Host key: 232337 - wapa.gov AOP... · use same webex info for pdp aop customer meeting (10am pdt) & bcp master schedule customer meeting (11:30am pdt) Subject, Office or event ANNUAL

Hello,

WAPA DOE1 invites you to join this WebEx meeting.

PDP annual customer meetingThursday, May 31, 2018

From: Law, Diane (CONTR)To: Gonzalez, XavierSubject: FW: [EXTERNAL] WebEx meeting invitation: PDP annual customer meetingDate: Thursday, May 3, 2018 6:55:49 AMAttachments: WebEx_Meeting.ics

webex instructions.docx

Hi Diane,

Please see the attachment for claiming the host role. This will allow you to take the host roleafter you have joined as a participant and remove the need to contact WITCC to have the hostrole passed on to you. If you have any questions or concerns, please feel free to reach out tous. Have a great day.

Host key: 232337

Thanks,Monica Hobson | Call CenterVision Technologies Contractor to Western Area Power Administration | Headquarters(O) [email protected]

Diane M. Law | Administrative Support/Team LeadMIRACORPoncontracttoWesternAreaPowerAdministration|DesertSouthwestRegion(O) 602.605.2664|(F)602.605.2410Join us on Twitter

From:WAPADOE1[mailto:[email protected]]Sent:Thursday,May3,20186:29AMTo:Law,Diane(CONTR)Subject:[EXTERNAL]WebExmeetinginvitation:PDPannualcustomermeeting

USE SAME WEBEX INFO FOR PDP AOP CUSTOMER MEETING (10am PDT) & BCP MASTER SCHEDULE CUSTOMER MEETING (11:30am PDT)

mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://twitter.com/WesternAreaPowr

BEGIN:VCALENDARPRODID:-//Microsoft Corporation//Outlook 10.0 MIMEDIR//ENVERSION:2.0METHOD:REQUESTBEGIN:VTIMEZONETZID:Mountain TimeBEGIN:STANDARDDTSTART:20160401T000000TZOFFSETFROM:-0700TZOFFSETTO:-0700TZNAME:Standard TimeEND:STANDARDEND:VTIMEZONEBEGIN:VEVENTATTENDEE;CN="";ROLE=REQ-PARTICIPANT;RSVP=TRUE:MAILTO:[email protected];CN="WAPA DOE1":MAILTO:[email protected];TZID="Mountain Time":20180531T090000DTEND;TZID="Mountain Time":20180531T130000LOCATION:https://doe.webex.com/doeTRANSP:OPAQUESEQUENCE:1525354111UID:c1b91535-9ca0-4daa-9ce2-8b74c221666cDTSTAMP:20180531T160000ZDESCRIPTION:\n\n\n\nJOIN WEBEX MEETING\nhttps://doe.webex.com/doe/j.php?MTID=mcb62593f8416db2f7bd72af18e3c4eed\nMeeting number (access code): 900 493 479\nMeeting password: dnTfUurp\n\n\n\nJOIN BY PHONE\n+1-415-527-5035 US Toll\n\n\n\nCan't join the meeting?\nhttps://help.webex.com/docs/DOC-5412\n\n\nIMPORTANT NOTICE: Please note that this WebEx service allows audio and other information sent during the session to be recorded, which may be discoverable in a legal matter. By joining this session, you automatically consent to such recordings. If you do not consent to being recorded, discuss your concerns with the host or do not join the session.\nX-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:Join WebEx meetingMeeting number (access code): 900 493 479Meeting password:dnTfUurpJoin by phone +1-415-527-5035US Toll Can't join the meeting?IMPORTANT NOTICE: Please note that this WebEx service allows audio and other information sent during the session to be recorded, which may be discoverable in a legal matter. By joining this session, you automatically consent to such recordings. If you do not consent to being recorded, discuss your concerns with the host or do not join the session.SUMMARY:PDP annual customer meetingPRIORITY:5CLASS:PUBLICBEGIN:VALARMTRIGGER:-PT15MACTION:DISPLAYDESCRIPTION:ReminderEND:VALARMEND:VEVENTEND:VCALENDAR

How to claim host rights using host key number

(No call to WITCC required)

1) When its time to join your WebEx, join as a participant.

2) Once you have joined the meeting, you will receive the pop up Host Not in Meeting. Click OK.

3) Go to Participant menu and select Reclaim Host Role enter the six digit host key (This code will be provided to the meeting organizer by WITCC). You will now be the host and presenter

4) To eliminate the beeping when people enter and exit the WebEx, click on Entry and Exit Tone so a checkmark is not displayed. (optional)

2

xgonzalezHighlight

Subject,Officeorevent

ANNUALOPERATINGPLANPRESENTATION

Parker-Davis Project

Updates For Hydrology &

Annual Operating Plans

May 31, 2018


Agenda

ParkerDavisProjectAnnualOperatingPlanPresentation5/31/182

Introduction Hydrology Update FY 2017 AOP Estimates Presented 5/31/17 &

Final FY 2017 Results Status of FY 2018 Annual Operating Plan DSW Federal Project Integration Preliminary FY 2019 Annual Operating Plan FY 2019 Purchase Power Estimates

.62 MAF

1.81 MAF

26.12 MAF

24.32 MAF

3

Lower Basin Colorado River Management Objectives

Provide flood control and river regulation

Meet water demands Generate hydropower Enhance and maintain

ecosystem habitat Recover and protect

endangered species Provide recreation

4

Water Year Snowpack and Precipitation1as of May 29, 2018

Colorado River Basin above Lake Powell

Water Year 2018

Precipitation(year-to-date)

71% of average

Current Snowpack39% of median

1Percent of normal precipitation is based on an arithmetic mean, or average; percent of normal snowpack is based on the median value for a given date.

5

126% of Median

74% of Median


Hydrology UpdateActual WY 2017 Results &WY 2018 Current Forecast

WY 2017 WY 2018Lake Powell (maf) % (maf) %Unreg Inflow (Norm=12.1) 11.9 98% 5.5 45%

Apr-Jul Unreg Inflow (Norm=7.2) 8.2 114% 3.0 42%

Storage (Max=24.3) 14.7 60% 11.6 48%Releases to Lake Mead

(Norm=8.23) 9.0 109% 9.0 109%(ft.) (ft.)

Max Lake Elev. 3635 (Jun) 3627 (Oct)

Min Lake Elev. 3594 (Feb) 3598 (Sep)

Year-End Lake Elev. 3628 3598

6ParkerDavisProjectAnnualOperatingPlanPresentation5/31/18

Lake Powell & Lake MeadOperational Diagrams and Current Conditions

5/28/183,611 12.84

5/28/18

5/28/185/28/1810.071,081

7

3,490 ft

12.84 maf(53% of Live Capacity)

3,370 ft

Lake Powell Capacity3,700 ft 24.3 maf

Not to scale As of May 28, 2018

3,575 ft

3,525 ft

3,654 ft 17.7 maf

3,611 ft

Minimum Power Pool

Lower Elevation Balancing Tier

Mid-Elevation Release Tier

Dead Pool

Equalization TierEqualization Elevation (WY 2018)

9.5 maf

5.9 maf

4.0 maf

0.0 maf

89 ft

121 ft

Upper Elevation Balancing Tier

8

Subject,Officeorevent 9

107010711072107310741075107610771078107910801081108210831084108510861087108810891090109110921093109410951096109710981099110011011102110311041105110611071108110911101111

1,070.001,071.001,072.001,073.001,074.001,075.001,076.001,077.001,078.001,079.001,080.001,081.001,082.001,083.001,084.001,085.001,086.001,087.001,088.001,089.001,090.001,091.001,092.001,093.001,094.001,095.001,096.001,097.001,098.001,099.001,100.001,101.001,102.001,103.001,104.001,105.001,106.001,107.001,108.001,109.001,110.001,111.00

WY2014,WY 2015,WY2016,WY2017,WY2018LAKE MEADDAILYELEVATIONS



0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

LAKEPOWELLTOTALRELEASES

WY2017POWELLRELEASES

WY2018POWELLRELEASES

WY2017MEADSIDEINFLOW

FY2018MEADSIDEINFLOW

LAKEMEADTOTALSIDEINFLOW

FORECAST



WY 2017 WY 2018Lake Mead (maf) % (maf) %

Side Inflow (Norm=1.3) 1.0 77% .7 54%

Storage (Max=26.1) 10.2 39% 10.1 39%

Downstream Releases 9.3 -- 8.8 --(ft.) (ft.)

Max Lake Elev. 1089 (Feb) 1088 (Feb)

Min Lake Elev. 1076 (Oct) 1077 (Jul)

Year-End Lake Elev. 1082 1078

11

Hydrology UpdateActual WY 2017 Results & WY 2018 Current Forecast


10.07 maf(39% of Live Capacity)

Lake Mead Capacity

Not to scale

131 ft

950 ft

895 ft

1,219.6 ft

1,145 ft

1,081 ft1,075 ft

26.1 maf

16.2 maf

2.0 maf

9.6 maf

0.0 mafDead Pool

Minimum Power Pool

Shortage Conditions

Surplus Conditions

Normal or ICS Surplus Conditions139 ft

As of May 28, 201812


WY 2019 Lower Basin Hydrology Forecast(Based on May 2018 24-month Study)

13

Powell % Mead %Operating Crit.

1/1/19 Elev (ft)

Upper ElevBalancing

Tier3590.4

Norm/Intent Created Surplus1078.6

Unreg/Side Inflow (maf) 10.6 88 .79 61Apr-Jul Unreg Inflow (maf) 7.2 100 -- --

Releases (maf) 9.0 109 9.6 --EOY Storage (maf) 12.0 49 9.3 36

Max Elev (ft) 3608 (jul) 1083 (feb)Min Elev (ft) 3580 (mar) 1070 (jul)

EOY Elev (ft) 3603 1072


Colorado River Basin Storage(as of May 28, 2018)

Reservoir Percent FullStorage(MAF)

Elevation (Feet)

Lake Powell 53% 12.84 3,611

Lake Mead 39% 10.07 1,081

Total System Storage* 51% 30.58 NA

*Total system storage was 53% or 31.56 maf this time last year

14

Percent of Traces with Event or System Condition Results from April 2018 MTOM/CRSS1,2,3,4,5 (values in percent)

Event or System Condition 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

UpperBasin

Lake

Powell

Equalization Tier 2 15 17 20 24Equalization annual release > 8.23 maf 2 15 17 20 22

Equalization annual release = 8.23 maf 0 0 0 0 2

Upper Elevation Balancing Tier 96 51 53 52 45Upper Elevation Balancing annual release > 8.23 maf 76 44 44 43 35

Upper Elevation Balancing annual release = 8.23 maf 19 6 8 9 9

Upper Elevation Balancing annual release < 8.23 maf 0 1 1 0 1

Mid-Elevation Release Tier 3 34 21 16 18

Mid-Elevation Release annual release = 8.23 maf 0 0 0 1 2

Mid-Elevation Release annual release = 7.48 maf 3 34 21 15 16

Lower Elevation Balancing Tier 0


FY2017 AOP (presented 5/31/17)Parker - Davis Project

Estimates GWhActuals GWh

16

+ values represent energy from PDP- values represent energy to PDP

Prior Year

BalanceOCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOTAL

Resources

Parker Generation 32.8 26 17.9 16.2 27.9 48.8 51.3 42.88 43.45 42.6 37.3 34.6 421.7

MWD's Parker Share -16.22 -12.86 -8.804 -7.193 -13.95 -24.4 -25.65 -21.44 -21.73 -21.3 -18.65 -17.3 -209.5

Davis Generation 79.3 71.1 61.4 54.6 63.8 109.6 131 108.6 101.88 96 92 95.4 1064.7

Net Generation 95.9 84.2 70.5 63.6 77.8 134.0 156.7 130.0 123.6 117.3 110.7 112.7 1276.9

Other PDP Credits 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7

Purchases for PDP 3.8 1.5 10.1 16.5 2.0 9.4 3.1 15.5 17.8 26.7 30.7 24.7 161.9

Total Resources: 99.9 85.9 80.8 80.2 80.7 143.5 159.8 145.5 141.4 144.0 141.4 137.4 1440.5

Loads

Total PDP Firm Load 83.1 79.2 79.1 80.9 74.7 147.5 145.8 149.4 146.1 151.5 150.1 144.3 1431.5

Energy Bank Sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Excess 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Surplus Sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

PDP / BA Deviation -0.3 7.0 5.8 13.5 2.8 3.2 -14.4 12.8 -3.7 -4.5 -7.2 -8.4 -6.6 0.0

Hoover Bank -8.6 9.8 0.9 -11.8 -3.4 2.8 10.4 1.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 0.0

Total Loads: 99.9 85.9 80.8 80.2 80.7 143.5 159.8 145.5 141.4 144.0 141.4 137.4 1440.5

TOTAL FY2017 PURCHASE POWER COSTS$7,720,551.58

ENERGY COSTS$6,373,000.54

RESERVES COSTS$1,347,551.04




FY2017 AOP Final ResultsParker - Davis Project

17May 31, 2018

PriorYear

BalanceOCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOTAL

ResourcesParker Generation 32.8 26 17.9 16.2 27.9 48.8 51.3 44.8 48.1 46.5 39.9 33.8 434.0

MWD's Parker Share -16.22 -12.86 -8.804 -7.193 -13.95 -24.4 -25.65 -22.4 -24.05 -23.25 -19.95 -16.9 -215.6Davis Generation 79.3 71.1 61.4 54.6 63.8 109.6 131 108.4 107.4 101.5 89.9 83.2 1061.2

Net Generation 95.9 84.2 70.5 63.6 77.8 134.0 156.7 130.8 131.5 124.8 109.9 100.1 1279.6Other PDP Credits 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3

Purchases for PDP 3.6 1.4 9.6 15.6 1.9 8.9 3.0 16.5 14.0 18.1 34.6 35.1 162.3Total Resources: 99.7 85.8 80.2 79.3 80.6 143.0 159.7 147.4 145.5 143.0 144.6 135.3 1444.1

LoadsTotal PDP Firm Load 83.1 79.2 79.1 80.9 74.7 147.5 145.8 150.0 146.6 152.0 150.7 144.8 1434.3

Energy Bank Sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Excess 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Surplus Sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0PDP / BA Deviation -0.3 6.8 5.7 13.0 1.9 3.1 -14.9 12.7 -8.4 -2.1 -2.2 -7.5 -7.8 0.0

Hoover Bank -8.6 9.8 0.9 -11.8 -3.4 2.8 10.4 1.2 5.8 1.0 -6.9 1.3 -1.7 -2.8Total Loads: 99.7 85.8 80.2 79.3 80.6 143.0 159.7 147.4 145.5 143.0 144.6 135.3 1444.1

All Values is GWhActual

https://www.wapa.gov/regions/DSW/PowerMarketing/Pages/power-marketing.aspx



RESERVES COSTS$821,597.63



Status FY2018 AOPCurrent Est. Total Gen 1328.8 GWh05/31/17 Est. Total Gen 1372.7 GWh

18

0

50

100

150

200

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SepGWh

PDP Net Generation Current Estimate05/31/17 EstimateActual



Current Status FY 2018 AOPEstimates GWhParker - Davis Project

19May 31, 2018


Actual GWh






P rio r Year

B alanceOCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOTAL

ResourcesParker Generation 33.60 24.10 22.50 22.80 30.30 44.90 50.80 48.06 50.02 45.00 39.30 34.10 445.48

MWD's Parker Share -16.80 -12.05 -11.25 -11.40 -15.15 -22.45 -25.40 -24.03 -25.01 -22.50 -19.65 -17.05 -222.74Davis Generation 81.30 73.10 69.50 55.00 76.60 105.40 125.10 124.21 113.60 104.60 90.10 99.00 1117.51


Purchases for PDP 0.30 2.97 4.95 15.94 3.45 7.53 0.38 3.03 4.19 12.26 19.94 14.09 89.03 Total Resources: 98.40 88.12 85.70 82.34 95.20 135.38 150.88 151.27 142.80 139.36 129.69 130.14 1429.28


Energy Bank Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Excess 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Surplus Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00PDP / BA Deviation 0.0 10.65 7.18 18.67 -0.65 8.30 -5.13 9.27 1.94 -3.50 -12.17 -20.42 -14.14 0.00

Hoover Bank -2.8 4.66 1.76 -13.46 3.17 12.90 -6.89 -4.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Total Loads: 98.40 88.12 85.70 82.34 95.20 135.38 150.88 151.27 142.80 139.36 129.69 130.14 1429.28


USBR Generation Projections

0.025.050.075.0

100.0125.0150.0175.0200.0

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

GWh

Parker-Davis Generation10-Yr Avg20182019

20

(2018: Actual Oct Apr)


Subject,Officeorevent 21BoulderCanyonProjectAnnualMasterSchedulePresentation5/31/18

DSW Federal Project Integration Guidelines

CurrentIntegratedOperations BCP PDP WALC

DSWwillIntegratetheaboveprojectstooptimizeresourcesandefficientlymanageobligations

DSWwillcompiletwodeviationaccountstotrackindividualprojectresourcesandobligations

BCP/PDP PDP/WALC

Subject,Officeorevent 22BoulderCanyonProjectAnnualMasterSchedulePresentation5/31/18

DSW Federal Project Integration Plan BCP/PDP

OpportunitiesforPDPtoprovideenergytoBCPwillbeidentifiedandaforecasttotalfortheyearwillbecompiled(PDPEnergyBankedintoBCP)

PDPEnergyBankedintoBCPwillbereturnedtoPDPinthemonthswherePDPresourcesarelessthenPDPobligations

PDP/WALC BuyorsaledecisionswillbemadebasedoncombinedPDP(includingBCPBanking)&WALCresourceandobligationposition

Allocationofenergypurchasecostsandsalesrevenuewillbebasedonwhichsidewasresourcelongorshort

Allocationofreservecostswillbasedonneedsandrequirementsofeachside


Preliminary FY 2019 AOP

No PDP Excess Energy or Surplus Sales Expected

A total of 1,531 MWhs of FES exchange requests will be accommodated through the Resource Integration Exchange Program (Stage 1 PDP & PDP)

No FES exchanges could be accommodated through the Resource Integration Exchange Program (Stage 2 PDP & BCP)

Resource Integration Exchange Program has a net zero impact on energy obligation for PDP or BCP



Preliminary FY 2019 AOPEstimates GWhParker - Davis Project

24May 31, 2018







P rio r Year

B alanceOCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOTAL

ResourcesParker Generation 31.30 24.90 18.20 20.20 31.80 46.90 46.70 42.60 45.40 42.70 38.50 33.10 422.30

MWD's Parker Share -15.65 -12.45 -9.10 -10.10 -15.90 -23.45 -23.35 -21.30 -22.70 -21.35 -19.25 -16.55 -211.15Davis Generation 89.20 77.70 65.80 63.40 82.60 123.20 127.60 116.80 108.70 101.90 88.60 94.00 1139.50


Purchases for PDP 0.00 0.00 4.47 4.95 0.00 0.66 0.00 6.58 8.56 15.76 23.30 18.70 82.99 Total Resources: 104.85 90.15 79.37 78.45 98.50 147.31 150.95 144.68 139.96 139.01 131.15 129.25 1433.64


Energy Bank Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Excess 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Surplus Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00PDP / BA Deviation 0.0 3.00 3.00 1.92 1.81 1.00 0.84 1.00 -0.59 -1.06 -2.80 -4.62 -3.51 0.00

Hoover Bank -5.0 19.26 8.30 -2.75 -3.05 23.82 -0.41 4.74 -4.06 -5.27 -9.71 -14.35 -11.52 0.00 Total Loads: 104.85 90.15 79.37 78.45 98.50 147.31 150.95 144.68 139.96 139.01 131.15 129.25 1433.64


FY 2019 Purchase Power

25

Projected Purchases: Current Projections Indicate The Need For Purchases

Of 83 GWhs in FY2019

Cost Of Purchased Power Is Estimated to be $4.9M for Energy and Reserves



Contact Information

John Paulsen (602) 605-2557

Xavier Gonzalez (602) 6052678

Email: [email protected]

26

Website: https://www.wapa.gov/regions/DSW/PowerMarketing/Pages/power-marketing.aspx


9:00 am | Mountain Standard Time (Arizona, GMT-07:00) | 4 hrsMeeting number (access code): 900 493 479Meeting password: dnTfUurp

Add to Calendar When it's time, join the meeting.

Join by phone+1-415-527-5035 US Toll Can't join the meeting?

IMPORTANT NOTICE: Please note that this WebEx service allows audio and other informationsent during the session to be recorded, which may be discoverable in a legal matter. By joiningthis session, you automatically consent to such recordings. If you do not consent to beingrecorded, discuss your concerns with the host or do not join the session.

https://doe.webex.com/doe/j.php?MTID=m9a310c930da0da66b6d48009cef9f075https://doe.webex.com/doe/j.php?MTID=mc04e9e2928bc75020460a4583f7bc2dfhttps://help.webex.com/docs/DOC-5412

Documents

Host key: 232337 - wapa.gov AOP... · use same webex info for pdp aop customer meeting (10am pdt) & bcp master schedule customer meeting (11:30am pdt) Subject, Office or event ANNUAL