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Household Appliances February 2020

Household Appliances - PACRA...Waves Pak Elektron Limited Haier Varioline Dawlance Others 50% 43% 43% 15% 20% 20% 15% 14% 14% 10% 5% 5% 10% 18% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% CY19

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Household Appliances

February 2020

Air Conditioners Refrigerators Deep Freezers Television

Microwave Oven Water Dispensers Washing Machine Transformers

Energy Meters

Switchgears

Industry | Product Line

Global Dynamics

Industry | Snapshot

Source: Household Appliances Report – 2020 by Statistica

• Market divided into two segments:

• Major Appliances

• Refrigerator

• Deep Freezers

• Dishwashers

• Electric and Gas Ovens

• Washing Machines

• Small Appliances

• Vacuum Cleaners

• Toasters

• Irons

• Grills

• Roasters

• Coffee Machines

• CY19:

• Industry Revenue | $ 524bln

• Expected growth rate ~ 9%

• Major Appliances | largest segment by revenue ~ 64% | $ 337bln

• Main impact | prices (82%) and volume (18%)

• Revenue growth | 2.3%

• Small Appliances | segment by revenue ~ 36% | $ 187bln

• Small Kitchen Appliances | share in revenue ~ 52%

• Industry Drivers | high consumer income

Small Kitchen Appliances

Local Dynamics

Industry | Snapshot

FY19

• Manufacturing Segment | LSM

• Share in manufacturing | 78%

• Share in GDP | 10.2%

• Growth declined | 7.8% (FY18: 6.3%), Target | 8.1%

• Electronics Sector

• Share in LSM | 23.7% (FY18: 73.8%)

• Share in GDP | 2.1%

• Growth | 23.7%

• Key driver | air conditioners and deep freezers

• Industry Drivers

• Population Growth

• Pakistan | 6th populated country

• Average Population Growth | 2%

• Urbanization

• Growth | 1%

• Improved disposable income

• Per Capital Income | up by 6%

• Spending on household appliance | 2-3%

Source: Pakistan Economic Survey 2018-19 and Household Integrated Economic Survey

1,0

33

,274 1

,37

7,8

46

1,5

39

,194

1,6

61

,327

33

9,7

62

39

7,5

50

42

8,0

99

42

1,2

49

47

2,6

52

51

5,4

99

49

2,5

15

35

9,0

29

20

9,0

45

12

6,4

21

12

7,9

79

11

6,6

67

26

,61

3

38

,63

9

82

,39

4

30

,90

8

4,4

25

6,5

95

13

,94

9

12

,35

0

C Y 1 9 C Y 1 8 C Y 1 7 C Y 1 6

PRODUCTION

Refrigerators Television Sets Air conditioners Deep Freezers Transformers Switch Gears

Growth in Production:

• Deep Freezers | 79%

• Air Conditioners | 32%

Industry | Production

Source: Pakistan Bureau Of Statistics

Decline in Production:

• Switch Gears | 64%

• Refrigerators | 38%

• Television Sets | 19%

• Transformers | 14%

25%19% 19%

20%21% 21%

15%19% 19%

10% 13% 13%

10% 10% 10%

20% 18% 18%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Air Conditioner

Haier Digital World Orinet Dawlance Pak Elektron Limited Others

27% 32% 32%

25%

32% 32%

24%12% 12%

15% 20% 20%5%

2% 2%4% 2% 2%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Refrigerator

Dawlance Pak Elektron Limited Haier Orinet Waves Others

Industry | Market Share

Source: Industry Players

• High Concentration | Top 3

players ~ 80% share

• Market Leaders | Dawlance

and PEL

• Moderate Concentration | Top

3 players ~ 60% share

• Market Leaders | Haier and

Gree

28% 28% 28%

24%11% 11%

21%

21% 21%

17%

26% 26%

7% 11% 11%

3% 3% 3%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Deep Freezer

Waves Pak Elektron Limited Haier Varioline Dawlance Others

50%43% 43%

15%20% 20%

15% 14% 14%

10%5% 5%

10%18% 18%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Microwave Oven

Dawlance Orient Haier Pak Elektron Limited Others

Industry | Market Share

Source: Industry Players

• High Concentration | Top 3

players ~ 75% share

• Market Leaders | Waves and

PEL

• High Concentration | Top 3

players ~ 80% share

• Market Leaders | Dawlance

and Orient

31%40% 40%

24%

24% 24%10%

8% 8% 8%5% 10% 10%

22% 18% 18%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Distribution Transformers

Pak Elektron Limited Transfo power Hammad & Co. JF Industries Elmetec Others

81% 81% 81%

19% 19% 19%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Power Transformers

Pak Elektron Limited Heavy Electrical Complex

Industry | Market Share

Source: Industry Players

• Two player segment

• PEL maintains high market

share

• Moderate Concentration | Top

3 players ~ 65% share

• Market Leaders | PEL and

Transfo Power

22% 19% 19%

17% 18% 18%

16% 15% 15%

10% 16% 16%

10% 9% 9%

25% 22% 22%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Energy Meters

Creative Pak Elektron Limited KBK Micro Tech Accurate Others

42%

25% 25%

25%

16%

10% 10%

14%

20% 20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

CY19 CY18 CY17

Switchgears

Pak Elektron Limited Tariq Seimens Siddiq Sons

Industry | Market Share

Source: Industry Players

• PEL gains market share ~

45%

• Small players wiped out

• Low Concentration | Top 3

players ~ 55% share

• Market Leaders | Creative and

PEL

Product Line Feb'20 Jun'19 Jun'18

Refrigerators 44,999 44,769 41,704

Air conditioners 76,499 77,051 58,511

Deep Freezers 47,384 49,306 46,513

Wasing Machines 122,999 115,619 108,682

Micowave Oven 16,499 12,250 10,342

Water Dispenser 18,999 16,095 14,474

LED TV 30,901 29,962 28,408

Energy Meters 8,780 9,504 15,078

Switch Gears 124,200 172,105 221,362

Power Transformers 2,587,000 5,161,420 6,219,327

Distribution Transformers 503,000 866,665 931,850

Average Prices

Appliancs Segment

Power Segment

Industry | Price Trend

Source: Industry Players and Shophive

Industry | Regulatory Structure

Source: Pakistan Customs Tariff 2019-20

CBU AC Parts

Customs Duty 20% 16%

Additional Custom Duty 1% 0%

Regulatory Duty 40% 0%

Sales Tax 17% 17%

Additional Sales Tax 3% 0%

DescriptionFY19

Regulatory Structure

* No change in regulatory structures since FY18

Industry | Outlook

• Strong Competition among industry players

• High reliance on imports – Leading to rising cost of production

• Industry margins under pressure though cost passed on to consumers in most segments

• Demand could be impacted due to high inflation and rising prices – Volumes already down

especially in refrigerators

• Power Segment dependent on Government spending through PSDP utilization and reform

programs

• Potential for exports to Afghanistan, Africa and UAE (power segment)

DISCLAIMERPACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained fromsources we consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The informationin this document may be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source isduly acknowledged. The presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice.

Analyst Faiqa Qamar

[email protected]

Contact Number: + 92 42 3586 9504