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Karl A. Wagner , Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference Sept. 15 - 18, 2019 HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part 1 Physical Properties, Filler, and Smoke HPHC variability Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 1

HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

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Page 1: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith

Tobacco Science Research ConferenceSept. 15 - 18, 2019

HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part 1 Physical Properties, Filler, and Smoke HPHC variability

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 1

Page 2: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Study Overview Part 1: market map overview

• Discuss the inherent variability of cigars• Describe the products• Present physical properties and abbreviated HPHCs for filler and smoke1 under

CORESTA, ISO and Intense smoking regimes• Compare the physical properties and HPHC variability of cigars and cigarettes

Part 2: predictive models 2• Compare variability and yields of the three different smoking regimes• Examine correlations of TPM, tar, and CO to smoke constituent yields and effect on

market mapping prediction intervals• Examine cigar filler manufacturing variability

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 2

1. Guidance for Industry, Reporting Harmful and Potentially Harmful Constituents in Tobacco Products and Tobacco Smoke Under Section 904(a)(3) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (March 2012).

2. TSRC Presentation #62, HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine Made Cigars – Part 2 Predictive Models, Michael Morton.

Page 3: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Cigar Regulatory Landscape In May 2016, FDA issued final rule to deem other tobacco products

• Regulates cigars, pipe tobacco, e-cigarettes and other tobacco products, including dissolvables, gels, and hookah tobacco 1

Maryland Federal District Court 2• Ordered FDA to set May 11, 2020, as the deadline for submission of applications for newly

deemed tobacco products

FDA has not published an HPHC list for cigars or specified a smoking regime(s)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 3

1. Deeming Tobacco Products To Be Subject to the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, as Amended by the Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act; Restrictions on the Sale and Distribution of Tobacco Products and Required Warning Statements for Tobacco Products (May 10, 2016).

2. American Academy of Pediatrics v. FDA, No. PWG-18-883, 2019 U.S. Dist. Westlaw 3067492 (D. Md. July 7, 2019).

Page 4: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Comparison of Sources of HPHC Variability

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 4

Cigarettes

• Uniform product category• Extensive testing experience• Standardized methods• Extensive interlaboratory testing• Well characterized reference

products

• Diverse product category• Limited testing experience• Few smoke standardized methods• Limited interlaboratory testing• Reference products recently

introduced

AnalyticalProcess

• More sophisticated equipment• Often blend over multiple crops• Wrapped in paper

• Less sophisticated equipment• Often blend from single crop • Wrapped in tobacco or tobacco

sheet

Manufacturing Process

Cigars

Page 5: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Cigar Selection 24 US machine-made cigars

• Selection based on:− Market share − Style (untipped, filter tip, plastic tip, wood tip)− Wide range of flavor characteristics

Includes 9 manufacturers• ~38 % market share for cigarillos• ~11 % market share for filter tips

Dimensions and properties• Diameter: 7.8 mm – 16 mm• Length: 95 mm – 158 mm• Weight: 1.1 g – 8.0 g• 13 Untipped, 3 filter tip, 8 plastic / wood tipped

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 5

Page 6: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Market Map - Machine Made Cigars

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 6

Page 7: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Smoking Regimes

CORESTACRM #64 1

ISO3308

IntenseISO 20778

Puff volume (ml) 20 35 55Puff frequency (sec) 40 60 30Puff duration (sec) 1.5 2 2Vent blocking (%) none none 100

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 7

0

20

40

60

80

8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Puff

Volu

me

(ml)

Cigar Diameter (mm)

For cigars > 12 mm diameter: puff volume = (0.139) (dia2)

CORESTA Recommended Method No. 64 - Routine Analytical Cigar-Smoking Machine -Specifications, Definitions and Standard Conditions

ISO 3308:2012, Cigarettes. Routine analytical cigarette-smoking machine — Definitions and standard conditions

ISO 20778:2018, Cigarettes. Routine analytical cigarette smoking machine. Definitions and standard conditions with an intense smoking regime

Page 8: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Abbreviated HPHC List for Cigarettes1

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 8

Cigarette Smoke Roll-your-own Tobacco and Cigarette Filler

Nicotine, Carbon Monoxide Nicotine

Ammonia Ammonia

NNK, NNN NNN, NNK

Formaldehyde, Acetaldehyde, Acrolein, Crotonaldehyde Arsenic, Cadmium

Benzo[a]pyrene

1-Aminonaphthalene, 2-Aminonaphthalene, 4-Aminobiphenyl

1,3-Butadiene, Acrylonitrile, Benzene, Isoprene, Toluene

1. Guidance for Industry, Reporting Harmful and Potentially Harmful Constituents in Tobacco Products and Tobacco Smoke Under Section 904(a)(3) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (March 2012).

All testing was conducted at ISO 17025 accredited laboratories

Page 9: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 9

Cigar and Cigarette Physical Properties

Page 10: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

RTD – Cigars and Cigarettes24 cigar products (220 reps each) and 10 cigarette products (100 reps each)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 10

The cigars and cigarettes were commercially available in 2018 and 2017, respectively

Page 11: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Weight – Cigars and Cigarettes24 cigar products (220 reps each) and 10 cigarette products (100 reps each)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 11

The cigars and cigarettes were commercially available in 2018 and 2017, respectively

Page 12: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Relative Weight – Cigars and Cigarettes24 cigar products (220 reps each) and 10 cigarette products (100 reps each)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 12

The cigars and cigarettes were commercially available in 2018 and 2017 respectively

Page 13: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 13

Cigar and Cigarette HPHC Yields and Variability

Page 14: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

TPM Variability Across Categories and Regimes24 cigar products (42 reps each) and 25 cigarette products (55 reps each)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 14

The cigars and cigarettes were commercially available in 2018 and 2012, respectively

●CORESTA Cigars ●ISO Cigars ●Intense Cigars ●ISO Cigarettes ●Intense Cigarettes

Page 15: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Relative TPM Variability Across Categories and Regimes24 cigar products (42 reps each) and 25 cigarette products (55 reps each)

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 15

The cigars and cigarettes were commercially available in 2018 and 2012, respectively

●CORESTA Cigars ●ISO Cigars ●Intense Cigars ●ISO Cigarettes ●Intense Cigarettes

Page 16: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Short-term Variability – Smoke24 cigar products, 146 cigarette products, 7 replicates per brand

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 16

0

5

10

15

20

25

Aver

age

% R

SD(a

cros

s all

prod

ucts

)

Cigar CORESTA Cigar ISO Cigar Intense Cigarette ISO Cigarette Intense

Page 17: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Short-term Variability – Filler24 cigar products, 146 cigarette products, 7 replicates per brand

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 17

0

5

10

15

20

25Av

erga

e %

RSD

(acr

oss

all p

rodu

cts)

Ground Cigars Cigarette Filler

Page 18: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

NNK – Ground Cigar

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 18

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

NN

K (n

g/g)

Product

Page 19: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

NNK – Cigar Smoke Yields

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 19

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

NN

K (n

g/ci

gar)

Product

CORESTAISOIntense

Page 20: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Nicotine – Ground Cigar

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 20

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Nic

otin

e (m

g/g)

Product

Page 21: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Nicotine – Cigar Smoke Yields

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 21

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Nic

otin

e (m

g/ci

gar)

Product

CORESTAISOIntense

Page 22: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Key Takeaways Cigars are a more diverse product category than cigarettes

Cigar physical properties and smoke yields are significantly more variable than cigarettes

Cigar filler HPHCs show significantly less variability than cigar smoke HPHCs and may be useful for comparative purposes

In the cigar analytical testing space, opportunities exist for:• Creation of standardized methods for smoke HPHCs• Establishing proficiency testing• Characterization of the University of Kentucky cigar reference products

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 22

Page 23: HPHC Market Map Study for US Machine-Made Cigars – Part ......Karl A. Wagner, Lara L. Baker, Michael J. Morton, Raquel M. Olegario, Jennifer H. Smith Tobacco Science Research Conference

Key Takeaways Cigars are a more diverse product category than cigarettes

Cigar physical properties and smoke yields are significantly more variable than cigarettes

Cigar filler HPHCs show significantly less variability than cigar smoke HPHCs and may be useful for comparative purposes

In the cigar analytical testing space, opportunities exist for:• Creation of standardized methods• Establishing proficiency testing• Characterization of reference products

Karl A. Wagner | Regulatory Sciences | Altria Client Services | TSRC Sept 15-18th 2019 | FINAL 23

www.altria.com/ALCS-Science