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How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

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Page 1: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

How CHP can support the Path to 100 in GermanyAn optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition Lab

Page 2: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Panelists

Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,

Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW

Anette DanielssonMarket Development Analyst

Wärtsilä Energy BusinessModerator

Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Page 3: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

THE PATH TO A 100% RENEWABLE ENERGY FUTURE

Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Page 4: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Sector CouplingA Path Forward for Germany

Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Page 5: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Modelling Assumptions

• Only considering space heating delivered to end-consumer as district heating

• Isolated system, i.e. no interconnectors to other systems or markets

• Price of heat is 33 EUR/MWh and derived from heat generation with gas boiler (fuel cost + EU ETS cost, 95% eff.) and is same in all scenarios, i.e. heat price is not changing

SECTOR COUPLING-A PATH FORWARD FOR GERMANY

Source: Heat Roadmap Europe 2050 (2017)

Transport18 %

Electricity26 %

Process heating18 %

Space heating31 %

Hot water

5 %

Other heating1 %

Process cooling1 %

Heating and cooling 0 %

SHARE OF FINAL ENERGY DEMAND, GERMANY

Source: Heat Roadmap Europe 2050 (2017)

Heating56 %

Page 6: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

NOTE:1.Heat generation assets not shown2.Price of heat is 33 €/MWh and derived from heat generation with gas boiler and is same in all scenarios, i.e. heat price is not changing

100 MW

475 MW

60 MW

58 MW

287 MWh

284 MW

69 MW

0 MW

200 MWh

55 MW

Solar, wind, storage, enginesRunning on synthetic fuels (P2X)

78 €/MWhe

76 %Renewable energyRenewable energy Renewable energy

100 %0 %

Solar, wind, storage only

122 €/MWhe

Solar, wind, storage, engines

46 €/MWheThermal only

69 €/MWhe

747 MW

3 800 MWh

0 MW

9.6.2020 Wärtsilä Energy Business 6

Page 7: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Status Quo and Future Role of CHP in Germany

» Today‘s role of CHP in Germany‘s energy system

» Future role of CHP in Germany‘s energy system

> 30 GWel80 % share in DH

> 115 TWh electricity> 20 % share of electricity CO2

up to 54 Mto CO2 savings

Integrator for renewables in heat and power

high efficiency high flexibility short installation timebackup capacity

Reliable, efficient main technology forheat and power generation

Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,

Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW

Page 8: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Evolution of CHP

Timeline of the German Energiewende

electricity system heating system gas system

CHP classic CHP flex CHP systems CHP synthetic

gas engines, storage, power-to-heat large heat pumps, solarthermal,seasonal storage, bio mass, geothermal

power-to-gas

today

progress of the Energiewende / share of RES / share of sector coupling / reduction of greenhouse gases

AGFW | Energy efficiency association for heating, cooling and CHP

Page 9: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

• Increasing DH consumption due to a rising DH share

• Decreasing share of coal and lignite CHP due to coal exit

• Increasing share for gas CHP in the medium term, but decreasing share in the long term

• Synthetic gases in the long term • Be careful: no facts about capacity!

• Increasing share of renewables and CO2-free generation

Future District Heating Generation• First Level

electricity (PtH and heatpumps)

geothermal

waste heat

gas

lignite

solar thermal

bio mass

waste incineration

coal

Source: Prognos, BCG for BDI: Klimapfade für Deutschland 2018)

AGFW | Energy efficiency association for heating, cooling and CHP

Page 10: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Gas Engine Power Plants and Project in Germany

30 MWRhein Energie AG, Köln3 x 10 MW gas engines

planned commissioning 2019

50 MWEnergie SaarLorLux AG, Stadtwerke Saarbrücken

5 x 10 MW Gasmotorenplanned commissioning 2022

100 MWKraftwerke Mainz-Wiesbaden AG

10 x 10 MW gas enginescommissioning 2020

30 MWEnBW AG, Stuttgart

3 x 10 MW gas enginescommissioning 2018

10 MWEnergieversorgung Oberhausen AG

2 x 5 MW gas enginesPlanned commissioning 2021

190 MWStadtwerke Kiel AG

20 x 9,5 MW gas enginescommissioning Dec 2019

20 MWFernwärme Ulm GmbH2 x 10 MW gas enginesin approval procedure

8,8 MWN-ERGIE AG, Nürnberg2 x 4,4 MW gas enginescommissioning 2018

90 MWDREWAG – Stadtwerke Dresden GmbH9 x 10 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning in 2021

63 MWThüringer Energie AG, Jena5 x 12,6 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning 2021

10 MWThüringer Energie AG, Bad Salzungen

1 x 10 MW gas enginecommissioning 2018

13,5 MWStadtwerke Stendal3 x 4,5 MW gas enginesIn operation

51 MWStadtwerke Frankfurt (Oder)planned commissioning 2022

∑ 1033 MWel

51 MWStadtwerke Cottbus GmbHplanned commissioning until 2021

88 MW und 63 MW Eins Energie in Sachsen, Chemnitz (2 locations)7 x 12,6 MW und 5 x 12,6 MWplanned commissioning 2022

18 MWLeipziger Stadtwerke GmbH2 x 9 MW gas enginesplanned commissioning 2020

40,5 MWEnergieversorgung Gera40,5 MW gas enginescommissioning 2019

105 MWSwb AG, Bremen

9 x 12 MW gas enginecommissioning 2022

Page 11: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

986* MWh29.000 m3

FlensburgIBN 1982

- MWh- m3

WürzburgBaubeginn 2019/20

16* MWh250 m3

RosenheimIBN 2005

1.500 MWh43.000 m3

MannheimIBN 2013

225 MWh3.000 m3

LeipzigIBN 2014

136* MWh4.000 m3

HamburgIBN 2012

300 MWh10.000 m3

Berlin (Neukölln)IBN 2015

460 MWh6.600 m3

DresdenIBN -

1.200 MWh,41.224 m3

PotsdamIBN 2016

300 MWh4.615* m3

CottbusGeplant IBN 2022

238* MWh7.000 m3

ErfurtIBN 2014

600 MWh22.000 m3

DessauIBN 2016

130 MWh3.800 m3

BautzenIBN -

442* MWh13.000 m3

JenaIBN 2011

510* MWh15.000 m3

Stadtwerke SchwerinIBN 2008

52* MWh800 m3

TübingenIBN 2013

Bayern

Baden-Württemberg

Thüringen

Sachsen

Sachsen-Anhalt

Brandenburg

BerlinMecklenburg-Vorpommern

340* MWh10.000 m3

Frankfurt (Oder)Geplante IBN 2020

Hamburg

1.500 MWh33.000 m3

NürnbergIBN 2015

24

109* MWh3.200 m3

FreibergIBN 2013

25

480 MWh12.800 m3

HeidelbergBaubeginn 2018

28

27* MWh785 m3

GreifwaldIBN 2011

29

320 MWh8.000 m3

AugsburgIBN 2015

31 1.360* MWh40.000 m3

MünchenIBN 2016

32

280 MWh, 6.800 m3 /2.000 MWh, 52.000 m3

HalleIBN 2006 / 2018

33

170 MWh3.200 m3

IngolstadtIBN 2019

36

130* MWh2.000 m3

LudwigsburgBaubeginn 2019

156* MWh2.400 m3

Schwäbisch HallIBN 1996-2016

170* MWh5.000 m3

BochumIBN 2013

1.340 MWh35.000 m3

DüsseldorfIBN 2017

270 MWh8.750 m3

Offenbach a.M.IBN vor 2000

88,4* MWh2.600 m3

GroßkrotzenburgIBN 2015

194* MWh 5.700 m3

SaarbrückenIBN 2011

Schleswig-Holstein

Nordrhein-Westfalen

1.500 MWh 30.000 m3

KielIBN 2016

300 MWh5.040 m3

HürthBaubeginn 2018

520* MWh8.000 m3

MünsterIBN 2005

1.450 MWh43.800 m3

DuisburgIBN 2018

195* MWh, 3000 m3 /750 MWh, 11.538* m3

MainzIBN 2012 / noch im Bau

180 MWh3.000 m3

KasselIBN 1986

13

Heat Storages in Germany

Saarland Rheinland-Pfalz

Hessen

1 2

5

6

8

7

9

12

10

20

14

15 16

17

18 19

2221

2327

30

11

500 MWh 12.500 m3

HannoverIBN 2017

Niedersachsen3

37

38

39

40

4134

∑ 22 GWh, 570.000 m3

1

2

3

75

8/4310

11

12

14

15

17

13 1819

16

20

21/2223

24

25

28/40

29

3031

32

33

27

359

6

36

37 38

39

41

34

26

4

4

230 MWh 3.280 m3

BremenIBN 2017

Bremen42

42

?

68* MWh2.000 m3

BerlinIBN 2007

43

102* MWh, 3.000 m3 /48* MWh, 750 m3

LemgoIBN 1980 / 1981

4444

pressurized 2-Zone-Storage ? Type unknown * Calculation on basis of specific storage values

150 MWh2.500 m3

UlmIBN 2014

26

272* MWh8.000 m3

ChemnitzIBN 1980er

35

p0 atmospheric

p0

p0

p0

p0

p0

p0p0

p0

p0

p0 p0

p0

p0p0

p0

p0p0

p0p0 p0

p0

p0 p0

p0

p0

Page 12: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

2,4 MWStadtwerke Norderstedt

IBN 2016

18 MWswb, BremenIBN 2019

60 MWUniper, Herne

IBN 2014

20 MWStadtwerke Bielefeld

IBN 2016

13

Power-to-District-Heat in Germany

∑ 870 MW

6 MWBTB BerlinIBN 2015

10 MWEnergieversorgung Offenbach

IBN 2014

40 MWDrewag, DresdenIBN 2019

20 MWEnergie und Wasser PotsdamIBN 2015

15 MWENRO LudwigsfeldeIBN 2014

10 MWFHW Neukölln, BerlinIBN 2015

5 MWKraftwerk DessauIBN 2015

8 MWMainova, Frankfurt a. M.

IBN 2015

0,55 MWStadtwerke ForstIBN 2014

4 MWStadtwerke JenaIBN 2016

15 MWStadtwerke SchwerinIBN 2013

5 MWStadtwerke TübingenIBN 2013

10 MWVVS Saarbrücken

IBN 2012

Bayern

Baden-Württemberg

Saarland

Rheinland-Pfalz

Hessen

Schleswig-Holstein

Nordrhein-Westfalen

ThüringenSachsenSachsen-Anhalt

Brandenburg

Berlin

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern1

30 MWStadtwerke Flensburg

IBN 2012

12

3

30 MWStadtwerke Kiel

IBN 2015

2

20 MWStadtwerke Neumünster

IBN 2016

3

4

4,5 MWStadtwerke Lübeck

IBN 2016

46

5

5 45 MWWärme Hamburg GmbHIBN 2018

Hamburg6

8/9/35

8

7

9

5 MWStadtwerke Lemgo

IBN 2012

12

10

1011

1214

1517

13

18

20

19

22 MWStadtwerke Münster

IBN 2016

14

5 MWStadtwerke Detmold

IBN 2015

15 1616

17

18

19

20

2122

23

24

2221

10 MWHeizkraftwerke Mainz-Wiesbaden

IBN 2013

23

2526

28

29

30

50 MWN-ERGIE, NürnbergIBN 2015

24 1,5 MWStadtwerke AmbergIBN 2015/2016

2510 MWTechn. Werke Ludwigshafen

IBN 2015

26

27

60 MWEnBW, Heilbronn

28 100 MWEnBW, Stuttgart

29 30

31

32

33

10 MWStadtwerke AugsburgIBN 2015

31 10 MWStadtwerke MünchenIBN 2013

32 6,4 MWBioenergie TaufkirchenIBN 2016

33

7

Bremen

11

20 MWSTEAG GmbH, Völklingen Fenne

IBN 2018

34

34/27

120 MWVattenfall, BerlinIBN 2019

35

20 MWEEW PremnitzIBN 2014

36

36

37

37

5 MWKraftwerke PhilippsburgIBN 2013

38

38

5 MWVattenfall, Berlin (HKW Buch)IBN 2017

39

30 MW Stadtwerke NeubrandenburgIBN Ende 2023

40

40

Page 13: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition

Q&A Discussion

Ville RimaliDirector, Growth & Development

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Dr.-Ing. Jens KühneHead of Generation,

Sector Coupling & StorageAGFW

Anette DanielssonMarket Development Analyst

Wärtsilä Energy BusinessModerator

Jan AnderssonMarket Development Manager, Europe

Wärtsilä Energy Business

Page 14: How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany...How CHP can support the Path to 100 in Germany An optimal path to 100% renewable energy future w/ CHP and Wärtsilä’s Energy Transition