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Hunter Group ASA - Company Presentation 9 September 2020Save a tree – presentation can be found at www.huntergroup.no
CERTAIN STATEMENTS INCLUDED IN THIS DOCUMENT CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. THE WORDS “BELIEVE,” “ANTICIPATE,” “INTENDS,” “ESTIMATE,” “FORECAST,” “PROJECT,” “PLAN,” “POTENTIAL,” “MAY,” “SHOULD,” “EXPECT” “PENDING” AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN HUNTER GROUP’S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH HUNTER GROUP BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND HUNTER GROUP’S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT HUNTER GROUP WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND HUNTER GROUP UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN HUNTER GROUP’S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN HUNTER GROUP’S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR HUNTER GROUP’S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR ASOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
Forward Looking Statements
2
Hunter Group ASA – A publicly traded investment company
Company overview Top 10 shareholders (as of 8 September 2020)
3
• Nimble and agile fleet of 7x SMART VLCCs built at DSME and fitted with Wärtsilä scrubbers
− Avg. all-in price of USD ~86m
• Superior access to cargo flow provided by Tankers International, the world’s largest VLCC pool
• Quality and bespoke technical management services provided by OSM in Arendal
• Objective is to return all surplus cash to shareholders, either through dividends, buybacks or deleveraging
Apollo Asset Ltd. Other shareholders
~29% ~71%
Indicator AS*
100%
Hunter Group ASA
Oslo Axess ("HUNT")
100%
7x VLCCs delivered 2019 - 2020
Hunter Tankers AS
*Limited activities
Future
opportunities?
Investor Shares (m) Ownership
Apollo Asset Limited 169 29%
Sundt AS 46 8%
Songa 40 7%
Swap Invest 16 3%
BNP Paribas Securities 15 3%
Nordnet Livsforsikring 10 2%
DB London 8 1%
DNB Luxembourg 6 1%
Halvorsens Fabrikk 6 1%
Verdipapirfondet Nordea Kapital 5 1%
Sum top 10 319 56%
Total 575 100%
Key events past twelve months
4
Q4 ’19 – Q2 ‘20 financial highlights
Q4’19 Q1 ‘20 Q2 ‘20
Pool days 181 277 197
TC days - 12 191
Offhire/startup days 44 10 -
Total sailing days 225 299 388
Revenue 24.4 20.8 29.6
Pool revenue 12.0 19.9 14.5
TC revenue 0.9 14.8
Other revenue 12.4 - -
Operating expenses 3.4 5.3 6.4
Opex. & insurance 1.4 1.9 2.5
Cash based G&A 0.2 0.3 0.3
Voyage expenses & commissions 1.9 0.6 0.3
Net income 16.1 11.8 18.8
Yard instalments 120 77 87
Remaining capex 269 192 106
Cash balance 52.5 35.2 17.1
Interest-bearing debt 180.0 233.1 283.2
Avg. achieved TCE $66,600 $72,030 $76,340
Avg. cash breakeven per day $27,500 $21,100 $24,300
• Delivery of Hunter Atla
• Financed first three vessels with USD 180m sale and leasebacks to avoid equity issuance and shareholder dilution
Q3 2019
Q4 2019
Q1 2020
Q2 2020
Q3 2020
• Delivery of Hunter Saga and Hunter Laga
• Completed sale of one vessel for USD 98m
• Delivery of Hunter Freya
• Secured USD 377.5m bank financing
− USD 220 million takeout loan for four latest vessels
− USD 157.5m bank loan to refinance the sale and leaseback
• Delivery of Hunter Disen
• Booked 4 of 7 vessels on 6-8 month TCs at height of market
• Hunter Idun and Hunter Frigg delivered
• Booked Hunter Frigg on 6-8 month TC at USD 40,000/day
• Refinanced Hunter Atla and Hunter Saga with USD 100.4m bank debt
27,500
21,100
24,30022,500
21,45020,500
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Q4 '19 Q1 '20 Q2 '20 Q3 '20 est. Q4 '20 est. Pro forma*
# vessel daysUSD/dayAvg. cash breakeven Vessel days
Approaching industry leading cash breakeven levels
5
Historical and expected cash breakeven levels
Increased by positioning costs prior to joining TI scrubber pool
Includes amortization free period for SLBs
Assumes Hunter Laga SLB refinanced with bank debt
Remember the fuel savings…
6
6,350
21,450 20,500
15,500400 6002,800
7,600
3,700
950
5,000
Opex & ins. Run ratecash G&A
TIpool cost
Saleleaseback
Bankamort.
Bankinterest
Cashbreakeven
Laga refi.effect
PF cashbreakeven
Scrubber &fuel savings
Marketbenchmarkbreakeven
Cash breakeven breakdown (USD/day)
Benchmark spot rates of around USD 15,500 per day means USD ~20,500 for Hunter vessels
21,450
63,750
42,075
25,250
17,20012,200
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Q4 '20 est. cashbreakeven
FFA market H2 '20 Current market(Hunter vessels**)
Current market(Benchmark)
USD/d
66% covered
100% covered*
Robust rate coverage through current market weakness
7
Second half 2020: 66% covered at USD 63,750 per day
100% covered at USD 42,075* per day
*Assumes zero earnings for 34% of H2 ’20 **Includes current scrubber and fuel savings of USD 5,000
Source: Company, Clarksons
Hunter coverage H2 ‘20
High degree of flexibility with nimble fleet size
8
Current charter coverage
Hunter Atla
Hunter Saga
Hunter Laga
Hunter Freya
Hunter Disen
Hunter Idun
Hunter Frigg
Construction TC Spot
Construction TC Spot
Spot
TC Spot
Spot
Construction TC Spot
Q2 '20 Q3 '20 Q4 '20 Q1 '21
TC Spot
Volatile?
9Source: Tankers International Ltd., Company
Benchmark VLCC spot rates: TD3C MEG - China
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Sep19
Oct19
Oct19
Nov19
Nov19
Dec19
Dec19
Dec19
Jan20
Jan20
Feb20
Feb20
Mar20
Mar20
Apr20
Apr20
May20
May20
Jun20
Jun20
Jun20
Jul20
Jul20
Aug20
Aug20
USD/day
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
USD/day
Chinese new year and 26 COSCO VLCCs
reentering market
Oil price war causing buying spree and contango driven
floating storage
High oil inventories, reduced imports and addtl. OPEC+ production cuts
COSCO sanctions and Saudi Abqaiq attacks
Seasonal strength and scrubber offhire
VLCC spot rates (lhs) 5-year average VLCC spot rates (rhs)
The world will still need increasing amounts of oil
10
World oil consumption
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Mbd
Source: EIA, Company
• Trough monthly avg. demand of 82mbd in April, causing OECD inventory to peak at 90 days forward coverage
• June demand reported at 90mbd -> December demand expected at 99mbd
• OECD inventories forward day coverage expected back to normal early 2021
Oil market balance normalizing sooner than expected
11
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
80
85
90
95
100
105
Jan 19 Apr 19 Jul 19 Oct 19 Jan 20 Apr 20 Jul 20 Oct 20 Jan 21 Apr 21 Jul 21 Oct 21
DaysMbdOECD inventory forward days coverage Total World Production Total World Consumption
Source: EIA, Company
Record fiscal stimulus and rebounding global PMIs
12
Top ten COVID-19 fiscal stimulus responses (USDbn)
Source: World Bank, Statista, JPMorgan
JPMorgan Global Composite PMI
2,821
1,072 1,004
342 269 217 198 148 136 98345
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
US Japan China Germany Canada Brazil India Australia France Italy Other
USDbn
13% 21% 7% 9% 16% 12% 7% 11% 5% 5%
Share of 2019 GDP: • Combined US, Japan and China stimulus close to USD 5 trillion or ~12% of GDP
• Close to USD 7 trillion of fiscal stimulus pledged globally in response to COVID-19
• Global PMIs have rebounded since April low, with August reading of 52.3
− Above/below 50 means expanding/contracting economy
52.4
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20
360
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Sep
18
No
v 1
8
Jan
19
Mar
19
May
19
Jul 1
9
Sep
19
No
v 1
9
Jan
20
Mar
20
May
20
Jul 2
0
Sep
20
$/ldt
VLCC fleet structure limiting prolonged downturn
13
VLCC orderbook and scrap candidates
• 826 VLCCs currently on the water
• All time low orderbook of ~7%
• 181 VLCCs turning 15 years or more by 2022, equal to ~22% of current fleet
• 78 VLCCs turning 20 years
• 103 VLCCs turning 15 years
• Limited new orders due to uncertainty around decarbonization requirements
− LNG dual fuel VLCCs currently priced with $15-20m premium
Scrap prices* have rebounded
Source: Clarksons, Fearnleys, Company*India tanker scrap price per lightweight ton
• Scrap prices have rebounded recently, increasing scrapping incentives for owners of older tonnage
• Typical 20-year special survey costs USD 3.5m
• BWTS USD ~1.5m
• USD ~2m survey costs
− Steel renewal, machinery overhaul etc.
• 20 – 25 days total offhire
45k lightweight tonnes=
$16.2m scrap value
3827
36 3629 31
1928
39
5358
65
49
3123 21
47 5039
68
24
24
27
12
-31-19
-28
-47
-20
-36
-28 -26-34
-28
-3 -1 -3-9 -13
-6-16 -18
-7-1 -2
-10
-31
-4
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Fleet OB Turning 15-20 yrs Turning 20+ yrs Scrapped
14
Q&A
Hunter Group ASA
Org. nr. 985 955 107
Dronningen 1
0287 Oslo, Norway
+47 975 31 227