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H E L E N G R O U P
The demographic challenge,porspects for 2100
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Table of Contents
Global Demographic Facts &
Evolution
ASIA
CHINA
INDIA
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Global Demographic Facts
The Population growth is based on four basic factors:
The development of the birth rate
The size of infant mortality
The increasing or decreasing trend in life expectancy
The direction of migration flows
Factors determining the progress and quality of life :
The geographical framework
The stability and legitimacy of institutions
The demographic trend
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Global Population evolution
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ASIA
The Asian continent has the 60,4% of the worldspopulation (4,164
billion people) China & India stand for 37,3%
Population has tripled over 1950-2010 with a rate of2.3 children
per woman in the last five years. In 1950-55 perido it was 5,8
children/woman
Life expectancy has risen from 43 to 69 years of age(close to
the worlds average) Record of 67% of the total population in
working age (15-64)
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CHINA
China is the most populated country in the world with1,3 billion
people (19,5% of the world)
Growth has slow down and soon it will face itsdemographic
decline.
(1950 to 2010: leaders of growth
in average) Demographic decline Birth rate droped from 6,1
children in 1950-50 to 1,6 in 2005-10
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
1950 to 1980 1980 to 2000 2000 to 2010
%
Growth
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CHINA
Two main reasons for the Demographic decline:
1 Official one child policy Launched in 1980 to limit the
demographic birth rate.
Only 90 M vs 400 M (if it hadnt been aplied)
Possible consequences: Population > 60 years old has
increased (from 10% to 13%)
Life expectancy at birth in 2010 is 72.7 years
Population < 17 years old has declined (from 23% to 17%)
Social economic development in danger
Imbalance beteween sexes (lack of girls). 24 M boys will not
find a partner over the next decade
2 Family size restricted Due to transition towards economic
development
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CHINA
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INDIA
Second largest population in the world1.22billion
17.8% of the worlds population on only 2.4% of the
worlds land mass
About 1/3 the size of the U.S.
First in the world to adopt family planning programs in
1950s
1/3 (343 million) of the people are hungry
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Indian Population
Life Expectancy is the expected number of years of life
remaining at a given age.
37.9 in 1950-55 , 64.2 in 2005-2010 for India
Infant mortality ratedeath rate among children one year
old or younger
India 60 per 1,000
Total fertility rate-average number of children that women
in a specific population will bear in a lifetime
Indiaaverage women bears 2.91 children, as of 2010.
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Population pyramid
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Indian Population v/s GDP
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7uKz1BfJefchttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7uKz1BfJefc
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THANK YOU!
