Hurricane Earl: A Case Study for the NHC Storm Surge

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Jamie RhomeStorm Surge Specialist

National Hurricane Center

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NHC Advisory/ NWS Local StatementsProbabilistic Storm Surge

*MEOWs

*MEOWs*MOMs

*MOMs

Tier 1

Response

< 48 h of landfall

Tier 3

Planning/Mitigation

> 120 h of landfall

Tier 2

Readiness

48 h – 120 h of landfall

NHC Storm Surge Product Decision Support Wedge

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Cat 4 MOM

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5

Cat 4 MEOW

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Cat 4 MEOW

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Cat 4 MEOW

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Adv #29 Track

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Cat 4 MEOW

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Cat 4 MEOW

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Cat 4 MEOW

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Ensemble/Probabilistic

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Ensemble/Probabilistic

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Ensemble/Probabilistic

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Deterministic Run

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Left Side of Cone

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Prototype Warning

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MEOW

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MEOW

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MEOW

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