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This spreadsheet which pertains to the historical performance of the Gartley pattern, is one of 5 which I compiled from a sql server database containing 17 million rows of historical stock market data. The results are represented as the historical percent increase for the various ratios of the Gartley pattern.For a full description of the methodology, please refer to the Historical Harmonic Patterns document published by this same author.
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Bullish
#Matches1
Month
Later
Avg%Change1
Month Later
#Matches2
Months
Later
Avg%Change2
Months Later
#Matches3
Months
Later
Avg%Change3
Months Later
#Matches6
Months
Later
Avg%Change6
Months Later
#Matches1
Year Later
Avg%Change
1Year Later
0.618/0.382/1.618 132 4.51 131 7.67 132 4.73 131 10.17 120 21.29
0.618/0.447/1.414 25 7.26 26 5.69 26 12.86 25 21.79 24 37.15
0.618/0.447/1.618 148 5.91 148 9.56 149 8.8 148 14.44 121 24.39
0.618/0.500/1.270 66 4.83 68 7.09 66 6.8 65 17.26 54 23.77
0.618/0.500/1.414 213 3.6 220 3.35 217 4.59 209 7.72 177 19.36
0.618/0.500/1.618 219 3.35 216 4.13 216 6.68 213 9.87 181 18.58
0.618/0.618/1.270 429 3.15 449 5.82 441 7.96 439 12.02 380 18.88
0.618/0.618/1.414 279 2.22 278 4.29 279 6.87 284 13.76 228 17.96
0.618/0.618/1.618 179 2.84 181 3.62 178 1.53 183 4.98 154 13.85
0.618/0.707/1.270 607 3.65 616 4.32 610 5.42 614 12.02 508 17.28
0.618/0.707/1.414 286 2.71 292 4.47 291 5.08 284 11.08 243 16.28
0.618/0.707/1.618 86 1.81 85 1.76 89 1.21 89 4.36 73 16.63
0.618/0.786/1.270 612 1.44 618 3.36 609 4.57 622 8.63 530 15.53
0.618/0.786/1.414 314 2.42 315 3.19 311 2.11 317 8.64 250 14.8
0.618/0.786/1.618 11 5.77 11 15.4 11 20.32 11 18.69 10 45.11
0.618/0.886/1.270 1297 2.17 1319 3.59 1314 5.02 1327 9.13 1110 18.02
0.618/0.886/1.414 388 3.85 390 5.43 384 5.67 382 9.6 310 17.47
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GARTLEY Min 1 Month - Max 3 Months
0.786XA-Ratio
0.786XA 5291 2.86 5363 4.36 5323 5.29 5343 10.1 4473 17.82
AB=CD Ratio
AB=CD 5291 2.86 5363 4.36 5323 5.29 5343 10.1 4473 17.82
BC Ratio
1.270 3011 2.52 3070 4.1 3040 5.47 3067 10.19 2582 17.61
1.414 1505 3.06 1521 4.28 1508 5.01 1501 10.41 1232 17.5
1.618 775 3.78 772 5.55 775 5.14 775 9.13 659 19.22
Bearish
0.618/0.382/1.618 106 -7.35 101 -7.91 99 -9.12 104 -5.36 76 4.09
0.618/0.447/1.414 23 -6.42 23 -6.9 22 -10.82 23 -13.66 16 -7.64
0.618/0.447/1.618 92 -3.11 91 -3.55 94 -4.49 96 -0.86 76 12.04
0.618/0.500/1.270 50 -0.37 50 0.62 50 2.48 51 -1.11 43 2.73
0.618/0.500/1.414 141 -3.83 140 -3.17 140 -4.36 138 -2.56 114 3.66
0.618/0.500/1.618 147 -1.97 147 -2.31 150 0.48 148 2.69 120 12.5
0.618/0.618/1.270 485 -0.83 487 0.16 490 1.61 489 5.41 391 13.55
0.618/0.618/1.414 245 -1.9 247 -1.77 240 -0.84 250 1.07 207 7.18
0.618/0.618/1.618 191 -0.42 191 1.86 188 1.51 191 5.16 158 14.34
0.618/0.707/1.270 636 -0.59 630 -0.31 640 0.07 644 3.07 503 6.1
0.618/0.707/1.414 287 -1.26 291 -0.17 287 -0.09 290 2.18 242 7.92
0.618/0.707/1.618 96 -0.41 97 0.51 100 5.44 95 3.43 86 11.99
0.618/0.786/1.270 744 0.23 725 0.61 734 3.11 746 5.91 608 14.46
0.618/0.786/1.414 359 -0.09 357 0.39 359 1.6 356 5.55 306 12.62
0.618/0.786/1.618 11 -1.38 11 0.34 11 4.09 10 4.86 9 -3.2
0.618/0.886/1.270 1564 0.3 1555 1.43 1572 2.84 1577 7.11 1294 13.05
0.618/0.886/1.414 449 -0.56 441 0.21 449 1.05 443 5.29 376 13.15
0.786XA-Ratio
0.786XA 5626 -0.61 5584 0.12 5625 1.3 5651 4.58 4625 11.39
AB=CD Ratio
AB=CD 5626 -0.61 5584 0.12 5625 1.3 5651 4.58 4625 11.39
BC Ratio
1.270 3479 -0.04 3447 0.75 3486 2.21 3507 5.76 2839 12.03
1.414 1504 -1.2 1499 -0.57 1497 -0.02 1500 3.03 1261 9.92
1.618 643 -2.32 638 -1.65 642 -0.59 644 1.73 525 11.42
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