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HANDICAPPING THE13 BREEDERS’ CUP RACES

By Stanley Caris

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HORSES SP ND PN 60 NW EP OO Total

Lawn Ranger 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 8

Conquest Typhoon 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 6

Hootenanny 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 6

Imperia 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 6

Startup Nation 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 6

Daddy DT 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 6

Aktabantay 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4

Danny Boy 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4

Commemorative 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 4

International Star 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2

Luck of the Kitten 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4War Envoy 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4Wet Sail 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Offering Plan 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2AE Faithful Creek 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2AE Papacoolpapacool 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Give 2 points for a solid or professional chef within 2 generationsGive 2 points for the Northern Dancer sire lineGive 2 points if they carry the Phalaris/Nonphalaris pattern and were first or second in their last start.Give 2 points if they have 60% wins on grass.Give 2 points if the finish of their last two races total 3 or less.Give 2 points to all horses who are in groups 1,2, or 3 in earnings per start on grass.Give 2 points if they were the odds-on favorite in at least one of last 4 starts.

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Comments:

Lawn Ranger our checklist leader has high earnings on turf and has won 66% of his grass starts.Imperia won the Pilgrim stakes in his last start and achieved 6 points on our checklist.Aktabantay carries the Northern Dancer sire line and won a Group 2 stake in Great Britain.Startup Nation has won 66% of his turf wins.War Envoy carries the Northern Dancer sire line and ran second in a Group 2 stake in Great Britain.International Star raced second in the Grade 2 With Anticipation Stakes and won his maiden in fast time on Saratoga’s turf course.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the following horses: International Star, Lawn Ranger, Imperia, Aktabantay, War Envoy and Startup Nation.Longshot Recommendations: Lawn Ranger, Aktabantay, International Star and Startup Nation.

FRIDAY OCTOBER 31ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

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FRIDAY OCTOBER 31ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

HORSES NP NW OO G1 WL EP 50 NA WA FQ Total

Bronzo 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 2 2 0 9

Carve 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 8

Tapiture 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 8

Goldencents 0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 6

Pants on Fire 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6

Fed Biz 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4

Vicar's in Trouble 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 4

Golden Ticket 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Big Bane Theory 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Comments:

Goldencents is the logical favorite and has been no worse than second in his last three starts.Carve is second choice on our checklist and qualifies on final quarter time.Pants on Fire is a consistent runner who has been no worse than second in his last three starts.Fed Biz is also a consistent horse who raced a close second to the BC Classic favorite, Shared Belief.Tapiture is the second choice on my checklist and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Golden Ticket raced second in the BC Dirt Mile last year .

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 6 horses.Longshot Recommendations: Carve and Golden Ticket

Give 2 points if they carry a nonphalaris side (sire line or broodmare sire line).Give 2 points if they were no worse than second in last three starts.Give 2 points if they were favored twice and odds on at least once in last 4 starts.Give 2 points if they won a Grade 1 race in last 3 starts.Give 3 points if they won their last two starts on dirt.Give 2 points if they are in groups 1 or 2 in earnings per start in the current year.Give 2 points if they won 50% of their dirt races in the current year.Give 2 points if they carry the Nasrullah broodmare sire line.Give 2 points if they carry War Admiral or Mahmoud in the X passing position.Give 2 points if they ran a final quarter in 24.9 or less in at least 2 of their last 5 stake races at 9 furlongs or longer on dirt.

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HORSES SP ND PN 60 NW EP OO Total

Conquest Harlanate 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10

Sivoliere 2 2 0 2 0 0 2 8

Osaila 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 8

Isabella Sings 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 6

Lady Eli 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 6

Qualify 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 6

Sunset Glow 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 6

Rainha Da Bateria 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 6

Quality Rocks 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2

Partisan Politics 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Tammy the Torpedo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Lady Zuzu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Prize Exhibit 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2

Nicky's Brown Miss 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4AE Flying Tipat 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0AE War Alert 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 6

Comments:

Qualify won a group 3 stakes in Ireland in her last start and carries the powerful conduit mare, Pretty Polly in tail-female. She also carries the Northern Dancer sire line.Conquest Harlanate is my checklist leader and is undefeated in two turf starts.Lady Eli is undefeated in two turf starts and carries the strong conduit mare, Our Lassie in tail female.Osaila is my second choice on my checklist and has high turf earnings.Sivoliere carries the powerful Northern Dancer sire line and has Buckpasser in the X passing position.Tammy the Torpedo carries Buckpasser in the X passing position and won her turf debut at Saratoga and ran third in the Grade 3 Miss Grillo stakes in her last start.Partisan Politics won the Phil Johnson stakes on turf and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position

Recommendations: An exacta box of the following 6 horses: Qualify, Conquest Harlanate, Lady Eli, Osaila, and Tammy the Torpedo.Longshot Recommendations: Conquest Harlanate, Sivoliere, and Tammy the Torpedo and Partisan Politics

FRIDAY OCTOBER 31ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Give 2 points to a runner that carries a solid or professional chef within its first 3 generations.Give 2 points to runners carrying the Northern Dancer sire line.Give 2 points to all runners that carry the Phalaris/Nonphalaris pattern and were first or second in their last startGive 2 points to all runners that won 60% or more of their races on grassGive 2 points to runners whose last two finishes total 3 or lessGive 2 points to all runners that were in groups 1,2 or 3 in earnings per startGive 3 points to all runners who were odds on favorites in one of their last 4 starts

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FRIDAY OCTOBER 31ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Distaff

HORSES FN EP NW G1 SV SP BT Total

Close Hatches 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 6

Don't Tell Sophia 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4

Belle Gallantey 0 2 0 2 2 0 Minus2 4

Untapable 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 4

Iotapa 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2

Tiz Midnight 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2

Unbridled Forever 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Valiant Emilia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

L'Amour De Ma Vie 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Parranda 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Ria Antonia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Stanwyck 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Comments:

Close Hatches is my checklist leader and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Belle Gallantey has won 2 Grade 1 Stakes in her last 3 startsIotapa won two Grade 1 stakes this year and has always been in the money at Santa Anita.Valiant Emilia is a Peruvian shipper that has been working well as evidenced by a mile trial in 1:38 4/5.Tiz Midnight ran second to Beholder in her last start and has raced well at Santa Anita.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 5 horses.An exacta Key - with Iotapa in the win position with the other four horses in the second position.Longshot Recommendations: Tiz Midnight and Valiant Emilia

Give 2 points to all runners that have a Nonphalaris side and also ran a 25.3 final quarter in at least one of its last 4 races at a mile or more on dirt and at least one final quarter mile in at least 24.9 seconds or less in one of its last 4 races at a mile or more on dirt.Give 2 points to runners in groups 1,2 or 3 in earnings per start in the current year.Give 2 points to runners that were no worse than second in last 3 startsGive 2 points to runners who won a G1 or G2 race in last 3 starts Give 2 points to runners whose speed rating plus track variant equals 105 or higher in one of last two startsGive 2 points to runners who have a solid or professional chef within 3 generations.Subtract 2 points to runners with the highest last out Beyer figure.

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HORSES FQ OO WL N BT EP 3Q 93 Total

Angela Renee 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 7

Conquest Eclipse 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 5

By the Moon 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4

Cristina's Journey 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4

Wonder Gal 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 4

Danette 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

Feathered 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Puca 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2Hennythelovepenny 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Majestic Presence 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Top Decile 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Take Charge Brandi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Comments:

Angela Renee is my checklist leader and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Wonder Gal raced second in the Frizette Stakes and is a daughter of Tiz Wonderful, a Nonphalaris stallion.Conquest Eclipse is second choice on my checklist and qualifies on final quarter time.Cristina’s Journey won her last start at 8.5 furlongs in the Grade 2 Pocahantas Stakes and also carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Danette is still a maiden but did qualify on my final quarter mile angle. She also carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.

Recommendations: A Win Wager on Wonder GalExacta Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 5 horses.Trifecta Key: Wonder Gal in the win position with the other 4 horses in place and show positions.

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

Give 2 points if they ran a final quarter in 25.2 or less at a mile or more on dirt.Give 2 points if they were odds-on favorites in at least one of last three starts.Give 2 points if they won their last start at a mile or more.Give 2 points if they carry a nonphalaris side and were first or second in last start.Give 2 points if they had the highest or second highest Beyer figure in their last start.Give 2 points if they are in groups 1,2, or 3 in earnings per start.Give 2 points if they ran the third quarter of a mile race on dirt in 23.9 or less.Give 3 points if they achieved a 93 Beyer figure in their career.

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SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf

HORSES EP FQ G1 B N T 17 Total

Stephanie's Kitten 2 4 2 2 0 2 0 12

Abaco 0 4 0 0 2 0 2 8

Dank 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 6

Dayatthespa 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 6

Irish Mission 0 4 0 0 0 0 2 6

Parranda 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4

Secret Gesture 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Emollient 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2

Just the Judge 0 4 0 2 0 0 0 6

Rusty Slipper 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4

Fiesolana 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2

Comments:

Dank won this race last year and has high turf earnings. In addition she carries the powerful conduit mare, Pretty Polly in tail female.Stephanie’s Kitten is our checklist leader Abaco is second choice on my checklist and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Just The Judge has the highest last out Beyer figure and also qualifies on final quarter time.Secret Gesture was second in the Skybet York Group 2 Stakes against colts. Has 2 paths to Buckpasser’s X chromosome.Parranda qualifies on earnings per start and also final quarter time.Irish Mission qualified on final quarter time and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Rusty Slipper qualifies on final quarter time and has two roads to Buckpasser in the X passing position.

Trifecta Recommendation: A Trifecta Key of Dank in the win position with the other 7 horses in the place and show positions.Longshot Recommendations: Abaco, Parranda, Rusty Slipper and Irish Mission

Give 2 points if they are in groups 1, 2, or 3 in earnings per start in current year.Give 4 points if they ran a final quarter in 23.5 or less in their last two stakes on turf at 9 furlongs or longer on firm or good turf.Give 2 points if they won a grade 1 turf race in one of last three starts.Give 2 points if they have the best, second best or third best Beyer figure on grass in the current year.Give 2 points if they have a nonphalaris side ( sire line or broodmare sire line).Give 2 points if they won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 turf race at 10 furlongs or longer in their career.Give 2 points if they have 17 or more Classic points in their dosage profile.

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HORSES FQ BR EP 4G 3to5 14 S St B Total

Artemis Agrotera 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 10

Sweet Reason 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 10

Better Lucky 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 8

Leigh Court 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 6

Judy the Beauty 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 0 6

Southern Honey 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 0 6

Living the Life 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4

Thank You Marylou 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 4

Little Alexis 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

Stonetastic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Comments:

Artemis Agrotera is my checklist leaderJudy the Beauty was second to Groupie Doll in this race last year and carries the strong conduit mare, Doxa in tail female.Better Lucky is second choice on my checklist and qualifies on final quarter time.Leigh Court won her last start at Keenland and achieved 6 points on my checklist.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 4 horses.Longshot Recommendations: Better Lucky

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

Give 2 points if they ran a final quarter in 23.9 or less and 24.9 or less in their last two stakes at a mile or less.Give 2 points if they carry the Nasrullah broodmare sire line.Give 2 points if they are in groups 1 or 2 in earnings per start in the current year.Give 2 points if they ran in a graded stake race in their last 4 starts.Give 2 points if they have a dosage index of 3.00 to 5.99.Give 2 points if they carry 14 Brilliant points in their dosage profile.Give 2 points if they carry 4 or more total stamina points (solid and/ or professional).Give 2 points if they were first or second in a stake race in their last start.Give 2 points if they had the first or second best Beyer figure in their last start on dirt.

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SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

HORSES FQ EP 4G 3 TO 5 14 S ST B TOTALCaspar Netscher 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 6

Bobbie's Kitten 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 6

Ambitious Brew 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6

Something Extra 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6

Silentio 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2

Marchman 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4

Home Run Kitten 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

No Nay Never 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 4

Reneesgotzip 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 4

Sweet Swap 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4

Dimension 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Tightend Touchdown 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2

Undrafted 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

AE Ageless 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6

AE Za Approval 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2

Comments:

Silentio has run in 4 straight Graded Stakes and just misses qualifying on final quarter time.Something Extra qualifies on final quarter timeSweet Swap qualifies on final quarter time and has raced consistently well at Santa Anita.(Also Eligible) - Za Approval is a classy veteran who raced second to Wise Dan in last year’s Mile. Could be dangerous if he starts.Home Run Kitten won the Eddie D, a Grade3 stake at Santa Anita in his last start. He has consistently run well over the Santa Anita turf course.Marchman His last 4 starts were against Graded competition and he has won 4 of 9 lifetime turf starts. He also carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the following 6 horses: Silentio, Something Extra, Sweet Swap, Homerun Kitten and Marchman.Longshot Recommendations: Sweet Swap, Marchman, Something Extra, and Home Run Kitten.

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Give 2 points to all runners who raced a final quarter in 23.9 seconds or less in their last two stake races on grass at 5 furlongs or less2 points to a runner who is in groups 1 or 2 in earnings per start on grass.2 points if they were in graded stakes in their last 4 starts2 points if they have a dosage index of 3- 5.992 points if they have 14 Brilliant points in their dosage profile2 points if they have a total of 4 or more stamina points (solid plus professional)2 points if they were first or second in a stake race in last start.2 points for runners with the highest last out Beyer figure or second highest last out Beyer figure on grass in last start on grass

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HORSES FQ BR EP 4G 3 TO 5 14 S ST B TOTALPrivate Zone 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 10Palace 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 8Rich Tapestry 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 8Fast Anna 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6Mico Margarita 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6Work All Week 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 4Indianapolis 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 4Big Macher 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4Secret Circle 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4Seeking the Sherif 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 4Bakken 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Bourbon Courage 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2Wind Fire 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2AE Bahamian Squall 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2AE Indexical 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2

Comments:

Private Zone is my checklist leader and has been working awesome.Mico Margarita achieved 6 points on my checklist and has an ideal dosage index for the sprint.Rich Tapestry won a Santa Anita sprint in 1:07 2/5 in her last start. He achieved the highest last out Beyer in the field.Bakken qualified on final quarter time and has high speed.Fast Anna has 6 points on my checklist and has tremendous early speed.Palace achieved 8 points on my checklist and qualified on final quarter time.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 6 horses.Longshot Recommendations: Mico Margarita, Bakken, and Fast Anna

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Sprint

2 points for horses that raced 24.9 and 23.9 or less in their last two stakes at a mile or less2 points for the Nasrullah broodmare sire line2 points if they are in earnings groups 1 or 2.2 points if they ran in graded stakes in last 4 starts2 points for a dosage index from 3 to 5.992 points if they have 14 Brilliant points in their dosage profile2 points if they have 4 or more stamina points (solid or professional added up).2 points if they were first or second in a stake race in last start2 points if they have the highest or second highest last out Beyer figure on dirt in last start

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SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Turf

HORSES EP G NW BT 56 NAS SP N TotalFlintshier 2 2 0 7 0 2 2 0 15Main Sequence 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 8Hardest Core 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 0 8Brown Panther 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 6Big John B 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 6Finnegan's Wake 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4Hangover Kid 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 4Magician 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4Telescope 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4Chicquita 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4Imagining 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2Twilight Eclipse 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2Starspangled Heat 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2

Comments:

Flintshire ran second in the Arc De Triomphe and is my checklist leader.Main Sequence has won over a million dollars at this distance.Imagining has won over a million dollars on turf.Telescope achieved 4 points on my checklist and has raced competitively against Grade 1 rivals in Great Britain.Brown Panther won his last start in the Grade 1 St Ledger while carrying 137 pounds.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 5 horses.Longshot Recommendations: Imagining and Brown Panther

2 points if they are in earnings groups 1 or 2 in current year2 points if they won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 stake at 10 furlongs or longer in last two starts2 points if they were no worse than second in last three starts7 points for the highest Beyer figure (Subtract 14 from Time Form Rating).2 points for horses with 56% or higher wins on grass in current year2 points for the Nasrullah or Northern Dancer sire line2 points for a solid or professional chef within 3 generations2 points for a Nonphalaris side (sire line or broodline)4 points if the jockey is Frankie Dettori

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HORSES BR RN NP NW G1 OO EP FQ TOTALCarpe Diem 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 10Lucky Player 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 8Calculator 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4One Lucky Dane 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 6Mr. Z 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 6Texas Red 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 6Daredevil 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 6Upstart 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 6Private Prospect 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4Souper Colassal 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 4Blue Dancer 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 4The Great War 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

Comments:

Carpe Diem is second choice on my checklist and also qualifies on final quarter time.Upstart ran second to Champagne winner Daredevil and carries Buckpasser in the X.Mr. Z qualifies on final quarter mile time and carries the strong conduit mare, Frizette in tail female.Calculator just misses qualifying on final quarter mile time and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.One Lucky Dane raced the final quarter of a maiden race in 24.6 seconds. Souper Colossal achieved 4 points on my checklist and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the above 6 horses.Longshot Recommendations: Calculator, Souper Colossal, Mr. Z, Upstart, and One Lucky Dane

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

2 points for the Nasrullah or Northern Dancer broodmare sire line 2 points for Raise A Native or Nasrullah sire line 2 points for carrying the Nonphalaris/Phalaris pattern 2 points for being no worse than second in last 3 races 2 points for winning a Grade 1 at a mile or more in last 2 points for being the odds on favorite in at least one of last 3 races 2 points if in groups 1 or 2 in earnings per start 4 points if they are the favorite or second favorite at post time 2 points if they ran a final quarter in 24.9 in a stake at a mile or more

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SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Mile

HORSES SP ND PN 60 NW EP BC OO TOTALObviously 2 2 0 2 0 2 3 3 14Toronado 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 3 9Tom's Tribute 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 6Trade Storm 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4Karakontie 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 4Summer Front 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4Anodin 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Mustajeeb 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2Seek Again 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2Veda 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Tourist 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 6Kaigun 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Sayaad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Grand Arch 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0AE Mr. Commons 2 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 9

Comments:

Toronado is second choice on my checklist and ran a bang-up second in the Prix du Moulin in France in his last start. He has earned over a million dollars at the mile distance.Mustajeeb just missed qualifying on my grass win percentage angle and carries the strong conduit mare, Ibidem in tail-female.Summer Front carries the Northern Dancer sire line and has won 5 of 7 races at the mile distance on turf.Tom’s Tribute is a consistent runner who achieved 6 points on my checklist.Trade Storm carries a solid chef de race within 3 generations and achieved a high Beyer fig in his last start.Kaigun ran a close second in the Woodbine Mile.

Recommendations: A trifecta key of Toronado in the win position with the other 5 horses in the place and show positions.Longshot Recommendations: Summer Front, Tom’s Tribute, Trade Storm and Kaigun

2 points for a solid or professional chef within 3 generations2 points for the Northern Dancer sire line2 points for carrying the Phalaris / Nonphalaris pattern and also be first or second in last start2 points for 60% or more grass wins in the current year2 points if their last two finishes total 3 or less.2 points if they are in groups 1 , 2 or 3 in earnings per start on grass in current year3 points if they started in a previous BC race (any race)3 points if they were odds on in one of last 4 starts

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HORSES NP NW OO G1 WL EPS 50 NAS WA FQ TOTAL Conduit MareShared Belief 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 16Tonalist 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 14 Rambling

RoseCalifornia Chrome 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 12 Countess

WandaBayern 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 8 Countess

WandaCigar Street 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 8Candy Boy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 6Moreno 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 6V. E. Day 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 6 ArtlessZivo 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 6 OphirdaleToast of New York 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 6Prayer for Relief 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4Footbridge 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2Majestic Harbor 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2Imperative 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2AE Big Cazanova 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 6

Comments:

Tonalist is second choice on my checklist and carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.Bayern a confirmed frontrunner has qualified on my final quarter mile angle. If allowed to set soft fractions he may go wire to wire in this year’s Classic.Zivo also qualifies on my final quarter mile angleCandy Boy likes the Santa Anita dirt surface and also qualifies on my final quarter mile angle.Majestic Harbor won the Gold Cup at Santa Anita at 10 furlongs and also won the Tokyo City at 12 furlongs.Cigar Street achieved 8 points on my checklist and although he is moving up in class, he might be a force in this year’s Classic.Prayer For Relief qualifies on final quarter time and also carries Buckpasser in the X passing position.

Recommendations: An exacta box of the following horses: Tonalist, Zivo, Candy Boy, Prayer for Relief and Cigar Street.Longshot Recommendations: Zivo, Candy Boy, Prayer for Relief, Majestic Harbor and Cigar Street

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST 2014 Breeders’ Cup Classic

2 points for any Nonphalaris side (sire line or broodline)2 points if no worse than second in last three starts2 points if they were odds on in 1 of last 4 and favored in at least 2 of last 4 starts2 points if they won a grade 1 stake in last 3 starts3 points if they won their last two starts on dirt2 points if they are in groups 1 or 2 in earnings per start in current year2 points if they won 50% of their races in the current year2 points for the Nasrullah broodmare sire line2 points if they have War Admiral or Mahmoud in the X passing position2 points if they run a final quarter in 24.9 or less in 2 of their last 5 stakes at 9 furlongs or longer on dirt in the current year.

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