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1
2015 Holidays
Planned Holiday Spending Per Shopper Increasing
2 Source: NRF Holiday Forecast Survey A18+, Oct. 2015
Total Amount Spent Per Shopper on Holiday Items
$755.1
$694.2
$681.1
$719.0
$740.6 $752.2
$767.3
[VALUE]
$834.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Television Dominates Holiday Spending Other Traditional Media Losing to Digital
3 Source: Kantar Media Winter Holiday Report, Media Mix. Television includes National TV and Spot TV. Digital includes Display,
Video, and Paid Search.
46% 46% 45%
22%
17% 15%
17%
21% 23%
6% 7%
7% 6% 6%
8%
201420132012
Television
Digital
Newspaper
Radio
Magazine
% Share of Total Holiday Spending
Broadcast TV Has the Highest Influence of Traditional Media
4
1.4%
2.5%
7.2%
7.6%
8.8%
14.3%
17.4%
20.5%
Yellow Pages
Outdoor Billboards
Radio
Magazines
Cable Television
Newspaper
Direct Mail
Broadcast TV
Source: NRF Monthly Consumer Survey 2014, A18+
Regarding advertising for Holiday Shopping, which of the following media influences you to shop at a particular store?
People Spend More Time with Television Than with Any Other Major Medium
4.7
1.7
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
Television
Radio
Video Games
Smartphone
Internet-SocialNetworks
Internet-E-mail
Internet-Search
Tablet
Newspapers
Magazines
Daily Time Spent Yesterday (In Hours)
5 Source: GfK Multimedia Mentor Scan Spring 2014. Persons 18-64 M-S 6A-12M.
Broadcast: Superior New Season Ratings
6 Source: Nielsen NPower 09/21/2015 - 11/1/2015 Adults 25-54 Live+SD Ratings;
A25-54 10 Cable Networks based on A25-54 Ratings.
10.2
9.1
9.0
6.6
5.8
5.6
4.3
4.0
4.0
3.5
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.9
2.9
2.8
0.3
FOX NFL Sunday Football
CBS NFL Football
NBC Sunday Night Football
CBS NFL Thursday Football
Empire
The Big Bang Theory
The Voice Monday
Supergirl
The Voice Tuesday
Modern Family
NCIS
The Big Bang Theory (Syndication)
Blindspot
Scandal
Survivor
Life in Pieces
60 Minutes
Grey's Anatomy
The Goldbergs
CSI - Finale
10 Cable Networks
Adults 25-54 Live+SD Ratings
November Followed by October and December Are Key Holiday Shopping Months
7 Source: Nielsen Local Watch October 2015, Nielsen Ad Intel Total Spot TV ad spend in Millions by Month in 2014
$3 $36 $19 $7
$3
$98 $85
$63 $19
$9
$64 $53
$26
$36 $7
$44
$132
$60
$31
$22
$146
$239
$177
$130
$65
DecemberNovemberOctoberSeptemberAugust
Video Games
Toys
Jewelry
Electronics
Cookware
$545
$345
$223
$106
2014 Spot TV Ad Spend of Popular Gift Categories (in Millions)
$355
Thanksgiving Kicks Off Holiday Spending 2014
8 Source: Kantar Media Winter Holiday Report, Oct. 2015
$502.4
$414.3 $421.9
$435.4
$585.7
$695.0
$507.5 [VALUE]
$396.1
$362.8
10/27/14 11/3/14 11/10/14 11/17/14 11/24/14 12/1/14 12/8/14 12/15/14 12/22/14 12/29/14
Retail Holiday Dollars By Week (in Millions)
Thanksgiving and Black Friday Shopping on the Rise
9 Source: Offers.com, 2015 Holiday Shopping Survey November 2015
48% 53% 51%
55%
Thanksgiving Black Friday
% of Consumers Planning to Shop
2014 2015
Broadcast Reach: One Program Has 2-6X the Reach of Full Day on Cable
18.8
18.1
17.7
15.8
9.3
8.7
6.1
5.7
5.6
5.1
4.2
4.1
3.6
2.8
2.7
CBS Thanksgiving Day Football
FOX Thanksgiving Day Football
NBC Thanksgiving Night Football
NBC Thanksgiving Day Parade
CBS Thanksgiving Day Parade
ESPN Total Day
TBS Total Day
USA Total Day
AMC Total Day
FX Total Day
A&E Total Day
TNT Total Day
Nickelodeon Total Day
Nick at Night Total Day
Adult Swim Total Day
Thanksgiving Day Reach
10
1 unit
Source: Nielsen NPower. November 27th 2014 Adults 25-54.
1 unit 1 unit 1 unit 1 unit
20 units
42 units 46 units
13 units 12 units
39 units 24 units
17 units 18 units
24 units
Parents are More Likely to Shop on Thanksgiving
11 Source: Offers.com, 2015 Holiday Shopping Survey November 2015
70%
45%
30%
55%
People with Children People without Children
NoYes
51% of all Holiday Shoppers plan to shop on Thanksgiving, compared to 48% in 2014.
Broadcast TV Reaches Parents
12 Source: Nielsen NPower 9/29/2014 - 12/21/2014 Adults 18+ w/ presence of children Live+SD Ratings;
A18+ 10 Cable Networks based on A18+ Ratings.
10.5
9.4
8.5
8.0
7.7
7.3
7.1
5.2
4.3
4.0
3.7
3.6
3.3
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.0
3.0
2.8
2.8
0.3
FOX NFL Football Thursday
CBS NFL Football Thursday
FOX NFL Football Sunday
CBS NFL Football Sunday
NBC NFL Football Thursday
NBC Sunday Night Football
Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade
CMA Awards
American Music Awards
The Big Bang Theory
Dancing with the Stars Finale 11/25
The Voice Monday
The Voice Tuesdays
Scandal
Modern Family
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show
Home Depot Prime College Football
NCIS
Blacklist
Latin Grammy Awards
10 Cable Networks
Adult 18+ Live+SD Ratings
Cyber Monday Continues to Grow
13 Source: Offers.com, 2015 Holiday Shopping Survey November 2015
47%
54%
2014
2015
Consumers Planning to Shop Online on Cyber Monday
No
Broadcast TV Delivers Internet Shoppers
14 Source: GFK MRI Spring 2015 , Base: 18+ Index Internet Shopping: Ordered items
Index 145
140
137
137
134
133
131
130
130
127
126
125
124
123
123
123
122
121
120
119
105
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Madam Secretary
The Mysteries of Laura
Modern Family
Marvel's Agent Carter
The Last Man on Earth
Grimm
Scorpion
The Blacklist
New Girl
Once Upon a Time
The Goldbergs
Fresh Off the Boat
The Middle
Grey's Anatomy
Last Man Standing
The Big Bang Theory
Shark Tank
Secrets and Lies
Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
10 Cable Networks
Television Ads Are Motivation To Do Further Research Online
15 Source: TVB Media Comparisons Study 2014. GfK Custom Research North America Survey.
Has an advertisement on television motivated you to go the Internet to find out more information about that product or service?
60 60 61 58
62 64 64
A18-34 A18-49 A25-54 A35-64 HHI $75K+ HHI $100K+ Parents
Percent Yes
Local TV Offers Multi-platform Opportunities
16
10.7
10.1
8.0
7.8
7.8
7.2
6.0
4.1
Local TV Station Website
Network TV Website
Internet Display Ad
Email Offer
Social Media Site
Internet Video Ad
Internet Search Engine
Newspaper Online
Actually Purchased
Local TV Station Websites An Important Digital Influencer
Source: TVB/The Futures Company; “Purchase Funnel 2015”
% choosing either as 1st 2nd or 3rd Most Important
Multicultural Households Expect to Spend More
18
14.0%
13.0%
9.0%
African AmericansHispanicTotal Population
Source: The Nielsen Company, 2015 Holiday Sales Forecast
Question: Compared to a year ago, do you plan to
spend more on holiday gifts?
Broadcast Delivers African Americans and Hispanics
19
11.5 8.1
7.2 6.5 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.8
5.4 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8
0.2
Copa Concacaf 10/10
Senor De Los Cielos III Monday
Amores Con Trampa - Monday
FOX NFL Sunday Football
Lo Imperdonable Monday
Lo Imperdonable Wednesday
Lo Imperdonable Thursday
Lo Imperdonable Tuesday
Lo Imperdonable Friday
NBC NFL Sunday Night Football
La Banda Sunday
CBS NFL Football
Senora Acero II Friday
Yo No Creo en Hombres Thursday
Senora Acero II Tuesday
Yo No Creo en Hombres Wednesday
Yo No Creo en Hombres Tuesday
Senora Acero II Wednesday
Yo No Creo en Hombres Monday
Senora Acero II Monday
10 Cable Networks
Source: Nielsen NPower 9/21/2015 - 11/1/2015 African American, Hispanic 25-54 Live+SD Ratings; Broadcast Includes all Networks and Syndication A25-54 10 Cable Networks highest rated against African Americans and Hispanic 25-54 Ratings.
28.7 12.4
10.9 9.9 9.8
9.2 8.4 8.2
6.6 5.0 5.0
4.0 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0
0.5
Empire
FOX NFL Sunday Football
NBC Sunday Night Football
CBS Footbal
Rosewood
Scandal
CBS NFL Thursday Night Football
How to Get Awat with Murder
Family Feud (Syndication)
Law & Order: SVU (Syndication)
Judge Judy (Syndication)
Grey's Anatomy
Law & Order: CI (Syndication)
Weekend Adventure
Maury (Syndication)
The Simpsons
60 Minutes
Black-ish
Young and the Restless
The Voice Monday
10 Cable Networks
African American
Hispanic
Gifts People Are Planning to Buy This Holiday Season
20
[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] 24.1% 21.8%
Apparel &Accessories
Gift Cards Books, CDs,Video Games
Toys Food & Candy ConsumerElectronics
Personal Careor Beauty
Items
Jewelry
Source: NRF.com Press release 11/13/15
Types of Gifts Planning to Buy
Higher Clothing Expenditures for Women 25-54 Index vs. Total U.S.
Clothing Expenditures Women 18-34 Women 18-49 Women 25-54
Total: $500-$999 124 129 132
Total: $1,000-$1,999
132 152 158
Total: $2,000+ 132 166 189
Total: $3,000+ 157 174 195
21 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015, Index Values: Clothing Spending by Age vs. Total US
Broadcast Delivers Women 25-54 During The Holidays
22 Source: Nielsen NPower 9/29/2014 - 12/21/2014 Women 25-54 Live+SD Ratings;
W25-54 10 Cable Networks based on W25-54 Ratings.
8.8
8.4
8.0
6.7
6.7
6.2
5.8
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.1
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.3
4.2
4.1
4.1
4.0
0.3
FOX NFL Football Thursday
Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade
CBS NFL Football Thursday
FOX NFL Football Sunday
CMA Awards
NBC NFL Football Thursday
The Big Bang Theory
Dancing with the Stars Finale 11/25
NBC NFL Sunday Night Footbal
Scandal
The Voice Monday
American Music Awards
The Voice Tuesdays
Modern Family
Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer
Grey's Anatomy
The Voice Finale
Criminal Minds
Dancing with the Stars
How to Get Away with Murder
10 Cable Networks
Women 25-54 Live+SD Ratings
Local TV Recognizes that One Size Does NOT Fit All
23
Macy’s
The Redder- The better
Source: GfK MRI 2015 Market-by-Market weighted by Adult 18+ population. Shopped 3+ times in past 30 days
Zero in on the Best Customers with Local TV
24
216 216 207 206
183 178 162 160
151 141
Los Angeles Palm Springs Philadelphia Baltimore WashingtonDC
New York NY Miami San Diego West PalmBeach
Pittsburgh
Macy's Frequent Shopper DMAs
Source: GfK MRI 2015 Market-by-Market weighted by Adult 18+ population. Shopped 3 Times in the Last 30 Days at Macy’s
Broadcast TV: The Gift that Keeps on Giving
25 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015, Base: A18+; Index for Gift Cards- Amount spent in total
168 153
150 148 147 146 146
144 143 143 142 141 141 141 141
138 137 136 135 134
106
Secrets and Lies
Madam Secretary
Mom
Nashville
Empire
Scorpion
The Goldbergs
The Bachelor
NCIS: New Orleans
The Amazing Race
Marvel's Agent Carter
Modern Family
Undercover Boss
The Big Bang Theory
The Blacklist
Elementary
Mike and Molly
Person of Interest
Shark Tank
The Mysteries of Laura
10 Cable Networks
Index
Broadcast TV: Game On!
26 Source: GFK MRI Spring 2015, Base: Adults 18+ Personally Played Any System Index
217
194
193
188
182
178
165
155
150
147
144
135
134
130
126
121
119
117
117
108
Bob's Burgers
The Simpsons
Family Guy
The Originals
The Vampire Diaries
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Supernatural
New Girl
Once Upon a Time
GOTHAM
Arrow
Sleepy Hollow
Empire
Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
Grimm
Are We There Yet?
Hell's Kitchen
White Collar (Syndication)
MasterChef
10 Cable Networks
Video Game Users Index
Broadcast TV Reaches Parents Who Bought Toys
27 Source: GFK MRI Spring 2015 , Base: Households with Children that Purchased Toys Index
173
169
152
150
149
148
143
140
139
138
135
134
133
129
127
127
127
123
118
100
The Vampire Diaries
The Originals
Are We There Yet?
Extreme Makeover: Weight Loss Edition
Bob's Burgers
Wife Swap
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Once Upon a Time
The Simpsons
New Girl
Family Guy
So You Think You Can Dance
Grey's Anatomy
The Bachelor
The Goldbergs
Empire
Black-ish
MasterChef Jr.
Modern Family
10 Cable Networks
Tune into Men Shopping for Electronics with Broadcast
28 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015, Base: Men Index Shopped for electronics online or at Best Buy, Apple Store, or Radio Shack in the last 12 months
141 140 139
137 136
132 132 131 131
124 122 122 121 120 119 118 118 117 117 116
103
Marvel's Agent Carter
So You Think You Can Dance
Black-ish
The 100
New Girl
The Mysteries of Laura
The Last Man on Earth
Modern Family
Brooklyn Nine-Ninee
The Blacklist
MasterChef Jr.
Shark Tank
Once Upon a Time
Grey's Anatomy
Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Goldbergs
GOTHAM
The Simpsons
The Biggest Loser
The Middle
10 Cable Networks
Index
209
201
196
192
179
176
176
173
162
160
156
145
145
137
134
116
Mike and Molly
48 Hours Mystery
Grey's Anatomy
The Voice
Shark Tank
America's Funniest Home Videos
Family Guy
Modern Family
NCIS: Los Angeles
Law and Order: Special Victims Unit
Criminal Minds
Blue Bloods
The Big Bang Theory
NCIS
Dancing With The Stars
10 Cable Networks
Broadcast Delivers Jewelry Shoppers
29 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015 Adults 18+; Index for Shopped Jared, Kay, or Zales
Index
Where Do You Plan to Purchase Holiday Items This Year?
30
9%
17%
24%
27%
33%
44%
53%
56%
56%
Catalog
Crafts or Fabrics Store
Local/Small Business
Electronics Store
Clothing or Accessories Store
Grocery Store/Supermarket
Online
Department Store
Discount Store
Source: NRF Monthly Consumer Survey A18+, Oct. 2015
Broadcast Reaches Discount Store Shoppers
31 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015, Base: Adults 18+
Index 115
114
113
113
113
112
111
111
111
110
109
109
109
109
109
109
109
102
Secrets and Lies
Fresh Off the Boat
Hollywood Game Night
American Crime
Crimetime Saturday
CSI: Cyber
Are We There Yet?
The Originals
Wife Swap
Calling Dr. Pol
Mistresses
Black-ish
Extreme Makeover: Weight Loss Edition
Dog Whisperer: Family Edition
The Bachelor
Marvel's Agent Carter
The Vampire Diaries
10 Cable Networks
Broadcast TV Viewers Shop at Department Stores
32 Source: GfK MRI Spring 2015, Base: Adults 18+
200 196
190 171 171
168 163
159 159 158 158 158
149 149 149 148 148 146 145 143
105
Mistresses
Black-ish
Madam Secretary
How to Get Away with Murder
So You Think You Can Dance
Scandal
The Bachelor
Empire
Nashville
The Good Wife
Chicago Fire
Chicago PD
2 Broke Girls
Wife Swap
20/20
The Amazing Race
Hawaii Five-O
Scorpion
Dateline
60 Minutes
10 Cable Networks
Index
Gift Splurgers* Spend Five Hours a Day with TV
33
155
145
98
Broadcast TV Cable TV Radio
*Gift Splurgers – someone who says they like to shower their loved ones with gifts and consider themselves more of a spender than a saver.
Minutes Spent per Day
Source: Nielsen Local Watch October 2015, Nielsen Scarborough USA+ R2 2014 Adults 18+
85% Watched Broadcast TV in the past week
64% Watched Local News
in the past week
Where Are the Gift Splurgers? Miami and Tampa Have the Most Generous Holiday Spenders
34
31%
29%
28% 28% 28%
27% 27% 27% 27% 27%
Miami Tampa Baltimore Houston Atlanta Washington,DC
Charlotte Chicago Orlando Dallas
National Average 26%
Source: Nielsen Local Watch October 2015, Nielsen Scarborough USA+ R2 2014 Adults 18+
Key Holiday Takeaways
35
Holiday spending is expected to increase from the 2014 season. More consumers are expected to shop on Thanksgiving, Black
Friday, and Cyber Monday Television dominates holiday spending and has the highest
shopping influence of traditional media. Apparel, gift cards, video games, toys, food and electronics are
the top holiday categories. Broadcast Television delivers top ratings and reach during key
holiday shopping periods. Gift splurgers spend more time per day with Broadcast Television
than with cable or radio.