HDFC Bank Q1FY12 Result Update

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  • 8/6/2019 HDFC Bank Q1FY12 Result Update

    1/3

    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    NG TERM INVESTMENT CALL

    HOLD20 July 2011

    Company Report | Q1FY12 Result Update

    Q1FY12 Result Highlights

    HDFC Bank (HDFCB) delivered another strong quarter growth,with net profit increasing by 33.7% to INR 10.8 Bn YoY. This was

    supported by strong loan growth of 29.1% YoY to INR 1.76 Tn.

    Deposits grew 15.4% YoY to INR 2.11 Tn, while the CASA ratio

    stood at 49.1%.

    In Q1FY12 net interest income grew by 18.6% YoY to INR 28.48 Bnsupporting core net interest margins (NIMs) which were stable at

    4.2% on account of increasing advances and stable CASA. Going

    forward, margins are likely to remain stable within the range 3.9%

    to 4.3%.

    The non interest income for the quarter grew by 19.1% to INR 11.2Bn YoY, primarily contributed by fees and commissions of INR

    9.22 Bn (up 15.9% compared to INR 7.96 Bn in Q1FY11) and

    foreign exchange/derivative revenues of INR 2.3 Bn (up 33.9%

    against INR 1.7 Bn in Q1FY11). Given the increase in bond yields,

    HDFC Bank incurred a loss on revaluation/sale of investments of

    INR 412.9 Mn for Q1FY12 as compared to a gain of INR 215 Mn

    for Q1FY11. Cost to income ratio increased to 48.7% in Q1FY12

    from 47.6% YoY.

    The banks asset quality remained healthy in Q1FY12 on the backof lower slippages. The gross & net NPAs declined to 1.04% &

    0.18% from 1.21% & 0.28% in Q1FY11 respectively. NPA coverage

    ratio improved to 83% from 77% YoY. It also maintained a healthy

    capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 16.9% with tier I capital of 11.4%

    in Q1FY11.

    Outlook & Valuation

    Going forward, HDFC Bank is expected to keep ~24% of credit

    growth & also expected to maintain the CASA ratio at ~50%. On the

    back of continuous growth momentum, strong business & credit

    growth, improvement in asset quality & strong capital adequacy,HDFC bank commands a premium in its valuations. At the CMP

    stock trades at 4.1x its FY12E book value. We have HOLD rating on

    the stock for a target price of INR 520.

    Industry Banking

    CMP (INR) 510Target (INR) 520

    52 week High/Low (INR) 516/498

    Market Cap (INR BN) 1192

    3M Avg. Daily Volumes 834410

    P/BV FY12E 4.1x

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters

    23%

    FII

    29%

    Others

    37%

    Institutions

    11% Stock Performance

    300

    Jul

    Sep

    Nov

    Jan

    Mar

    May

    Jul

    HDFCB NSE Nifty

    Performance (%)

    1 Month 3 Months 1 Year

    HDFCB 11.1 8.8 24.7

    NIFTY 6.8 -2.2 4.2* Source: Ace, Unicon Research

    (INR in mn)

    Particulars Actual Estimates

    NII 28480 30929

    Operating Profit 20334 23388

    PAT 10850 12800* Source: Ace, Unicon Research

    Analyst

    Shweta Rane | [email protected]

  • 8/6/2019 HDFC Bank Q1FY12 Result Update

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    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    Financials(INR in mn)

    Q1 FY12 Q1 FY11 Y-o-Y Q4 FY11 Q-o-Q

    Interest income 59780 44202 35.24 54686 9.32

    Interest expense 31300 20190 55.03 26291 19.05

    Net Interest Income 28480 24011 18.61 28395 0.30

    Other Income 11200 9399 19.17 12558 -10.81

    Total Operating income 39680 33410 18.77 40952 -3.11

    Operating expenditure 19346 15923 21.50 19984 -3.19

    Operating Profit 20334 17487 16.28 20969 -3.03

    Operating Profit (%) 34.01 39.56 -554 bps 38.34 -432 bps

    Provisions 4437 5550 -20.06 4313 2.86

    PBT 15897 11937 33.18 16655 -4.55Tax 5047 3820 32.13 5508 -8.37

    PAT 10850 8117 33.67 11147 -2.67

    EPS (INR.) 23.24 17.66 31.64 23.96 -2.99

    NIMs 4.2 4.3 -9 bps 4.2 0 bpsSource: Company, Unicon Research *Standalone

  • 8/6/2019 HDFC Bank Q1FY12 Result Update

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    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    Unicon Investment Ranking Methodology

    Rating Buy Accumulate Hold Reduce Sell

    Return Range >= 20% 10% to 20% -10% to 10% -10% to -20%