Precipitation
Model
EXCESS PRECIPITATION
Precipitation
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
STEP 1: Excess precipitation modeling
Excess Precipitation
Model
EXCESS PRECIPITATION
Precipitation
P
Losses
Peff = Qef
General concept
Time
P Flo
w
Base Flow
Event Flow(Weff)
Time
Recall that Qef = Peff
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• Loss methods
• Conceptual method • SCS CN
• Physically-based infiltration equations• Green-ampt, Richards equation, Darcy…
• Kinematic approximations of infiltration and storage
P
Uniform: Peff(t) = P(t) - constant
Exponential: Peff(t) = P0e-ct
c is unique to each site
STEP 1: Excess precipitation modeling
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• SCS CN
Uniform: Peff(t) = P(t) - constant
STEP 1: Excess precipitation modeling
SCS - “Soil Conservation Service” (NRCS –“National Resources Conservation Service”)
P
Time
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• SCS CN
STEP 1: Excess precipitation modeling
SCS - “Soil Conservation Service” (NRCS –“National Resources Conservation Service”)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• Transfer function
• After determining excess volume in STEP 1
• Temporal distribution estimation in STEP 2 - shape of hydrograph
1. Methods based on flow translation time (time of concertation, lag time,…)
2. Unit hydrograph approach
3. Time-area approach (isochrones)
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
P
Flo
w
Base Flow
Event Flow(Weff)
TimeVolume of effective Precipitation or Event Flow
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• Transfer function
Methods based on flow translation time (time of concertation, lag time,…)
• Time of concertation (Tc) - Time required for runoff to travel from the hydraulically most distant point on a watershed to another point of interest within the watershed
• Tc= Sheet flow (30-100m) + Shallow concentrated flow +Open channel flow
• Tc =f (Area, Slope, Surface roughness, Channel shape, Flow patterns)
• Empirically derived, based on watershed properties
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
Time
w
Flo
w
Time
Tb=2.67Tr
On top of base flow
Tw = duration of effective P
Tc= time concentration
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• Transfer function
• Unit hydrograph method
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
Watershed
Excess rainfallPm
Direct RunoffQn
u(l)
l0
Instantaneous unit hydrograph
1 in/h or cm/h instantaneousexcess rainfall
Input Pm
OutputQn
System
𝑄𝑛 =
𝑚=1
𝑛≤𝑀
𝑃𝑚𝑈𝑛−𝑚+1
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• UHG method• The direct runoff hydrograph
that results from 1 cm excess rainfall, occurring uniformly over the basin at a uniform rate during a specified duration of time
WS FlowTransformation
“Routing”UHG Methods
Excess Precipitation
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• The event hydrograph that would result from 1 unit (cm, in,…) of effective precipitation (Weff=1)• A watershed has a “characteristic” response
• This characteristic response is the model
• Many methods to construct the shape
Qef
t
1
1
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
• Transfer function approach
• Time-area method
STEP 2: Event flow (overland and subsurface)
Concentration time per surface element
Direct runoff hydrograph
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
STEP 2: Baseflow component
• What is contribution of the delayed interflow and groundwater runoff to the total runoff?
Flo
w
Time
Baseflow
Direct runoff from overland and subsurface slow
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Baseflow models
1. Constant monthly
2. Exponential recession model
STEP 2: Baseflow component
Baseflow
recession constant
Starting runoff
Recessionlines
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
3. Non-linear reservoir model• Eg. Soil Moisture Accounting
(SMA)
4. Physical model -groundwater flow in aquifer
STEP 2: Baseflow component
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
STEP 3: River routing method
• Flow Routing is a procedure to determine the time and magnitude of flow at a point on a watercourse from known or assumed hydrographs at one or more points upstream.
Stream and/or Reservoir “Routing”
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
DOWNSTREAM HYDROGRAPH
QTranslation
Attenuation
Time
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
STEP 3: River routing method
Methods – Hydrological methods (lumped or distributed models)
• Linear reservoir method
• Muskingum method
Network response function –Hydraulics methods (distributed models)
• St Venant equations
• Diffusion wave
• Kinematic method
Stream and/or Reservoir “Routing”
RUNOFF HYDROGRAPH
DOWNSTREAM HYDROGRAPH
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Model building approach
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Model Building Approach
• The main steps of model building may be explained as follows (James, 1996):
1. Formulation of objectives
2. Review of theoretical background
3. Formulation of the model.
4. Creation of a model structure Formulation of equations
5. Formulation of methods of solution
6. Selection of a computer code / model
7. Calibration of the model
8. Validation of the model
9. Statistical assessment of paired observations and simulations
10. Sensitivity analysis.
(http://echo2.epfl.ch/VICAIRE/mod_2/chapt_9/main.htm)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Procedure of Model evaluation
MODEL SELECTIONChoice of working hypotheses
MODEL CALIBRATIONEstimation of model parameters
MODEL TESTINGIs the model suitable?
MODEL APPLICATION
NO
YES
Model calibration and verification
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Model calibration and verification
• Calibration: minimizing differences between observation and model output by tuning model parameters
• Validation: test model performance on data not used during calibration
• Regionalization: obtaining parameter value at ungauged sites from catchment physical data
• Sensitivity analysis: test how the model are dependent on model parameters
• Assimilation: Adjust input and output data in proportion to their estimation errors by minimizing the total uncertainty with the constrain that they satisfy the basic model equations.
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Overview of some (process-based) models
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Models Overview
WATERSHED MODELS Overview (Edsel et al. 2011)
• Suited Applications – urban, agriculture
• Main Components - water balance components
• Overland Flow: Methods
• Subsurface Flow: Methods / Availability
• Chemical Simulation: Methods / Availability
• Spatial Scale: Distributed (D) / Semidistributed (SD)
• Temporal Scale: Continues (C) / Event based (E)
• Availability: Public (Pu) / Private (Pr)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
ModelSuited
Applications
Main
Components
Runoff on
OverlandSubsurface Flow
Chemical
Simulation
Spatial
Scale
Temporal
ScaleAvailability
ANSWERS
Suited for agriculture watersheds;
designed for ungaged
watershed
Runoff, infiltration, subsurface
drainage,
soil erosion,
interception & overland
sediment transport
Manning &
continuity
Equations
No component No component
D
Square grids,
1-D Simulations
E Pu
ANSWERS-
2000
Suited for medium size
agriculture watersheds; designed for
ungaged watershed, useful in
evaluating the effectiveness of
BMPs;
capable of simulating transformation
and interactions between four
nitrogen pools
Runoff; infiltration, water /
river routing, drainage,
river routing, chemical /
nutrient transport
Manning
equation
Darcy’s
equation
N,P, sediment
transport
D
Grid/cellsC Pu
AGNPS Suited for agriculture watershedsRunoff, infiltration & soil
erosion / sediment transport
CN, TR-55
for peak flowNo component No component
D
Homogeneous
land areas
E Pu
AnnAGNPS
Suited for agriculture watersheds;
widely used for evaluating a wide
variety of conservation practices and
other BMPs
Hydrology, sediment, nutrients
and pesticide transport,
DEM used to generate grid and
stream network
CN, TR-55
for peak flow
Darcy’s
equation
N, P, pesticides,
organic carbon &
nutrients
D
Homogeneous
land areas, reaches,
& impoundments
C- daily
or
sub-daily
steps
Pu
WATERSHED MODELS Overview(Edsel et al. 2011)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
ModelSuited
Applications
Main
Components
Runoff on
OverlandSubsurface Flow
Chemical
Simulation
Spatial
Scale
Temporal
ScaleAvailability
GSSHA/CAS
C2D
Suited for both agriculture
or urban watersheds; diverse
modeling capabilities in a variety of
climates and watersheds with
complex spatial datasets
Spatially varying rainfall; rainfall
excess and 2-D flow routing; soil
moisture, channel routing,
upland erosion, & sediment
transport
2-D diffusive wave
equationsNo component No component
D
2-D square over-land
grids; 1-D channels
E; C Pr
HEC-1/HEC-
HMS
Suited for urban watersheds; widely
used for modeling floods and impacts
on land use changes
recipitation, losses, baseflow,
runoff transformation & routing
CN, kinematic
wave
equations
No component No component
SD
Dendritic network or
grid)
E Pu
HSPF
Suited for both agriculture or urban
watersheds; diverse water quality
and sediment transport at any point
on the watershed
Runoff /water quality
constituents, simulation of
pervious/impervious areas,
stream channels & mixed
reservoirs
Empirical
outflow
Interflow
outflow,
percolation;
groundwater
outflow
Soil / watertemp.,
DO, CO2, N, NH3,
organic N/P, N/P,
pesticides
SD
Pervious / impervious
land areas, stream
channels, & mixed
reservoirs; 1-D
simulations
C Pu
KINEROS2
Suited for urban environments and
studying impacts of single sever or
design storm even; Also can be
applied to agriculture watersheds
Distributed rainfall inputs,
rainfall excess, overland flow,
channel routing, sediment
transport, interception,
infiltration, surface runoff &
erosion
Kinematic
wave equationsNo component No component
D
Cascade of planes &
channels; 1-D
simulations
E Pu
WATERSHED MODELS Overview(Edsel et al. 2011)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
ModelSuited
Applications
Main
Components
Runoff on
OverlandSubsurface Flow
Chemical
Simulation
Spatial
Scale
Temporal
ScaleAvailability
MIKE SHE
Wide range of spatial and temporal
scales; modular design facilitates
integration of other models;
advanced
capabilities for water quality,
parameter estimation and water
budget analysis
Interception, over-
land/channel flow,
unsaturated/saturated zone,
snowmelt; aquifer/rivers
exchange, advection/dispersion
of solutes, geochemical
processes, plant growth, soil
erosion & irrigation
2-D diffusive wave
equations
3-D
groundwater flow
Dissolved
conservative
solutes in surface,
soil, & ground
waters
D
2-D rectangular /
square overland
grids; 1-D channels;
1-D unsaturated / 3-D
saturated flow
E; C;
variable
steps
Pr
SWAT
Best suited for agriculture
watersheds; excellent for calculating
TMDLs and simulating a wide variety
of conservation practices and other
BMPs; successfully applied across
watersheds in several countries
Hydrology, weather,
sedimentation, soil temperature
and properties, crop growth,
nutrients, pesticides
agricultural management and
channel & reservoir routing
CN for
runoff; SCS TR-55
for peak flow
Lateral subsurface
flow / ground flow
N, P,
pesticides,
C
SD
Sub-basins based on
climate, HRU, ponds,
groundwater, & main
channel
C; daily
stepsPu
PRMS/MMS
Suited for agriculture watershed;
modular design facilitates integration
of other
models (e.g., climate models)
Hydrology and surface runoff,
channel flow, channel reservoir
flow, soil erosion, overland &
sediment transport
Kinematic
wave equationsNo component No component
D
Flow planes, channel
segments, & channel
reservoirs; 1-D
simulations
E Pu
WATERSHED MODELS Overview(Edsel et al. 2011)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
ModelSuited
Applications
Main
Components
Runoff on
OverlandSubsurface Flow
Chemical
Simulation
Spatial
Scale
Temporal
ScaleAvailability
WEPP
Best suited for agriculture watershed
and analyzing hydrologic and soil
erosion on small watersheds
Weather generation, frozen
soils, snow accumulation and
melt, irrigation, infiltration,
overland flow hydraulics, water
balance, plant growth, erosion,
deposition & residue
decomposition
Kinematic wave
equations
Green-Ampt
equationNo component
D
Channel segments &
impoundments
C Pu
WATERSHED MODELS Overview(Edsel et al. 2011)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Non-point source pollution - physically based models
Watershed-scale models - provide assistance in predicting non-point source pollution (Borah and Bera, 2003) :
• Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Model (AGNPS)
• Areal Non-Point Source Watershed Environment Simulation (ANSWERS)
• Kinematic Runoff and Erosion Model (KINEROS)
• Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF)
• MIKE SHE
• Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Scale and Water Quality VariablesSource: Mazdak Arabi – Nutrient modeling overview
Less C
om
plex M
ore
Co
mp
lex
USGSRegression
SARROW
GWLF
QUAL2E
SWMM
WASP
SWAT
AnnAGNPS
HSPF
Emp
irical/StatisticalP
hysically-B
ased/D
etermin
istic
MODEL Time Step Spatial Scale Water Quality
USGS Regression Annual Large basins Nutrients
SPARROW Annual Large basins Sediment, Nutrient, Pesticides
GWLF Monthly HUC12, 8 Sediment, Nutrient
QUAL2E Steady-St. Water body TN, TP, NH3, DO, chlorophyll a, pathogens
WASP Hourly Water body TN, TP, NH3, DO, chlorophyll a,TSS, Toxics
SWMM Sub-Daily Small basins Sediment, Nutrient, Pesticide, Metals, BOD
SWAT Daily M-L basins Sediment, Nutrient, Pesticide, Metals, BOD
HSPF Sub-Daily M-L basins Sediment, Nutrient, Pesticide, Metals, BOD
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Land and Water Features Supported Source: Mazdak Arabi – Nutrient modeling overview
MODEL Urban Ag / Rural Forest River Lake Reservoir Coastal / Estuary
USGS Regression + + +
SPARROW ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++
GWLF ++ ++ ++ +
QUAL2E +++
WASP +++ +++ +++ +++
SWMM +++ + + + + ++
SWAT + +++ +++ +++ + +
HSPF ++ +++ +++ +++ ++ ++
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Land and Water Features Supported Source: Mazdak Arabi – Nutrient modeling overview
MODEL Urban Ag / Rural Forest River Lake Reservoir Coastal / Estuary
USGS Regression + + +
SPARROW ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++
GWLF ++ ++ ++ +
QUAL2E +++
WASP +++ +++ +++ +++
SWMM +++ + + + + ++
SWAT + +++ +++ +++ + +
HSPF ++ +++ +++ +++ ++ ++
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Sediment & erosion - physically based models
• The present study reviews 50 physically based soil erosion and sediment yield models with respect to these factors including shortcomings and strengths. The literature generally suggests the use of models like:
• SWAT, WEPP, AGNPS, ANSWERS and SHETRAN for soil erosion and sediment studies.
(Pandey, A., Himanshu, S. K., Mishra, S. K., & Singh, V. P. (2016). Physically based soil erosion and sediment yield models revisited. Catena, 147, 595-620.)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Forest – hydrological models
• Amatya, D., Williams, T., Bren, L., & de Jong, C. (Eds.). (2016). Forest Hydrology: Processes, Management and Assessment. CABI.
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Forest – hydrological models
Model Hydrologic approachSimulation outputs:
HydrologyTime steps Spatial Scales
Level of
Complexity
Appropriate regions of
application
iTree-Hydro Six main routines for rainfall runoff
processes: interception,
impervious surface, soils,
evaporation and transpiration,
routing, and pollution. Uses time-
area delay function or
one/parameter diffusion-based
exponential function for
constructing downstream
hydrograph
Daily hydrograph Daily Multi-scale
catchments and
plots (i.e. city or
parcel)
Medium Multiple – can be applied to
watersheds with different
rainfall-runoff mechanisms;
recent cold region module
development (version 2; Yang
et al. 2011)
PnET (all) Lumped-parameterized one-
dimensional water balance model
for canopy to soil
ET, out flow Daily to
monthly
Plot to regional Low All forest ecosystem both
upland and lowland
CENTURY Simplified water balance
incorporating evapotranspiration,
soil water content, saturated flow
Carbon, nitrogen,
phosphorus, sulfur flows
within each model
component
Monthly Plot Low Temperate and tropical forests
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Model Hydrologic approachSimulation outputs:
HydrologyTime steps Spatial Scales
Level of
ComplexityAppropriate regions of application
ForHyM One-dimensional process-
based water balance model
that also embodies some
general empirical
relationships for multiple
model layers (forest canopy,
snowpack, forest floor, soil,
and subsoil)
Hydrograph outflow, ET,
soil moisture, snow
accumulation,
infiltration
Daily,
Weekly
Watershed Medium Typically applied for northern forested watersheds
with one or multiple biomes
TOPMODEL Semi-distributed rainfall-
runoff model; Variable source
area dynamics but models
both saturated excess and
infiltration excess overland
flows, assumes water table
follows topography
Various water balance
component including
streamflow, overland
flow (saturated and
infiltration excess),
subsurface flow, and
return follow
Daily Multi-scale
catchments
Medium Multiple – typically best in systems with moderate to
steep topography and shallow soils
VELMA Spatially-distributed
ecohydrological model;
simulated daily infiltration,
evapotranspiration, and
surface/subsurface runoff
through four soil layers
Various water balance
component including
streamflow, overland
flow (saturated and
infiltration excess) and
subsurface flows
through four user-
defined soil
Daily Multi-scale
catchments
Medium Multiple – developed in small forested catchments of
Pacific NW of US but applied/tested elsewhere
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Model Hydrologic approachSimulation outputs:
HydrologyTime steps Spatial Scales
Level of
Complexity
Appropriate regions of
application
APEX Curve Number method (Five
options) and Green&Ampt
Infiltration (Four options),
Subsurface drainage, and five
options of PET for ET estimate
Precipitation, snowfall,
interception, Surface runoff,
subsurface flow, snowmelt,
irrigation, total water yield,
PET, ET
Daily,
monthly or
annual
Field/Small
catchment; grid-
based
Medium Upland agricultural and
forested fields or watersheds
PRMS Semi-distributed processed-based
rainfall-runoff model for multiple
spatial and temporal scales
Various water balance
component including
evaporation, transpiration,
runoff, infiltration and
considers the interaction
with the forest/plant canopy,
snowpack, dynamics, and soil
hydrological
Daily to
centuries
Multi-scale
catchments
Medium Multiple
DHVMS Saturation-excess infiltration,
Darcy’s law for unsaturated and
kinematic for saturated subsurface
Surface runoff, snow and
snowmelt, soil moisture and
evapotranspiration,
streamflow
Sub-daily to
annual
Catchments Medium Mountainous watersheds in
Pacific Northwest of USA
BROOK90 One-dimensional water balance
with canopy and multi-layer soil
profile
Soil water content, overland
flow, bypass flow from soil
layers, groundwater flow
Daily Plot Low Applied worldwide though
designed for forests within US
northeast
VIC Grid-cell based water balance with
canopy, and three-layer soil profile
Component water balance
and streamflow with
accompanying routing model
Daily to
monthly
Regional, global Medium Any as intended to accompany
large-scale general circulation
models
INCA Semi-distributed water balance
with canopy, soil, and riparian
components
Streamflow, nitrate and
ammonium loadings
Daily Catchment Medium No limitations but extensively
applied in Europe
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Models Overview - SWAT
Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
• physically based semi-distributed model with daily and monthly calculations of hydrological balance parameters in the watershed (Arnold et al., 1998; Neitsch et al., 2011).
• designed to predict the impact of management on water, sediment, and agricultural chemical yields in ungauged watersheds
Spatial and temporal scale
• Spatial: Flexible
• Time scale: Continuous (Events – NO)
• Computational Time step: Daily
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Water balance equation:
𝑺𝑾𝒕 = 𝑺𝑾𝟎 +
𝒊=𝟏
𝒏
(𝑹𝒅𝒂𝒚 − 𝑸𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒇 − 𝑬𝒂 − 𝒘𝒔𝒆𝒆𝒑 − 𝑸𝒈𝒘)
𝑺𝑾𝒕 - Final soil water content (mm)𝑺𝑾𝟎 - Initial soil water content (mm)t - Time in days𝑹𝒅𝒂𝒚 - Amount of precipitation on day I (mm)
𝑸𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒇- Amount of surface runoff on day i (mm)
𝑬𝒂 - Amount of evapotranspiration on day i (mm)𝒘𝒔𝒆𝒆𝒑- Amount of percolation on day i (mm)
𝑸𝒈𝒘 - Amount of return flow on day i (mm)
Models Overview - SWAT
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Models Overview - SWAT
Governing equations in modeled hydrological processes
• Runoff volume: Modified SCS-Curve Number or G&A infiltration method
• Peak runoff rate: Modified rational formula or the SCS TR-55 method
• Lateral sub-surface flow & percolation: Kinematic storage routine (Sloan et al., 1983)
• Potential evapotranspiration: (I) Hargreaves (II) Priestley-Taylor and (III) Penman-Monteith equations
• Snow melt: degree-day based method
• Sediment yield: Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE)
• Water routing: Variable storage coefficient method or Muskingum routing method & Manning’s equation to define flow
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Input data required to run the model
• DEM, land use/land cover, soils,
• daily precipitation
• max. and min. temperature
• solar radiation, relative humidity, wind speed
• daily discharge
• sediment, nutrient delivery,
• fertilizer and pesticides application data
• point source of pollution and management practices
• Output data – related to hydrological services
Source: Carvalho – Santos, C. et al, 2016
Models Overview - SWAT
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Models Overview - Farmscoper
• Next session!
• Farm based model
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
References
• Amatya, D., Williams, T., Bren, L., & de Jong, C. (Eds.). (2016). Forest Hydrology: Processes, Management and Assessment. CABI.
• Daniel, E. B., Camp, J. V., LeBoeuf, E. J., Penrod, J. R., Dobbins, J. P., & Abkowitz, M. D. (2011). Watershed modeling and its applications: A state-of-the-art review. The Open Hydrology Journal, 5(1).
• Pandey, A., Himanshu, S. K., Mishra, S. K., & Singh, V. P. (2016). Physically based soil erosion and sediment yield models revisited. Catena, 147, 595-620.
• Borah, D. K., & Bera, M. (2003). Watershed-scale hydrologic and nonpoint-source pollution models: Review of mathematical bases. Transactions of the ASAE, 46(6), 1553.
• Chong-yu Xu. Hydrological modeling – lecture notes ftp://www.w-program.nu/Modelling%20course/L7_Introduction%20to%20distributed%20modeling.pdf (accessed: 15. Oct 2018)
PESFOR-W Training School - Porto, Portugal – 23.-26. October 2018.
Thank you!