Upload
devang-gardi
View
217
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
1/38
!0,7.0,2243/7
70.9473899:943,#080,7.
$22438425,339073,943,
@fff,f-fffJ
%#!4.47:2:893%0,8
,3:,7
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
2/38
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
3/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$,0,87;3,303307:944
W 74290207.,3!09740:23899:90W $,0,88/0130/,83,9:7,,817428,01472,9438
W $,0,88,3:3.4;03943,,884:7.0,439.4,-0/209,30998,3/8,3/209,30/7,908
W $,0847/3,7,;038:11.03950720,-994,420,331:1494900-47090701470574/:.943706:70817,.9:708942574;050720,-9
W 47070.0398,008,7047439,,3/300/,791.,892:,9430/7,:.17,.9:7394574/:.0
W $31.,39,/;,3.08347439,/73,3/0892:,94390.34408,700,/394908,0-442/7,:.17,.9:738902489831.,39419080
W 892,90841949,3,9:7,,87084:7.083479207.,0.00/%.198,0,87084:7.08,4309398,880882039,..4:3931474;07%.14170.4;07,-03,9:7,,8.42-33&$,3/,3,/,
W 3577054794/073$,0,80;0452039390&$90&$89,90/9,990.:7703970.4;07,-07084:7.00892,90574;/08034:3,9:7,,8948:5590&$147903090,789070892,908.,7798,-4;00,78
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
4/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$,0!,8
W 4:7
,308;0%
094-0.4204304190,70893,9:7,,810/8390&$
:77039=41&$8,0,8574/:.943
,7.0:84790,89
094-0.4204304190,70893,9:7,,810/8390&$
:77039;0782,574/:.943
,73099%,7089574/:.310/390&$94/,,3/574/:.08=41,8,0,8390&$
,0990;0#
:77039=41&$8,0,8574/:.943
W 907$,0!,8
,03
,0990;0
44/147/
473#;07
&9.,
,99,344,
:743
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
5/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
',/,9390$,0%4#0.039$3,9:70%7,38,.9438
W 434-%307 8,7097,38,.943
-3949,;,:03.:/08-33/0-9
W %49,08,50,0
,8,700/9480,3907089398:58970,2,73099$,0,8809894
%49,!&$147-3
,8,84,70094/8.:88,'390,047/$,09%%,3/94479%%30;,:,9380;07,,3,/,33,9:7,,88,05,83.9,88433907089
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
6/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$,0!,.4342.81742,3/%
9f
J
%
,,
D
%n
%$,n
-ff
'
-ff
'
f f
J
f
,fn
9f
D
%n
J
%,,
f
%$n
9f
f$
f
,fn
f
f
fJf
@O9fJf
f
!,.4342.8
$4:7.0
%!,.4342.8
$4:7.0%
W'07##80;03,943,9,857.08
W11.03.08,3/574/:.9;984:/09-099074;07920
W6:089438,9,7097084/0.4342.8
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
7/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
:7703973.9;9%703/8,3/$19
W &$,8/70.90/7.4:3970,.0/,3,92043.94-07,3/,8254/0/=174250,0;08
W %02,4794190789,9070/74550/070/73;079.,080,/394,28191,;4732470574/:.9;00.4342.:3.43;03943,7084:7.014.:80/47439,08
W 8,82507:0419:2-47439,08,;0Y,9,70;079.,08,3/!7,9089,9,70;079.,08
$4:7.0$2998
7,541#4:39,30-0%50&$,870.90/#4:39
$4:7.0$2998
n n n
fn
n f f I nf
n ,f n
fn
nfff
f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
8/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
#4:3970,/43,3/&3.43;03943,!74/:.943:944
9n
f
@
f
n9
n
9
n
%n
$
@ f , f D n f
$4:7.0$,0,8!7207,3/$
W 81994,7/24700.4342.,3/574/:.9;047439,08/74;090
70.039574/:.943749=749,3/8,9703/08003.70,8343147,7/
W &3.43;03943,7084:7.0574;/0902,7099,3,-:3/,39,..088-03;0394741,89,9-0439040703/4190.489.:7;038:7390,-99420093,9:7,,8/02,3/147901470800,-01:9:70
W !741.574/:.9431742:3.43;03943,5,8070/:.090706:70/78..094..094005574/:.9431,9
fff
f%ff $$ ;@ ; ;$; 9f f
f $I $f
ff fff
Jf
,fnf
f fn f% ,@
ff$f@
ff
@ f D f f f
f%I nff $$ ;@ ; ;$; 9f f
f$I $f
fff
@f
ffnf
n
9ff
@f Df I nf f
f%nff $$ ;@ ; ;$; 9f f
n
f$I $f
%@
fff
9ff
@ f D f n f f
@f Df f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
9/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$0892,908,,870.90/#3.70,801742%74:--,80/43,!,79,.4342.#0.4;07
D n f n If I nf n n f
f f f f f I nf f n f
f f @ f I nf If n f
f ff ffnfInf ffnf
J f f n I nf 9 f n f
f J f f 9 f I n f n f
,fnf f Inf
Jf
9ff
f ff
f9n+
Dn%DJ
f9n+
f+D
W ,80/434:77/7;03,88:5524/000892,90574/:.94394/0.303.1/-,3/94/0.30-,3
,//943,.1/-:30
W ;03,3050.9,943147,5,79,70.4;073900.4342,8/02,3/-038943.70,803.4:50/9/0.33574/:.9430,39.5,90903/:897300/94,//=,8/70.90/78940058:55,3//02,3/3-,,3.0/08590254798,3/,88:233472,0,907
W #0,7/08841900.4342.8.03,7400254907-0,300/94,//,307017429478-:9:9,943702,349470887803;8430/94-07:3333:3/074:7-089.,808.03,740-049050,3.94-07
$4:7.0!$2998$22438425,339073,943,
,fn nf
9
n
%,n
$
nfn
ff
9n n$
n$
ff
9nn$n$
+
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
10/38
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
11/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
&$,8!74/:.943
f
n
f
n
f
n
f
n
&$,9,8!74/:.943.1/
$4:7.0
W&$3,9:7,,8574/:.943,8-.1/3.9
W085909089005/7453907.4:3990574/:.9433.9,8/43:89-.1/174270.47/-.1/30-
W.9574/:.943,8-.1/
W30,78574/:.94370--.1/47
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
12/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
6:01,.943//94384:/-0$31.,393
490!740.98,708:-0.9941:7907/0,8
4:397 ,.9 !72,7,709 " " " " " "
07, %7,3 9,39.,83
",9,7 ",9,7,8%7,3 :7450&
",9,7 #,8,8%7,3
:897,, $%7,3 ,5,3470,
3/4308 , %,3: 0.48,
0203 0203%7,3 &$470,
0203 0203%7,3 &$470, #:8 8, $,,3 8,
",9,7 ",9,7,8%7,3 :7450&
",9,7 #,8,8%7,3 8,907
",9,7 ",9,7,8%7,3 8,
",9,7 ",9,7,8'%7,3 8,
%49,
6:01,.943,5,.9$:22,7-.1/
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
13/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
254798-4:397-.1/
D
fn
f
f
ff
f
@ff
54798-4:397-.1/
@f
@f
f
;ff
f
-f
ff
f
,fff
0,94383;4;0/3%7,/0
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
14/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
#0,8,5,.9
Df-,ffn
9
ff
ff
ff
9
-ff
f9f
f-
9f
@fDfffn
D-
Df
,nffff
ff,n
f,n
fffff
@f-,ffn
fffn
ff
, 9fff
f
fffnf ,
f fffff ,
9nD ff
f ,fff ,f
f ff ;
ff ;
f ff ,f fn- ,
fn ff ,
D ff -
,fn
f ,f
fff ff ,f
D f ;
9f ,fn
, f
; ,
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
15/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
408470-:3/,39,9:7,,8!70;039 #030,-0307/45943
W 4W
$:-8/8:55479
,8.425203987030,-08
#030,-08574/:.09909434.,7-43
#030,-0!479144$9,3/,7/8
3.70,83!8.7:9341,8
7:/094,88570,/8:554798,8,8,97,385479,9431:0
W :9.0,53,9:7,,8/408.70,90,0,/3/1479080.947
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
16/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$:-8/$:55479
W 147,.42-30/..0,85,39,922-9:,89,943.,7-4357.08
W 384703/8
W %4:94.4250901473/-:990708,8:-8/!74/:.943%,70/941
.05.48090,5,3/2,3/,908.892:,90/02,3/
W 3,//9439070,70455479:3908944073/90.344.4898,80,84907,9073,9;0030790.344084;07920
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
17/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
,842520398#030,-08
W 470,-:3/,393,9:7,,882:.2470,970,994.4,,3/3:.0,75407-4914730-:/8.4,3:0,3/0893.,5,.9.4,
W 390&$.4,3/:897489=943841/02,3/41:99.4,-:73/:09440757.0/3,9:7,,8
W ,8170/0307,943.,3..0:5/436:.2,39/0,94.4252039939072990397030,-054070307,943
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
18/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
#030,-08!74/:.0990944,7-43
W 0904-,,72324;0203929-050,3902547,79070889,89743/0870,243.903894,;0.0,3072470011.03914728410307,943
W 0,8574/:.08088.,7-439,3/408.4,989574/:.08.,7-43
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
19/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
!745480/2,9008,943&$288438
@Jffnffnf%#
Df,, @Jffnfffn,,%
@fD,, ffnnff
Dnf,,,,%
nnfnnDnffnnf
%
,,
nn @ff f nf f
Df
n
DD
n
nn
@ff
f
nf
f
Dnn
n
9
f
-ff
f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
20/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
!745480/2,9008,94325,.9949073,9;0307
Jf fnfnffnf"
nffffnffn ,
ffDfnnf @fn
W ffDnnnn%fnW -ffffDnnnffnff
f%n$
W -fnffnnfJJJnfnffn @ffJfffnffnf @fnnDffnJ
Dfnffffnfffffffnf
fDnnnffnffnfn%fnn$
nfff
nfff fnn
n-fff
@ffn
%Jffnfn
J
%
%
$,J
%,,
nn
,
J
f
9
nf
9ff @ff
-nf
-f
@f
@f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
21/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
,7-4308,94325,.99407.,398
9- - - ,
@$
,J
!!,7-43390389 :0-#043
@ f@$,J
f
@
n
f
,7-43390389-:0%50
W47.4,170/0307,94789,94507,9032,7098070,880989057.0415407#3%0,87,393!,89,3/##30397,!.,7-4308,943,890549039,94831.,3970/:.02,738
W1.,7-4308,94388973039034:.42-30/..0,88098,;090,-994/85,.0.4,170/.,5,.90850.,390$4:90,89
W 32,70980700,97,90.42-:89439:7-30%
,8,88098419038099057.0415407011.039%,8,8809884:/800,-03019385,78570,/8
W!-03019817428973039.,7-4308,943
:7703908,9435,880/3904:8080970201,;47,-094.4,-,80/207.,398,3/84:/.,:80232,0,7338/09720394;0790309/0.,/0
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
22/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
%5./3#69;636&;.51.91:
&;.;95./3769;636:;.51.91
&;.;95./3769;6366.3
1:9:.69 .5.9
&63.9.;9.;53/3R ;9.091;69:63.9690:;649:;195./3:5031:56595./3.3;95.;9:690:
/
/
!/
/
!/ ":
/0667:
/
544:63.9690:;649:;198945;
'/
'/
"/ ":/0667:3.945:
'/
!/
&/
!/03/
"/
.9:/;3;/6.3
/
"/
/!%/
!/
/.55.3509.:3.::%5./3:
%/
'/
!/
!/ #/
/
/
/
/
!/ ":/0667:45:
'%4;:.5509.:59;.3:.3:/
%#/
:;.;:..5%#&:;.;:.6.3:
&/
"%/ 3.9;3;: /:4.339;3;:
//
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
23/38
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
24/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
25/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
7:/0,8$570,/$:554798,8,8,%7,385479,943:0
W 42570880/3,9:7,,88.0,5079,3/080,3/,8430W #09,5:2557.08147949,,4341,843006:;,03934:8943,3/0;03407349075,7984190.4:39707089,943847550303,9:7,,882470,;,,-0
W %8.425,7089709,,8430,9,
W %08570,/4147/8.4:398039.3,3/1,8:89847941
90,;07,0/8.4:391474;0790,890,7841W !49039,14190949,7043,97:.31009390&$89.0/94
3,9:7,,8984:/06:,9094-38,33:,47.1/413.702039,/02,3/
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
26/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
7:/0,8$570,/$:554798,8,8,%7,385479,943:0
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
27/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
9073,9;03070%703/8147
4.,7-43-3-:92,-0,30307-
47074-:89.,59,2,7098
4384/,943
09907/02,3/,3/13,3.3
0739070897,908
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
28/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
43.:843
W $,0,8,550,7894-0,831.,39.,3094900307,3/8.,50
W 470,-:3/,393,9:7,,8/4082,092470/11.:994,/4597030,-08-:99/408349570;039,/45943
W 470,-:3/,393,9:7,,8:92,908,0,/3/147907030,-00307
80.947
W %070,70.4252039,7,/45943897,90081477030,-08,3/3,9:7,,8-7/01:094407.,7-4307,,3/84:9431477030,-0390729903.
W 0-00;098415,7,24:3925479,3.09,93;08947814.:8439480,9073,9;0030790.344089,9:897,9090.0,70895,994-0.4230.4342.94:9,8:-8/
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
29/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
"
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
30/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
5503/
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
31/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
%0.344489425,7843
-nn
nff
%0.344 ,59,4890;070/:0
48922-9:
0;00/489
.0398
0;00/489
9943
.0398
0;00/489
9943
.0398
&$389,0/,5,.9
09$:2207
,5,.9
4-,
389,0/
,5,.9
307
438:2594394
!74/:.0
4, =-41.4,
,9:7,,8
42-30/.0 -9:
,9:7,,8!0,07 -9:
/74 700 700
:.0,7 41:7,3:2
-9:
$4,7!' 700 700
3/38470 700 700
3/118470 700 700
%7,/9
43,307
9073,9;0307
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
32/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
3/
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
33/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
3/749470.,89
Jnf%,J
nfJnf@,
#043..:2
03/41
%49,
..:2
207.,8
:7450
$4:9,898,
!,.1.
90770,8
%49,0
,5,.9;070,7
..:2:,90/
,5,.9
fnf+$
J#$J#nf
fff
fff
fn fff
J%f
nn
D,ffn9@ffn
f,ffnf
Dffffnf
fJfffn
,J
f,J f,J #:2:,9;0389,0/
n@,
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
34/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$4,7
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
35/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
$4,7:944
W 0050.9,70,9;089743,8389,0787:89409072,35740.98439074:3/,0,/4190850.:,90//0.30;07,84:/-0,-099070,79,3
W $:5502,3/ 0,700892,934124/:0/02,3/3941549039,8:55
W $!8 00892,902/-9003/41147408,024/:057.08$42070.039.4397,.98,;0-003-09003
W 0,70994,9.072,3970;843
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
36/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
:77039&$0307,943
Jfff-ffnnff%fnfDnnn
fnnfnfnnffn
Dnnffn
D-f%-nnff
f
9
9
-fff
f
-nf
@f
@f-
f
Df
n n
J
f
%@f+
9I
J
f
f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
37/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
&3.43;03943,,8097.8
,n
,fn
%
f
f
%n
f
% f J
ff
J
f$
9f%
f
Jf
9nfn
%
f
Df
%
I
% -f, f
9
ff
J%,,
DJ%n
f%
% $,n
9f%,,n$
f%
%$,n
%$,n
9nf%
n%
n%
n%
n%
@ 9 n % $ ,n
nIff
@f ,f
8/3/2019 Hammond Pearce Challenges to Renewables in a More Abundant Natural Gas World.012110.Ppt[1]
38/38
!0,7.0,2243/5,2243/822438.439.42
5503/
W 5503/
W 3,890791.,943
!0,7.0,2243/070-.07919,990;080570880/3987080,7.7054799490-089412340/0,..:7,907010.92507843,;08,-4:9908:-0.9.425,308,3/9890780.:7908,3/9,9,;0349-003,2349,3/349-070.0;3/70.9473/70.9.425038,9433 0.,301 47057088390850.1.70.42203/,943847;083987080,7.705479
25479,398.48:70847/09,0/7,9331472,9434949955:-./8.48:70822438.439.42//943,31472,9438,;,,-0:543706:089$22438425,387,93888902.,9047083/;/:,894.5071472,3.0,8&3/07090:97,47;070970,9;094905071472,3.04190 $!3/0,3/98/8.709003078:-80.9474;07,24395074/#080,7.,3,898.425038,9438-,80/:543,24349079389017280307,3;0892039-,3370;03:08$22438425,339073,943,2,800.425038,9431473;0892039-,33807;.0817424907.425,308147 .7080,7..4;07,08574;/0/%01724:/050.99470.0;0.425038,943147,38:.807;.08470311,908.48:70
%87054792,-02,/0,;,,-0390&390/3/42974:/897-:943-$22438425,339073,943,,59,,7098290/,172,:9470/,3/70:,90/-903,3.,$07;.08:947994:3/079,0/083,90/3;0892039-:83088390&390/3/42$22438425,339073,943,,59,,7098290/854.432,3,33;08920397080,7..431.988,;,,-0-706:089%07080,7.7054798/70.90/43,950784384,;0574108843,050703.032,9907870,93943;0892039841,9390/013943413;0892039574108843,8379.03,3.,$07;.08,3/,7098.93,3.,!74249437/07,8,203/0/!507843841,9379.0,94/!309479.425,308:33.47547,90/,884.,943809.4750784384,704907802,709.4:39075,790847390720/,90.:89420783,..47/,3.0990$,3/-4441#:08,3/:/,3.0700;,395078438%07080,7.7054792:89349-0,.90/4347700/:543-,35078438470.0;0993904,70349700;,395078438$22438425,339073,943,,59,,7098290/84.,90/,9$,.;04:80!..,/0,33043/43&390/3/42
8.,207%802,8-,80/4331472,9434-9,30/174284:7.08.$22438425,339073,943,-00;0894-070,-0-:9$22438425,3/40834970570803947,77,3998,..:7,.%0453438,3/0892,908.439,30/39002,70570803990;0841$22438425,3,84190/,90419002,,3/2,-08:-0.994.,3094:95747349.0$22438425,339073,943,349-07085438-014790.43806:03.04170,3.0:543,3453434789,902039.439,30/39802,%802,8.431/039,,3/2,349-070574/:.0/3404735,7994:9905747799035072884341$22438425,339073,943,