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GROUP DISCUSSION. CLIMATE DYNAMICS – ALICE GRIMM CLIMATE CHANGE - IRACEMA CAVALCANTI REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELING – JEREMY PAL AND ROSMERI ROCHA. CLIMATE DYNAMICS. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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GROUP DISCUSSIONGROUP DISCUSSION
CLIMATE DYNAMICS – ALICE GRIMM
CLIMATE CHANGE - IRACEMA CAVALCANTI
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELING – JEREMY PAL AND ROSMERI ROCHA
CLIMATE DYNAMICS
• Do we really know the mechanisms of the systems that affect the precipitation over South America (or North and Central America or Europa/Spain)?
• What are the uncertainties?• What do we need to improve our
understanding of those phenomena?• Do we need more collaboration? How
can we active this goal?
CLIMATE CHANGE
• Will the anomalies change in scenarios of climate change over South America?
• How the intensity of natural variability can change in the future?
• What are the best tools (numerical or stochastic models) to improve our understanding of the future scenarios?
• Despite of the uncertainties can we still aggregate value to the GCM outputs for the future scenarios?
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS
• Eta or RegCM3 or any other – positive and negative points – are there any real difference?
• Downscaling – Is it worthy doing?• What are the best tools that can be
used to validate the models?• Are there data to validated the models?
Which ones?• Others