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Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave Katie Landry - Guyton Senior Service Hydrologist/Meteorologist National Weather Service Houston/Galveston

Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

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Page 1: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t LeaveKatie Landry-Guyton

Senior Service Hydrologist/Meteorologist

National Weather Service – Houston/Galveston

Page 2: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Storm Total Precipitation

Record 60.58”

Nederland, TX

Page 3: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Area of Impact for Southeast Texas

Area impacted approximately

23,280 sq. miles

Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and

NJ combined

Page 4: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Hydrograph

• LOCATION: Where the river gauge is located

• OBSERVATIONS: What the river did (past river stages)

• FORECAST: What the river is going to do (forecast river stages)

• STAGE: How high the river is

• DATE/TIME: When did the stages occur or when are the stages occurring.AP/David J. Phillip

Page 5: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

NWS Houston/GalvestonRecord River Flooding

Page 6: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Forecasting Challenges with an Unprecedented Event…

• How much rainfall to use in the river forecasts?

• How to message the uncertainty?

• How to model an unprecedented event?

• How to handle the unexpected?

• How to message all of this information?

• How to analyze an unprecedented event?

Page 7: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Supplemental Observations

Temporary staff gauges set up to verify flood wave

Page 8: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Drone Footage

Credit: Moses Druxminman

via Facebook Share

Page 9: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

GOES Satellite Imagery

Page 10: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Civil Air Patrol Imagery

Transfer From Brazos to Oyster Creek

Page 11: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Impact of Partnerships on Forecasts

•Without the help of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, U.S. Geological Survey, emergency managers, Harris County Flood Control District, river authorities, drainage districts, and many others, river forecast services would not have been possible.

Page 12: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Ways to Stay Connected and Receive Warnings

NWS Website: https://www.weather.gov/hgx/

NHC Webpage: https://www.hurricanes.gov

NOAA Weather RadioTV and Radio

Social Media

Wireless Emergency

Alerts and Weather Apps

Key: Have multiple ways to receive

weather and water information.

Page 13: Hurricane Harvey: The Storm that Wouldn’t Leave · Area of Impact for Southeast Texas Area impacted approximately 23,280 sq. miles Roughly the area of CT, DE, RI, and NJ combined

Questions

Katie Landry-Guyton

Senior Service Hydrologist

[email protected]

281-337-5074 ext 228