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For internal use only Growth Against the Odds October 2013 GMA/FMI Conference

Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

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Page 1: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

For internal use only

Growth Against the Odds

October 2013 GMA/FMI Conference

Page 2: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 1

Page 3: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 2

Growth drives value

Sources of TSR, top-quartile S&P 500

0

10

20

30

40Change in annual TSR (%)

1990-2009

Revenue growth

Margin Free cash flow

10 years

74%

5 years

58%

3 years

50%

1 year

29%

Multiple

Page 4: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 3

Improbable growth

5Y revenue growth (%)

5Y TSR (%)

–20%

0%

20%

40%

–20% 0% 20% 40%

No growth

Bad growth

Good growth

Page 5: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 4

Tough odds for large CPG players

62.0 61.9 61.4 60.6

8.1 8.1 8.2 8.6

20

0

100

80

60

40

Midsize

Large

12.2

2009

$664B

17.8

12.1

$677B

2010

12.4

18.0

$703B

2011

12.7

18.1

$722B

2012

Extra small

Small

17.8

Change in share '09-'12

+.5 pt

+.6 pt

+.3 pt

-1.4 pt

$ sales % of total

Page 6: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 5

In search of 'uphill growers'

• Previously stagnant

• Growth turnaround

• Sustained growth

• Created value

Page 7: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 6

Porsche

Page 8: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 7

Earning the "right to grow"

Porsche

1992

Page 9: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 8

Porsche’s growth path

Maximize the core

Expand into adjacencies

Explore new frontiers

1 year

2-4

years

5+

years

911

Boxster

Cayenne

Panamera

918 Spyder hybrid

Page 10: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 9

Breakout, sustained, profitable growth

Consistent growth Incremental launches

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Revenue - indexed

7

1 2

19

0

5

10

15

20

(%)

TSR 90-08

Cash

flow

Multiple Margin Rev

11

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

New vehicle sales ('000s)

12

10

08

06

04

02

00

98

96

94

92

90

Source: Global advantage database, BCG analysis, Porsche annual reports

Growth-driven value

911

Boxster

Cayenne

Panamera

924/944/968

Porsche

Auto and comps

Page 11: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 10

Starting position matters

Competitive premium

Competitive stability

Low

Low

High

High

Stable low-premium

Turbulent high-premium

Stable high-premium

Turbulent low-premium

% o

f com

pani

es

48% %

of c

ompa

nies

83%

17% %

of c

ompa

nies

66%

% o

f com

pani

es

Page 12: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 11

Competitive premium

Competitive stability

Low

Low

High

High

Stable low-premium

Turbulent high-premium

Stable high-premium

Turbulent low-premium

Starting position matters

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Page 13: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 12

Lessons from breakout growers

Stable low-premium

Turbulent high-

premium

Stable high-

premium

Turbulent low-

premium

• Reinvest in core and explore adjacencies

• Build a "bet portfolio" • Move quickly: kill or scale up

• Seek near

adjacencies • Maintain

core • Transplant

globally

Maintain/expand margin while growing

• Migrate

core: new frontiers

• Monetize poor portfolio

• Prioritize domestic

Page 14: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 13

1. Clarify your aspiration

Page 15: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 14

1. Clarify your aspiration

2. Know your advantage

Page 17: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 16

Wider field of vision

Where to play

Commercial initiatives

Maximize the core

Expand into adjacencies

Explore new frontiers

Organic innovation

M&A/ partnership

Business model

innovation

How to win

Page 18: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 17

1. Clarify your aspiration

2. Know your advantage 3. widen your perspective

4. Force tough choices

Page 20: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 19

1. Clarify the aspiration

2. Know your advantage 3. Widen your perspective

4. Force tough choices 5. Fund the journey

6. Align vision and action

Page 21: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

BCG document 20

Integration of vision, choices, action

Purpose

Vision

Strategic choices

Initiatives

Enablers

Goals and metrics

Page 22: Growth - Grocery Manufacturers Association | GMA · BCG document 12 Lessons from breakout growers Stable low-premium Turbulent high-premiumpremium Stable high-premium Turbulent low-•

Thank you

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