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Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 years in HR

Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

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Page 1: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Humans and Machines:

Heaven or hell?

The next 10 years in HR

Page 2: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The future is awesome… *

Page 3: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

… if we make the right choices

Page 4: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Technology is a great servant but but a terrible master #hellven

Page 5: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

#digitalethics

Page 6: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Technology is rapidly transforming every single sector of our society: now, HR is about thought-leadership!

Page 7: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Androrithms Algorithms

HR is where Humans and Machines meet

Page 8: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The future is no longer an extension of the present

Page 9: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Super/Quantum Computing The Global Brain (AI)

Science fiction is increasingly becoming science fact

Page 10: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 11: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 12: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 13: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 14: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Bio-Technologies

Personalized medicine

Cloud / Quantum computingNeuroscience

The end of ‘Business as usual’: Convergence and Interdependence

Page 15: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

So, tell me more about your fear

of AI…

Page 16: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Artificial Intelligence: Computer systems that turn information and data into KNOWLEDGE (Demis Hassabis @ DeepMind)

Page 17: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Artificial Intelligence: Computer systems that turn information and data into KNOWLEDGE (Demis Hassabis @ DeepMind)

Tacit Knowledge?

Implicit Knowledge?

Intuition & Imagination ?

Consciousness/Agency ?

Serendipity?

Page 18: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

“Machine learning is the science of giving computers the ability to learn and find insights without explicitly programming the machines on what to do”

Page 19: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

We think with the body not just with the brain! (Seligman, Feldenkrais et al)

Page 20: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Landscape of Human Competence (Moravec, Tegmark)

Page 21: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Landscape of Human Competence (Moravec, Tegmark)

Page 22: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The

immediate

future:

Intelligent

Assistance

(IA - not AI)

Page 23: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Here, soon: speaking to machines ‘like speaking to a friend’

Page 24: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 25: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

“Organisms are

Algorithms” ?

Page 26: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

“Organisms are

Algorithms” ?

Page 27: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

“Big business decisions will be made not by experts or intuition but by big data and predictive analytics”

Page 28: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Machines don’t do

relationships!

Page 29: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The biggest danger is not that machines will take over but

that we become too much like them!

#dataism

Page 30: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

“We are least aware of what our minds do best. The most difficult things for

machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al)

“Computers are already vastly superior to us at certain specialized tasks. Human beings

may not be best at much, but we’re second-best at an impressive range of things” (NYT)

“Algorithms outperform human intelligence when it is NOT about understanding

emotional states, intentions, interpretations, deep semantic skills, consciousness,

self-awareness and flexible intelligence* (Luciano Floridi)

Page 31: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Ask: what should (not) be automated ?

Page 32: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Resist Machine-Thinking!

Page 33: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

(Not really)

Page 34: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The End of Routine is coming

But the end of routine tasks does not mean the end of human work

Page 35: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Humanity Ethics Creativity Imagination

Science Technology Engineering Mathematics

Page 36: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us
Page 37: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

(Not the future of work)

Page 38: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Anything that cannot be digitized or automated will become extremely valuable

Page 39: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The percentage of our tasks that is ‘human-only’ will dramatically increase

Page 40: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

• 70% of the new jobs in 2030 haven’t even been invented yet (Oxford)

• Only 5% of all routine jobs can be fully automated (Mc Kinsey)

• In the last 10 years, 94 % of totally new kinds of jobs have appeared outside of

traditional employment (Cornell study)

• By 2030 we are likely to see the first countries where more than 50% of people

will work ‘gigs’ i.e. do freelance, on-demand, entrepreneurial work (Gerd)

• Within 20 years, we may be able to detach money from work (and purpose!)

Huge transition challenges but ultimately a promising future

Page 41: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

The coming shift in economic logic: the basic income (UBI)

Abundance image via Peter Diamandis

Page 42: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Data everything

Cloud everything

Smart everything

(Technology)

Page 43: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

(Humanity)

Page 44: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Technology is exponential but humans are not

Machine ‘smartness’

will become abundant

but humanness will

become even scarcer

Page 45: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Focus less on efficiency, and more on purpose, experience and transformation

Page 46: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

COMBINATORIAL

EXPONENT I AL

CONVERGENT

Up-skill for exponential change: adopt a ‘Future-Mindset’

INTERDEPENDENT

HUMAN-CENTRICHOLISTIC

Page 47: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Focus on practical wisdom (phronesis) and foresight!

Imagine

Observe

Create

Understand

Page 48: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

THE FUTURE OF WORK and HR

Page 49: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Embrace technology but don’t become it!

Page 50: Humans and Machines: Heaven or hell? The next 10 …...machines to emulate are those that are unconscious” (Moravec, Minsky et al) “Computers are already vastly superior to us

Thanks for your time!