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H1 FY19 Results11 October 2018
Matt DaviesChairman
3
Successful transition to an online retailer
• Substantial legacy issues
• Challenging retail backdrop
Rebased dividend
• More sustainable level from which to grow
Search for a new CEO is underway
• Next phase of our development
Strong base on which to build
• Significant online presence
• Industry leading expertise in fashion that fits
• Supporting financial services business
Opening remarks
Steve JohnsonChief Executive Officer
5
My background
• Joined N Brown February 2016 as
CEO of Financial Services
• Previously Financial Services Product
and Marketing Director at Shop Direct
• Significant experience of retail
businesses with strong FS proposition
• Product Director at Sainsbury’s Bank
6
8.6% Power Brands
online growth
£677.6mCustomer
loan book
77% Product revenue
now online
£30.6mAdjusted PBT
1.5%Reduction in
operating costs
* Excludes stores
1.0% Revenue growth
Highlights
Product* -3.1% FS +12.7% EBITDA +6.1% to £52.0m
Craig LovelaceChief Financial Officer
Revenue
8
£m
+1.8% -6.9% -11.2% +12.7% +1.0%
Q1: +0.4%
Q2: +1.5%
Product revenue* -3.1%
-26.9%
* Excludes stores
Adjusted profit before tax
9
£m
Adjusted EBITDA
up 6.1% to £52.0m
Gross profit
10
£m H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
Product
Revenue 311.4 323.5 -3.7%
Gross profit 166.3 174.8 -4.8%
Gross margin 53.4% 54.0% -60bps
Financial services
Revenue 146.4 129.9 +12.7%
Gross profit 82.0 73.5 +11.6%
Gross margin 56.0% 56.5% -50bps
Group gross profit 248.3 248.3 0.0%
Group gross margin 54.2% 54.8% -60bps
Income statement
11
£m H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
Group gross profit 248.3 248.3 0.0%
Warehouse & fulfilment (42.4) (42.5) -0.3%
Marketing & production (84.4) (88.2) -4.3%
Admin & payroll (69.5) (68.6) +1.3%
Adjusted EBITDA 52.0 49.0 +6.1%
Depreciation & amortisation (14.9) (12.9) +15.4%
Operating Profit 37.1 36.1 +2.8%
Operating Margin 8.1% 8.0% +10bps
Net finance costs (6.5) (3.9) +66.7%
Adjusted PBT 30.6 32.2 -5.0%
Unrealised FX movement 7.7 (4.9) +257.1%
Taxation (8.3) (6.3) +31.7%
Adjusted basic EPS 8.37p 8.77p -4.6%
Lower product volumes
Investment in systems
Note: Underlying trading performance excluding exceptionals and unrealised FX movement
Improved marketing
efficiency
Increased debt due to
customer loan book
growth
Underlying ETR of
21.8%
Exceptional items
£m H1 FY19
Previously announced:
Store closures 22.0
External costs related to tax matters 2.7
Announced today:
Customer redress 22.4
Welcom impairment 11.2
Figleaves goodwill impairment 7.1
Total 65.4
12
• Increased customer redress driven by Plevin / FCA marketing activity
• PPI deadline is August 2019
Net debt
13
£m
£346.8m
£420.5m
Core
Securitised
on loan
book
Leverage based on
core debt of 0.3x
Financial ServicesGood growth in revenue
14
KPIs H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
Customer account arrears rate (>28 days) 9.7% 9.3% +40bps
Provisions rate (IFRS9) 16.5% 19.7%* -320bps
New credit recruits (rollers) 90k 135k -33.3%
• Revenue up 12.7% driven by 14.2% increase in interest payments
• Credit arrears rate normalising following change to minimum payments
• Provisions rate benefited from disposal of high risk debt
• New credit rollers reflects trading performance
* Restated for IFRS9. The bad debt provision previously reported under IAS39 was 10.3%.
Financial ServicesImpact of IFRS9
15
• Main impact is reduction to net assets
• Broadly neutral for income statement given FY18 restatement
£m 1 Sep 2018 3 Mar 2018 Change
Gross customer loan balances 677.6 647.6 +4.6%
IFRS9 bad debt provision (111.9) (116.0)* -3.5%
IFRS9 provision ratio 16.5% 17.9%* -140bps
Net customer loan balances 565.7 531.6* +6.4%
* Restated for IFRS9. The bad debt provision previously reported under IAS39 was £48.8m (7.5%).
FY19 guidance
16
Product gross margin 0 to -100bps (was 0 to +100bps)
Financial Services gross margin -100bps to -200bps
Operating costs -1% to -3% (was +1.5% to +3.5%)
Depreciation & amortisation £32m to £33m
Net interest £13m to £14m (was £12m to £13m)
Underlying ETR c.22%
Capex c.£40m
Net debt £450m to £475m (was £425m to £450m)
Exceptional costs c.£67m (was £22m to £26m)
FX (100% hedged at 1.33)* £3m tailwind
* For FY20 the Group is 77% hedged at 1.34; policy is 100% hedged by end FY19.
Steve JohnsonChief Executive Officer
18
Observations on the Group
Transformation into an online retailer
• Great brands and strong team
Goal to become a world class digital retailer
• Leading expertise in fashion that fits
• Make customers look and feel amazing
Scope to improve performance
• Reduce offline costs
• Accelerate use of data analytics
• Be clearer on brand propositions
• Narrow international focus to USA and Ireland
• Systems migration
Our online transformation
19
Note: N Brown product revenue from continuing operations
£m
Online CAGR +8.9%
Power Brands +13.8%
We anticipate that the annual decline in offline revenue
will continue at a double-digit rate
-22.4%
+3.8%
PB +8.6%
Offline CAGR -6.5%
Power Brands Simply Be: Best performer again
20
Revenue up 8.0% to £65.3m*
• Go-to destination for size 12-32 women
• Larger sizes on an exclusive basis
• Further enhancing our beauty proposition
through partnership with L’Oreal
• More than our bodies AW18 campaign
* Excludes stores
Power Brands JD Williams: Underlying growth
21
Revenue down 3.1% to £78.6m
• Up 7.5% excl. Fifty Plus
• Headwind to soften in H2
• Championing ‘Midster’ women (45+)
• >50% unhappy with high street offering
• Industry leading experts in fit
• 200 measurements vs traditional 12
• Midster Live at London Fashion week
• ‘I AM’ AW18 campaign
Power Brands Jacamo: Continued progress
22
Revenue up 2.7% to £30.7m*
• 25 – 45 year old men of all shapes and sizes
• Distinctive Live YOUR Moment campaign
• Continuing theme into AW18 season
• Promote body shape inclusivity
* Excludes stores
Secondary Brands Focused on distinct customer niches
23
Revenue down 6.9% to £69.4m*
• Shifting marketing investment to our Power Brands
• Decline principally due to Marisota
• Increasingly used as product brand for JD Williams
• Stopped offline recruitment
• New Fashion World app
• Figleaves turnaround plan
* Excludes stores
Traditional segmentSwitching focus to online customers
24
Revenue down 11.2% to £60.5m
• Scaling back offline marketing & recruitment
• Most heavily weighted segment to offline
• Anticipate fastest rate of decline going forward
• Further opportunities for cost savings
25
International brandsDisappointing performance
Revenue down 7.9% to £15.3m
• USA decreased 16.7% and Ireland broadly flat
• Switched marketing expenditure to online
• Lower than anticipated online growth
• Poor conversion rates / incorrect targeting
• Reappraised digital marketing strategy
• Re-engaging with our target customers
Narrowed our focus to the USA and Ireland
26
PartnershipsGood progress
Capsule collections on 3rd party websites
• Good progress since commencing last year
• Already making positive profit contribution to Group
• New deals signed with Lipsy and Wehkamp
• Eleven partners to date; live on eight
• Access to new customers at relatively low investment
Summary
27
H1 adjusted profit in line with our expectations
• Online Power Brands and FS growth
• Disappointing wider product performance
Opportunities to drive profit
• Shift online / accelerate use of analytics
Full year expectations are unchanged
• First half trends continuing into H2
• Positive outlook for financial services
• Scope for further efficiencies
Appendix
Revenue by brand
29
£m H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
JD Williams 78.6 81.1 -3.1%
Simply Be* 65.3 60.5 8.0%
Jacamo* 30.7 29.9 2.7%
Power Brands* 174.6 171.5 1.8%
Secondary Brands* 69.4 74.5 -6.9%
Traditional Segment 60.5 68.1 -11.2%
Product total* 304.5 314.1 -3.1%
Stores 6.9 9.4 -26.9%
Product total 311.4 323.5 -3.7%
* Excludes stores
Revenue by category
30
£m H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
Ladieswear 139.4 143.4 -2.8%
Menswear 43.4 44.9 -3.3%
Footwear & Accessories 36.3 38.7 -6.2%
Home & Gift 92.3 96.5 -4.4%
Product total 311.4 323.5 -3.7%
Cash flow
31
£m H1 FY19 H1 FY18
Operating profit (28.3) (18.8)
Depreciation and amortisation 14.9 12.9
Impairment and disposal of assets 23.5 -
Working capital (29.7) 2.0
Provisions (2.3) 47.2
Other (0.4) 0.5
Operating cash flow (22.3) 43.8
Tax (1.9) (8.5)
Dividends (24.2) (24.2)
Capital expenditure (17.9) (21.8)
Net finance costs (7.4) (4.1)
Free cash flow (73.7) (14.8)
KPIs
32
Customer H1 FY19 H1 FY18 Change
Active customer accounts 4.3m 4.4m -3.2%
Power Brand active customers accounts 2.2m 2.2m -2.8%
% growth of most loyal customers +0.6% +2.4% -1.8ppts
Online
Online penetration 77% 71% +6ppts
Online penetration of new customers 84% 79% +5ppts
Conversion rate 4.7% 5.2% -50bps
% of traffic from mobile devices 75% 76% -1ppt
Product
Ladieswear share, size 16+ 5.6% 5.3% +30bps
Menswear share, chest size 44”+ 2.7% 2.6% +10bps
Group returns rate 27.3% 27.2% +10bps