HOW RAPID ENERGY MODELING CAN HELP DESIGNERS IMPROVE BUILDING PERFORMANCE IN EXISTING BUILDINGS

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    Victor Okhoya November 2014

    CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY

    DOCTOR OF PROFESSIONAL PRACTICE

    AREAS OF PRACTICE ASSIGNMENT

    HOW RAPID ENERGY MODELING CAN HELP DESIGNERS IMPROVE BUILDING PERFORMANCE IN

    EXISTING BUILDINGS

    ABSTRACT

    This paper introduces the concept of Rapid Energy Modeling as a possible solution to the

    perceived difficulty of performing energy analysis studies on existing buildings. It begins by

    describing the problem and suggests that traditional approaches like energy audits are time

    and resource intensive. It then defines the concept of Rapid Energy Modeling. Three

    approaches to energy analysis of existing buildings, including Rapid Energy Modeling, are

    discussed and compared. Finally a comparative return on investment analysis is made by

    comparing Rapid Energy Modeling to traditional energy analysis software tools.

    INTRODUCTION

    There is a perception in the design community that building performance analysis (BPA) for

    existing buildings is complex, time consuming and difficult to master. For example, according1

    to the Canadian Industry Program for Energy Conservation (CIPEC) , a traditional method of2

    energy analysis of existing buildings, the energy audit, consists of the following ten steps:

    1. Conduct a condition survey

    2. Establish the audit mandate

    3. Establish the audit scope

    4. Analyse energy consumption and costs

    5. Compare energy performance

    6. Profile energy use patterns

    7. Inventory energy use

    8. Identify Energy Management Opportunities

    9. Assess the benefits

    10. Report for action

    These processes can take months to complete, are expensive and require a high level of

    expertise. This problem of perceived difficulty of BPA in existing buildings has began being

    addressed by the digital design technology community. Solutions are being sought that bring

    the benefits of BPA without excessive overhead in terms of learning and using the tools. Onesuch promising solution is Rapid Energy Modeling (REM).

    1 Stumpf et al., 2011, p2.2 See Natural Resources Canada , 2011.

    1

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    RAPID ENERGY MODELING

     According to an Autodesk white paper Streamlining Energy Analysis of Existing Buildings with

    Rapid Energy Modeling  

    Rapid Energy Modeling refers to a streamlined and scalable3

    approach to performing energy assessments of existing buildings. Autodesk presents a three

    step process for performing such assessments:

    ● Capturing existing building conditions

    ● Developing a 3D model of the building

    ● Performing analysis on the building

    Existing conditions can be captured using digital photographs, aerial and satellite images,

    laser scanning or, as we will see, thermal imaging technology.

    The 3D model can be prepared using 3D modeling software that leverages captured digital

    data as a background for model development. Reality capture tools like Insight3D, Agisoft

    Photoscan and Autodesk Imagemodeler can also be used to help convert photo images into3D models.

    Once a 3D model has been prepared energy analysis simulations can be run using an

    appropriate BPA tool. Outputs from such analyses include energy use intensities, annual

    energy consumption by fuel type, heating and cooling loads, carbon emissions among others.

    The key benefit of REM is time and, therefore, cost savings. Users report that the REM

    exercise for an average sized building (such as a typical three story office building) can be

    performed in hours and days rather than the weeks and months of current processes.

    The accuracy of analysis results from REM correlates favorably with real measurements as

    discussed in the Department of Defence study below. Accuracy of building geometry

    generated from reality capture methods is also quite high with modeled areas being within 7%

    of the actual area according to the Autodesk study .4

     

    In this paper we will look at three approaches to energy analysis of existing buildings:

    ● Energy Audits

    ● Traditional Software Approaches

    ● Rapid Energy Modeling by using Thermal Imaging as well as by using Autodesk

    Software Workflows

    3 See Autodesk, 2011.4 See Autodesk, 2011.

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    We will compare these approaches in terms of cost, training time, time to perform an analysis

    and accuracy of results. Finally, we will perform a return on investment comparison between

    traditional software approaches and REM methods.

    We will use the following studies as our case study references :5

     ●   Rapid Energy Modeling Workflow Demonstration

     

    , a US Department of Defence study.

    ●   Rapid 3D Energy Performance Modeling of Existing Buildings using Thermal and

    Digital Imagery, a study done at Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.

    ●   Streamlining Energy Analysis of Existing Buildings with Rapid Energy Modeling  

    , an

     Autodesk study. 

    APPROACHES TO ENERGY ANALYSIS OF EXISTING BUILDINGS

    Energy Audits

     An energy audit is an inspection, survey and analysis of energy 

    flows for energy conservationin a building, process or system to reduce the amount of energy input into the system without

    negatively affecting the output(s) . According to the US DoD study, three levels of energy6

    audits are typically used based on the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and

     Air-Conditioning Engineers (  ASHRAE) standard: walk through (ASHRAE Level 1), general

    (ASHRAE Level 2), and investment grade (ASHRAE Level 3) .7

     

    ● Level 1, which is a rapid assessment of building energy systems done using a

    walkthrough as well as energy benchmarking. This takes 1 -2 days and costs 500.00 -

    700.00 per day.

    ● Level 2, which is a more detailed building survey of systems and operations. It

    includes a breakdown of energy uses and sources, identification of energy

    conservation measures and savings and identification of operational discrepancies.

    This takes 3 - 10 days and costs 500.00 - 700.00 per day or 1500.00 - 7000.00 per

    building.

    ● Level 3, which focuses on a whole building computer simulation and models the way

    the building would respond to proposed energy saving measures. It requires longer

    term data processing, computer models calibrated with field data and bid-level

    construction cost estimating. This takes 10 - 50 days at a cost of 500.00 - 700.00 per

    day.

    5 See the References section at the end of the paper.6 Energy Audit. In Wikipedia. Retrieved in December 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Audit .7 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013, p80.

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    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Audithttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_conservationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy

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    The DoD does not feel that REM workflows correspond directly to any of the levels of audit.

    However, its outputs are a closer match to a level 2 audit and we will use this as a basis of

    comparison. 

    Traditional Software Processes

    Traditional Software approaches involve modeling the existing building conditions in a pieceof software and then running energy analysis exercises on this model. Several software

    solutions exist for performing these analyses. More established tools include DOE,

    Energyplus and Equest. These are typically free but have older interfaces and some are even

    MS-DOS based. Newer commercial tools include Designbuilder, Aecosim and IES VE.

    Traditional software approaches can also be used as part of the energy auditing process.

    Traditional software approaches, when used on existing buildings involve gathering existing

    building condition data and then inputting this data into the energy analysis tool. This usually

    takes the form of as-built or record drawings in CAD or PDF formats being redrawn in the

    energy analysis tools. Sometimes, building measurements need to be undertaken first. Oncethe existing conditions have been input, analysis simulations can be run and results reported.

    Traditional software approaches provide the following challenges to the analysis of existing

    buildings. First, the commercial versions carry a cost as high as thousands of dollars per

    license. Second, these tools take time to learn with the learning curve being in weeks and

    months for the more complex interfaces. Third, modeling existing conditions can take a long

    time. Depending on the quality of existing conditions data this can range from days to weeks.

    Finally, the time to perform analysis can also be lengthy depending on the complexity of the

    energy simulation being run and the specifications of the hardware running it.

    Rapid Energy Modeling using Thermal Imagery

    We will refer to the Virginia Tech study conducted by Ham and Golparvar-Fard as an8

    example of REM using thermal imagery. The study uses digital and thermal imagery to rapidly

    create a thermal model. The study notes that there are several challenges with existing

    approaches to the modeling process for analyzing energy performance of existing buildings.

    These challenges include:

    1. Current energy modeling practices are time consuming and labor intensive. The

    process of constructing models often takes weeks or months making it suitable mainly

    for high-budget projects.

    2. These energy models make assumptions that do not capture the variances of reality.

    Sometimes these variances can be significant.

    3. Creating these models requires skill and expertise that many designers simply do not

    possess.

    8 Ham, Y. & Golparvar-Fard, M., 2012.

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    In order to address these challenges the study proposes to use image-based 3D modelling

    techniques in conjunction with thermal imagery to rapidly create an existing conditions thermal

    model.

    This study is interesting for two reasons. First, it use REM techniques to generate both

    geometric as well as a thermal imagery which are then superimposed to create a compositethermal model. Secondly, the composite model is itself a thermal analytical model. This

    means that no further analysis of the model is required to produce results that can be used for

    design decision making.

    In this way, the authors’ note, the process is rapid both in its approach to generating the

    analytical model but also in the fact that it eliminates the need for a separate analysis

    process. 

    Data capture for the study was performed in an office room of an existing instructional building

    at Virginia Tech. The visual data was collected in the morning under natural daylightingconditions.

    The digital and thermal images were captured using an E60 thermal camera from FLIR

    Systems which has a built in digital camera.

    The process began by capturing 429 unordered and uncalibrated digital and thermal images.

     A streamlined image-based 3D reconstruction algorithm was then used to generate a dense

    3D point cloud of the scene. The density of the thermal point cloud was 2,064,662 points

    while the density of the building geometry cloud was 8,488,888 points.

    In order to generate a superimposed model it was necessary to co-register the thermal and

    digital point clouds. Essentially it was necessary to correlate pairs of digital and thermal

    points. However, because thermal images use gradient color coding which smooths over

    surface intensities no distinctive features could be found for correlation. A novel approach had

    to be devised.

    Ordinary point cloud laser scanners are calibrated using calibration rigs like a checkerboard

    located within the scene. However, low resolution thermal cameras cannot detect such a rig.

    Therefore a thermal calibration rig was created using 42 small LED lights.

    Using this thermal rig together with known parameters like the camera location and orientation

    the thermal image was calibrated and registered to the digital model and a superimposed

    point cloud created.

    Finally, an augmented reality model viewer was used to enable visualization of the digital and

    thermal models. A pair of the resulting images is shown below in Fig. 1.

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    Fig 1. REM using thermal images case study results.

    Rapid Energy Modeling using Autodesk Workflows9

    We will refer to the US DoD study as an example of REM using Autodesk Workflows. Thisstudy was undertaken by the Environmental Security Technology Certification Program

    (ESTCP) of the US Department of Defense. Broadly speaking, the goal of the study was to

    evaluate REM in order to determine if the workflow is capable of producing useful, rapid and

    cost effective estimates of DoD buildings.

    The study was conducted over a one year period using a population of 35 buildings and an

    analyzed sample of 23 buildings. The buildings were spread across 8 locations and

    represented 7 different building types. Below is a summary of the test facility locations and

    types:

    ● 3 office buildings at the US Army Construction Engineering Research Laboratory in

    Champaign, Illinois

    ● 1 office, 3 barracks and 1 gym at Fort Leonard Wood Army Base in Fort Leonard

    Wood, Missouri

    ● 2 offices and 2 barracks at Joint Base Lewis McChord in Tacoma, Washington

    ● 2 offices and 1 barracks at the Naval Surface Warfare Centre in Panama City, Florida

    ● 4 offices at Peterson Air Force Base in Colorado Springs, Colorado

    ● 4 offices at Port Hueneme in Los Angeles, California

    ● 1 Barracks at Portsmouth Naval Shipyard in Kittery, Maine

    ● 1 Office, I Cafeteria, 1 School, 1 Fire Station and 1 Automotive Facility at SeymourJohnson Air Force Base in Goldsboro, North Carolina

    ● 1 Office, 1 Automotive Facility and 1 Cafeteria at Naval Weapons Station Earle in

    Colts Neck, New Jersey and Middleton, New York

    ● 2 barracks and 1 drill hall at Naval Station Great Lakes in North Chicago, Illinois 

    9 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013

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    The study was done in a series of test phases namely Reality Capture phase, Modelling

    phase, Analysis phase, Technology Transfer phase and the Reporting phase.

    In the Reality Capture phase test sites and buildings were identified and building background

    information was gathered using an installation energy questionnaire. In the Modeling phase,

    Building Information Models (BIMs) were created. First, conceptual energy models werecreated in Autodesk Formit and Autodesk Vasari and then energy models were generated

    from the conceptual models and run using Autodesk’s Green Building Studio web service.

    During the Analysis phase modeled result data was compared to actual metered utility data.

    The time and cost of the REM process was also compared to traditional energy audits. In the

    Technology Transfer phase workshops, webinars and curriculum development took place and

    in the Reporting phase the final report was developed.

    The technology used for the study was mainly Autodesk software. Autodesk Formit was used

    for on site modeling, Autodesk Vasari was used for modeling and analysis, Autodesk Revitwas used for additional model refinements and additional analysis tasks and Autodesk Green

    Building Studio was the web based analysis engine and interface that did the actual

    calculation and reporting.

    The results of the study were both quantitative as well as qualitative.

    Quantitative Performance Results

    ● Correlation of REM with annual energy electricity and fuel intensity

    Results were within 10% error on 7 out of 25 buildings for electricity. Two buildings

    were within +/-10% for natural gas. Overall there was 81.88% average accuracy forelectricity and 58.2% average accuracy for natural gas. This likely because electricity

    typically runs on a schedule based on building use while natural gas varies more

    based on user preferences.

    The DoD felt that the results for electricity and natural gas were within good to

    reasonable prediction levels as defined in the literature.

    ● Correlation of REM with overall annual energy use intensity

    14 out of 25 buildings were within +/- 25% compared to baseline historical utility data.

     Average accuracy was 77.56%. DoD felt that the REM EUI predictions were within

    good to reasonable levels defined in the literature.

    ● Variance in monthly consumption

    Results were within 15% of the target for 3 buildings using billing history and cost as

    metrics. An additional 2 buildings were within 20% of the target. It was not realistic to

    expect initial models to be within a 15% variance target since this is a target that

    calibrated models aspire to.

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    ● Testing the REM process for design alternatives to model potential energy savings

    Energy Conservation Measures explored energy saving strategies for 5 buildings.

    Savings greater than 30% were achieved in 3 out of the 5 buildings. The 2 buildings

    that did not get to the 30% target had already undergone energy retrofits.

    Qualitative Performance Results: 

    ● Ease of learning technology and expertise required

    Training completed at the time of publication indicated that DoD participants could

    learn the REM workflow and begin creating and analyzing models in less than one

    day. This was way below the target of 6 days.

    ● User satisfaction with REM technology

    Participants indicated a high level of satisfaction with workflow as measured by survey

    results.

    ● Ease of use creating REM models

    Preliminary results indicate that energy models can be completed in less than 3 hours

    after the process is learned which is way superior to the 2 days per building target. 

    ● Ability to scale the process across the DoD

    3 individuals had been trained at the time of reporting compared to a target of 5

    individual within the first year.

    COMPARISON OF THE APPROACHES

    In this section we provide a comparison of the approaches discussed above. We willcompare these approaches based on cost, training time, time to perform analysis as well as

    accuracy.

    Cost Comparison

     According to the DoD study a Level 2 Energy Audit of the 23 buildings they studied could cost

    $179,673.00 at an audit cost of $0.12/ft 2 . This is $7811.87 per building.10

     According to the DoD study an REM analysis of the 23 buildings studied could cost $6,900.00

    or approximately $0.005/ft 2 . This is $300.00 per building.

     According to industry commentators a cost of $0.2/ft 2 is a reasonable cost for traditional11

    energy modeling. Since the average size of the DoD buildings can be calculated as 60,000 ft 2 

    the cost of energy modeling using a traditional approach would be $12,000.00 per building.

    10 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013, p80.11 For example see http://energy-models.com/leed-and-energy-modeling retrieved in December 2014.

    8

    http://energy-models.com/leed-and-energy-modeling

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    Fig 2. Cost per Building in dollars comparison.

    Time to Train

     According to the Canadian Institute of Energy Training (CIET) website a Certified Energy

     Auditor course takes 3 days (24hrs) to complete.12

     According to the DoD study REM workflow operator training takes 1 day (8hrs) .13

     According to the IES VE website basic training on the product takes 3 days (24hrs) .14

     

    Fig 3. Training Time in Hrs comparison.

    12 See http://cietcanada.com/events/certified-energy-auditor-cea/ retrieved in December 2014.13 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013, p87.14 See http://www.iesve.com/training/events retrieved in December 2014.

    9

    http://www.iesve.com/training/eventshttp://cietcanada.com/events/certified-energy-auditor-cea/

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    Time to Perform Analysis

     According to the DoD study a Level 2 Energy Audit takes 3 - 10 days. Let us take the median

    value of 6.5 days (52 hrs) .15

     According to the DoD study an REM analysis takes an estimated 3 hrs to complete .16

     According to industry commentators energy modeling takes at least 40 hrs on average.17

     

    Fig 4. Time to Perform Analysis in Hrs comparison.

    Accuracy of Analysis

     According to the Ausgrid, an Australian electrical utility, Level 2 Energy Audits are typically

    about 80% accurate .18

     According to the DoD study an REM analysis is 77% accurate for Energy Use Intensity .19

     According to Reeves et al. in their study, IES VE had an accuracy, on average, for overall

    energy usage of (86.45 + 51.90)/2 = 69.18.20

     

    15 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013, p80.16 Ibid.17 For example see http://energy-models.com/leed-and-energy-modeling retrieved in December 2014.18  See

    http://businessservices.ausgrid.com.au/~/media/Microsites/BusinessServices/Files/Metering/Product%20and

    %20services/Energy_Audits.pdf  retrieved in December 2014.19 Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J., 2013, p2.20 Reeves et al., 2012, pp 584 - 586.

    10

    http://businessservices.ausgrid.com.au/~/media/Microsites/BusinessServices/Files/Metering/Product%20and%20services/Energy_Audits.pdfhttp://businessservices.ausgrid.com.au/~/media/Microsites/BusinessServices/Files/Metering/Product%20and%20services/Energy_Audits.pdfhttp://energy-models.com/leed-and-energy-modeling

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    Fig 5. Accuracy Percent comparison.

    COMPARATIVE RETURN ON INVESTMENT OF REM

    We end with a return on investment (ROI) analysis that compares the ROI on an REM

    workflow to the ROI on a more traditional energy analysis software workflow. As we have

    mentioned, part of the deterrence to BPA is the perceived cost and difficulty of performing

    such analyses. If this can be demonstrably reduced then there will be a higher rate of

    participation among designers. Here we will use ROI as an objective measure of cost and

    ease of use.

    In order to compare the ROI of using an REM workflow to the ROI of using a non-REM

    workflow for BPA we will make a few assumptions. First we will use an ROI calculation

    method due to Autodesk in their white paper BIM’s Return on Investment.   According to this21

    the ROI on design software investment can be computed as:

    (B - (B / (1 + E)) x (12 - C) / A + (B x C x D)

    where:

     A = cost of hardware and software

    = monthly labor costs

    C  

    = training time

    D = productivity lost during training

    E  

    = productivity gain after training

    21 See Autodesk, 2007.

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    We will compare an REM workflow using Autodesk Vasari to a non-REM workflow using

    Integrated Environmental Solutions, Virtual Environment (IES VE).

    Training time will refer to the time in months that it takes to complete formal training. We will

    assume that the productivity lost during training stays in the same ratio as the training time.

    This means if it takes three times as long to train on software A as B then the productivity lostfor A is three times as much as the productivity lost for B.

    We will use an Effective Productivity Gain computed as :

    Effective Productivity Gain = Productivity Gain x Accuracy Factor x Features Factor

    This will penalise software that produces inaccurate results or software that lacks features

    that are important for comprehensive BPA studies. The Accuracy Factor will be determined

    from Vidmar’s paper where IES VE and Vasari are compared. Both pieces of software score22

    8/10 on this measure. The Features Factor  

    will be determined from the following featureswhich we will consider as a minimal requirement for BPA tools:

    ● solar analysis

    ● shadow analysis

    ● thermal analysis

    ● daylight analysis

    ● wind analysis

    Features IES VE VASARI

    Calculation speed/completion time 4 10

    Visual environment & feedback 8 10

    User interface simplicity &

    intuitiveness

    5 8

    Ease of use & learning curve 5 8

    Software documentation 6 10

    Community & technical support 10 7

    Total out of 60 38 53

    Figure 6. Comparative productivity gain for IES VE against Vasari

    22 Vidmar, 2013, pp 7-8.

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    These features will be given equal weight in our analysis. Accordingly, IES has the full

    complement of features and scores 1.0 while Vasari lacks daylight analysis features and

    scores 0.8.

    Productivity gain after training will be computed based on Vidmar’s analysis (see Figure 6) 

    .23

    We will consider productivity to be a function of the following factors:

    ● calculation speed

    ● visual environment & feedback

    ● UI simplicity and intuitiveness

    ● ease of use and learning curve

    ● software documentation

    ● community and technical support

    We will take the Productivity Gain to be the aggregate points awarded for these factors

    against the total number of points possible.

     According to both their websites Autodesk Vasari and IES VE both require at least dual core

    CPU with 4GB RAM. The retail price for such a workstation at hardware resellers is about

    $500.00. Also, according to the IES website, basic training on IES VE takes three days while24

    the US DoD reported that Vasari training could be taken in one day . Monthly labor costs will25

    be taken uniformly at $16,000.00.

     Accordingly first year ROI is as follows:

    Vasari: (16000 - (16000 / (1 + 0.57)) x (12 - 0.05) / 1100 + (16000 x 0.05 x 0.05) = 60.89% IES VE: (16000 - (16000 / (1 + 0.51)) x (12 - 0.15) / 5700 + (16000 x 0.15 x 0.15) = 10.57% 

    CONCLUSION

    From the comparison of methods we saw that REM analysis performs better than either

    traditional software processes or Level 2 energy audits for cost, training time and time to

    perform analysis. We also saw that while REM analysis was not as accurate as Level 2

    energy audits for overall energy use, it was more accurate than traditional software methods.

    23  Vidmar. 2013.24 See http://www.iesve.com/training/events .25 Rupnow and Sullivan, 2013, p13.

    13

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    IES VE VASARI

    Cost of Hardware 500.00 500.00

    Cost of Software* 5200.00 600.00

    Monthly Labor Cost 16000.00 16000.00

    Training Time (months) 0.15 0.05

    Productivity Lost During Training (%) 0.15 0.05

     Accuracy Factor 0.80 0.80

    Feature Factor 1.00 0.80

    Productivity Gain After Training**(%) 0.51 0.57

    First Year ROI 10.57% 60.89%

    *Vasari is free but attracts a cost for

    cloud based analysis services

    **Effective Productivity Gain

    Figure 7. Comparative first year ROI for IES VE against Vasari  

    From the ROI analysis above we see that an REM tool has as much as a six times advantagein ROI over traditional software approaches. This is because of the immense rapidity with

    which the software can be learned and deployed on projects. With such a return on

    investment it is clearly a path to BPA that designers should consider.

    We therefore believe that REM has an important role to play in helping designers perform

    BPA studies on existing buildings and thereby achieving high performance solutions.

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    REFERENCES

     Autodesk. (2007). BIM’s Return on Investment. Retrieved November 2014 from

    http://images.autodesk.com/emea_s_main/files/gb_revit_bim_roi_jan07.pdf  .

     Autodesk. (2009). Rapid Energy Modeling for Existing Buildings. Retrieved November 2014 from

    http://images.autodesk.com/adsk/files/rem_executive_summary.pdf  .

     Autodesk. (2011). Streamlining Energy Analysis of Existing Buildings with Rapid Energy Modeling  .

    Retrieved November 2014 from http://images.autodesk.com/adsk/files/rem_white_paper_2011.pdf  .

    Ham, Y. & Golparvar-Fard, M. (2012). Rapid 3D Energy Performance Modeling of Existing Buildings

    using Thermal and Digital Imagery. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 27(3), pp 395 - 409.

    Loftness, V. (2014). Areas of Practice . Course Notes, Carnegie Mellon University, Autumn 2014.

    Natural Resources Canada. (2011). Energy Saving Toolbox: An Energy Audit Manual and Tool  .

    Ottawa, Ontario. St Joseph Communication.

    Reeves, T., Olbina, S., Issa, R. (2012). Proceedings of the 2012 Winter Simulation Conference:

    Validation of Building Energy Modeling Tools: Ecotect, Green Building Studio and IES VE (pp

    582-593). Presented at the IEEE 2012 Winter Simulation Conference.

    Rupnow, J. & Sullivan, J. (2013). Rapid Energy Modeling Workflow Demonstration.  Alexandria, VA.

    ESTCP Program Office.

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