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www.harriswilliams.de
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd is a private limited company authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, incorporated under English law with its registered office at 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE, UK, registered with the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales under company number 07078852. Directors: Mr. Ned Valentine, Mr. Paul Poggi, Mr. Thierry Monjauze and Mr. Aadil Khan.
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd Niederlassung Frankfurt (German branch) is registered in the Commercial Register (Handelsregister) of the Local Court (Amtsgericht) of Frankfurt am Main, Germany, under registration number HRB 96687, having its business address at Bockenheimer Landstrasse 33-35, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Permanent Representative (Ständiger Vertreter) of the Branch Niederlassung: Mr. Jeffery H. Perkins.
Solebury Capital LLC is a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SPIC.
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE | DECEMBER 2017
PAGE |
www.harriswilliams.de
OVERVIEW
1
CONTENTS
Economic Trends
Public Company Summary
Limited Service
Full Service
Debt Markets
M&A Activity
OUR PRACTICE
Harris Williams & Co. is a leading advisor to middle market companies. Our restaurant experience covers a broad range of concepts and business models. This particular report focuses on trends and metrics in the following areas:
Quick Service
Fast Casual
Pizza
Beverage
Differentiated Casual
Casual
Family Dining
Fine Dining
CONTACTS
Tim AlexanderManaging [email protected]+1 (612) 359-2716
Ed ArkusManaging [email protected]+44 20 7518 8905
Ryan BudlongManaging [email protected]+1 (415) 217-3409
Will [email protected]+44 20 7518 8906
Brant [email protected]+1 (612) 359-2709
Ryan [email protected]+1 (612) 359-2703
Andy WarczakVice [email protected]+1 (612) 359-2714
Brant WilczekVice [email protected]+1 (612) 359-2732
WHAT WE’VE BEEN UP TO
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
2017 RESTAURANT TRANSACTIONS
On January 31, 2018, a family office acquired Huddle House, aportfolio company of Sentinel Capital Partners, adding to the
continued momentum of HW&Co’s food and beverage group.
Company Description:
Huddle House is a leading franchisor and operator of over 350 home-
style, full-service restaurants across the U.S. Huddle House occupies adifferentiated niche in the restaurant industry through focusing on all-
day breakfast, serving smaller communities with limited competition,and by combining the value and convenience of quick-service
restaurants with the food quality and friendly service of a sit-downrestaurant.
Key Value Drivers:
Attractive model with strong new unitperformance.
Strong franchise system.
Food distribution network.
Leading position in small markets withsignificant whitespace for growth.
Deep, experienced management team.
established the Burger King UK
Master Franchisee
an affiliate ofhas been acquired by
a portfolio company of
A Family Office Investor
has been acquired by
a partnership of
&
PAGE |
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Beef Pork Chicken
Cheese Bread
ECONOMIC TRENDS
2
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
EMPLOYMENT1 CONSUMER CONFIDENCE2
(in millions)
LABOR PARTICIPATION RATE1 WAGE GROWTH VS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX1
AT HOME AND RESTAURANT SPENDING3 COMMODITY PRICE INDICES1
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
61%
62%
63%
64%
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Dec-15 Dec-17
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
Nov-12 Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15 Nov-16 Nov-17
Un
em
plo
ym
en
t R
ate To
tal E
mp
loym
en
t Ind
exe
d V
alu
e
Lab
or
Pa
rtic
ipa
tio
n R
ate
Yo
Y G
row
th R
ate
% o
f To
tal S
pe
nd
Ind
exe
d V
alu
e
Consumer Price Index Wage Growth
Total Employment Unemployment Rate
Food Away from Home Food at Home
PAGE |
Report SSS Revenue EBITDA EPS FY 2017 Price Chg.
Issuer Date Below In-line Above Below In-line Above Below In-line Above Below In-line Above Guidance 1-Day
10/25/2017 P 10bps P -0.9% P 13.2% P 72.2% ↑ 19.6%
11/9/2017 P 0bps P -1.0% P 19.1% N/M ↓ 13.5%
11/2/2017 P 170bps P 3.4% P 9.3% P 6.3% Confirms 13.1%
11/2/2017 P 20bps P -0.6% N/A P -13.6% ↓ 5.9%
11/2/2017 P 130bps P -25.6% P -20.0% P -85.7% ↑ 5.4%
11/1/2017 P 30bps P 0.1% P -4.9% P 0.0% ↓ 4.5%
11/9/2017 P -50bps P 0.0% P 10.6% P 0.0% ↓ 3.5%
11/2/2017 P -130bps P -1.9% N/P P 0.0% N/A 2.1%
10/26/2017 P -30bps P 4.5% N/P P -3.2% Confirms 0.4%
11/8/2017 P 110bps P 7.2% P 4.4% P 133.3% Mixed 0.4%
11/6/2017 N/A P -2.1% P -31.3% P -73.9% N/A -2.9%
11/1/2017 P 100bps P 0.5% P 15.4% P 13.3% ↑ -3.4%
11/3/2017 P 10bps P -1.5% P 3.4% P 16.7% Confirms -3.9%
10/12/2017 P 190bps P 2.4% N/P P 3.3% N/A -3.9%
10/17/2017 P -390bps P -4.6% P -19.3% P -41.2% ↓ -7.5%
11/2/2017 P -60bps P -2.4% P -6.1% P -16.7% ↓ -12.9%
10/24/2017 P -20bps P -0.7% N/P P -10.4% ↓ -14.6%
11/1/2017 P -40bps P -1.3% P -1.1% P -66.7% ↓ -24.7%
Mean -103bps 7bps 107bps -5.1% -0.3% 4.4% -13.8% - 10.8% -38.9% 0.0% 40.8% -0.3%
Median -50bps 10bps 110bps -2.0% -0.3% 3.9% -12.7% - 10.6% -28.9% 0.0% 15.0% 0.4%
PUBLIC COMPANY PERFORMANCE4,5
3
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
SUMMARY INFORMATION
SOLEBURY’S Q3 2017 RESTAURANT EARNINGS RECAP
Solebury’s quarterly restaurant industry earnings recap tracks the performance of select public restaurant concepts relative to industry research analysts’ expectations. Solebury Capital is a leading independent capital markets advisory firm, providing clients with independent advice, highly-informed judgment, and transaction management services. Harris Williams & Co. and Solebury Capital are subsidiaries of PNC.
Segment
# of
Companies
Quick Serv ice 7 23.6x 17.2x 15.0x 2.0%
Fast Casual 10 48.6x 16.6x 10.9x (0.4%)
Pizza 3 27.7x 13.5x 12.2x 1.7%
Beverage/Snack Retail 3 23.6x 16.6x 14.1x 0.2%
Limited Serv ice 23 27.6x 16.6x 13.2x 0.2%
Differentiated Casual 4 22.5x 9.4x 9.3x (1.9%)
Casual Dining 6 26.7x 9.0x 9.4x (0.6%)
Family Dining 3 22.3x 10.3x 10.6x 0.2%
Fine Dining 3 22.8x 9.2x 7.5x (4.0%)
Full Serv ice 16 24.3x 9.5x 9.4x (1.7%)
Median
P/E
Median
EV/LTM
EBITDA
Median
TEV/'18E
EBITDA
Median
SSS Growth
N/A: Not Applicable N/P: Not Provided Guidance Relative to Expectations:
↑ Above − In-line ↓ Below
PAGE |
(2.0%)
(1.0%)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317
PUBLIC COMPANY PERFORMANCE – LIMITED SERVICE4,5
4
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
MEDIAN SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH
LTM SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH (QUARTERLY AVERAGE)
UNIT COUNT GROWTH (YOY)
LTM EBITDA MARGIN
(0.7%)
0.3%
4.2% 1.7%
(3.5%)
1.7% 2.3%
5.5%
0.8%
(6.9%)
5.9%
0.6%
(2.6%) (3.2%)(1.1%)
1.5%
(1.7%)
10.1%
2.2%
(5.3%)(3.3%)
0.2%
3.0%
7.2% 0.8% 1.0%
6.2% 1.0% 1.3%
7.8% 9.0% 6.1%
(7.8%)
41.4%
21.9%
(9.3%)
12.6%
36.2%
14.6% 20.8%
8.9% 2.6%
(2.5%)
4.9% 3.0% 9.0%
QSR Fast Casual Pizza Beverage/Snack Retail
2.0%
(0.4%)
1.7%0.2%
13.6%
22.0%
41.1% 44.6%
32.2% 28.3%
31.3%
10.0% 14.4%
11.2%
42.0%
9.5%
3.3% 8.4%
15.8%
37.6%
7.5%
19.9%
11.3% 11.4%
3.0%
54.7%
22.2%
PAGE |
PUBLIC COMPANY VALUATION – LIMITED SERVICE4,5
5
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
MEDIAN EV/LTM EBITDA TREND*
INDEXED SHARE PRICE CHANGE
EV/LTM EBITDA
YEAR OVER YEAR SHARE PRICE CHANGE
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
12
'12
03
'13
06
'13
09
'13
12
'13
03
'14
06
'14
09
'14
12
'14
03
'15
06
'15
09
'15
12
'15
03
'16
06
'16
09
'16
12
'16
03
'17
06
'17
09
'17
12
'17
(36.7%)
(12.1%)
41.4%
29.0%
3.7%
21.4% 28.9%
(23.4%)(19.5%)
(36.3%)(44.6%)
28.0%
(4.7%)
20.7%
31.7%
(30.3%)
18.7%
(34.4%)
27.5%
(43.1%)
22.9%
3.4%
QSR Fast Casual Pizza Beverage/Snack Retail S&P 500
243
116
234
115
191
* Median of the Component Companies’ Median EV/LTM EBITDA Multiple.
QSR Fast Casual Pizza Beverage/Snack Retail S&P 500
N/A
8.3x10.4x
11.7x13.2x 12.2x
15.8x14.6x
23.9x
17.9x 18.5x
13.1x15.7x
10.7x
13.4x 14.2x
17.4x15.8x 15.5x
16.6x
19.3x 18.3x 19.2x
15.9x 16.1x
8.2x 9.2x 10.2x 10.9x 11.6x12.8x
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
8.3x
12.2x
17.2x20.1x
12.0x
19.0x 19.3x17.4x
8.0x 7.5x
21.1x
7.2x
17.6x
8.1x
28.6x
33.3x
15.9x
22.1x
12.2x 13.5x 13.8x17.2x 16.6x
PAGE |
PUBLIC COMPANY PERFORMANCE – FULL SERVICE4,5
6
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
MEDIAN SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH
LTM SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH (QUARTERLY AVERAGE)
UNIT COUNT GROWTH (YOY)
LTM EBITDA MARGIN
(5.0%)
(4.0%)
(3.0%)
(2.0%)
(1.0%)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317
(1.7%)
(0.4%)(1.2%)
1.3%
(1.1%)
(2.4%)
1.9%
(4.5%)
(1.3%)
3.2%
(0.1%)
0.8%
(3.1%)
(1.4%) (1.6%)
0.5%
7.1%
2.0%
11.7%
14.8%
(1.1%)
1.8%
10.5%
(0.7%)
3.1%
6.5%
1.2%
(0.2%)
(2.8%)
3.9%
11.6%
2.0%
Differentiated
CasualCasual Dining Family Dining Fine Dining
11.3% 11.7% 11.0%
24.0%
9.5%
13.7% 13.0%
36.5%
9.8%
13.3% 13.5%
22.4%
3.7%
11.0%
18.2% 15.2%
(1.9%)
(0.6%)
0.2%
(4.0%)
PAGE |
0
50
100
150
200
250
12
'12
03
'13
06
'13
09
'13
12
'13
03
'14
06
'14
09
'14
12
'14
03
'15
06
'15
09
'15
12
'15
03
'16
06
'16
09
'16
12
'16
03
'17
06
'17
09
'17
12
'17
191
PUBLIC COMPANY VALUATION – FULL SERVICE4,5
7
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
MEDIAN EV/LTM EBITDA TREND*
INDEXED SHARE PRICE CHANGE
EV/LTM EBITDA
YEAR OVER YEAR SHARE PRICE CHANGE
(7.4%)
(19.5%)(13.6%)
(2.0%)
18.4%
(21.6%)
32.0%
(34.1%)
0.0%
9.2%
(4.8%)
3.2%
(38.3%)
(10.3%)
(19.2%)
18.3%
Differentiated
CasualCasual Dining Family Dining Fine Dining S&P 500
192
175155142
* Median of the Component Companies’ Median EV/LTM EBITDA Multiple.
14.1x
10.8x11.4x 11.7x
9.8x 9.8x
8.2x9.5x
10.2x11.0x
8.9x8.3x
7.5x
9.7x10.4x
12.0x11.0x
10.4x
7.9x
10.8x11.4x
9.8x 9.6x 9.4x8.2x
9.2x10.2x
10.9x11.6x
12.8x
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Differentiated
CasualCasual Dining Family Dining Fine Dining S&P 500
8.1x9.0x
11.8x
9.9x
8.2x7.5x
13.1x
9.7x
7.7x
13.0x
10.4x 10.3x
7.8x9.2x
7.9x
11.5x
PAGE |
PUBLIC COMPANY PERFORMANCE4,5
8
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
* Percentage Franchised is Based on 2016 YE Units.
*
SUMMARY
Price at As a % of Market Enterprise % P/E
($ in millions, except per share data) Ticker 12/31/17 52-wk High Cap Value Franchised Revenue EBITDA 1 Year 3 Years Gross EBITDA Multiple Revenue EBITDA Revenue EBITDA
Quick Service Restaurant
Bojangles, Inc. BOJA $11.80 52.8% $437 $608 57% $539 $73 3.4% NA 17.8% 13.6% 13.7x 1.13x 8.3x 1.11x 9.0x
Jack in the Box Inc. JACK 98.11 86.8% 2,888 4,171 73% 1,554 342 (2.8%) 1.5% 27.0% 22.0% 22.4x 2.68x 12.2x 5.10x 14.9x
McDonald's Corporation MCD 172.12 97.9% 137,212 166,311 85% 23,509 9,672 (5.7%) (5.6%) 46.5% 41.1% 27.0x 7.07x 17.2x 7.91x 16.0x
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR 61.48 89.2% 14,649 40,825 100% 4,551 2,032 6.4% 58.3% 48.1% 44.6% 41.9x 8.97x 20.1x 8.22x 17.6x
Sonic Corp. SONC 27.48 91.4% 1,073 1,743 93% 453 146 (23.2%) (7.1%) 41.1% 32.2% 18.8x 3.85x 12.0x 3.84x 11.4x
Wendy's Company WEN 16.42 96.7% 3,977 6,581 95% 1,224 346 (23.0%) (17.1%) 36.4% 28.3% NM 5.38x 19.0x 5.19x 15.0x
Yum! Brands, Inc. YUM 81.61 96.8% 27,502 37,444 93% 6,197 1,939 (3.9%) NM 44.1% 31.3% 24.7x 6.04x 19.3x 7.82x 18.1x
Mean (7.0%) 6.0% 37.3% 30.4% 24.8x 5.02x 15.4x 5.60x 14.6x
Median (3.9%) (5.6%) 41.1% 31.3% 23.6x 5.38x 17.2x 5.19x 15.0x
Fast Casual
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG $289.03 57.9% $8,160 $7,671 0% $4,401 $442 13.8% 4.3% 13.0% 10.0% 56.0x 1.74x 17.4x 1.57x 13.2x
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc LOCO 9.90 66.7% 383 459 56% 399 58 6.7% 0.1x 19.5% 14.4% 43.0x 1.15x 8.0x 1.09x 7.3x
Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc. FRGI 19.00 62.9% 514 568 11% 678 76 (5.8%) 4.7% 17.6% 11.2% NM 0.84x 7.5x 0.85x 8.1x
Freshii, Inc. FRI I -CA 5.86 51.0% 148 152 99% 17 7 12.0% NA 86.2% 42.0% NM 8.86x 21.1x 5.07x 13.9x
Habit Restaurants, Inc. HABT 9.55 48.4% 222 219 6% 320 30 18.4% 25.6% 14.1% 9.5% 39.8x 0.68x 7.2x 0.56x 7.2x
Noodles & Co. NDLS 5.25 87.5% 208 278 14% 473 16 (0.4%) 7.0% 8.7% 3.3% NM 0.59x 17.6x 0.60x 8.7x
Potbelly Corp. PBPB 12.30 86.1% 305 285 9% 418 35 4.6% 9.7% 13.3% 8.4% NM 0.68x 8.1x 0.65x 7.5x
Shake Shack, Inc. SHAK 43.20 92.1% 1,532 1,522 44% 336 53 36.4% 0.5x 23.4% 15.8% NM 4.53x 28.6x 3.32x 23.2x
Wingstop, Inc. WING 38.98 90.1% 1,134 1,276 98% 102 38 17.0% NA 69.1% 37.6% 54.1x 12.51x 33.3x 11.04x 27.4x
Zoe's Kitchen, Inc. ZOES 16.72 64.5% 325 363 1% 305 23 14.3% 23.8% 12.6% 7.5% NM 1.19x 15.9x 1.01x 13.2x
Mean 11.7% 16.2% 27.8% 16.0% 48.2x 3.28x 16.5x 2.58x 13.0x
Median 12.9% 9.0% 15.9% 10.6% 48.6x 1.17x 16.6x 1.05x 10.9x
Pizza
Domino's Pizza, Inc. DPZ $188.96 85.3% $8,264 $11,923 97% $2,716 $539 13.4% 12.3% 30.9% 19.9% 36.1x 4.39x 22.1x 3.85x 18.8x
Papa John's International, Inc. PZZA 56.11 63.9% 1,966 2,431 85% 1,755 198 3.8% 4.0% 17.9% 11.3% 19.3x 1.39x 12.2x 1.33x 12.2x
Papa Murphy's Holdings, Inc. FRSH 5.38 79.1% 91 190 89% 123 14 (1.4%) NA 28.7% 11.4% NM 1.54x 13.5x 1.91x 9.0x
Mean 5.3% 8.2% 25.8% 14.2% 27.7x 2.44x 16.0x 2.37x 13.3x
Median 3.8% 8.2% 28.7% 11.4% 27.7x 1.54x 13.5x 1.91x 12.2x
Beverage / Snack Retail
DAVIDsTEA, Inc. DTEA $3.90 49.1% $101 $72 0% $175 $5 10.3% 18.9% 43.5% 3.0% NM 0.41x 13.8x 0.39x 11.1x
Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc. DNKN 64.47 98.1% 5,823 7,972 100% 849 464 3.9% 4.8% 79.0% 54.7% 28.3x 9.39x 17.2x 9.21x 16.1x
Starbucks Corporation SBUX 57.43 88.5% 81,711 83,544 50% 22,726 5,047 4.9% 10.2% 23.7% 22.2% 19.0x 3.68x 16.6x 3.29x 14.1x
Mean 6.4% 11.3% 48.7% 26.6% 23.6x 4.49x 15.8x 4.30x 13.8x
Median 4.9% 10.2% 43.5% 22.2% 23.6x 3.68x 16.6x 3.29x 14.1x
Differentiated Casual
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. BJRI $36.40 76.6% $751 $954 0% $1,036 $117 7.9% 7.6% 10.7% 11.3% 23.9x 0.92x 8.1x 0.89x 8.0x
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE 48.18 71.8% 2,206 2,413 7% 2,292 268 4.2% 5.5% 14.6% 11.7% 17.7x 1.05x 9.0x 1.02x 9.4x
Chuy's Holdings, Inc. CHUY 28.05 85.3% 474 459 0% 353 39 9.3% 14.6% 13.6% 11.0% 30.8x 1.30x 11.8x 1.13x 9.9x
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. PLAY 55.17 75.1% 2,245 2,631 0% 1,105 266 14.0% 15.8% 22.4% 24.0% 21.1x 2.38x 9.9x 2.11x 9.2x
Mean 8.9% 10.9% 15.3% 14.5% 23.4x 1.41x 9.7x 1.29x 9.1x
Median 8.6% 11.1% 14.1% 11.5% 22.5x 1.18x 9.4x 1.08x 9.3x
Casual Dining Restaurant
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. BLMN $21.34 95.0% $1,948 $3,210 16% $4,130 $392 (3.9%) (2.0%) 11.5% 9.5% 26.7x 0.78x 8.2x 0.77x 8.1x
Brinker International, Inc. EAT 38.84 77.4% 1,798 3,194 40% 3,127 428 (3.4%) 1.7% 13.0% 13.7% 15.0x 1.02x 7.5x 1.02x 7.8x
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI 96.02 97.6% 11,875 13,025 3% 7,631 995 9.1% 13.4% 17.8% 13.0% 24.6x 1.71x 13.1x 1.57x 11.4x
DineEquity, Inc. DIN 50.73 64.9% 913 2,167 100% 610 223 (6.3%) (2.0%) 56.6% 36.5% NA 3.55x 9.7x 3.66x 10.6x
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. RRGB 56.40 76.1% 730 1,007 16% 1,330 131 3.0% 6.3% 13.4% 9.8% 56.4x 0.76x 7.7x 0.73x 6.9x
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. TXRH 52.68 94.1% 3,746 3,718 17% 2,159 287 10.1% 11.6% 14.9% 13.3% 30.5x 1.72x 13.0x 1.53x 11.5x
Mean 1.4% 4.8% 21.2% 16.0% 30.6x 1.59x 9.9x 1.55x 9.4x
Median (0.2%) 4.0% 14.1% 13.2% 26.7x 1.36x 9.0x 1.27x 9.4x
Family Restaurant
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. CBRL $158.89 93.2% $3,813 $4,110 0% $2,927 $396 0.2% 2.5% 15.5% 13.5% 19.2x 1.40x 10.4x 1.34x 9.7x
Denny's Corporation DENN 13.24 92.9% 864 1,206 90% 523 117 4.4% 4.6% 27.1% 22.4% 25.5x 2.30x 10.3x 2.21x 11.4x
Luby's, Inc. LUB 2.64 60.7% 77 108 40% 376 14 (5.2%) (1.6%) 8.0% 3.7% NM 0.29x 7.8x NA NA
Mean (0.2%) 1.8% 16.9% 13.2% 22.3x 1.33x 9.5x 1.77x 10.6x
Median 0.2% 2.5% 15.5% 13.5% 22.3x 1.40x 10.3x 1.77x 10.6x
Fine Dining
Del Frisco's Restaurant Group, Inc. DFRG $15.25 81.1% $324 $362 0% $359 $39 3.5% 6.9% 16.8% 11.0% 32.4x 1.01x 9.2x 0.93x 7.5x
Fogo de Chao, Inc. FOGO 11.60 68.0% 328 444 0% 307 56 7.9% 11.9% 22.3% 18.2% 15.9x 1.44x 7.9x 1.31x 7.5x
Ruth's Hospitality Group, Inc. RUTH 21.65 95.6% 677 694 54% 398 60 4.0% (1.1%) 23.5% 15.2% 22.8x 1.74x 11.5x 1.52x 9.6x
Mean 5.1% 5.9% 20.9% 14.8% 23.7x 1.40x 9.5x 1.25x 8.2x
Median 4.0% 6.9% 22.3% 15.2% 22.8x 1.44x 9.2x 1.31x 7.5x
LTM EV / LTM EV / 2018ERevenue Growth LTM Margins
PAGE |
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
Debt/
EBITDA
Senior Debt/
EBITDA
EBITDA/
Cash Interest
EBITDA -
Capex/
Cash Interest
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
4.9x2017:
FINANCING MARKET OVERVIEW – RESTAURANTS AND RETAIL6
9
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
QUARTERLY RESTAURANT TRANSACTIONS (U.S. & CANADA)
LOAN VOLUMECREDIT STATISTICS
AVERAGE PRIMARY SPREADS AVERAGE SECONDARY SPREAD
SUMMARY M&A STATS4
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17
Institutional Pro Rata
Weighted Avg.
InstitutionalRevolving
(in billions)
L+0
L+100
L+200
L+300
L+400
L+500
L+600
L+700
4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17
4.8x 4.0x 3.2x
Non-Private EquityPrivate Equity
L+0
L+100
L+200
L+300
L+400
L+500
L+600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
11
14 4 6 8
4
12 10
38
11 9 85 7 5 3
10 8 9
16
10
1114
15
22
11
18
816
14
17
1410 14
1717
11
13
5
10
27
11
1518
21
30
15
30
18 1922
28
23
18 19
2422
14
23
13
19
20
12
Q4
20
13
Q1
20
13
Q2
20
13
Q3
20
13
Q4
20
14
Q1
20
14
Q2
20
14
Q3
20
14
Q4
20
15
Q1
20
15
Q2
20
15
Q3
20
15
Q4
20
16
Q1
20
16
Q2
20
16
Q3
20
16
Q4
20
17
Q1
20
17
Q2
20
17
Q3
20
17
Q4
PAGE |
M&A TRANSACTION INFORMATION4,5
10
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
NOTABLE ANNOUNCED TRANSACTIONS
RECENTLY CLOSED TRANSACTIONS
Sentinel Capital Partners
acquired Captain D’s Enterprises
from Centre Partners in
December 2017.
Captain D’s is a differentiated
seafood QSR concept with 530
locations across 21 states.
Approximately 300 of these
locations are company-owned
stores.
Bento Sushi was acquired by YO!
Sushi, an iconic Japanese
restaurant group in November
2017.
Bento Sushi is North America’s
second largest sushi brand with
over 600 company-owned
locations and 1,700 partner sites.
Bento Sushi operates both
standalone QSRs and kiosks in
supermarkets.
Centerplate, a portfolio
company of Olympus Partners,
was sold to Sodexo, a leading
foodservice operator in
December 2017.
Centerplate is a leading food
and hospitality provider to major
sports, entertainment, and
convention venues.
EV / LTMClosed Target Seller Buyer Sales EBITDA
12/28/2017 Cajun Funding Corp. (70 Restaurants) Cajun Funding Corp. Ampler Chicken LLC P
12/27/2017 Centerplate, Inc. Olympus Partners Sodexo SA P $675.0 0.68x
12/21/2017 Ruby Tuesday, Inc. - NRD Capital Management LLC P 312.4 0.34x 8.5x
12/18/2017 Captain D's Enterprises LLC - Sentinel Capital Partners LLC P
12/12/2017 Desert Island Restaurants LLC Desert Island Restaurants LLC RCSH Operations, Inc. 35.0
12/6/2017 The Wendy's Co. (2 Restaurants) The Wendy's Co. Meritage Hospitality Group, Inc. P
12/1/2017 CB Franchise Systems LLC - MTY Food Group, Inc. 24.6
12/1/2017 Swig Holdings LLC - Four Foods Group Holdings LLC
11/30/2017 Pickle Barrel Restaurant Ltd. - Cara Operations Ltd. 18.9
11/20/2017 Bento, Inc. - YO! Sushi Ltd.; Mayfair Equity Partners LLP P 88.2
11/13/2017 Mendocino Farms LLC - TPG Growth LLC; TPG Capital Advisors LLC P
11/13/2017 Original Philly Holdings, Inc. - Tyson Foods, Inc.
11/12/2017 Another Broken Egg of America LLC - The Beekman Group LLC P
11/7/2017 Trinity Capital LLC (57 Taco Bell Restaurants) Trinity Capital LLC OCAT LLC P P
11/6/2017 Ted's Bulletin Family Restaurant - Salis Holdings P
10/31/2017 HomeStyle Dining LLC - Fog Cutter Capital Group, Inc. 10.6
10/26/2017 Castlerock Group Holdings, Inc. - WOWIO, Inc. 2.5
10/11/2017 Uncle Julio's Corp. - Catterton Management Co. LLC P
10/10/2017 Foodler, Inc. - GrubHub, Inc.
9/29/2017 Dagwoods Sandwichs & Salads - MTY Food Group, Inc. 2.3
9/28/2017 Corporate Caterers, Inc. - Salt Creek Capital Management LLC P
9/20/2017 Tom+Chee Worldwide LLC - Gold Star Chili, Inc.
9/15/2017 Round Table Pizza, Inc. Round Table Development Co. Levine Leichtman Capital Partners, Inc. P
8/31/2017 First Watch Restaurants, Inc. - Advent International Corp. P
8/29/2017 Cafe Rio, Inc. - Freeman Spogli Management Co. LP P
8/29/2017 Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. Landry's, Inc.; Fertitta Entertainment LLC 57.0
8/21/2017 Cyclone Anaya's - Heritage Restaurant Group LLC
8/7/2017 Garden Fresh Restaurant LLC - Perpetual Capital LLC P
7/18/2017 Panera Bread Co. - JAB Holdings BV; BDT Capital Partners LLC P 7,486.1 2.64x 17.8x
7/10/2017 Back Yard Burgers, Inc. - Axum Capital Partners LLC P
7/10/2017 Jim 'N Nick's Bar-B-Q, Inc. - Roark Capital Group, Inc. P
7/1/2017 MO' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food - Four Foods Group Holdings LLC
6/29/2017 FSC Franchise Co. LLC - CapitalSpring LLC P 41.5
6/22/2017 MHD LLC - Freshii, Inc. 4.2
6/19/2017 Houston Canada, Inc. - MTY Food Group, Inc. 12.1
6/15/2017 Arby's Restaurant Group, Inc. (8 Restaurants) Arby's Restaurant Group, Inc. Irish Beef, Inc. P P
6/12/2017 Republic Foods, Inc. - Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. P
6/9/2017 The Works Gourmet Burger Bistro Fresh Brands, Inc. (Canada) MTY Food Group, Inc. 5.8
6/6/2017 The Antler's Restaurant LLC - 4B's Restaurants, Inc.
6/1/2017 DavCo Restaurants LLC (140 Wendy's Restaurants) The Wendy's Co. NPC Quality Burgers, Inc. P 70.7 0.33x
5/22/2017 Pie Squared Holdings LLC - Cleveland Avenue LLC P
5/15/2017 Roasting Plant, Inc. (Michigan) - Roasting Plant Inc (Detroit) P
5/9/2017 JW Lee, Inc. - RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. 26.0
5/8/2017 Pizza Hut, Inc. (16 Pizza Hut Restaurants) Yum! Brands, Inc. PCF Restaurant Group, LLC P
5/8/2017 Les Restaurants Giorgio Amérique Ltée - MTY Food Group, Inc. 0.2
4/28/2017 Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (45 Outback Steakhouses) Bloomin' Brands, Inc. H.I.G. Capital LLC (Private Equity) P P
4/28/2017 Bob Evans Restaurants LLC Bob Evans Farms, Inc. Golden Gate Private Equity, Inc. P 615.0
4/28/2017 Guckenheimer Enterprises, Inc. - ISS A/S 222.8 0.67x
4/28/2017 MOOYAH Franchise LLC - Balmoral Funds LLC P P
4/25/2017 Checkers Drive-In Restaurants, Inc. - Oak Hill Capital Management LLC P 525.0
4/24/2017 Cheddar's Casual Cafe, Inc. - Darden Restaurants, Inc. P 780.0
4/24/2017 Premiere Food Service, Inc. - Creative Dining Services, Inc.
Franchise
Location
Sale
Private
Equity
Involvement
Enterprise
Value
($ in Millions)
Energy & Power
IndustrialsHealthcare & Life Sciences
Transportation & Logistics
Aerospace, Defense & Government
Services
Business Services
Building Products & Materials
Technology, Media & Telecom
Specialty Distribution
Consumer
PAGE |
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OUR FIRM
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
11
PAGE |
HARRIS WILLIAMS & CO.
1. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
2. University of Michigan.
3. USDA Economic Research Service: Food Expenditures.
4. Factset.
5. Company Filings & Press Releases.
6. S&P.
SOURCES
RESTAURANTS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ DECEMBER 2017
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