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How CHP can support the Path to 100 in GermanyAn optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition Lab
Panelists
Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development
Wärtsilä Energy Business
Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,
Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW
Anette DanielssonMarket Development Analyst
Wärtsilä Energy BusinessModerator
Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe
Wärtsilä Energy Business
THE PATH TO A 100% RENEWABLE ENERGY FUTURE
Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development
Wärtsilä Energy Business
Sector CouplingA Path Forward for Germany
Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe
Wärtsilä Energy Business
Modelling Assumptions
• Only considering space heating delivered to end-consumer as district heating
• Isolated system, i.e. no interconnectors to other systems or markets
• Price of heat is 33 EUR/MWh and derived from heat generation with gas boiler (fuel cost + EU ETS cost, 95% eff.) and is same in all scenarios, i.e. heat price is not changing
SECTOR COUPLING-A PATH FORWARD FOR GERMANY
Source: Heat Roadmap Europe 2050 (2017)
Transport18 %
Electricity26 %
Process heating18 %
Space heating31 %
Hot water
5 %
Other heating1 %
Process cooling1 %
Heating and cooling 0 %
SHARE OF FINAL ENERGY DEMAND, GERMANY
Source: Heat Roadmap Europe 2050 (2017)
Heating56 %
NOTE:1.Heat generation assets not shown2.Price of heat is 33 €/MWh and derived from heat generation with gas boiler and is same in all scenarios, i.e. heat price is not changing
100 MW
475 MW
60 MW
58 MW
287 MWh
284 MW
69 MW
0 MW
200 MWh
55 MW
Solar, wind, storage, enginesRunning on synthetic fuels (P2X)
78 €/MWhe
76 %Renewable energyRenewable energy Renewable energy
100 %0 %
Solar, wind, storage only
122 €/MWhe
Solar, wind, storage, engines
46 €/MWheThermal only
69 €/MWhe
747 MW
3 800 MWh
0 MW
9.6.2020 Wärtsilä Energy Business 6
Status Quo and Future Role of CHP in Germany
» Today‘s role of CHP in Germany‘s energy system
» Future role of CHP in Germany‘s energy system
> 30 GWel80 % share in DH
> 115 TWh electricity> 20 % share of electricity CO2
up to 54 Mto CO2 savings
Integrator for renewables in heat and power
high efficiency high flexibility short installation timebackup capacity
Reliable, efficient main technology forheat and power generation
Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,
Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW
Evolution of CHP
Timeline of the German Energiewende
electricity system heating system gas system
CHP classic CHP flex CHP systems CHP synthetic
gas engines, storage, power-to-heat large heat pumps, solarthermal,seasonal storage, bio mass, geothermal
power-to-gas
today
progress of the Energiewende / share of RES / share of sector coupling / reduction of greenhouse gases
AGFW | Energy efficiency association for heating, cooling and CHP
• Increasing DH consumption due to a rising DH share
• Decreasing share of coal and lignite CHP due to coal exit
• Increasing share for gas CHP in the medium term, but decreasing share in the long term
• Synthetic gases in the long term • Be careful: no facts about capacity!
• Increasing share of renewables and CO2-free generation
Future District Heating Generation• First Level
electricity (PtH and heatpumps)
geothermal
waste heat
gas
lignite
solar thermal
bio mass
waste incineration
coal
Source: Prognos, BCG for BDI: Klimapfade für Deutschland 2018)
AGFW | Energy efficiency association for heating, cooling and CHP
Gas Engine Power Plants and Project in Germany
30 MWRhein Energie AG, Köln3 x 10 MW gas engines
planned commissioning 2019
50 MWEnergie SaarLorLux AG, Stadtwerke Saarbrücken
5 x 10 MW Gasmotorenplanned commissioning 2022
100 MWKraftwerke Mainz-Wiesbaden AG
10 x 10 MW gas enginescommissioning 2020
30 MWEnBW AG, Stuttgart
3 x 10 MW gas enginescommissioning 2018
10 MWEnergieversorgung Oberhausen AG
2 x 5 MW gas enginesPlanned commissioning 2021
190 MWStadtwerke Kiel AG
20 x 9,5 MW gas enginescommissioning Dec 2019
20 MWFernwärme Ulm GmbH2 x 10 MW gas enginesin approval procedure
8,8 MWN-ERGIE AG, Nürnberg2 x 4,4 MW gas enginescommissioning 2018
90 MWDREWAG – Stadtwerke Dresden GmbH9 x 10 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning in 2021
63 MWThüringer Energie AG, Jena5 x 12,6 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning 2021
10 MWThüringer Energie AG, Bad Salzungen
1 x 10 MW gas enginecommissioning 2018
13,5 MWStadtwerke Stendal3 x 4,5 MW gas enginesIn operation
51 MWStadtwerke Frankfurt (Oder)planned commissioning 2022
∑ 1033 MWel
51 MWStadtwerke Cottbus GmbHplanned commissioning until 2021
88 MW und 63 MW Eins Energie in Sachsen, Chemnitz (2 locations)7 x 12,6 MW und 5 x 12,6 MWplanned commissioning 2022
18 MWLeipziger Stadtwerke GmbH2 x 9 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning 2020
40,5 MWEnergieversorgung Gera40,5 MW gas enginescommissioning 2019
105 MWSwb AG, Bremen
9 x 12 MW gas enginecommissioning 2022
986* MWh29.000 m3
FlensburgIBN 1982
- MWh- m3
WürzburgBaubeginn 2019/20
16* MWh250 m3
RosenheimIBN 2005
1.500 MWh43.000 m3
MannheimIBN 2013
225 MWh3.000 m3
LeipzigIBN 2014
136* MWh4.000 m3
HamburgIBN 2012
300 MWh10.000 m3
Berlin (Neukölln)IBN 2015
460 MWh6.600 m3
DresdenIBN -
1.200 MWh,41.224 m3
PotsdamIBN 2016
300 MWh4.615* m3
CottbusGeplant IBN 2022
238* MWh7.000 m3
ErfurtIBN 2014
600 MWh22.000 m3
DessauIBN 2016
130 MWh3.800 m3
BautzenIBN -
442* MWh13.000 m3
JenaIBN 2011
510* MWh15.000 m3
Stadtwerke SchwerinIBN 2008
52* MWh800 m3
TübingenIBN 2013
Bayern
Baden-Württemberg
Thüringen
Sachsen
Sachsen-Anhalt
Brandenburg
BerlinMecklenburg-Vorpommern
340* MWh10.000 m3
Frankfurt (Oder)Geplante IBN 2020
Hamburg
1.500 MWh33.000 m3
NürnbergIBN 2015
24
109* MWh3.200 m3
FreibergIBN 2013
25
480 MWh12.800 m3
HeidelbergBaubeginn 2018
28
27* MWh785 m3
GreifwaldIBN 2011
29
320 MWh8.000 m3
AugsburgIBN 2015
31 1.360* MWh40.000 m3
MünchenIBN 2016
32
280 MWh, 6.800 m3 /2.000 MWh, 52.000 m3
HalleIBN 2006 / 2018
33
170 MWh3.200 m3
IngolstadtIBN 2019
36
130* MWh2.000 m3
LudwigsburgBaubeginn 2019
156* MWh2.400 m3
Schwäbisch HallIBN 1996-2016
170* MWh5.000 m3
BochumIBN 2013
1.340 MWh35.000 m3
DüsseldorfIBN 2017
270 MWh8.750 m3
Offenbach a.M.IBN vor 2000
88,4* MWh2.600 m3
GroßkrotzenburgIBN 2015
194* MWh 5.700 m3
SaarbrückenIBN 2011
Schleswig-Holstein
Nordrhein-Westfalen
1.500 MWh 30.000 m3
KielIBN 2016
300 MWh5.040 m3
HürthBaubeginn 2018
520* MWh8.000 m3
MünsterIBN 2005
1.450 MWh43.800 m3
DuisburgIBN 2018
195* MWh, 3000 m3 /750 MWh, 11.538* m3
MainzIBN 2012 / noch im Bau
180 MWh3.000 m3
KasselIBN 1986
13
Heat Storages in Germany
Saarland Rheinland-Pfalz
Hessen
1 2
5
6
8
7
9
12
10
20
14
15 16
17
18 19
2221
2327
30
11
500 MWh 12.500 m3
HannoverIBN 2017
Niedersachsen3
37
38
39
40
4134
∑ 22 GWh, 570.000 m3
1
2
3
75
8/4310
11
12
14
15
17
13 1819
16
20
21/2223
24
25
28/40
29
3031
32
33
27
359
6
36
37 38
39
41
34
26
4
4
230 MWh 3.280 m3
BremenIBN 2017
Bremen42
42
?
68* MWh2.000 m3
BerlinIBN 2007
43
102* MWh, 3.000 m3 /48* MWh, 750 m3
LemgoIBN 1980 / 1981
4444
pressurized 2-Zone-Storage ? Type unknown * Calculation on basis of specific storage values
150 MWh2.500 m3
UlmIBN 2014
26
272* MWh8.000 m3
ChemnitzIBN 1980er
35
p0 atmospheric
p0
p0
p0
p0
p0
p0p0
p0
p0
p0 p0
p0
p0p0
p0
p0p0
p0p0 p0
p0
p0 p0
p0
p0
2,4 MWStadtwerke Norderstedt
IBN 2016
18 MWswb, BremenIBN 2019
60 MWUniper, Herne
IBN 2014
20 MWStadtwerke Bielefeld
IBN 2016
13
Power-to-District-Heat in Germany
∑ 870 MW
6 MWBTB BerlinIBN 2015
10 MWEnergieversorgung Offenbach
IBN 2014
40 MWDrewag, DresdenIBN 2019
20 MWEnergie und Wasser PotsdamIBN 2015
15 MWENRO LudwigsfeldeIBN 2014
10 MWFHW Neukölln, BerlinIBN 2015
5 MWKraftwerk DessauIBN 2015
8 MWMainova, Frankfurt a. M.
IBN 2015
0,55 MWStadtwerke ForstIBN 2014
4 MWStadtwerke JenaIBN 2016
15 MWStadtwerke SchwerinIBN 2013
5 MWStadtwerke TübingenIBN 2013
10 MWVVS Saarbrücken
IBN 2012
Bayern
Baden-Württemberg
Saarland
Rheinland-Pfalz
Hessen
Schleswig-Holstein
Nordrhein-Westfalen
ThüringenSachsenSachsen-Anhalt
Brandenburg
Berlin
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern1
30 MWStadtwerke Flensburg
IBN 2012
12
3
30 MWStadtwerke Kiel
IBN 2015
2
20 MWStadtwerke Neumünster
IBN 2016
3
4
4,5 MWStadtwerke Lübeck
IBN 2016
46
5
5 45 MWWärme Hamburg GmbHIBN 2018
Hamburg6
8/9/35
8
7
9
5 MWStadtwerke Lemgo
IBN 2012
12
10
1011
1214
1517
13
18
20
19
22 MWStadtwerke Münster
IBN 2016
14
5 MWStadtwerke Detmold
IBN 2015
15 1616
17
18
19
20
2122
23
24
2221
10 MWHeizkraftwerke Mainz-Wiesbaden
IBN 2013
23
2526
28
29
30
50 MWN-ERGIE, NürnbergIBN 2015
24 1,5 MWStadtwerke AmbergIBN 2015/2016
2510 MWTechn. Werke Ludwigshafen
IBN 2015
26
27
60 MWEnBW, Heilbronn
28 100 MWEnBW, Stuttgart
29 30
31
32
33
10 MWStadtwerke AugsburgIBN 2015
31 10 MWStadtwerke MünchenIBN 2013
32 6,4 MWBioenergie TaufkirchenIBN 2016
33
7
Bremen
11
20 MWSTEAG GmbH, Völklingen Fenne
IBN 2018
34
34/27
120 MWVattenfall, BerlinIBN 2019
35
20 MWEEW PremnitzIBN 2014
36
36
37
37
5 MWKraftwerke PhilippsburgIBN 2013
38
38
5 MWVattenfall, Berlin (HKW Buch)IBN 2017
39
30 MW Stadtwerke NeubrandenburgIBN Ende 2023
40
40
Q&A Discussion
Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development
Wärtsilä Energy Business
Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,
Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW
Anette DanielssonMarket Development Analyst
Wärtsilä Energy BusinessModerator
Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe
Wärtsilä Energy Business