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Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine
Lessons Learned
Dr. Phillip A. Karber & Gen. (ret.) Vladimir Zamana 12 April 2015
Nature & Content of New Generation of War 9 Elements of Hybrid Combat
Col. S. Chikina & A. Bodganov, “The Nature and Content of the New Genera=on of War,” Voyenna mysl’, [Military Thought in English Transla=on], No.4, (Oct. 2013) at < hOp://www.eastviewpress.com/Files/MT_FROM%20THE%20CURRENT%20ISSUE_No.4_2013.pdf >.
Luhansk Airport Siege (Sep ’14)
photos confirmed Ba8le of Pocket (Sep ’14)
reports -‐ unconfirmed Debal’tseve
Ba8le of Pocket (Feb ’15) report -‐ unconfirmed
Donetsk Airport Siege (jan ‘15)
reports confirmed Airport Siege (Mar ‘15)
reports confirmed Breakout Ba8le (Mar ‘15)
reports confirmed Mariupol
Novoazvs’k & Sjedove (Sep ’14)
reports confimed Novoazvs’k (Feb‘15)
report unconfirmed Novoazvs’k (Mar ‘15)
reports confirmed Ternove
Gunnery Range (Mar ‘15) report unconfirmed
T-‐90 SighPngs in Ukraine
September ‘14 Jan/Feb ‘15 March ‘15 Unconfirmed Confirmed
DMITRY MEDVEDEV PRIME MINISTER, RUSSIAN FEDERATION
When asked recently about the possibility of “SWIFT” sancGons, which would bar Russia from the internaGonal payment system, Prime Minister Medvedev warned that Moscow’s response would be “without limits.”
MIKHAIL VANIN RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR TO DENMARK
“I don’t think the Danes fully understand the consequences of what will happen if Denmark joins the American-‐led missile defence. If this happens, Danish war ships will become targets for Russian atomic missiles. …I want to simply remind you that it will cost you both money and security.”
Jyllands-‐Posten, March 2015
Hybrid Military Options produce Diplomatic Coercion
Putin’s$$aim$to$“Protect”$Russians$could$Destabilize$EurAAsia$for$Decades$$AA$if$he$is$not$stopped$in$Ukraine$…$Where?$