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HOW TECHNOLOGY IS RESHAPING YOUR TRANSPORTATION OPTIONS
C. Michael Walton, Ph.D., P.E.Ernest H. Cockrell Centennial Chair in Engineering
The University of Texas at Austin
February 19, 2013
Forecasting the Present
Category 19942010
(projected)2010
(actual)
World Population 5.6B 7.3B 6.9BWorld Telephones:
Wired 607M 1.4B 1.3B (3)
Wireless 34M 1.3B 5.3B
PC's Worldwide 150M 278M 1B (3)
Number of Internet Users 16M (1) 1B (2) 2.1B
Cars Produced Annually 28 M 60 M 52M (4)
McDonald's 14000.00 30000.00 32000.00Starbucks 425.00 N/A 15000.00
Source: Business Week, CIA World Factbook, aboutmcdonalds.com, starbucksmelody.com, inc.com/news/articles/200707/computers.html, worldometers.info/cars/
(1) 1995(2) 2005(3) 2008(4) 2009
The Internet of Things is Already Here
2003
2010
2015
2020
Connected Devices Per
Person
0.08 1.84 3.47 6.58
500 Million
12.5 Billion
25 Billion 50 Billion
6.3 Billion
6.8 Billion
7.2 Billion
7.6 Billion
World Population:
Connected Devices:
More connected
devices than people
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2011
Brain-Machine Interfaces:The Ultimate Integration
February 2009: University of Toronto scientists invent machine that determines what you’re thinking (80% accuracy)
June 2009: University of Southampton demonstrates brain-to-brain communication over Internet
October 2009: Toyota showcases mind-controlled wheelchair with 95% accuracy
March 2010: University of Maryland decodes brain signals / reconstructs into 3D hand movements
April 2010: Intel software analyzes fMRI scans to determine what you’re thinking (90% accuracy)
July 2011: University of Western Ontario develops technology to predict what a person is going to do before he or she does it
Artificial brain implants expected by 2030
Brain-controlled prosthesis
Mind-controlled wheelchair
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2011; Toyota; CNN; USA Today; KurzweilAI.net; wfs.org
“The future is not a result of choices among alternative paths offered by the present, but a place that is created—created first in mind and will, created next in activity. The future is not some place we are going to, but one we are creating. The paths to it are not found but made, and this activity of making them changes both the maker and the destination”
John Schaar
“Gentlemen, we have run out of money. It is time to start thinking.”
Sir Ernest Rutherford, Nobel Laureate
(Chemistry)
7
C. Michael Walton, Ph.D., P.E.Ernest H. Cockrell Centennial Chair in Engineering
Dept. of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering
The University of Texas at Austin301 E. Dean Keeton St., Stop C1761
Austin, TX 78712512-471-1414
