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[email protected] The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather Hermann J. Opgenoorth ESA – ESTEC Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions Division (SCI-SH) Research and Scientific Support Department (RSSD)

[email protected] The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Page 1: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

[email protected]

The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Hermann J. Opgenoorth

ESA – ESTECSolar and Solar Terrestrial Missions Division (SCI-SH)Research and Scientific Support Department (RSSD)

Page 2: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

SOHO CLUSTER

XMM NEWTON

HERSCHEL

INTEGRAL

ULYSSESHUYGENS ISO HST CLUSTER II

MARSEXPRESS

XEUS

SMART 1

IRSIDARWIN

GAIA LISA

JWST

SOLARORBITER

F 2VENUSEXPRESS* PLANCK

BEPI COLOMBO

ROSETTA

LTP

Tim

e →

Mandatory Programme DisciplineProspects

M3

Page 3: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Ulysses

Joint ESA-NASA Mission The Heliosphere in 4-D : Spatial 3-D and Time

Earlier anticipated end of Mission: 30. Sept. 2004

Recent ESA-SPC decision to extend the scientific operations by 3.5 years - March 2008: allowing third polar pass

Now discussed in NASA Advisory Structure Senior Review in 2005 - (under threat from recent NASA MO&DA cuts…)

Key Scientific Goals in the Context of Extension:Key Scientific Goals in the Context of Extension:- Energetic particle and dust dynamics: effect ofEnergetic particle and dust dynamics: effect of reversed field polarity on latitude dependencereversed field polarity on latitude dependence- Reconfirm the north-south heliospheric asymmetryReconfirm the north-south heliospheric asymmetry- 3-D structure of CMEs and heliospheric current3-D structure of CMEs and heliospheric current sheet in conjunction with ecliptic S/C like STEREOsheet in conjunction with ecliptic S/C like STEREO

Page 4: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

SOHO: Solar Cornerstone Mission

Presently THE Solar Observatory:ESA / NASA Collaboration since 1995Currently 4 year mission extension 2003-2007 Future extension(2007-2009) proposal in 2006 Also s c ”SOHO Bonus Mission” discussed to provide Coronagraph to International Living With a Star - ILWS

Page 5: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Cluster:ESA’s Magnetospheric Cornerstone Mission

Earlier ESA-SPC decision : Earlier ESA-SPC decision : 100 % orbital data coverage 100 % orbital data coverage and 3 yr mission extension: and 3 yr mission extension: 2003 - 20052003 - 2005 Second extension for 2+2 years until December 2009 decided in Febr. 2005 SPCNow at largest separation

• First 3-D satellite mission ever

• ESA - NASA Collaboration

- since 2000

Page 6: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Solar wind

Cluster new regions: subsolar point and auroral accelerationCluster new regions: subsolar point and auroral acceleration

2001

2009

Magnetopause:Subsolar point

Cluster Extension

Page 7: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star – Cluster: Evolution of Reconnection

Strong flow of plasma observed first atDouble Star and 5 min later at Cluster

DSP

Cluster

From Pitout et al., 2005

Cluster Extension

Page 8: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Solar wind

• Crossing of tail at 8-10

Earth radii

• Current Disruption: key

process for substorms

Cluster at new region: Near-Earth Current DisruptionCluster at new region: Near-Earth Current Disruption

Near-Earth tail:Current Disruption

2001

2009

Cluster Extension

Page 9: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Complementarity of Themis and Cluster• THEMIS will be launched in 2006 with 1st tail season in February 2007

THEMIS’s tail science benefits from Cluster’s Solar Wind and ionospheric monitoring and half a year later

Cluster tail science benefits from THEMIS’s upstream, sheath and magnetopause monitoring.In addition: vaste ground based network in Canada and Europe for Cluster / Themis

•From V. Angelopoulos, Berkeley, USA

Cluster

Themis

Cluster Extension

Page 10: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

DOUBLE STAR China / ESA Collaboration

Two satellites equipped mainly with Cluster Spare Instruments in Magnetospheric Polar and Equatorial orbits DSP-E: 550 km x 9 Re & DSP-P: 350 km x 4 R

• Commissioning Phase completed - ok, except attitude control• Excellent science results - in particular in coord. with Cluster • 1.5 yrs mission extension recently decided (May 2005 SPC)

Page 11: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

Extension summer 2005: Tail

• Cluster: 14-16 Re sep.1000-10000 km

• DSP TC-1: 9 Re apog. above equator

• DSP TC-2: 7 Re apogee in tail

09 Sept. 2005, 16:00 UT

5 Re

<== Observe NENL and/or Bursty Bulk Flow at Cluster and then

monitor Current Disruption and BBF breaking at DSP

==> Observe Current Disruption at DSP and then

outgoing “rarefaction-wave” at Cluster.

XY

XZ

Page 12: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

Extension summer 2006: Tail

• Cluster: 14-16 Re sep 1000-10000km

• DSP TC-1: 9 Re gradual sep. in Y

• DSP TC-2: apogee in southern hemisphereXZ plane

XY plane

TC-1

11 Sept 2006 00:00

=> Observe the azimuthal extent and dynamics of current disruption

Page 13: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

Cluster

DSP TC-1

DSP TC-2

• Cluster at northern

magnetopause/cusp

10000 km separation• TC-1 near the cusp• TC-2 at southern cusp

and in inner magneto-

sphere on dayside

Extended mission spring 2006: Cusp

XZXY

Page 14: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

• DSP TC-2 and IMAGE both in the southern hemisphere

• “Stereo” ENA images of the ring current from the southern hemisphere

• Observations require geomagnetic storms

22 Dec 2005, 00 UT

TC-2

IMAGE

Extended mission : winter 2005

Page 15: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Solar Orbiter ESA-ILWS Flagship in the long term

• Selected as ESA Flexi-mission • launched within 10 yrs - lifetime 5 + 2 yrs• confirmed as part of ”COSMIC VISION”

• Formal negotiations about a potential NASA contribution ( or collaboration with Solar Sentinels ) in progress…

- Inner Heliosphere In-Situ observations and simultaneous Solar Remote Sensing

- Orbit up to 35 deg out of the ecliptic, i.e. topside view of polar regions and CME’s

- observe the far-side of the Sun from a co-rotating vantage point at 0.22 AU, equivalent to 48 Solar radii…

Page 16: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Solar Orbiter Status

(Confirmed as part of Cosmic Vision by SPC, June 2004)

Mission profile: • Launch by Soyuz-Fregat 2-1b (either Oct 2013 or March 2015)• Cruise phase (SEP / Chemical Propulsion): 1.8 / 3.3 yrs• Nominal science mission duration: 2.8 yrs• Extended mission (high-latitude phase): 2.4 yrs• Minimum perihelion distance: 48 solar radii (0.222 AU)• Maximum solar latitude: 35° (in extended phase)SPACECRAFT – two industrial studies completed (Sci-A)

– 6 month delta-study (chem. prop.) completed

PAYLOAD – definition completed Particles and Fields Package Remote-sensing Package

PLAN : Science Management Plan to SPC in February 2006- coordinated AO with NASA (Solar Sentinels) Summer 2006

Page 17: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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S-O Mission duration and solar cycle SEP vs. Ballistic Mission

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Year

Su

n S

po

t N

o.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Hel

iola

titu

de

(deg

.)

Ballistic 2012

SEP 2013

Ballistic 2013

Ballistic 2015

Page 18: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

The Solar-B satellite

• JAXA successor to Yohkoh (Solar A)

• Japan/US/UK mission (Norway, ESA)

• Launch in Aug. 2006 aboard M-V rocket from Uchinoura Space Centre (USC)

• Polar sun-synchronous orbit. 600 km altitude

– Nearly continuous solar view (with no day/night cycling for nine months each year)

• A coordinated set of optical, UV, and X-ray instruments to understand the dynamic Sun.

• Mass: 900 kg • Power: 1000W• Telemetry: 4Mbps • Data Recorder: 8Gbit• Attitude: Solar pointed• Stability: 0.7 arcsec/1s• Launch: Summer 2006

Page 19: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Solar-B Science Goals - Understanding the Dynamic Sun

• To understand the creation and destruction of the Sun's magnetic field.

• To understand the modulation of the Sun's Luminosity.

• To understand the generation of UV and X-ray radiation.

• To understand solar wind and eruptions.

• Provide the first accurate measurements of magnetic fields and electric currents that will reveal the causes of eruptions in the solar atmosphere

Page 20: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Solar-BThe 3 Instrument Suite

• 0.5m Optical Telescope +FPP (Focal Plane Package)– Spectro-Polarimeter– Broadband Filtergraph– Narrowband Filtergraph

• XRT (X-Ray Telescope)– 9 filters: hot-very hot corona

• EIS (EUV Imaging Spectrograph)– 2x40 Å wide wavelength – region in EUV covering

transition region - corona

Page 21: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

ESA Support to Solar-B

• ESA, in sub-contractual collaboration with the Norwegian

Space Centre, will provide one additional downlink contact

to Solar-B for each of the 15 orbits per day

• This will considerably improve the overall scientific data return

and the cadence of observations from the Solar-B mission

• The European scientific community

will be catered with processed data

through a dedicated Solar B data

centre at the University of Oslo

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 22: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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• Reasons: Antenna redundancy, possibility to track all 15 orbits every day and Norwegian interest in the mission.

Svalbard Ground Station for Solar-B

Page 23: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

International Living with a Star - ILWS (presently involving more than 25 space agencies SC: CNSA, CSA, ESA, (R)FSA, JAXA, NASA )

Stimulate, strengthen and coordinate space researchto understand the governing processes of the connected Sun-Earth system as an integrated entity. (governing processes = ”which affect life and society” => SpaceWeather)

simultaneous and coordinated observations at strategic locations in the entire system

(supported by advanced analysis and model tools)

MISSION:

Page 24: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Earth’s Interior - Baseline mission

Earth’s Environment“One man’s noise is another man’s data”

SWARM Mission Living Planet ESA - EOP

Selected by Earth Observation Program Board - Launch 2009

Electric Field Instrument (Ion Drift Meter) provided by CSA in collaboration with ESA Science Programme

Optimisation of GEOSPACE science - additional electroninstrument “Conducto-meter”discussed…

Page 25: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

L1 + polar trip-star project

New KuaFu - New KuaFu - selected for Phase Bselected for Phase BSolar Storm, Aurora and Space Weather Exploration Solar Storm, Aurora and Space Weather Exploration

Launch Date: 2012

Pre-study supported by the National NSF of China

Page 26: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

KuaFu-A at L1 Solar EUV emission White light CME Radio wave measurement local plasma and magnetic field High energy particles

KuaFu-B1+B2 polar orbit

24 hours Aurora Image Apogee + Perig. Magnetic field High energy particles

Page 27: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Solar Wind, Aurora and Storms exploration (SWASE) - recently de-selected

Near-Earth SolarWind Monitor

Aurora Monitor

Magnetosphere Monitor

Ionosphere & Thermosphere Monitor

Proposed by: Professor Z.X.Liu of CSSAR, Chinese Academy of Sciences (elements of SWASE will be added to “New KuaFu”)

Page 28: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

ESA’s Cosmic Vision, 2015-2025

Themes:1. What are the conditions for life and planetary formation?2. How does the Solar System work?

1. From the Sun to the edge of the Solar System“First, the hierarchy of scales in the magnetosphere (e.g. M3,

Magnetospheric SWARM)”

2. Gaseous Giants and their Moons3. The Building Blocks of the Solar System: Asteroids and Small Bodies

3. What are the fundamental laws of the Universe?4. How did the Universe originate and what is it made of?

Giovanni Bignami, chairman SSAC, 10 May 2005

Page 29: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Three scales of plasmas – shocks as an example

Orientation, motion, curvature,

foreshock

Shock

Ion reflection, reformation,

thermalisation, downstream waves

Electron reflection, acceleration, electric

fields

Page 30: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Cross-Scale – key conceptsCross-Scale – key concepts Spacecraft on a hierarchy of scales

Electron group Electron instruments 3 axis electric and magnetic fields

Ion group Fast ion instruments Magnetic field instruments

Fluid group Bulk plasma and field instruments Energetic particles

Note Need different instrumentation at each scale Other agencies could provide one or more scales

Page 31: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

Cross-Scale - The ESA context

• Cosmic Vision 2015-2025

• Relative to other CV mission concepts, Cross-Scale is:– Cheap: <€300M, baseline of single Soyuz-Fregat launch– Quick: early in programme - by 2015?– Easy: no technological show-stoppers

• Potential for international collaboration: JAXA– SCOPE: 5-s/c mission for cross-scale plasma dynamics– Led by M. Fujimoto ISAS

First inter-agency discussions at two ESA /JAXA Bilaterals

Page 32: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

European ILWS Strategy in an Overview

Major ESA Support

or ESA – ledModest ESA Support

Strong ESA/SCI endorsement

1 Sun and Solar Wind

Energy Source

Soho & Ulysses ext.

Solar Orbiter

BC–MMO SolarSent.

Solar – B grnd. stat.

Coronagraph

Stereo grnd. stat

L1 mission(s)> KuaFu

Solar - ISS

Proba - 2

2a Ionosphere -

Thermosphere

Energy depositionSwarm

To be identified

Demeter

Ravens -> KuaFu

2b Magnetosphere

Energy conversion

Cluster / DSP extension

M 3 development

NLM’s

candidates tbi

Orbitals

Frisbee

National Multi-Sats

3 Sun and Climate

End-to-End Observ. _ TSI M of Opp / C-Ph

Picard & Earthshine _

4 Data Exploitation,

Analysis & Models

Cluster Active Archive (CAA)

SDO DB or EN-SVO

Stereo / Solar–B GrSt

Model and Theory

Space Weather / GB

Page 33: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

SCOPE – the Japanese connectionSCOPE – the Japanese connection

Proposed ISAS five-spacecraft mission

Focus on electron dynamics at shocks and reconnection sites

Potential for incorporating SCOPE as the inner scale of Cross-Scale

This is only one possible scenario!

Page 34: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

From Cornilleau et al., 2005

Cluster

DSP-TC-1

Magnetopause EXAMPLE :

M-Pause crossing

on Febr. 22, 2004TC1: 19:30 UT sub-solar

Cluster: 20:10 UT high lat.

=> Delta t = 40 min

[Crossings so far:

21 within 1 hour and

only 4 within 15 mins]

Page 35: Hermann.Opgenoorth@esa.int The ESA Science Programme: Status of Solar and Solar Terrestrial Missions and other initiatives of interest for Space Weather

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Double Star

From Cornilleau et al., 2005

10 times higher wave power at subsolar MP as compared to high latitude MP ==> Reconnection more likely at subsolar MP ?