38
How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice is capable of being reduced to strict rules. To depart upon any occasion from those rules, in consequence of some flattering speculation of extraordinary gain, is almost always extremely dangerous, and frequently fatal to the banking company which attempts it.” —Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations ([1776] 1976), vol. 2, 279 1

How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis?David Munaver Bholat

“Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse,the practice is capable of being reduced to strict rules. To depart upon anyoccasion from those rules, in consequence of some flattering speculation ofextraordinary gain, is almost always extremely dangerous, and frequentlyfatal to the banking company which attempts it.”—Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations ([1776] 1976), vol. 2, 279 1

Page 2: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Sir Isaac Newton: (not such a) Master of the Mint

2

Page 3: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Economics without Economic History

The drama of the banking crisis…is unprecedented in the lifetime of almost all of us.

Governor of the Bank of England, 2008

The Worst Financial Crisis since the 1930s.Governor of the Bank of England,

1973

3

Page 4: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

“Northern Wreck”Britons in the queue, between the Rock and a hard place

4

Page 5: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Banking Crises

Source: National Bureau of Economic Research (US)

5

Page 6: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Motivations for Talk

• To emphasize the structural versus contingent causes of the current crisis.

• To save Smith from neo-classical appropriation.

6

Page 7: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Adam Smith Those exertions of the natural

liberty of a few individuals, which might endanger the security of the whole of society are, and ought to be, restrained by the laws of governments…The obligation of building party walls to prevent the communication of fire, is a violation of natural liberty, exactly of the same kind with the regulations of the banking trade which are here proposed.

- Wealth of Nations Vol. 1, 345

7

Page 8: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

“Dark Age in Macroeconomics”

Paul Krugman

8

Page 9: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Rea£ Profit$ of the Financial Sector (USA)

Source: National Income and Product Accounts

9

Page 10: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Objectives of Lecture

1. Examine key themes in Smith

2. Apply Smith to the present

10

Page 11: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Solutions derived from Smith

• 100 percent reserve banking

• Mutualise Financial Institution Ownership

• End contracts on intangible un-deliverables

11

Page 12: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

KEY FOCI

•DIVISION OF LABOR

• CLASS

• WEALTH AND WORK

12

Page 13: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

What is Wealth?

• Bullionists

• Mercantilists

• Physiocrats

• Political Economists

13

Page 14: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Neo Bullionism

“Money is neither a material to work upon, nor a tool to work with.”

-Adam Smith, Vol. 1, 313

Structured Finance Innovation

Engineering ADDING VALUE

14

Page 15: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Categories of Stock in Smith

15

Page 16: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

THE DIVISION OF LABORSmith on

16

Page 17: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Division of Labor

• Territorial Division of Labor• Organizational Division of Labor• Technical Division of Labor

17

Page 18: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Technical Division of Labor

“In the progress of the division of labor…the great body of the people comes to be confined to a few very simple operations. But…the man whose life is spent in performing a few simple operations…generally becomes as stupid and ignorant as it is possible.”

Wealth of Nations Vol. II, 302-303

18

Page 19: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Smith on Profit$

“ As capitals increase in any country the profits which can be made by employing them necessarily diminish. It becomes gradually more and more difficult to find within the country a profitable method of employing any new capital.”

Wealth of Nations Vol. 1, 375

19

Page 20: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Territorial Division of Labor

20

Page 21: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

UK Current Account Deficit

21

Page 22: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

‘Natural’ Growth “Unnatural” Growth

22

Page 23: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

CLASS AS A CATEGORYSmith on

23

Page 24: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Smith’s Three Classes

• Landlords

• Laborers

• Merchants

24

Page 25: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Redistribution of Wealth

25

Page 26: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Smith on Class Interests

[The merchant class’] interest is never exactly the same with that of the public, who have generally an interest to deceive and even to oppress the public, and who accordingly have, upon many occasions, both deceived and oppressed it.

Wealth of Nations Vol. 1 , 277

26

Page 27: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Smith on Profits

Our merchants and master-manufacturers complain much of the bad effects of high wages. They say nothing concerning the bad effects of high profits. They are silent with regard to the pernicious effects of their own gains. They complain only of those of other people.Wealth of Nations Vol. 1, 110

27

Page 28: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

A Typology of Class:Or how did you make your money?

CLASS METHOD MONEY-NAME

Merchant Sell their product Profit

Laborer Sell their labor-time Wage

Landlord Lend their land Rent

Lenders Lend their money Interest

Capitalist Leverage others’ property

Windfalls

28

Page 29: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Bank of AmsterdamFounded in 1609

29

Page 30: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

A Typology of Class:Or how did you make your money?

CLASS METHOD MONEY-NAME

Merchant Sell their product Profit

Laborer Sell their labor-time Wage

Landlord Lend their land Rent

Lenders Lend their money Interest

Capitalist Leverage others’ property

Windfalls

30

Page 31: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

WEALTH AND WORKSmith on

31

Page 32: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Shares in Northern Rock

Tyneside

City of London

Rest of Britain

1997 493 5 329

1999 350 214 257

Change -143 209 -72

Shares in Millions

32

Page 33: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Mortgage Lending by Purpose (UK)

33

Page 34: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Fascist Reactions

34

Page 35: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Crisis

Financial

Economic

Cultural

35

Page 36: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Wealth and Work

36

Page 37: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

Two Sides of the Same Coin:Democratization of Credit/Tyranny of Debt

Household Debt as Proportion of GDP

37

Page 38: How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis? David Munaver Bholat “Though the principles of the banking trade may appear somewhat abstruse, the practice

How Would Adam Smith Fix the Financial Crisis?David Munaver Bholat

38