10
investment partnership with $100 in 1956 and has gone on to accumulate a  personal  net  worth in excess of  $30   billion.  As   both  a  manager  and  an  investo , Buffett is renowned  for  focusing on the  economics of businesses. Berkshires collection of operating businesses, including the GEICO Insuranc e Compan y ,  Internationa l Dairy Queen ,  Inc., the   Nebraska Furniture Mart, and  See s Candies, commonl y earn 30  percent to 50  percent   per  year  on invested capital . This is astonishingly good performance in light of the 10  percent to 12 percent return typical of industry in general . A second and equally important contributor to Berkshires outstanding performance is a handful of substantial holdings in publicly traded common stocks, such as The American Express Company,  The Coca-Cola Company, and The Washington Post Company , amon g others. As both manager and investor, Buffett looks  for  wonderfu l  businesses  with outstandin g economi c  charac- teristics : high rates of  return on  investe d capital ,  substantial  profit  margins on sales, and consistent earnings growth . Complicated businesses that face fierce competition or require large capital investment are shunned. 1 Buffett s success is  powerful  testimony to the   practical usefulnes s of  man- agerial economics. Manage rial economics answers fundamental questions. When is the market for a product so attractive that entry or expansion  become s appealing? When  is exit  preferable to continue d operation? Why do some professions pay well, while others offer only meager pay? Successful managers make good decisions, and one of their most useful tools is the methodolog y of manageria l economics. 1 Information about Warren Buffett's investment philosophy and Berkshire Hathawa y , Inc., can be found on the Internet (http://www.berkshi rehathawa y .com). CHAPTE  ON E  Introduction 2 1  arren E. Buffett, the celebrated chairman and chief executive officer of Omaha, Nebraska   based Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., started an W  

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investment partnership with $100 in 1956 and has gone on to accumulate a

 personal net worth in  excess of  $30   billion. As   both  a manager  and  an  investo r , 

Buffett is renowned  for  focusing on the economic s of businesses.

Berkshires collection of operating businesses, including the GEICO

Insuranc e Compan y, Internationa l Dairy Queen , Inc., the   Nebrask a Furniture

Mart, and  See s Candies, commonl y earn 30  percent to 50  percent  per  year  on

invested capital . This is astonishingly good performance in light of the 10

  percent to 12 percent return typical of industry in general . A second and

equally important contributor to Berkshires outstanding performance is a

handful of substantial holdings in publicly traded common stocks, such as

The  American  Express  Company,  The  Coca-Cola  Company, and The 

Washington Post Company , amon g others . As both manager and investor,

Buffett looks for  wonderfu l  businesses  with outstandin g economi c charac -

teristics : high rates of  return on  investe d  capital ,  subs tantial  profit margins on

sales, and consistent earnings growth . Complicated businesses that face

fierce competition or require large capital investment are shunned .1

Buffetts success is  powerfu l testimon y to the   practica l usefulnes s of  man-

agerial economics. Manage rial economics answers fundamental questions.

When is the market for a product so attractive that entry or expansion

 become s appealing? When is exit  preferable to continue d operation ? Why do

some professions pay well, while others offer only meager pay? Successful

managers make good decisions, and one of their most useful tools is the

methodolog y of manageria l economics.

1 Information about Warren Buffett's investment philosophy and Berkshire Hathawa y , Inc.,can be found on the Internet (http://www.berkshi rehathawa y .com).

CHAPTE R   ON E 

Introduction

2

arren E. Buffett, the celebrated chairman and chief executive officer of Omaha, Nebraska    based Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., started anW  

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Chapter One  Introduction 3

H O W  IS MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS USEFUL? 

Managerial economics applies economi c theory and  methods  to  busines s and  administrative

decisio n making. Managerial economic s prescribes  rules for  improving manageria l decisions.

Manageria l economic s also helps manager s recogniz e how economi c forces affect organiza -tions and describes the economic consequences of managerial behavior . It links economic

concepts with quantitative methods to develop vital tools for managerial decision making.

This process is illustrated in Figure 1.1.

Evaluating Choice Alternatives

Managerial economics identifies ways to efficiently achieve goals . For example, suppose a

small business seeks rapid growth  to reach a size that permits efficient use of national media

advert ising . Manageria l economic s can be used to identif y pricing and production strategies

to help meet this short-run objectiv e quickly and effectivel y. Similarl y, managerial economics

  provides production and marketing rules that permit the company to maximiz e net profits

once it has achieved growth or marke t share objec tives.

FIGURE  1.1 

Managerial Economics Is a Tool for Improving Management Decision Making

Managerial eco nomics uses economic concepts and quantitative methods to solve managerial problems.

Management Decision Pr oblems

Economic Concepts Quantitative Methods 

Managerial Economics

2  Introduction 

managerial

economics

Applies economi c toolsand technique s to

 busines s and adminis -

trative decision  making

Managerial Economics

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Managerial economics has applications in both profit and not-for-profit sectors . For 

example, an administrator of a nonprofit hospital strives to provide the best medical care  possible given limited medical staff, equipment, and relate d resources. Using the tools and

concepts of managerial economics, the administrator can determine the optimal allocation

of these limited resources . In short, manageria l economic s helps manager s arrive at a set of 

operating rules that aid in the efficient use of scarce human and capital resources . By fol-

lowing these rules, businesses, nonprofi t organizations, and government agencies are ableto meet object ives ef ficientl y.

Making the Best Decision

To establish appropriate decision rules, managers must understan d the economi c envi ron-

ment in which they operate . For example, a grocery retailer may offer consumers a highly

 price-sensitiv e product , such as milk , at an extremely low marku p over cost  say, 1 percent

to 2 percent  whil e offerin g less price -sensitiv e products , such as nonprescriptio n drugs, atmarkups of as high as 40 percent over cos t. Manageria l economic s describe s the logic of this

 pricing practice with respect to the goal of profit maximization . Similarl y, manageria l eco-

nomic s reveal s that auto import  quota s reduce the  availabilit y of  substitutes for domestically

 produce d cars , raise auto prices , and create the possibilit y of monopoly profits for domestic

manufactu rers. It does not explain whether imposing quotas is good public policy ; that is a

decisio n involvin g broader politica l considerations . Manageria l economi cs only describes the

 predictabl e economi c consequence s of such actions.

Managerial economic s of fers a comp r ehensive application of  economic theory and  method-

olog y to managemen t decisi on making. It is as relevant to the management of government

agencies , cooperatives,  schools, hospitals, museums, and similar not-for -profit institutions as it

Introduction 

Stick by your principles. Principles ar e not for sale at 

any price.

Does the high road lead to corporate success? Consider 

the experience of  one of  Americas most famous winners   

Omaha billionair e War r en E. Buf fett, chairman of  

Berkshir e Hathaway, Inc. Buffett and Charlie Munger, the

number-two man at Berkshir e, ar e famous for doing

multimillion -dollar deals on the basis of  a simple hand - 

shake. At Berkshi r e, managemen t relies upon the charac - 

ter of the people that they are dealing with rather than

expensive accountin g audits, detailed legal opinions , or 

liability insurance coverage.  Buf fett says that after some

early mistakes , he learned to go into business only with

 people whom he likes, tr usts, and admires. Although a

compan y will not necessarily pr osper because its man- 

agers display admirable qualities, Buffett says he has

never made a good deal with a bad person.

Doing the right thing not only makes sense from an

ethical perspective, but it makes busines s $ense , too!

See: Emelie Rutherfo r d, Lawmaker s Involve d with Enron Probe Had

Personal Stake in the Compan y , The W all St r eet Journal Online, March 4,2002 (http://online.wsj.com).

4 Part One Overview of Managerial   Economics 

MA NAG ERIAL APP LICATION 1 .  1

 Managerial Ethics

In T he W al l Str eet  Journal , it is not hard to find evidence

of unsc rupulou s busines s behavio r . However , unethical

conduc t is neithe r consisten t with value maximiz ation

nor with the enlightene d self -inter est of management

and othe r employ ees. If honest y did not pervad e corpo -

rate Americ a, the ability to conduc t business would col-

lapse . Eventuall y, the truth always come s out, and when

it does the unscrupulous lose out. For better or worse,

we ar e know n by the standa r ds we adopt.

To become successful in business, everyon e must

adopt a set of principles. Ethical rules to keep in mind

when conducting business include the following:

Above all else, keep your wor d. Say what you mea n, 

and mean what you say . 

Do the right thing. A  handsh ake with an honorable

 person is worth mo r e than a ton of legal documents

from a corrupt individual.

Accept responsibilit y for your mistakes, and fix 

them. Be quick  to shar e cr edit for success.

Leave something on the table. Pr ofit wit h your cus- 

tome r, not of  f  your custo mer . 

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Chapter One  Introduction 5

is to the managemen t of profit-orient ed business es. Althou gh this text focus es primarily on

 business applications , it also includes example s and problems from the governmen t and non-

 profit sectors to illustrate the broad r elevance of managerial economics.

THEORY OF  THE F I RM  

At its simples t level, a business enterpris e represents a series of contractua l relationship s that 

specify  the rights and  r esponsibilities of  various  parties (see Figur e 1.2). People dir ectly  involved

include customers, stockholders, management, employees, and suppliers . Society is also 

involved  because  businesses use  scar ce  r esour ces,   pay taxes,  pr ovide  employmen t opportunities,

and produce much of societys material and services output . Firms ar e a useful device for pr o-

ducing and  distributing goods and  services. They ar e economic  entities and ar e  best analyzed inthe context of  an economic model.

Expected Value Maximization

The model of business is called the theory of the firm. In its simplest version, the firm isthought to have   profit maximizatio n  as  its  primary  goal. The  firms owner -manager  is assumed

to  be working to maximiz e the  firms short-run  profits. Today , the emphasi s on  profits has  been

 broadened  to  encompas s uncertainty and  the  time  value of  mone y . In this mor e  complete model,

the primary goal of the firm is long-term  expected value maximization .

The value of the f irm is the present value of the firms expected future net cash flows. If  cash flows are  equated to  profits for  simplicit y,  the value of  the  firm today, or  its present value, 

FIGURE  1.2 

The Corporation Is a Legal Device

The firm can be viewed as a confluence of contractual relationships that connect suppliers, investors,

workers, and management in a joint effort to serve customers.

Society 

Supplier s Investor s 

Firm 

Management Employees 

Customer s

4  Introduction 

theory of the firm

Basic mode l of business

expected value

maxi mization

Optimizatio n of pr ofits

in light of uncertainty

and the time valu e of 

money

value of the firm

Present value of the

firms expected

futu re net cash flows

present value

Worth in currentdollars

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This expanded equation can be used to examine how the expected value maximization

model relates to a firms various functional departments . The marketing department often

has  primar y responsibilit y for   product  promotio n and sales (TR);  the  produ ction  department

has primar y respon sibilit y for produc t developmen t costs (TC ); and the finance department

has primary responsibility for acquirin g capita l and, hence , for the discoun t facto r (i) in the

deno minato r .  Important  overlaps  exist  among  these  functional  areas. The marketing

department can help reduce costs associated with a given level of output by influencing

customer order size and timing . The production departme nt can stimulat e sale s by  improv-

ing  quality . Other  departments , for  example , accountin g, human resources, transportation , and

engine ering, provide information and services vital to sales growth and cost control . The

determination of  TR  and  T C  is a complex task  that requires r ecognizin g  important  interrelationsamong the various areas of firm activit y. An important concep t in manageria l economic s is

that manageria l decision s should be analyze d in terms of  their  effects on value, as expressedin Equations 1.1 and 1.2.

2 Discounting is requi red because pr ofits obtained in the future are less valuabl e tha n profits earne d presentl y.To understand this concept, one needs to recognize that $1 in hand today is worth more than $1 to be receiveda year from now, because $1 today can be invested and, with interest, grow to a larger amount by the end of the yea r. If we had $1 and invested it at 10 percent interest, it would grow to $1.10 in one year . Thus, $1 isdefined as the present value of $1.10 due in 1 year when the appropriate interest rate is 10 percent.

Introduction 

6 Part One Overview of Managerial   Economics 

is the  value of  expecte d profits or  cash flows, discounte d back  to the present at an appropriate

interest rate.2

This model can be expressed as follows:

Value of the Firm = Present Value of Expected Future Profits

n=

1  2 

(1 + i) 1   +  (1 + i)2 +         +  (1 + 

(1. 1)

(1. 2)

Here, 1, 2, . . . n represent expecte d profits in  each yea r , t , and i is the appropriat e interest,

or discount , rate . The final form for Equatio n 1.1 is simply a shorthan d expression in which

sigma () stands for  sum up or add togethe r . The term

n

 t =1 

means , Add togethe r as t goes from 1 to n the values of the term on the right. For Equation

1.1, the process is as follows: Let t  = 1 and find the value of the term 1/(1 + i)1, the present

value of year 1 profit; then let t  = 2 and calculate 2/(1 + i)2, the present value of year 2 profit;

continue until t  = n, the last year included in the analysis; then add up these present -value

equivalent s of yearly profits to find the current or present value of the  firm.

Because profits () are equal to total revenues (TR) minus total costs (TC ), Equation 1.1can be rewritte n as

n

=   t = 1 

 t (1 + i)t 

n

 t = 1 

TR t       TC t 

(1 + i) t Value =

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Chapter One  Introduction 7

Constraints and the Theory of the Firm  

Manageria l deci sions are  often made in ligh t of  constraint s impose d  by  technolog y, resource

scarcity, contractual obligations, laws, and regulations . To make decisions that maximize

value , manager s must conside r  how externa l constraint s affect their  ability  to  achieve organ-ization objectives.

Organizations frequentl y face limited availabilit y of essentia l inputs, such as skilled labor , 

raw materials, energy, specialized machiner y, and warehouse space. Manager s often face lim-

itations on the amount of investment funds available for a particular project or activity.

Decision s can also be constraine d  by  contractua l requi rements . For example , labor contracts

limit flexibilit y in worker  schedulin g and  job assignments . Contract s sometime s require that

a minimum level of outpu t be produced to meet delivery requirements . In most instances,

outpu t mus t also  mee t qualit y  requirements . Some commo n example s of  outpu t quality con-

straints are nutritional requirement s for feed mixtu res, audienc e exposu re requirement s for 

marketin g promotions , reliabilit y requirement s for electronic products, and custome r service

requ irement s for minimu m satisfactio n levels.

Lega l restrictions , which  affect both productio n and marketing activities , can also play an

importan t role in managerial decisions. Laws that define minimum wages, health and safetystanda rds, pollution emission standards, fuel efficien cy requi rements , and fair pricin g and

marketin g practice s all limit manageria l flexibility . 

The role that constraint s  play in manageria l decision s makes the topic of constraine d opti-

mization a basic element of managerial economics. Later chapters consider important eco-

nomic implication s of  self-impose d and social constraints . This analysi s is importan t  because

value maximizatio n and allocative efficiency in society depend on the efficient use of scarce

economic resources.

Limitations of the Theory of the Firm

Some critics questio n why the  value maximiza tion criterion is used as a foundatio n for  study-

ing firm behavior . Do managers try to optimize (seek the best result) or merely satisfice(seek satisfactory rather than optimal results)? Do managers seek the sharpest needle in a

haystack (optimize), or do they stop after finding one sharp enough for sewing (satisfice)?

How  can  one  tell whether  compan y suppor t of  the United  Way , for  example, leads to long-run

value maximization ? Are generous salarie s and stock options necessar y to attract and retain

managers who can keep the firm ahea d of the competition ? Whe n a risky ventu re is turned

down, is this inefficient risk avoidance? Or does it reflec t an appropriat e decisio n from the

standpoin t of value maximization?

It is impossible to  give  definitive  answers to questions lik e these,  and  this dilemma has  led  to 

the development of alternative theories of firm behavior . Some of the mor e prominent alterna-

tives  are models  in which  size or  growth maximization is the  assumed  primary  objective  of  man-

agemen t, models that argue that manager s ar e most concerned with their own personal utility

or  welfare maximizatio n, and  models that tr eat  the  firm  as a collection of  individuals with  wide-

ly divergent goals rather  than as a single, identifiable unit. These alternative theories, or  models,of  manageria l  behavior  have added to our  understandin g of  the  firm. Still, none can  supplant the

 basic  value maximizatio n model as  a  foundation  for  analyzing managerial decisions.  Examining

why provides additional insight into the value of studying managerial economics.

Research shows that vigorous competitio n in markets  for most goods and services typical-

ly forces manager s to seek  value maximizatio n in their  operating  decisions. Competitio n in the

capi tal market s forces manager s to seek value maximizatio n in their financin g decision s as

well. Stockholder s are, of  course, interested in value maximizati on  because it af fects their  rates

of return on common stock investments . Manager s who pursue their own interests instead of 

stockhol ders interests run the risk of losing their job. Buyo ut pressure from unfriendl y firms

6  Introduction 

optimizeSeek the best solution

satisfice

Seek satisfactory rather 

than optimal results

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(raiders ) has   been considerabl e  during recent  years. Unfriendl y takeover s are  especial ly hos-

tile to inefficient manageme nt that is replaced . Furthe r , becaus e recent studies show a strongcorrelation between firm profits and managerial compensation, managers have strong eco-

nomic incentive s to pursue value maximizatio n through their decisions.

It is also sometimes overlooke d that manager s must fully conside r  costs and   benefits  befor e

they can make reas oned decisio ns. Would it be wise to seek the best technical solution to a

 problem if the costs of findin g this solution greatl y excee d resulting benefits? Of course not.

What often appear s to be satisficin g on the part of managemen t can be interpreted as value-

maximi zing behavior once the costs of information gathering and analysis are considered.

Similarl y, short- run growth maximizatio n strategie s are often consis tent with long-run value

maximization when the production, distribution, or promotional advantages of large firm

size are better understood.

Finall y, the value maximizatio n model also offers insight into a firms voluntary socially

responsible behav ior . The  criticis m  that the traditional theory of  the  firm emphasize s profits

and  value maximizatio n while ignoring the  issue of  socia l responsibilit y is importan t and  will be discusse d later  in the  chapter . For  now, it will prove useful to examin e the concep t of prof-

its, whic h is centra l to the theory of the firm.

PROFIT MEASUREMENT 

The  free enterpris e syste m would  fail withou t profits and the profit motive . Even in planned

economies , where state ownershi p rathe r than privat e enterpris e is typical , the profit motive

is increasingl y used to spur efficien t resource use. In the former Eastern Bloc countries, the

Introduction 

8 Part One Overview of Managerial   Economics 

MA NAG ERIAL APP LICATION 1 .  2

The World Is Turning to Capitalism and Democracy

Capitalism and democracy are mutually reinforcing.

Some philosophers have gone so far as to say that capi -

talism and democracy are intertwined . Without capital-

ism, democrac y may be impossib le. Without demo cracy,

capitalism may fail.  At a minimum, freely competitive

markets give consumers broad choices and r einfo r ce the

individual freedoms pr otected in a democratic society .

In democracy, government does not grant individual

freedom . Instead, the political power of government

emanates from the people . Similarly, the flow of eco-

nomic resources originates with the individual cus-

tomer in a capitalistic system. It is not centrally dir ected

 by government.

Capitalism is socially desirable because of its decen-tralized and customer-oriente d natu r e. The menu of 

  products to be produced is derived from market price

and output signals originating in competitive markets,

not from the output schedules of a centralized planning

agency. Resour ces  and products ar e also allocated thr ough

market for ces. They ar e not earmarked on the basis of  

favoritism or social status. Through their pur chas e deci -

sions, customers dictate the quantit y and qualit y of 

  products brought to market.

Competitio n is a fundamentall y attractiv e feature of 

the capitalisti c system because it keeps costs and prices

as low as possible . By operating ef ficiently, firms ar e able

to p r oduce the maximu m quantit y and quality of goods

and services possible . Mass pr oduct ion is, by definition,

 productio n for the masses . Competitio n also limits con-

centration of economic and politica l power . Similarly,

the democrati c form of governmen t is inconsisten t with

consolidate d economi c influence and decisio n making.

Totalitarian forms of government ar e in r etr eat. China

has experienced violent upheaval as the country embarks

on much-needed economic and political r eforms. In the

former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, India, and Latin

America, years of economic failur e forced governments to dismantle entrenched bureaucracy and install economic

incentives. Rising living standards and political f r eedom

have made life in the West the envy of the world.

Agains t this backdrop, the future is bright for capitalism

and dem ocracy!

See: Karen Richar dson , Chin a and India  Coul d Lead Asia in

Technology  Spending,  The W al l St r eet   Journal Online, Mar ch 4, 2002(http://onl ine.wsj .com).

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Chapter One  Introduction 9

former  Soviet Union, China, and  other  nations, new   profit incentives for  manager s and  employ-

ees have led to higher product quality and cost efficienc y . Thus, profits and the profit motive

 play a growing role in the ef ficient allocation of economic r esour ces worldwide.

Business Versus Economic Profit

The  genera l  public and the   busines s community  typically  define  profit as the  residua l of  sales

revenue minus the explicit costs of doing business . It is the amoun t availabl e to fund equity

capital after payment for all other resources used by the firm. This definition of profit isaccountin g profit, or business profit .

The economist also defines profit as the excess of revenue s over costs. Howeve r , inputs

 provide d  by owners ,  includin g entrepreneuria l effort and capital , are resources that mus t be

com pensated . The  economis t include s a norma l rate  of  return on  equit y  capital   plus an  oppor-

tunity cost for the effort of the owner -entrepreneur as costs of doing business, just as the

interest   paid on debt and the wages are  costs in calculatin g business profit. The  risk-adjustednormal rate of   return  on capital is the minimum return necessary to attract and retain

investment . Similarly, the opportunity cost of owner effort is determined by the value thatcould be received in alternative employment . In economic terms, profit is business profit

minus the implicit (noncash) costs of capita l and other owne r-provide d input s used by thefirm . This profit concep t is frequentl y referred to as economic profit .

The concepts of business profit and economic profit can be used to explain the role of 

 profits in a free enterpris e econom y. A norma l rate of return , or profit, is necessar y to  induce

individual s to inves t fund s rathe r than spen d them for current consumption . Norma l profit

is simply a cost for capital; it is no different from the cost of other resources, such as labo r ,

mate rials , and energy. A similar price exists for the entrepreneuria l effort of a firm s owner-

manager and for other resources that owner s bring to the firm. These opportunity costs for 

owne r-provided inputs offer  a  primar y explanatio n for  the  existenc e of   busines s  profits, espe-

cially amon g small businesses.

Variability of Business Profits

In  practice , reporte d  profits fluctuate  widely. Table 1.1 shows  business  profits for  a  well-known

sample of 30 industrial giants: those companies that comprise the Dow Jones Industrial

Average. Busines s profit is often measu r ed in dollar terms or  as a percentage of sales  revenue,

called profit margin, as in Table 1.1 . The economist s concept of  a normal rate of   profit is typ-ically assessed in terms of the realized rate of  return on stockholders equity (ROE). Return

on stockholders equity is defined as accounting net income divided by the book value of the

firm . As seen in Table 1.1, the average ROE for industrial giants found in the Dow Jones

Industria l Average falls in a  broad range of  around 15  percent to 25  percent  per  year . Altho ugh

an average annual RO E of roughl y 10 percent can be regarded as a typical or normal rate of 

return in the  United States  and  Canada , this standard  is routinel y exceede d  by  companie s such

as Coca-Cola, which has consistently earned a ROE in excess of  35  percent  per  year . It is a stan-

dard seldom met by International Pape r , a company that has suffered massiv e losse s in an

attempt to cut  costs and  incr ease   product quality in  the  face of  tough environmenta l r egulations

and foreign competi tion.

Some of the variatio n in ROE depicted in Table 1.1 represents the influence of differential

risk premiums . In the pharmaceutical s industr y, for example , hoped -for discoverie s of effec-

tive therapies for importan t disease s are often a long shot at best. Thus , profit rate s reported

 by Merck and othe r leadin g pharmaceutic al companie s oversta te the relative profitabilit y of 

the drug industry ; it could be cut by one-half with proper  risk adjustment . Similarly , reported

 profit rates can overstate differences in economic profits if accounting error or bias causes

8  Introduction 

business profit

Residual of sales r ev-

enue minus the explicit

accountin g costs of 

doing business

normal rate of 

returnAverage prof it necessary

to attract and retain

investment

econom ic profit

Busin ess profit minus

the implicit costs of 

capital and any other 

owner-provide d inputs

profit margin

Accountin g net income

divided by sales

return on stock-

holders  equity

Accountin g net income

divided by the book 

value of total assets

minus total liabilities

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Introduction 

10 Part One Overview of Managerial   Economics 

TABLE 1.1

The Profitability of Industrial Giants Included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Return  Return  

Net Income  Sales  Net Worth  on Sales  on Equity Company Name  Industry  ($ Millions) ($  Millions) ($ Millions)  (Margin)  (R OE)

Alcoa Inc. 

American Express 

AT&T Corp. 

Boeing 

Caterpillar Inc. 

Citigrou p Inc. 

Coca-Cola 

Disney (Walt) 

DuPont 

Eastman Kodak  

Exxon Mobil Corp. 

General Electric 

General Motor s 

Hewlett-Packard 

Home Depot Honeywell International 

Intel Corp. 

International Business 

Machine 

International Paper  

Johnson & Johnson

McDonalds Corp. 

Merck  & Co. Microsof t Corp. 

Minnesota Mining 

Mor gan (J.P .) Chase 

Phili p Morris 

Procter  & Gamble 

SBC Communications 

United Technologies 

Wal-Mar t Stores 

Metals and Mining (Div .) 

Financial Services (Div .) 

Telecom. Ser vices 

Aerospace/Defense 

Machiner y  

Financial Services (Div .) 

Beverage (Sof t Drink) 

Entertainment 

Chemical (Basic) 

Precision Instrument 

Petroleum (Integrated) 

Electrical Equipment 

Auto and Truck  

Computer  and Peripherals 

Retail Building Supply 

Diver sified Co. 

1,489 22,936  11,422 6.5%  13.0% 

2,810 23,675  11,684 11.9%  24.0% 

6,630 65,981  107,908 10.0%  6.1% 

2,511  51,321 11,020  4.9%  22.8% 

1,053 20,175  5,600 5.2%  18.8% 

13,519 n.a. 66,206  n.a.  20.4% 

3,669 20,458  9,316 17.9%  39.4% 

1,892 25,020  24,100 7.6%  7.8% 

2,884 28,268  13,299 10.2%  21.7% 

1,441 13,994  3,428 10.3%  42.0% 

16,910 206,083 70,757  8.2%  23.9% 

12,735 63,807  50,492 20.0%  25.2% 

5,472 184,632 30,175 3.0%  18.1% 

3,561 48,782  14,209 7.3%  25.1% 

2,581  45,738 15,004 5.6% 17.2% 2,293  25,023 9,707 9.2%  23.6% 

28.6% Semiconductor  10 ,669 33,726 37,322  31.6% 

Computer  and Peripherals  8,093 88,396  20,624  9.2%  39.2% 

Paper  and Forest Products 

Medical Supplies 

Restaurant 

Dr ug Computer Softwar e and Services 

Chemical (Diversified) 

Bank  

To bacco 

Household Products 

Telecom. Services 

Diversified Co. 

Retail Stor e 

969 28,180 12,034  3.4%  8.1% 

4,800 29,139  18,808 16.5% 

1,977  14,243 9,204 13.9% 

6,822 40,363  14,832 16.9% 10,003 25,296  47,289 39.5% 

1,857 16,724  6,531  11.1% 

25.5% 

21.5% 

46.0% 21.2% 

28.4% 5,727 n.a. 42,338  n.a.  13.5% 

8,510  80,356 15,005 10.6%  56.7% 

4,397  39,244 12,010  11.2%  36.6% 

7,746  53,313 31,463 14.5%  24.6% 

1,808 26,583  8,094 6.8%  22.3% 

6,295 191,329 31,343 3.3%  20.1% Averages  5,371 54,028  25,374 9.9% 21.2%

.a . means no t applicable.  

Data source: V alue Line Investmen t Survey, March 4, 2002 (http://www.valueline.com).

Rep roduced with the permissio n of Value Line Publishing , Inc.

investment s with long-term   benefits to  be omitted from the  balance sheet. For  example , cur r ent

accountin g practice often fails to conside r advertising or research and developmen t expendi-

tures as intangible investment s with long-term benefits. Becaus e advertising and research and

developmen t expenditu res are imm ediatel y expense d rathe r than capitalize d and written off 

over their useful lives, intangible assets can be grossly understated for  certain companies . The

 balance sheet of Coca-Cola does not reflect the hundreds of millions of dollars spent to estab-

lish and maintain the brand-name recognitio n of  Coca-Cola , just as Merck s balance sheet fails to r eflect research dollars spent to develop importan t produc t names like V asotec (for  the treat-

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Chapter One  Introduction 11

ment of high blood pressure),   Zocor  (an antiarthriti c drug), and Sin gulair  (asthma medication).

As a result, busines s profit rates for both Coca-Cola and Merck overstate each company s trueeconomi c performance.

WHY DO  PROFITS VARY AMONG FIRMS? 

Even after risk adjustment and modification to account for the ef fects of accountin g error and

 bias, ROE  numbers  r eflect significant  variation  in economic   pr ofits. Many firms earn significant

economic   profits  or  experience  meaningfu l economic  losses at  any  given  point. To  better  under-

stand real-world differences in profit rates, it is necessary to examine theories used to explain  profit variations.

Frictional Theory of Economic Profits

One  explanation of  economic  profits or  losses is frictional profit theory . It states that markets

are sometime s in disequilibriu m becaus e of unanticipate d change s in demand or cost condi -

tions. Unanticipate d shocks produce positive or negative economic profits for some firms.For example, automated teller machines (ATMs) make it possible for  customers of  financial

institutions to easily  obtain cash, enter  deposits, and  make loan  payments. ATM s r ender  obsolete

many of the functions that used to be carried out at branch of fices and foster ongoing consoli-

dation  in  the industr y. Similarly, new  user -friendly software incr eases demand for  high-powe r ed

 personal computer s (PCs) and boosts r eturns for  ef ficient PC manufactur ers. Alternatively , a rise 

in the use of plastics and  aluminum in automobiles drives down the pr ofits of steel manufactur-

ers. Over time, barring impassable barriers to entry and  exit, r esources flow into or  out of  finan-

cial institutions, compute r manufactu r ers, and steel manufac tur ers, thus driving rates of r eturn

 back to normal levels. During interim periods, profits might be above or   below normal becauseof  frictional factors that pr event instantaneous adjustmen t to new market conditions.

Monopoly Theory of Economic Profits

A  further  explanation of  above-normal  profits, monopoly profit theory, is an  extension of  fric-

tional profit theor y . This theory asserts that some firms are shelter ed from competition by high

 barriers to entr y. Econom ies of scale, high capital requirements , patents, or import protection

enable some firms to build monopol y position s that allow above-norma l profits for extended

 periods . Monopol y profits can even arise because of luck or happenstanc e (being in the right

industr y at the right time) or from anticompetitiv e behavior . Unlike other potentia l sour ces of 

above-normal profits, monopoly profits are often seen as unwarranted. Thus, monopoly pr ofits 

are usually taxed or otherwis e r egulated. Chapters 10, 11, and 13 consider the causes and con-sequences of monopoly and how society attempts to mitigate its potential costs.

Innovation Theory of Economic Profits

An additional  theory  of  economic  pr ofits, innovation profit theory, describes  the  above-normal profi ts that arise followin g successfu l inventi on or modernization . For example , innovation

 profit theory suggests that Microsoft Corporatio n has earned superior  rates of  return  because it 

successfully  developed, intr oduced, and  marketed  the  Graphical User  Interface, a  superior  image-

 based rather  than command -based approach to compute r software instructions . Microsoft has

continue d to earn above-normal returns as other  firms scramble  to offer  a wide variety of  user 

friendly software for persona l and business applications . Only afte r competi tors have intro-

duced and successfull y saturat ed the marke t for user-friendly software will Microsoft profits

  be driven down to normal levels. Similarly, McDonald s Corporation earned above-normal

rates of  return as an early  innovato r  in the fast-food   business. With increased competitio n  from

Burger King, Wendys, and a host of national and regional competitors, McDonalds, like

10  Introduction 

frictional profit

theory

Abnor mal profits

observed following

unanti cipate d changes

in demand or cost

conditions

monopoly profit

theory

Abov e-norm al pr ofits

caused by barrier s to

entry that limit

competition

innov ation profittheory

Above -norm al pr ofits

that follow successful

inventio n or modern -

ization