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HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
Ruth J. Corbett, MSN, ARNP, CCRCGastroenterology Advanced Practice Nurse, Specialty CareDepartment of Veteran AffairsKansas City, Missouri
This program is supported by an educational grant from
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hep
Program DirectorEmmet B. Keeffe, MD, MACPProfessor of MedicineCo-Director, Liver Transplant ProgramChief of HepatologyStanford University School of MedicinePalo Alto, California
FacultyRuth J. Corbett, MSN, ARNP, CCRC, has disclosed that she is a member of the speakers’ bureau for Roche and Schering-Plough.Emmet B. Keeffe, MD, MACP, has disclosed that he has received grants or research support from Roche. He has received consulting fees from Idenix, Roche, and Valeant. He has received fees for non-CME services from Roche and Schering-Plough.StaffJenny Schulz, PhD, has no significant financial relationships to disclose.Gordon Kelley has no significant financial relationships to disclose.Edward King, MA, has no significant financial relationships to disclose.
Faculty and Disclosures
FacultyRuth J. Corbett, MSN, ARNP, CCRCGastroenterology Advanced Practice Nurse, Specialty CareDepartment of Veteran AffairsKansas City, Missouri
Goals and Benefits of HCV Therapy
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Nearly 4 million persons in United States infected
– Approximately 35,000 new cases yearly
– 85% of new cases become chronic
10,000-20,000 HCV-related deaths per year
– Number expected to triple in next 10-20 years
Leading cause of
– Chronic liver disease
– Cirrhosis
– Liver cancer
– Liver transplantation
CDC. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1998;47;1-39. NIH Consensus Conference Statement. Available at: http://consensus.nih.gov/2002/2002HepatitisC2002116html.htm. Accessed September 25, 2006.
Hepatitis C Virus Infection:Magnitude of the Problem
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepLindsay KL. Hepatology. 2002;36(suppl 1):S114-S120.
Goals of HCV Therapy
Primary goal of treatment is to eradicate the virus
Additional goals
– Slow disease progression
– Minimize risk of hepatocellular carcinoma
– Improve liver histology
– Enhance quality of life
– Prevent transmission of virus
– Reduce extrahepatic manifestations
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Drug Recommended Dosage
Pegylated interferons
Peginterferon alfa-2b
Peginterferon alfa-2a
1.5 µg/kg SQ once weekly combined with RBV; 1.0 µg/kg SQ once weekly monotherapy
180 µg SQ once weekly combined with ribavirin or as monotherapy
Interferon alfacon-1 9 µg SQ TIW; 15 µg TIW for nonresponders
Ribavirin 800-1400 mg PO daily depending on weight and genotype
PEG-IntronTM [package insert]. Kenilworth, NJ: Schering Corporation; 2003. Pegasys [package insert]. Nutley, NJ: Hoffmann-La Roche Inc; 2003. Modified from Strader DB et al. Hepatology 2004;39:1147-1171.
Overview of Current FDA-Approved Treatments for HCV
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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SVR Rates: Progress in the Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C
McHutchison J, et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1485-1492. Poynard T, et al. Lancet. 1998;352: 1426-1432.
100
80
60
40
20
0
19
43
6
IFN24 Weeks
IFN48 Weeks
IFN/RBV48 Weeks
SVR Rates With Standard Interferon
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Peginterferon alfa-2b 1.5 µg/kg/wk + ribavirin 800 mg/d for 48 weeks
Peginterferon alfa-2a 180 µg/wk + weight-based ribavirin (1000 or 1200 mg/d) for 48 weeks
SVR Rates: Progress in the Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C
Manns M, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965. Fried MW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;347: 975-982.
46
76
56
Overall Genotype1
Genotype2/3
n = 298 n = 140n = 453
42
82
100
80
60
40
20
0
54
Overall Genotype1
Genotype2/3
Su
stai
ned
Vir
olo
gic
R
esp
on
se (
%)
n = 348 n = 163n = 511
Predicting Response to HCV Therapy
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepAlberti A, et al. J Hepatol. 1999;31(suppl 1):17-24.
Virus
Viral loadHCV genotypeQuasispecies
Environment
Alcohol or drugsHBV coinfectionHIV coinfection
SteatosisIron
NASH
Factors That May Influence the Outcome of Hepatitis C
Host
SexAge
RaceGenetics
Immune responseDuration of Infection
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Baseline Factor Sustained Virologic Response Rates
PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV OR PegIFN alfa-2b + RBV
HCV RNA, %[1,2]
< 2 x 106 copies/mL > 2 x 106 copies/mL
62-7842-53
Genotype, %[1,2]
2 or 3 1
76-8242-46
Genotype 1 and high viral load, % 30-41
Liver histology, %[1,2]
Stage 0-2 Stage 3-4
55-5741-44
Age[1,2] Older age, lower SVR*
Weight[1,2] Higher weight, lower SVR*
Race, %[3,4]
Black White
5219-28*Logistic regression analysis, P ≤ .002.
1. Manns MP, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965. 2. Fried MW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;347: 975-982. 3. Muir AJ, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;350:2265-2271. 4. Conjeevaram HS, et al. 2006;131:470-477.
Predictors of Sustained Virologic Response: Fixed Factors
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepPawlotsky JM. Hepatology. 2002;36(suppl 1):S65-S73. Sethi A, et al. Clin Liver Dis. 2005;9:453-471.
Virologic Monitoring Markers and Definitions of Response to TreatmentRapid Virologic Response (RVR)
HCV RNA undetectable by Week 4
Early Virologic Response (EVR)
≥ 2 log decline in HCV RNA by Week 12
End of Treatment (EOT) Response
Undetectable HCV RNA at end of treatment
Partial Virologic Response
≥ 2 log decline in HCV RNA by Week 12, but HCV RNA detectable at Week 24
Sustained Virologic Response (SVR)
HCV RNA negativity 12-24 weeks after treatment end
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepPawlotsky JM. Hepatology. 2002;36(suppl 1):S65-S73.Sethi A, et al. Clin Liver Dis. 2005;9:453-471.
Virologic Monitoring Markers and Definitions of Response to TreatmentNull Response HCV RNA decline < 2 log10 IU/mL by Week 12
NonresponseFailure to achieve HCV RNA undetectability at any time point during therapy
Virologic Breakthrough
Decline in HCV RNA to undetectable levels followed by return of HCV RNA despite continued treatment
RelapseEnd of treatment response followed by return of HCV RNA after treatment discontinuation
Positive Predictive Value (PPV)
Given a positive response, what the chance is that an SVR will occur
Negative Predictive Value (NPV)
Given a negative response, what the chance is that an SVR will not occur
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Days on Treatment
Patterns of Response to Initial Antiviral Therapy
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0 1 2 3 7 14 21 28
Nonresponder
Flat-partial responder
Slow-partial responder
Rapid responder
Second phase
First phase
Limit of detection
HC
V R
NA
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-6 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78
Weeks
HC
V R
NA
(lo
g I
U/m
L)
2 log decline
Limit ofdetection
PegIFN/RBV
RelapseBreakthrough
Nonresponse
Treatment of Chronic HCV Infection:Nonresponse, Breakthrough, Relapse
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Virologic monitoring to predict response can provide the following benefits to the patient and clinician
– Limits unnecessary exposure to therapy
– Identifies treatment failure
– Justifies early discontinuation in those responding poorly
– Limits treatment toxicity
– Limits cost for those unlikely to respond
– Identifies optimal duration of treatment
– Provides incentive to continue therapy
Benefits of a Thorough Virologic Monitoring Strategy
Sanchez-Tapias JM. AASLD 2004. Abstract 125. Jensen DM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2000;343:1673-1680. Davis GL, et al. Hepatology. 2003;38:645.
The Predictive Value of Week 12 and Week 4 HCV RNA
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Davis GL. Hepatology. 2002;36(suppl 1):S145-S151. NIH Consens State Sci Statements. 2002;19:1-46. Fried MW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;34:7975-7982. Manns MP, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965.
Week 12 Stopping Rule: Patients Without EVR Unlikely to Achieve SVR Week 12 viral kinetics predictor of SVR
– Only 1.6% of patients who fail to meet EVR criteria achieve SVR (NPV: 98.4%)
– 2 log cutoff at Week 12 optimal for predicting response
Poor PPV of Week 12 EVR (68%)
– Week 12 HCV RNA predictor of treatment failure but not predictor of success in achieving SVR
Week 12 stopping rule included in current guidelines
– ~ 20% of patients can stop early, lowering total treatment costs by 16% and decreasing unnecessary side effects
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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PPV of HCV RNAUndetectability Determining SVR
8680 76
0
20
40
60
80
100
Week 4 Week 12 Week 24
PP
V f
or
SV
R (
%)
Time to Undetectable HCV RNA
Davis GL. Hepatology. 2002;36(suppl 1):S145-S151. Fried MW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2002;34:7975-7982. Manns MP, et al. Lancet. 2001;358:958-965.
Pooled data from PegIFN alfa-2b/RBV and PegIFN alfa-2a/RBV phase III trials
Time to Undetectable HCV RNA Identified as Best Predictor of SVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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End-of-treatment response
SVR91 90 90
13
91
6048
20
20
40
60
80
100
Week 4Week 12Week 24
NegativeNegativeNegative
< 2 log dropNegativeNegative
< 2 log drop> 2 log drop
Negative
Any dropAny dropPositive
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
Ferenci P, et al. J Hepatol. 2005;43:425-433.
Relationship Between SVR and Time to HCV RNA Undetectability Retrospective analysis of genotype 1 patients receiving
48 weeks of PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hep1. Drusano GL, et al. J Infect Dis. 2004;189:964-970.2. Tang KH, et al. EASL 2005. Abstract 609.
Retrospective analysis of PegIFN alfa-2b/RBV dataset evaluated predictors of SVR in genotype 1[1]
– 32 weeks of HCV RNA negative: 80% chance of SVR
– 36 weeks of HCV RNA negative: 90% chance of SVR
Prospective study of viral kinetics and SVR evaluated in genotype 1 patients on PegIFN alfa-2a/RBV[2]
– Minimum time of HCV RNA negativity on therapy to achieve high SVR rates (80%) was 24 weeks
Longer Duration of Undetectability on Treatment Increases Chance for SVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Wk 4Wk 0 Wk 12 Wk 24 Wk 48 (EOT)
HCV RNA undetectable for 44 weeks
HCV RNA undetectable for 36 weeks
HCV RNA undetectable for 24 weeks
Time to HCV RNA negativity
Rate of Viral Decline DeterminesPeriod of HCV RNA Negativity
Modified from figure by Michael Fried, MD.
Shorter Treatment Duration for Genotype 1 Patients
Reaching RVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepJensen DM, et al. Hepatology. 2006;43:954-960.
24 weeks 48 weeks
9788
93 91
0
20
40
60
80
100
EOT SVR
70
23
63
44
Outcomes in Patients With RVR According to Treatment Length
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
Retrospective analysis of multinational, randomized, phase III study: PegIFN alfa-2a + weight-based RBV (N = 740)
EOT SVR0
20
40
60
80
100
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
Outcomes in Patients Without RVR According to Treatment Length
Shorter Treatment Duration in Genotype 1 Patients With RVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepFerenci P, et al. EASL 2006. Abstract 8.
Patients with undetectable HCV RNA by Week 4 on PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV treated for total of 24 weeks– SVR rate for Week 4 responders (per-protocol analysis)
– Overall: 87% – Genotype 1: 84% – Genotype 4: 100%
Higher baseline, Week 4 viral load predictive of relapse
Baseline Viral Load (IU/mL)
Relapse Rate Based on Week 4 Viral Load (ITT Analysis)
7 51522
10
38
0
20
40
60
80
100
All Patients < 600,000 ≥ 600,000
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
< 10 IU/mL10-49 IU/mL
Week 4 HCV RNA
Week 4 Response as a Predictor of SVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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24 vs 48 weeks PegIFN alfa-2b + RBV in genotype 1 patients with low viral load (< 600,000 IU/mL)
– 24-week group received weight-based RBV
– 48-week group received 800 mg/day RBV (historical controls)
89
2517
50
8593
67 71
Week 4 Week 12 Week 24 Total
24 weeks48 weeks
SVR According to Time to First Negative HCV RNA
Pat
ien
ts W
ith
SV
R
Treatment Duration
Time to First Negative HCV RNAZeuzem S, et al. J. Hepatol. 2006;44:97-103.
0
20
40
60
80
100
Shorter Treatment for Genotype 1 and Low Baseline Viral Load
Extended Treatment Duration for Genotype 1
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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53 54
0
20
40
60
80
100
17
29
P = .04
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
n = 100 n = 106n = 230 n = 225
Overall SVRSVR Among Patients HCV RNA
Positive at Week 12
Week 48 Week 72
Berg T, et al. Gastroenterology. 2006;130:1086-1097.
48 vs 72 weeks of PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV 800 mg/day in genotype 1 patients
Longer Treatment Duration May Be Beneficial for Slow Responders
Week 48 Week 72
P = NS
0
20
40
60
80
100
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hep
32.0
48.0
4.8
45.0
13.0 18.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
SVR Relapse Discontinuation
48 weeks (n = 161) 72 weeks (n = 165)
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
Sanchez-Tapias J, et al. AASLD 2004. Abstract 126.
Patients who failed to achieve RVR randomized to 48 or 72 weeks of PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV 800 mg/day
Longer Treatment Duration May Be Beneficial for Slow Responders
P = .014 P = .005
Evaluating Shorter Treatment Duration in Genotype 2/3
Rapid Responders
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepDalgard O, et al. Hepatology. 2004;40:1260-1265.
90
10
56
26
0
20
40
60
80
100
SVR Relapse
RVR, received 14 weeks (n = 95)
No RVR, received 24 weeks (n = 27)
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
PegIFN alfa-2b + weight-based RBV
– 14 weeks for patients with RVR; 24 weeks for patients without RVR
Shorter Treatment in Genotype 2/3 Patients Achieving RVR
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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82
13
80
5
Von Wagner M, et al. Gastroenterology. 2005;129:522-527.
0
20
40
60
80
100
SVR Relapse
16 weeks (n = 71)
24 weeks (n = 71)
Patients with RVR received 16 or 24 weeks PegIFN alfa-2a + weight-based RBV
Shorter Treatment in Genotype 2/3 Patients Achieving RVR
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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PegIFN alfa-2b + weight-based RBV– 12 weeks for patients with RVR; 24 weeks for patients
without RVR
No RVR, received 24 weeks (n = 80)85
10
64
6
Mangia A et al. N Engl J Med. 2005;352:2609-2617.
0
20
40
60
80
100
SVR Relapse
RVR, received 12 weeks (n = 133)
Shorter Treatment in Genotype 2/3 Patients Achieving RVR
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
clinicaloptions.com/hepShiffman M, et al. EASL 2006. Abstract 734.
82
27
90
49
SVR Rates in Patients With or Without SVR: 16 vs 24 Weeks of Treatment
P < .001
P = .0007
0
20
40
60
80
100
Patients With RVR Patients Without RVR
16 weeks (n = 732)
24 weeks (n = 732)
Genotype 2/3 patients treated with PegIFN alfa-2a + RBV 800 mg/day for 16 vs 24 weeks
Poorer Responses With 16 vs 24 Weeks in Genotype 2/3 Patients
Pat
ien
ts (
%)
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Summary of Shortened Treatment Duration for Genotypes 2 and 3 Mixed results on probability of SVR in patients with
24 weeks of therapy vs shorter durations
– Higher relapse rate with shorter duration
– Largest study suggests need for 24 weeks of therapy
Need more data on how shorter duration affects patients with cirrhosis, high HCV RNA levels at baseline
Summary: Using Virologic Monitoring in Your Practice
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Week 4 RVR reached
Genotype 1 Genotype 2/3
Week 12 EVR not reached
Slow response (EVR, not HCV RNA undetectable until Week 24)
Reduction to 24 weeks total treatment time
may be possible
Data mixed: continue through Week 24 if
RVR achieved
Guidelines recommend treatment be stopped
Guidelines recommend treatment be stopped
Extension of treatment duration to 72 weeks
may improve SVR rates
Using Virologic Monitoring in Your Practice
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Summary: Benefits of Virologic Monitoring In addition to host and environmental predictors of SVR,
frequent virologic monitoring has key impact on treatment decisions
By using Week 4 and Week 12 HCV RNA markers, treatment failures can be predicted early
Predictive negative value from Week 4 and Week 12 HCV RNA levels justify early discontinuation
Early virologic monitoring can limit unnecessary exposure, toxicity, and cost from treatment
Early responses can provide incentive to continue therapy
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Virologic monitoring can identify optimal duration of treatment in genotype 1 and 4
– Week 12 HCV RNA showing a drop of ≤ 2 log10 now commonly used to identify those unlikely to respond
– Emerging data suggest that 24 weeks of therapy may be effective for genotype 1 patients who achieved an RVR
– Patients who do not achieve undetectable HCV RNA before Week 24 have ~ 50% chance of relapsing after 48 weeks of therapy
– Studies show that these slow responders may benefit from extended treatment
Summary: Virologic Monitoring in Genotype 1 and 4 Patients
HCV On-Treatment Virologic Monitoring: Impact on Treatment Decisions
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Virologic monitoring can identify optimal duration of therapy in genotypes 2 and 3
– Mixed results on whether genotype 2/3 patients achieving RVR can reduce treatment duration to < 24 weeks
– Largest study to date suggests 24 weeks optimal duration
HCV on-treatment virologic monitoring can have a positive impact on treatment decisions and patient outcomes
Summary: Virologic Monitoring in Genotype 2 and 3 Patients
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