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Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its drivers S. Fatica* (with S. Barrios**) *ECFIN - **JRC DG ECFIN taxation workshop ‘Taxing Wealth: Past, Present, Future’ Brussels, 13 November 2014 The views expressed here are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the European Commission

Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

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Page 1: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its drivers

S. Fatica*

(with S. Barrios**) *ECFIN - **JRC

DG ECFIN taxation workshop

‘Taxing Wealth: Past, Present, Future’ Brussels, 13 November 2014

The views expressed here are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the European Commission

Page 2: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Outline

1. Introduction and motivation

2. How to tax housing?

3. Assessing the tax pressure on owner-occupied

housing: a synthetic indicator

4. Additional results: focus on distributional

impacts

5. Conclusion

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Page 3: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

1. Introduction and motivation

• Housing is usually the most important asset for

households,…

… at the extensive margin (= homeownership

rates)…

… and at the intensive margin (= value with

respect to other real and financial assets in

household portfolios) 3

Page 4: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Extensive margin

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Homeownership & rental rates in the EU

Owner, no outstanding mortgage or housing loan Owner, with mortgage or loan

Tenant, rent at market price Tenant, rent at reduced price or free

Source: Eurostat 4

Page 5: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Intensive margin

Source: ECB - HFCS

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Page 6: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

2. How to tax housing?

Lessons from the Mirrlees Review:

• Housing is both a consumption good and an asset

• and should be taxed accordingly, in a consistent way

with the design of the whole tax system

• Neutrality benchmark:

• avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-

temporal, intra-temporal: among assets, income

sources, types of return, …)

• avoid exemptions with no economic and/or social

justification 6

Page 7: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Taxation of housing as:

• Consumption good

tax housing services consumed: VAT, tax on the flow of services

• Asset

tax the net income flows: tax on net return (=rental income net of costs), capital gain tax

tax the sale and purchase of the asset: transfer tax

other: tax the stock value, the bequest/donation of the asset

Owner-occupied housing: investor = consumer! 7

Page 8: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

• In practice, taxation of housing varies significantly across the EU, both in terms of institutional arrangements and budgetary outcomes (European Commission, Tax Reform Report, 2014)

• Some common features:

a) Fairly low level of recurrent taxes (also due to outdated cadastral values)

b) Tax exemption of imputed rent (= in-kind benefit to homeowners)

c) Tax relief for mortgage payments

d) Existence of distortive transfer taxes

Note that c) and taxation of imputed rent would not be at odds with tax neutrality

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Page 9: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

3. Tax pressure on owner-occupied housing

Owner-occupied housing (OOH) as investment in the

neoclassical framework (Poterba, 1986) utility

maximisation equilibrium condition:

𝑅 = (𝑖 + 𝑚 − 𝜋) 𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡

𝑃𝐻

𝑅 : imputed rental income from housing capital 𝑃𝐻: price of housing capital 𝑖 : interest rate, or foregone equity cost 𝑚 : maintenance costs and economic depreciation 𝜋 : nominal asset revaluation term (capital gain)

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Page 10: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

With taxes, the user cost becomes:

𝑅

𝑃𝐻= 𝐶 = 1 + 𝑡𝑡𝑟 *

𝑡𝑝 + 𝑚 − 𝜋 1 − 𝑡𝐶𝐺 + 𝑖 1 − 𝜙𝑡𝑀 𝜆 + 𝑖 1 − 𝑡𝑦 (1 − 𝜆)

𝑡𝑡𝑟: transfer tax

𝑡𝑝: recurrent property tax

𝑡𝐶𝐺: capital gain tax

𝑡𝑀: rate of relief for mortgage interest payments (with

limit set to 𝜙, 0 ≤ 𝜙 ≤ 1)

𝑡𝑦: tax on the return to alternative financial investment

𝜆: loan-to-value

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User cost for OOH and contribution of taxes

Calculations for single taxpayer at 1.67*AW, with house value 4*annual gross earnings. Economic parameters are set equal across countries.

Source: Tax Reform Report.

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Page 12: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

Contribution of taxes to the user cost (in %)

Source: Tax Reform Report. 12

Page 13: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

User cost: contribution of recurrent taxes (pp)

Recurrent property tax rate is the effective rate of taxation (revenue/value of dwellings stock (household sector)).

Source: Tax Reform Report.

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Page 14: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

User cost: contribution of transfer taxes (pp)

Source: Tax Reform Report.

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User cost: contribution of capital gain tax (pp)

Source: Tax Reform Report.

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Page 16: Housing: tax pressure in the EU and its driversec.europa.eu/economy_finance/events/2014/20141113... · 11/13/2014  · • avoid tax-induced (mis)allocation of resources (inter-temporal,

User cost: contribution of mortgage interest tax relief (pp)

Rules on mortgage tax relief applicable to new loans as of 2014.

Source: Tax Reform Report.

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4. Additional results: distributional impacts

% reduction in interest rate on mortgage loans by equalised income quintiles

Source: Fatica and Prammer (2014) based on HFCS

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Mortgage interest tax relief (% of disposable income)

quintile 1 quintile 2 quintile 3 quintile 4 quintile 5 Total

Belgium 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 2.0 1.3

Finland 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3

France 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2

Italy 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2

Spain 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5

Source: Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, based on the EUROMOD model 18

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Recurrent tax (% of gross disposable income)

quintile 1 quintile 2 quintile 3 quintile 4 quintile 5 Total

France 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.5 2.2 2.3

Spain 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.9 1.6

UK 6.6 3.1 2.6 1.8 1.0 2.9

Germany 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

Finland 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

Italy 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8

Belgium 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.8

Source: Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, based on the EUROMOD model

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Imputed rent tax exemption (% of disposable income)

Source: Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, based on the EUROMOD model 20

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Revenue-neutral counterfactual: tax net imputed rent (with property tax repealed) & income tax credit

Source: Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, based on the EUROMOD model

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5. Conclusions

• Housing taxation varies widely across the EU…

• …but relatively low contribution to the cost of homeownership, due to tax exemption of imputed rent, relief for mortgage interest payments, low level of recurrent taxation

• All these aspects raise issues in terms of efficiency (tax neutrality) and equity (distributional impacts)

• Caveat: spillovers are important broader economic and institutional context (housing market dynamics, macro-prudential policy, etc)

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