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8/10/2019 H4 Flow Trade Plan v1.3
1/3
H4 Flow Trade Plan
jtradev1.3
24 March 2014
The purpose of this evolving trading plan is to clarify & define each step of the trading process with
the goal of creating a relatively simple, consistently repeatable, profitable method with minimal - &
perhaps eventually almost zerodiscretion. A method I can execute with a high degree of accuracy
and meet my goal of trading fully for a living whilst still having a life beyond trading.
V1.0 is first draft & will not include any charts, although chart examples will be added or at least
form part of the trade journal included in this plan. More detail to be added as a work in progress.
Fundamental premiseof this method is to fish for entries at Weekly extremes & then build a stack
of long-term positions from there. This will frequently require repeated trial and error entries until
an established position can be built. This is not a high win % method : 50% winners would beexceptional.
Basic blueprintis 60minutemans current variation to enter on breakof H4 candles which form at
the current Weekly extreme combined with a directional bias allowing trades only in the direction of
the prior Daily Close being above / below the SMA(50).
v1.2 update: to clarify, if directional bias is Long only, then a Weekly Lowmust be reached to
trigger a possible trade setup. The entry is then made on a break abovethat bar.
v1.3 Monday filter: after the weekend Weekly reset, there are likely many more setups than
usual on a Monday morning, possibly increasing whipsaws. To address this I will draw the Friday HiLo
across Monday before the weeks trading begins. I am using the Alchemy Weekly HiLo indicator with
alerts for the rest of the week. No idea if this Monday filter is a good idea, but I am using it right
now.
Looks like this :
8/10/2019 H4 Flow Trade Plan v1.3
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Experimental hybrid variationmay be added initially to allow lower timeframe entries during the
periods that I am usually day trading, typically the European morning from 0800 (Frankfurt Open).
Hybrid entry may be as simple as dropping down to the M15 chart, or using a Renko chart (work in
progress). This is intended to take advantage of my being very familiar trading faster charts with
small stops : whether it adds to this method in a worthwhile way or not remains to be seenit may
just add a load of small losers. I will set up charts during the first weeks trading to see if this is
manageable. (NB. A major goal is to greatly REDUCE my time in front of the screens !)
Instrument universe: EURAUD EURJPY GBPJPY GBPUSD XAUUSD XTIUSD(will add YMfutures
as index pair at some point, but this will require more $$$ in TS account to handle overnight margin
requirements on large stack).
(During start-up phase, may restrict number of pairs traded at any one time, eg. only one or FX
symbol at a time. Intention is to expand the number of open instruments with the potential benefits
of both smoothing & improving equity curve.)
Initial stop placement: beyond signal bar extreme (spread + 2)
Stop trail: not yet known; what is known is that I have a fear-based tendency to tighten stops too
soon.
8/10/2019 H4 Flow Trade Plan v1.3
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Entry units and management: 2u entry, of which 1u is a shorter term trade, usually exited EOD : the
purpose of this is to lock in shorter-tern gains to smooth the equity curve. Longer term unit is to be
stacked if it survives.
Scale-ins: as per initial entry method.
Position size: will start at TS minimum $1/pip & scale up aggressively as soon as I feel confident of
my consistent correct execution and have a better idea of likely drawdown size & duration. Longer-
term I would like to reach a point where my individual trade risk is