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1 Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Bulgaria Skin sensitization Human Health Models

Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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Page 1: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

1

Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Bulgaria

Skin sensitization

Human Health Models

Page 2: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Outline

2

Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES

TIMES-SS model Applicability domain in TIMES (Q)SAR models

Model performance

Conclusions

Page 3: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Epidermis

Dermis

Hypodermis

Vein

Protein conjugates

Penetration

Protein conjugates

Metabolism

Lymph

Subject of modeling

Assumptions: 1. Chemicals always penetrate stratum corneum 2. Formation of protein conjugates is a premise for ultimate effect 3. Metabolism may play significant role in skin sensitization

3

Mechanism of skin sensitization

Page 4: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

• In order to predict skin sensitisation effect taking into account metabolic activation of chemicals in same platform are combined:

Toxicokinetics – specific metabolism

− Pre-electrophilic activation – Autoxidation reactions

− Pro-electrophilic activation – Phase I and Phase II reactions

Toxicodynamic – interaction with macromolecules

Dimitrov, et al., Skin sensitization: Modeling Based on Skin Metabolism Simulation and Formation of Protein Conjugates, Internatational Journal of Toxicology. 24, 189-204, 2005.

4

Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES Main concept

Page 5: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES

Parent

Pro-electrophilic activation

Phase II Pre-electrophilic

activation (Autoxidation)

Reactive species

Reactive species

S-Pr

W sensitization

S-Pr

W sensitization

S-Pr

S sensitization

S-Pr

S sensitization

No sensitization

QSAR

5

Page 6: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

1) Estimates skin sensitisation potency by integrating a simulator for skin metabolism with (Q)SARs.

2) Training set of 875 chemicals with experimental data from three sources (436 LLNA, 568 GPMT and 171 BfR).

3) Predicts potency as one of three classes: strong, weak or non sensitising.

4) A multi-step applicability domain is incorporated into the model.

Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model

Page 7: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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• Skin metabolic simulator contains around 380 hierarchically ordered transformations based on empiric and theoretical knowledge and peer-reviewed by human experts:

• Non-enzymatic transformations:

o Hydrolysis of salts

o Autoxidation reactions

• Enzyme-mediated reactions (Phase I and Phase II):

o C-hydroxylation

o Glucoronidation

o ..............................

• Protein binding reactions (PBR)

TIMES-SS model Skin metabolic simulator

Page 8: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

TIMES-SS model Different type of principal transformations

• Phase I reactions Ester hydrolysis

Schiff base formation with aldehydes

HC O

CH

NPr

CC

C C

CO

OO

HO

HO OH

OH

O

C

O

OH

R CH2

Hal

C, -CN, -C=C, -C=S, -C=O, -NO2

R CH2

S

Pr

R = -C

Hal = Cl, Br, I

C O

O C

C O

H O

+ O H C

• Phase II reactions Glucoronidation

•Proteins binding reactions Nucleophilic substitution on halogenated C sp3 atom

• Autoxidation reactions Allylic hydroperoxide formation

CH3

CH3

HC

C

CH3

H2C

HC

C O

OH

8

Page 9: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

• Covalent interactions of chemicals/metabolites with skin proteins are described by almost 160 protein binding reactions (transformations).

• 3D-QSARs are applied for some of these transformations.

• Transformations characterized by same mechanism of interaction are combined in 97 alerts.

• The reliability of the reactions and alerts is assessed

TIMES-SS model Protein binding reactions

Page 10: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Parent

Pro-electrophilic activation

Phase II Pre-electrophilic

activation (Autoxidation)

Reactive species

Reactive species

S-Pr

W sensitization

S-Pr

W sensitization

S-Pr

S sensitization

S-Pr S sensitization

No sensitization

QSAR

10

TIMES-SS model 3D QSAR models

Page 11: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

• COREPA models of reactivity

# Alerting group Chemical class Descriptors in the

corresponding COREPA model

1

Aldehydes EHOMO

MW

2 Conjugated

systems with

electron

withdrawing

groups

Electronegativity

EGAP

log KOW

Accept DLC

R

CHO

R = H, alkyl

C

CO

R

C

R = OC, C, N, S

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TIMES-SS model 3D QSAR models

Page 12: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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• The Autoxidation reactions included in the skin simulator are “switched off”

• Autoxidation (AU) transformations are simulated by using an external AU simulator

• The external simulator containing more than 240 transformations, extracted from documented autoxidation pathways in the scientific literature, is applied on parent chemicals

• All generated unique autoxidation products are then submitted to skin sensitization model

• Parent structure is also submitted to skin model assuming that it is not fully autoxidyzed (kinetic data is not used)

TIMES-SS model Pre-electrophilic activation

Page 13: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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TIMES-SS using an external Autoxidation simulator Predicted metabolism of isoeugenol

Autoxidation products

Phase I reactions: Oxidation to quinone methide (quinone)

Binding to proteins

Page 14: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Applicability domain of TIMES (Q)SAR models

I. General requirements SDGR

Screened

chemicals S

SGR

ST SSD

ST

SMS

GRSDMHMS SD

GRSDMHMSS

GRSDMHS

GRSDMH SD

GRSDS

GRSD SD II. Structural domain

III. Mechanistic domain

IV. Metabolic simulator domain

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Page 15: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

DOMAIN: • General Requirements + - • Structural domain + - • Mechanistic domain

o Interpolation space + +

Parents Metabolites

15

Applicability domain of TIMES (Q)SAR models

Page 16: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

DOMAIN: • General Requirements + - • Structural domain + - • Mechanistic domain

o Interpolation space + +

Parents Metabolites

16

Applicability domain of TIMES (Q)SAR models

The ranges of the specified parameters (log Kow and MW) are defined on the bases of parent structures from the training set which are correctly predicted by the model.

Page 17: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

DOMAIN: • General Requirements + - • Structural domain + - • Mechanistic domain

o Interpolation space + +

Parents Metabolites

17

Applicability domain of TIMES (Q)SAR models

Structural domain is represented by the list of atom-centred fragments (accounting for the first neighbours) extracted from the parent structures in the training set which were split into two subsets: chemicals correctly predicted by the model and incorrectly predicted chemicals.

Page 18: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

DOMAIN: • General Requirements + - • Structural domain + - • Mechanistic domain

o Interpolation space + +

Parents Metabolites

18

Applicability domain of TIMES (Q)SAR models

This stage of the applicability domain of the model holds only for chemicals which have an alert group however an additional COREPA model is required. This layer of model domain is applied on parents and metabolites because the alert groups interacting with proteins could be obtained after metabolism of the parent chemical.

Page 19: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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Performance of the PBR and alerts Reliability Criteria

1. Performance: • Transformation Performance - the ratio between the number of correct

(Strong, Weak and Non sensitizers) predictions and the total number of chemicals within the local training set associated with the transformation

• Alert Performance - the ratio between the number of correct (Positive and Negative) predictions and the total number of chemicals within the alert training set

• In general, the alert performance is higher than the performance of the constituting transformations, because chemicals are classified as:

Strong/weak/non – when transformation reliability is determined

Positive/negative – when alert reliability is determined

2. Number of chemicals

3. Mechanistic justification

Page 20: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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Based on their performance PBR/alerts have been classified with:

• High performance (perf. ≥ 60% and n ≥ 5)

• Low performance (perf. ≤ 60%)

• Undetermined (1< n <5)

• Undetermined theoretical

Performance of the PBR and alerts Reliability Criteria

Page 21: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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Summary: Total number of PBR in the TIMES-SS model is 158

• High performance – 33 • Low performance – 4 • Undetermined (1< n <5) – 65 • Undetermined theoretical – 56

Performance of the PBR and alerts Reliability of PBR

Page 22: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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Options for minimizing the number of:

PBRs with low performance - the PBRs will be reassessed by

expert and adjusted in TIMES-SS if necessary. PBRs with Undetermined performance - If the expert is certain

in the reactivity of the PBR it will be flagged as “Reliable according to 3rd party expert”.

Performance of the PBR and alerts Reliability of PBR

Page 23: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

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PBRs have been review by Dr. David Roberts and coded by LMC in TIMES SS model

After expert review reliable alerts increased up to 68%

The following improvement have been reached

Performance of the PBR and alerts Reliability of PBR

Page 24: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Performance of the TIMES-SS model

TIMES-SS - using the external Autoxidation simulator

Training set: 875 chemicals

Sensitivity:

Strong sens. 91%

Weak sens. 52%

Specificity: 70%

Concordance: 76%

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Page 25: Human Health Models Skin sensitizationoasis-lmc.org/media/63111/Skin metabolism tool_May 2013_v.1.pdf · Outline 2 Predicting skin sensitization in TIMES TIMES-SS model Applicability

Conclusions

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Prediction of skin sensitization is provided in a single modeling platform accounting for specific metabolism and protein adducts formation.

Criteria for reliability of protein binding reactions have been introduced.

Numbers of protein binding reactions with low and undetermined reliability have been reassessed by human expert (Dr. Roberts).

Sets of protein binding reactions having the same mechanism of interaction have formed different alerting groups.