National Storage Industry ConsortiumTHIC 1/26/96

Hard Drive Research at NSIC

Barry H. SchechtmanExecutive Director

National Storage Industry Consortium

THIC MeetingDel Mar, CaliforniaJanuary 24, 1996

NSICMISS.DOC

NSICNSIC

INCORPORATED:

APRIL, 1991

MISSION:

INCREASE THE WORLDWIDECOMPETITIVENESS OF THE U.S.INFORMATION STORAGE INDUSTRY

STRATEGIC ELEMENTS:

• JOINT RESEARCH ON HIGH-RISK ADVANCEDSTORAGE TECHNOLOGIES

• OBTAIN GOVERNMENT FUNDING • TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS • MAXIMIZE VALUE OF UNIVERSITY RESEARCH • SPOKESBODY FOR INDUSTRY

National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96

Corporate Members

APPLIED MAGNETICS

CENSTOR

COMMONWEALTH SCIENTIFIC

CONNER PERIPHERALS

DATATAPE

DIGITAL INSTRUMENTS

EASTMAN KODAK

GTE GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS

HEADWAY TECHNOLOGIES

HEWLETT-PACKARD

HUGHES

HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY

IBM

INTEVAC VACUUM SYSTEMS

KLA INSTRUMENTS

KOMAG

MAXTOR

NONVOLATILE ELECTRONICS

ONTRACK COMPUTER SYSTEMS

OPTITEK

PACIFIC SIERRA RESEARCH

QUANTUM

READ-RITE

ROCHESTER PHOTONICS

ROCKWELL

ST-GOBAIN ADV MATERIALS

SDL

SEAGATE

STORAGETEK

STORMEDIA

TERABANK SYSTEMS

UNIPHASE

VEECO INSTRUMENTS

WESTERN DIGITAL

ZYGO

National Storage Industry Consortium 1/1/96

Associate Members

ALABAMAARIZONACAL TECH

CARNEGIE MELLONDAYTON

GEORGE WASHINGTONGEORGIA TECH

IDEMALAWRENCE LIVERMORE NAT’L LAB

LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LABMIT

MINNESOTANAT’L INST OF STDS & TECHNOLOGY

NATIONAL MEDIA LAB

NORTHWESTERNNEBRASKAOHIO STATEPENN STATEPITTSBURGH

RICESANTA CLARA

STANFORDSRI INTERNATIONAL

UC BERKELEYUCLA

UC SAN DIEGOUC SANTA BARBARAWASHINGTON UNIV

National Storage Industry Consortium IEEE-1/16/96

NSIC Research Projects

CURRENTSWAT: Compact Blue Laser Source

ATP (1991-96): 3 companies, 2 universities

HEADS: GMR Heads for 10 Gb/in 2

ATP (1992-97): 9 companies, 7 universities

UHDR: 10 Gb/in 2 Magnetic Disk Recording 1 TB/in3 Magnetic Tape Recording 2.5 Gb/in2 Optical Media

ARPA (1993-96): 14 companies, 16 universities

PRISM: Holographic Storage MaterialsARPA (1994-96): 6 companies, 1 university

HDSS: Holographic Storage SystemsARPA (1995-99): 7 companies, 4 universities

UCOD: 1 Terabyte Optical DiskATP (1995-99): 2 companies, 1 university

PENDINGEHDR: 40 Gbit/in 2 Magnetic Disk RecordingNASD: Network Attached Storage Devices

National Storage Industry Consortium

RDMPR1PM

National Storage Industry Consortium

Industry AD

Trend

(27% CAGR)

IBM 500

Mbit/sqin

demo

IBM

1Gb/sqin

demo

IBM

3Gb/sqin

demo

NSIC

10Gb/sqin

demo

NSIC

40Gb/sqin

demo

HG95_ALL.WR1

HG95ADR1

View.doc

P L E A S E T A K E N O T E :

60% CGR

Means

10

Every 5 Years

T h i s I s N o t E a s y ! !

National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95- 3

Overall Product Parameters

1995 2000 2005 Units

Areal Density 1 10 40 Gb/sq.in

Bit Density 100 K 400 K 800 K bits/in

Track Density 6 K 25 K 50 K tracks/in

Physical Spacing 50 15 < 5 nm

Data Rate(65 mm disk)

30-60 150-300 300-600 Mb/sec

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National Storage Industry Consortium NIST8/95- 11

More Paradigm Changes Likely

Heads: Inductive → MR → GMR → CMR?Ferrite → Plated Film → Thin Film/Laminate?

Media: Particles → Continuous → Discrete?Binder → Overcoat → Bare?

Head-Disk: Flying → Near-Contact → Contact?

Tracking: Sector → Continuous → Two-stage?

Channel: Analog → Digital → Enhanced Digital?

THIC20.doc

NSIC Report - “The Terabyte Wedge” TBW-6© 1995 National Storage Industry Consortium

Forecasting Future Terabyte Distribution

Scenarios for Terabyte Distribution by Segment

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%19

95

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Entertainment

Analog to Digital

Image in Business

Alphanumeric

NSIC Report - “The Terabyte Wedge” TBW-8© 1995 National Storage Industry Consortium

Home "Alpha"

Computing

On-line "Alpha"

Computing

Medical Imaging

Business "Alpha"

Computing

Motion Picture and Commercial Photography

Virtual Prototype

and TestingBusiness

Multimedia

Digital Libraries

Document Conversion

Consumer Photography

Video on Demand

Consumer Video

Games

Extreme Cost Sensitvity

High

Modest Cost Sensitivity

Low

Perform ance Requirements - F ile Size / Reso lution - Data Rates - Time t o First Data - Reliability - Dist ribution In frastructure

Cost Requi rements - HDD Cost - S ystems Cost - Distribut ion Costs - E tc.

Alphanumeric Computing

Analog to Dig ital Conversion

Entertainment

Segments

Note : S ize of the B ubb le = NS IC view of re lat ive sto rage m arke t opportun ity

Storage Industry - Application Market Segments

Images & Soundin Business

Target Market Segments