Hawaii Education Data Profile - May 2011

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    HOW WELL IS HAWAIIPREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good job requires some education beyond high school such as anassociates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completionof an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high schoolwithout the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doorsand limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-ReadyExpectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESSThe changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ationR equ ir eme nts Thro ug h 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) WorkforceRequire More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The F ut ur e of Mi ddle-Sk i ll Jobs.B rookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (buttypically less than a bachelors degree), including associatesdegrees, vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bri dge to a N ew E c ono my : Wor ke r Trainin g Fi ll s th e Ga p.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).S tat e Mi ddle Sk i ll Fa c t S hee ts . http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/

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    Education and Training B eyond High SchoolIs Increasingly B eing Demanded

    8Source:B ureau of Labor Statistics. O ccup ationa l O u t l ook H an d boo k, 2010 -11 E d ition.

    http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A

    Matt e r of Deg r ee s : Tomorro w s Fast e st Gro w ing Jobs an d Why Co mmu nity Co llege Gra du at e s Wi ll Ge t Them . TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    Hawaii should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in theCensus B ureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it iscommon sense to provide all students with a strong foundation thatkeeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or Training B eyond High Schoolis Necessary for Future Success

    10

    To really get ahead in life, aperson needs at least someeducation beyond highschool, whether that meansuniversity, communitycollege, technical or vocational school.

    To really get ahead inlife, a person needs morethan just a high schooleducation.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). A c hi ev ing the Possib le: What A me ri c ans Thin k the Co llege an d Car ee r -R e ad y A ge nd a. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 4 0 50 60% Young Adults (25-3 4 ) with College Degree % Adults (25-6 4 ) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. ( 4 0%) Canada ( 44 %) Canada (5 4 %) Korea (58%) Canada ( 4 9%)

    2 Canada ( 4 0%) Japan ( 4 3%) Japan ( 4 8%) Canada (56%) Japan ( 4 3%)

    3 N.Z. (3 4 %) U.S. ( 4 0%) Finland ( 44 %) Japan (55%) U.S. ( 4 1%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. ( 4 3%) N.Z. ( 4 8%) N.Z. ( 4 0%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea ( 4 3%) Norway ( 4 6%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. ( 4 0%) Ireland ( 4 5%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark ( 4 3%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) B elgium ( 4 2%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia ( 4 2%) Denmark (3 4 %)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. ( 4 2%) Ireland (3 4 %)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden ( 4 1%) Switz. (3 4 %)12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France ( 4 1%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (2 4 %) B elgium (29%) B elgium (35%) Neth. ( 4 0%) B elgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (2 4 %) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 B elgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: Hawaii (42 % ) HI (4 % ) HI (42 % ) HI (43 % )

    Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

    12Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROPOUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH

    SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES

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    Of Every 100 9 th Graders in Hawaii

    14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). S t ude nt Pi pel ine - Transition an d Co mple tion Rat e sfrom 9th Gra de to Co llege . http://www.higheredinfo.org

    01020304 05060708090

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear of College

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    8

    43

    2

    13

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8 th Grade Achievement Over Time

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8 th Grade Math 1 2 2

    Hawaii 1 4 % 25%

    U.S. 21% 3 4 %

    8 th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    Hawaii 19% 22%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8 th Grade Science 1 2

    Hawaii 15% 17%

    U.S. 29% 30%

    % At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Hawaiis 8 th Grade Achievement Gap

    16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8 th Grade Math

    (2 )8 th Grade

    Reading (2 )8 th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 25% 22% 2 4 %

    White 31% 35% 30%

    B lack 21% 20% 15%

    Hispanic 26% 2 4 % 25%

    Asian/Pacific Islanders 25% 19% 1 4 %

    American Indian n/a n/a n/a

    % At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates RemainInequitable in Hawaii

    17Source: Education Week (2007). Gra du ation in th e Unit ed S tat e s .http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/3 4 sos_gradrate.pdf

    0%10%20%30%4 0%50%60%70%80%90%

    AmericanIndian Asian/Pacific

    IslandersHispanicB lackhite

    All

    5 1%

    81 %

    56%5 4%

    77 %69% 6 3%66%

    6 2%60%6 3%65%

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping inHigh School Graduation Rates

    18Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 4 0 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    Hawaii

    % Young Adults (25-3 4 ) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-6 4 ) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee- Grantin g Posts ec ond ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness in Hawaii

    20Source: Hawaii P-20 Partnerships for Education College and Career Indicators ReportClass of 2009 http://www.p2 0 hawaii.org/node/11 5

    Percentage of Hawaii first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation, 2 009

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are MoreLikely to Require Remediation

    21Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee-Grantin g Posts ec on d ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

    0%5%

    0%5%

    20%25%30%

    35%4 0%4 5%

    Reading, Writingor MathReadingWriting

    Math

    42 %

    19%23%

    34 %

    24 %

    6%8%13 %

    2-Year Colleges 4 -Year Colleges

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    How Many College Students Return Their Sophomore Year and Go On To EarnDegrees?

    22Source: Measuring Up (2008).The Nationa l R ep ort Car d on H i g he r E duc ation

    .http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics(2003), R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee- Grantin g Posts ec ond ary Instit u tions in Fa ll 2000 .

    U.S.

    Hawaii

    0%10%20%30%4 0%50%

    60%70%80%

    Completion ( 4 -Year)Persistence ( 4 -Year)Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    76%

    5 3%46%

    6 8%

    5 1%

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    23Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). R e t e ntion Rat e s -First -Ti me Co llege Fr e sh me n R e t urning The ir Sec on d Y e ar ; Gra du ation Rat e s .http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    U.S.

    Hawaii

    0%

    20%

    4 0%

    60%

    80%

    Completion ( 4 -Year)Persistence ( 4 -

    Year)Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    75%

    5 4%

    42 %

    6 7%

    56%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn aDegree in Hawaii

    24Source: NCES. IPED S Gra du ation Rat e Su r ve y , analyzed by National Center for Management of Higher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelors degreewithin six years in Hawaii, 2 00 7

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have TakenHarder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    25Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Risin g to th e Cha llenge: A r e H i g h Sc hoo l Gra du at e s Pr ep ar ed for Co llege an d Wor k ? Hawaii, DC: Achieve.

    Would have takenmore challengingcourses in at leastone area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANTHIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    27

    Personal B enefits of Education in Hawaii

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts andgraduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit y than jobsheld by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    28Source: U.S. Census B ureau (2010). C urr e nt Po pul ation Su r ve y . Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal B enefits of Education in Hawaii

    H a w aii S tatisti c s : Tota l Unempl oy me nt : 7% , M e an In c ome: $42 ,55 8

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    29Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ation R equ ir eme nts Thro ug h

    2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf Analysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    B enefits to Education

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    30Source: ACT (2010). A CT 2009 R e s ul ts . http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College B oard. M e an 2010 S A T Sc or e s by S tat e . http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    Hawaiis Students Taking College Admissions Exams

    20 10 Hawaii U.S.

    Participation in ACT 22% 4 7%

    Average ACT Score 21.6 21

    Participation in SAT 58% 4 7%

    Average SAT Score 14 58 1509

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    31Source: ACT (2010). Co llege R e ad ine ss B e nc hmar k A ttain me nt by S tat e .http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College ReadinessB enchmark

    0%10%20%30%

    4 0%50%60%70%

    English, 2010Reading, 2010Math, 2010Science, 2010

    All 4 tests, 2010

    66%

    5 2%

    43 %

    29%

    24 %

    70%

    5 3%5 2%

    30%25%

    Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark score

    Not e: A be nc hmar k s c or e ind i c at e s a 5 0% c han ce of obtainin g a B or hi g he r or abo u t a 7 5 % c han ce of obtainin g a C or hi g he r in the c orr e s pon d ing c r ed it -be arin g c ollege c ours e s.

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    32Source: College B oard (2011). A P R ep ort to th e Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in AdvancedPlacement and Exceeding College and Career Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 00 8)

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    THE SOLUTION:STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    34

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Hawaiis Commitment to Closing theExpectations Gap to Date

    35

    In 2 00 8, Hawaii increased the requirements for its voluntary Board of EducationRecognition Diploma now the Step Up Diploma raising it to the college- andcareer-ready level. The state has set measurable goals for increasing thepercentage of students completing the set of requirements over the next five years.

    As part of the Step Up requirements, students must pass an Algebra II end-of-course exam, which includes a college-ready cut score, used by higher educationfor admissions and placement decisions, as well as eligibility for certain statescholarships.

    Hawaii adopted the Common Core State Standards in May 2 0 10 .

    Hawaii is a Governing State in the SMARTER BALANCED AssessmentConsortium, a group of 2 9 states working to develop a common assessment

    system using Race to the Top Common Assessment funds.Hawaii was a Round 2 winner of the Race to the Top state competition.

    Hawaii has a P-2 0 data system that regularly matches student-level data across theK-12 and postsecondary systems, and produces annual College- and Career-Ready Indicator Reports for each high school in the state.

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    How Hawaii Can Continue toB uild on its Momentum

    Leverage Race to the Top funds to advance the states college- andcareer-ready agenda, and build support structures for students to ensurethey are fully prepared to meet the raised expectations.

    Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards byimplementing them fully and successfully, taking into consideration therelated curricular and policy changes.

    Make the Step Up Diploma the default requirement for all students inorder to send the right signal to students and ease their transition from highschool to college.

    Continue to make progress on the states data collection efforts,particularly around making student data available to relevant stakeholders.

    Re-examine the states K-12 accountability system to determine how itcan better reward measures of college and career readiness, in alignmentwith the states standards, course requirements and assessments.

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    HOW WELL IS HAWAIIPREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FORCOLLEGE, CAREERS AND

    LIFE

    May 2011