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Growing a sustainable futureWe are a forest owner that converts the raw material into
everything from wood for climate smart building to
renewable packaging, magazines and books, with
energy partly generated by own hydro- and wind power
Holmen
2
The climate benefits of forestry are obvious
Fossil emissions reduced by 85%
Substitution
Carbon sequestration1,3 Million tonnes
CO2
1,8 Million tonnes
CO2
0,4 Million tonnes
CO2
+
‒
2,7 Million tonnes
CO2 per year
Holmen
Snygg mellanbild skog (helskärm)
3
ForestForest
1.0 million ha productive forest land
(1.3 million ha total land area)
Holmen
Growth & price inflation drives value
4
200
300
400
500
600
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
07
20
09
20
11
20
13
20
15
20
17
20
19
Price
Real Nominal
SEK/m3sub
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
19
48
19
55
19
65
19
75
19
88
19
93
20
00
20
10
20
19
Forest holdingsm3 growing stock solid over bark/ha
Holmen
Major expansions create shortageSweden imports >10% of its need for pulpwood
Holmen
New revenue opportunities for a land owner
6
Leasing to wind farms and conversion to infrastructure & housing
Holmen
41 bn SEK market value
7Source: Holmen
Based on transactions in the areas we have forest
Total land
area, tha
Productive
land, tha
North 890 690
Middle 310 260
South 100 90
Total 1 300 1 040
Holmen
Location key value driver
8
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
Forest land prices, SEK/m3
South Middle North
Source: Holmen and LRF Konsult
Holmen
Forest profit stabilised at a higher level
9
*Excl items affecting comparability
9051 001 1 069
1 185 1 172 1 191
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit*
Holmen
Board for premium applications
550 000 tonnes per year
Holmen
2,4
2,5
2,6
2,7
2,8
2,9
3,0
3,1
3,2
3,3
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
M1
2
Mton European SBB and FBB demand
Solid European board demand
11Source: RISI, FOEX and CEPI
Stable prices
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
1 300
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
EUR/ton Prices
Pulp FBB
Holmen
Deliveries at record levels in Q1
12
110
120
130
140
150
Q1
-17
Q2
-17
Q3
-17
Q4
-17
Q1
-18
Q2
-18
Q3
-18
Q4
-18
Q1
-19
Q2
-19
Q3
-19
Q4
-19
Q1
-20
kton Holmen's deliveries, quarterly
Source: Holmen
* Q2-19 – Q1-20
400
440
480
520
560
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
M1
2 *
kton Holmen's deliveries, annually
Holmen
Weak paperboard performance in 2019
13
*Excl items affecting comparability
Major maintenance stops & production disturbances
847903
764689
435486
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
% Profitability*
EBITDA margin Return on capital employed
Holmen
Grow sales in premium segment
14
Food
Pri
ce
Beverages Other
PharmaTobacco
Confectionary
Cosmetics
Holmen
Paper offering cost savings
1.1 million tonnes per year
Holmen
Focused on magazine & book paper
16Source: PPPC, Euro-Graph, Holmen
Accounts for 90% of sales
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2010 2019
kton Holmen’s magazine & book papers
+50%
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
20 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 M12
kton Printing paper demand WE
Newsprint Coated magazine Uncoated magazine & book
Holmen
Prices declining
17Source: RISI, FOEX, PPPC, Euro-Graph
Market balance deteriorated during 2019
300
400
500
600
700
800
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EUR/ton
Newsprint 45 g SC Gravure 56 g LWC Offset 60 g
Holmen
Good product mix
18Source: Holmen
200
220
240
260
280
300
Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
kton Holmen's deliveries
Weakening demand in recent month
Holmen
Return on capital 23% in paper
19
*Excl items affecting comparability
-74
289 288329
509473
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit*
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
% Profitability*
EBITDA margin Return on capital employed
Holmen
Gain market by offering cost savings
20
Lighter paper reduces printing & distribution costs
39%more print
surface
Holmen
21
Wood for climate smart building
1 million m³ per year
Holmen
Gradually increasing wood products demand
22Source: FAO Forestry statistics & woodstat
China has emerged as a large consumer
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mm3Consumption of wood products
Europe North America China Other Asia MENA
Holmen
Building in wood benefits the climate
23Source: Wood products: Skogsindustrierna; Concrete & Steel: Macrobond statistics for Europe
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Index
Wood products Concrete products for construction purposes Steel
Holmen
Strong deliveries in Q1
24
Source: Holmen
* Q2-19 – Q1-20
160
180
200
220
240
260
Q1
-17
Q2
-17
Q3
-17
Q4
-17
Q1
-18
Q2
-18
Q3
-18
Q4
-18
Q1
-19
Q2
-19
Q3
-19
Q4
-19
Q1
-20
'000 m3 Holmen´s deliveries, quarterly
Demand weakend in some markets during April
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
M1
2 *
'000 m3 Holmen´s deliveries, annually
Holmen
Price drop hurts profitability
25
*Excl items affecting comparability
9
-3
80
246
6211
-50
50
150
250
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit*
-10
0
10
20
30
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
% Profitability*
EBITDA margin Return on capital employed
Holmen
Braviken investment finalised
26
Ramp-up on hold until market conditions improve
Holmen
Energy from hydro & wind
1 200 GWh per year
Holmen
Nordic prices normally tracks coal power
28
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EUR/MWh Electricity prices and marginal cost for coal fired power
Nordic Countries Germany Marginal cost for coal fired power
Low prices in Q1 due to ample supply & low demand
Holmen
Limited impact of lower prices
29
176
120 135
181
336 335
0
100
200
300
400
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit
0
3
6
9
12
15
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
% Return on capital employed
80 MSEK gain from sale of wind farm in 2019
Holmen
EU phasing out fossil fuels
30Source: IEA & Holmen estimate
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
TWh European electricity production
Renewable Nuclear Fossil
Holmen
31
• Letar efter en annan bild på vindkraftspark!
Operational by the end of 2021
Building 440 GWh wind power on our own land
Holmen
32
Financial performance
Holmen
Stable profitability
33
*Excl items affecting comparability
1 700
2 162 2 166
2 4762 345 2 330
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
SEKm Operating profit*
0
5
10
15
20
25
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -
Q1-20
% Margins*
EBITDA margin Operating margin
Holmen
Capital employed
Good cash-flow & solid financial position
34
0
10
20
30
40
50
15 16 17 18 19 I/20
% Debt/equity ratio
Forest
Renewable Energy
Paperboard
Paper
Wood Products
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
15 16 17 18 19 Q2-19 -Q1-20
SEKm Cash flow
Capital expenditure*
Dividend
Cashflow before capex and WC
* Excl sale of the newsprint mill in Spain (2016) and acquisition of loan relating partly owned wind power company (2018)
Holmen
35
The forest offers sustainable alternatives
Concrete & steel
Wood products
Plastic Board and paper
Fossil fuelsRenewable energy
from bio, hydro & wind
Holmen
36
Ambition to grow the value
of the forest and industry