Group Decision Support System Based on Enhanced Ahp for Tender Evaluation

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    Group Decision Support System Based on Enhanced AHP for Tender Evaluation

    Fadhilah Ahmad1 , M Yazid M Saman

    2, Fatma Susilawati Mohamad3, Zarina Mohamad4,

    Wan Suryani Wan Awang5

    1,3,4,5Faculty of Informatics and Computing

    University Sultan Zainal Abidin

    Tembila Campus, Besut, 22200,Terengganu, Malaysia

    E-mail: {fad,fatma,zarina,suryani}@unisza.edu.my,

    2 Faculty of Science and Technology

    Universiti Malaysia Terengganu(UMT), 21030 Mengabang Telipot, Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia

    E-mail: [email protected]

    ABSTRACT

    Application of model base in group decision making

    that makes up a Group Decision Support System

    (GDSS) is of paramount importance. Analytic

    Hierarchy Process (AHP) is the multi-criteria decision

    making (MCDM) that has been applied in GDSS. In

    order to be effectively used in GDSS, AHP needs to be

    customized so that it is more user friendly with ease of

    used features. In this paper, we propose an enhanced

    AHP model for GDSS tendering. The enhanced AHP

    method used is the Guided Ranked AHP (GRAHP). It

    is a technique where decision matrix tables are

    automatically filled in based on ranked data. However,

    the generated values in the decision matrix tables can

    still be altered by following the guidelines which in

    turn serve the purpose of improving the consistency of

    the decision matrix table. This process is transparent to

    Decision Makers because the degree of data

    inconsistency is visible. A prototype system based on

    tendering process has been developed to test the

    GRAHP model in terms of its applicability and

    robustness.

    KEYWORDS

    Group Decision Support System (GDSS), Multi-

    Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), Analytic

    Hierarchy Process (AHP), Tender Evaluation.

    1 INTRODUCTION

    Decision support system (DSS) is seen as building

    blocks that offers the best combination of

    computational power, value for money and

    significantly offers efficiency in certain decision

    making problem solving [1,25]. Based on these

    building blocks, modern DSS applications

    comprise of integrated resources working together

    which are model base, database or knowledge

    base, algorithms, user interface and control

    mechanisms used to support certain decision

    problem [2].

    There are many application areas suitable for DSS

    which include academic advising, water resource

    planning, direct mailing decisions, e-sourcing,

    tendering decisions and many more. DSS has a

    vast field of research scopes which are categorized

    as model management, design, multi-criteria

    decision making (MCDM), implementation,

    organization science, cognitive science, and group

    DSS (GDSS). DSS also has direct relation with

    Human Computer Interaction (HCI) and Database

    Management System (DBMS).

    MCDM constitutes an advanced field of research

    [21-24] that is dedicated to the development and

    implementation of DSS tools and methodologies

    to handle complex decision problems involving

    multiple criteria, goals or objectives of conflicting

    nature. MCDM is broadly classified into two

    categories which are Multiple Attribute Decision

    Making (MADM) and Multiple Objective

    Decision Making (MODM) [5]. MADM methods

    are used for selecting single most preferred

    alternative or short listing a limited number of

    alternatives, while MODM methods are used for

    designing a problem involving an infinite number

    of alternatives implicitly defined by mathematical

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    constraints. Evaluation of a problem in DSS can

    either be done by a single decision Maker (DM) or

    a group of decision makers (DMs). If it involves a

    single DM, the DSS is called Single DSS (SDSS)

    and if a group of DMs are involved, the term

    group DSS (GDSS) is used. GDSS comprises a

    large body of research and it remains an active

    area of investigation. A GDSS in web-based

    environment is a computerized system that makes

    use of model base and database/knowledge base

    which delivers decision support information or

    decision support tools to a group of DMs/users

    using a web browser such as Netscape Navigator

    or Internet Explorer [3].

    There is a need to consider a group of DMs in

    improving the productivity of decision making and

    also the quality of decision results. [4] states that

    groups have an advantage in combining talents

    and providing innovative solutions to possibly

    unfamiliar problems. This is because groups

    possess a range of skills and knowledge compared

    to individual DM. A well-known MCDM model

    that has been used in GDSS is Analytic Hierarchy

    Process (AHP) [26-28]. [18] used Group Analytic

    Network Process (GANP) to support hazard

    planning and emergency management under

    incomplete information. They showed that both

    AHP and GANP have great potential to be

    deployed in specified case involving a group of

    DMs. Group fuzzy prioritization processes for

    AHP/ANP was also suggested to be used if the

    nature of the problems is tentative, imprecise,

    approximate and uncertain [11]. A group decision

    approach for evaluating educational web sites

    using several soft computing technologies e.g.

    fuzzy theory, grey system and group decision

    method has been proposed by [19]. A GDSS for

    evaluation of tenders of ICT equipment based on

    multi attribute group decision models and the

    software WINGDSS was developed by 12]. The

    winner of a tender would be the one who makes

    the best offer after the prequalification process and

    the ranking processes.

    Even though many GDSS have been developed

    using various model bases, none of them provides

    flexibility to DMs in terms of the followings:

    1) Giving guidelines on how to enter data into

    AHP decision matrices, 2) freedom to choose

    other enhanced AHP versions, and 3) transparency

    in data consistency checking in just one generic

    DSS.

    Consequently, we have addressed all these issues

    in a research as presented in this paper. A

    tendering case study was employed to demonstrate

    the issues of conflicting evaluation criteria in

    decision making and a model were proposed to

    solve the problem. Tendering problem has a finite

    number of evaluation criteria that are experienced,

    technical skills, previous work performance, and a

    few others. In terms of alternatives, only limited

    numbers of choices are taken into consideration

    since some of the alternatives had already been

    discarded in the pre-requisite analysis.

    One simple and flexible MADM model used by

    many scholars [6], [8], [9], [10] in appraisal

    evaluation is the Analytic Hierarchy Process

    (AHP). AHP [15] has many advantages such as

    easy to use, well accepted by decision makers, can

    be used in SDSS and GDSS, and has matured

    through multiple revisions.

    This paper is organized as follows. Section 2

    outlines the Guided Ranked AHP (GRAHP)

    model, which is an enhanced version of AHP.

    Next, the implementation of the model in GDSS

    tendering and the results of the implementation is

    presented in Section 3. Finally, a summary of the

    paper is accomplished in Section 4.

    2 GDSS RELATED WORKS

    There are various models that can be used in

    GDSS such as AHP, Fuzzy AHP, Group Analytic

    Network Process (GANP), Delphi, Maximized

    Agreement Heuristic (MAH), TOPSIS, nominal

    group technique (NGT), and a few others. Table

    2.4 describes some of the research carried out on

    GDSS using specific models. [18] used GANP to

    support hazard planning and emergency

    management under incomplete information. They

    showed that GANP have great potential for use in

    specified case involving a group of DMs. If the

    problem involves tentative, imprecise,

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    approximate and uncertainty, then the model base

    suggested is group fuzzy prioritization processes

    based on AHP or GANP.

    Another GDSS approach has been studied by [11]

    on journal evaluation. The method that has been

    used is an integration of subjective (eg. experts

    judgments on journals) and objective approach

    (eg. Impact factors of journals). Fuzzy set

    approach is used when dealing with imprecise or

    missing information.

    Gwo-Jen et al. (2004) have proposed a group

    decision approach for evaluating educational web

    sites. Several soft computing technologies have

    been employed in the approach, such as fuzzy

    theory, grey system and group decision method. A

    computer-assisted website evaluation system,

    EWSE (Educational Web Site Evaluator), has

    been developed based on an experimental

    approach. The system is capable of selecting the

    proper criteria for an individual web site and

    achieves greater accuracy when evaluating the

    results.

    There is a work on tender evaluation focusing on

    the selection of supplier for ICT equipment

    (Rapcsak et al., 2000). Two Multi attribute group

    decision models known as criterion tree and

    weight system have been used. The tender is

    awarded to the one who makes the best offer. The

    ranking of the offer are based on the price and

    multitude of criteria. The tendering process

    consists of two stages. The first round is the

    prequalification process and followed by the final

    ranking of alternatives, accomplished by the price

    adjustment method. Arithmetic means technique

    is used to aggregate individual results to form the

    group result.

    Table 1. Summarization of studies on GDSS using particular model base

    Year Authors Model Fields Issues Addressed

    2014 Kar Fuzzy AHP and

    Fuzzy Goal Programming

    Selection of

    supplier

    Use of Geometric Mean in Fuzzy AHP

    2014 Taylan et al. Fuzzy AHP and

    Fuzzy TOPSIS

    Selection of

    construction

    projects

    Creating weight using Fuzzy AHP for

    linguistic variable

    2013 Srdjevic and

    Srdjevic

    AHP Selection of

    Wetland area

    AHP synthesis of the best local priority

    vectors based on the most consistent

    decision makers

    2007 Levy and Taji GANP Hazard planning

    and emergency

    management

    GANP DSS that used quadratic

    programming and interval information

    to cope with incomplete information.

    2007 Saaty and Shang AHP Voting Preference intensity using cardinal

    approach several-issues-at-time

    decision-making

    2006 Ratnasabaphthy

    and Rameezdeen,

    Statistical and Delphi Procurement Four rounds of Delphi surveys, several

    statistical methods, and interviews

    2005 Shih, Huang and

    Shyur

    AHP,

    TOPSIS, Nominal Group

    Technique (NGT),

    Bordas function

    Recruitment and

    selection

    Enhancing consensus among DMs,

    GDSS framework

    2005 Kengpol and

    Tuominen

    ANP, Delphi, MAH Evaluation of

    information

    technology

    Achieving consensus in quantitative

    and qualitative judgments

    2005 Limayem,

    Banerjee and Ma

    Adaptive Structured Theory

    (AST), Faithfulness of

    Appropriation (FOA)

    GDSS process

    enhancement

    Requirement of embedded decisional

    guidelines, tailored training and

    decisional guidelines

    2005 Turban, Zhou and

    Ma

    Fuzzy set theory Evaluation of

    journals

    Integration of objective and subjective

    judgements using fuzzy set approach to

    deal with imprecise and missing

    information.

    2004 Gwo-Jen, Tony, Fuzzy theory, grey system, Evaluation of Open evaluation criteria, uncertainty and

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    and Judy AHP educational web incomplete information

    2002 Mikhailov Fuzzy AHP Model base

    enhancement

    (AHP process

    enhancement)

    Group prioritisation process using fuzzy

    programming optimization to deal with

    missing judgements.

    2000 Rapcsak, Sagi,

    Toth and Ketszeri

    Criterion tree, Weight

    system, Voting power

    vector, Software WINGS

    Evaluation of

    tenders in

    information

    technology

    Model building, GDSS system

    development methodology, and methods

    of aggregation the score by each DM.

    1996 Tavana, Kennedy

    and Joglekar

    AHP, Delphi, Maximized

    Agreement Heuristic

    (MAH)

    Recruitment and

    selection

    Improving consistency among DMs.

    3 ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS

    There are some well-known numeric discrete

    techniques of MADM models. They are Analytic

    Hierarchy Process (AHP), Weighted Sum Model

    (WSM) or sometimes it is called Additive Value

    Function (AVF), Weighted Product Model

    (WPM), Technique for Order Preference by

    Similarity of the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS),

    ELimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalit to

    mean ELimination and Choice Expressing REality

    (ELECTRE), and Preference Ranking

    Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations

    (PROMETHEE).

    Comparing the models in order to choose the best

    method for a particular problem is not an easy task

    (Triantaphyllou, 2000; Zanakis et al., 1998). Each

    of them has its own strengths and weaknesses. A

    study made by Zankis et al. (1998) has concluded

    that AHP appears to perform closest to WSM and

    TOPSIS. PROMETHEE and ELECTRE behave

    differently because these methods present different

    ranking philosophy and do not assume that unique

    ranking always exists in practice. The result of the

    study made by Triantaphyllou (2000) has

    recommended that for most of the cases, for

    certain evaluation criteria, AHP appears to be the

    best decision making method. However, based on

    the literature, we found that the selection of the

    model depends on the type of problem to be

    solved and the nature of criteria used for the

    evaluation of alternatives

    AHP was introduced by Thomas L. Saaty in 1980

    (Saaty, 1980). It is a multi-attribute decision

    making methodology for choosing the best among

    a set of alternatives via pair comparison process.

    It uses numeric technique to help DMs choose

    among discrete set of alternative decisions. The

    AHP method is based on the following principles:

    i. Build a hierarchy of criteria, by decomposing the problem into a hierarchy tree. The left end

    side of the tree represents the goal to be

    achieved and the right end side represents the

    alternatives among which to decide the

    preferred one (Figure 1);

    ii. Perform a sequence of pair-wise comparisons for the criteria on the same level of hierarchy

    for each node;

    iii. Perform a sequence of pair-wise comparison on the alternatives for each criteria;

    iv. Establish weighting among the elements in the hierarchy;

    v. Synthesize the results in order to obtain the overall ranking of alternatives with respect to

    goal;

    vi. Evaluate the consistency of judgment to make sure that the original preference ratings are

    consistent.

    Table 2 shows the pair wise comparisons scheme

    as proposed by Saaty. The scheme can be used to

    translate linguistic judgment comparisons into

    numbers, which are then inserted into the decision

    matrix, A.

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    .

    .

    .

    .

    Criteria 1

    Criteria 2

    Goal Criteria 3

    Criteria N

    Sub-criteria ..

    Sub-criteria ..

    Sub-criteria

    3.2

    Sub-criteria

    3.1

    Alternative N

    Alternative C

    Alternative B

    Alternative A

    Figure 1. Hierarchical Diagram for AHP Approach

    Table 2. Pairwise comparison scale

    Intensity Definition

    1 Equal importance of both elements

    3 Slight importance of one element over another

    5 Moderate importance of one element over another

    7 Essential or strong importance of one element over another

    9 Extremely importance of one element over another

    2, 4, 6, 8 Intermediate values between two adjacent judgments

    The decision matrix, A for pair wise comparison in

    AHP method is as follows:

    A1 A2 A3 An

    A1 1 a12 a13 a1n

    A2 1/a21 1 a23 a2n

    A 3 1/a31 1/a32 1 a3n

    A m 1/am1 1/am2 1/am3 1

    The decision matrix, A is an (m x n) matrix in

    which element aij is a pair wise comparison

    between alternative, i (row) and alternative, j

    (column) when it is evaluated in terms of each

    decision criterion. The diagonal is always 1 since

    aij = 1 (since the criteria or alternatives are being

    compared to themselves) and the lower

    triangular matrix is filled using Equation 2.

    AHP has gone through multiple revisions over the

    years. Some works have been done on improving

    the AHP itself in terms of decision matrix

    consistency. Saaty (2003) has investigated the

    quintessence of eigenvector principal in decision-

    making and its influence in the judgments of the

    AHP decision matrix. Previous work by Harker

    (1987) in this area is referred and evaluated

    together with his work in terms of how to improve

    the consistency of judgments, and transform an

    inconsistent matrix to a near consistent one.

    However, their works do not provide a step-by-

    step guideline to DMs on how to enter consistent

    data into the matrix. Hence, a guideline is needed

    to assist DMs to enter consistent or near consistent

    data into the decision matrix.

    4 GUIDED RANKED AHP

    Guided Ranked Analytic Hierarchy Process

    (GRAHP) model is a set of guidelines [20]

    synthesized with Ranked AHP (RAHP). RAHP is

    A = (1)

    (2)

  • 6

    a decision analysis method introduced by Othman

    [13] in 2004. This method can be used to fill in

    AHP decision matrices based on the priority

    ranking of each element value in each criteria or

    sub criteria for each pairwise element comparison.

    The elements are all ranked according to their

    priority values in hierarchical form. In terms of

    assigning the value to each comparison elements

    in AHP decision matrices, the pairwise

    comparison value can be obtained using the

    following rules:

    This method adheres to the input range value

    concept proposed by Saaty with the highest

    priority element is marked as 1 while the lowest is

    9. The maximum comparison value assigned to

    the elements which are greater than 9 (10 and

    above) is still 9.

    RAHP was claimed to be better than the primitive

    Saatys pairwise comparison method because it is

    always consistent and easy to use just by following

    the above guidelines. This reduces the time to get

    the results because RAHP provides a formula on

    how to enter data into the decision matrices.

    On the other hand, the RAHP model proposed by

    Othman lacks the process of converting the item

    values in each criteria or sub-criteria for each

    alternative to ranked values. As an enhancement,

    we propose the conversion process as follows:

    Applying GRAHP causes AHP decision matrices

    to be automatically filled in. However, DMs can

    still alter these values based on their own

    discretion or they can follow the guidelines given

    to reduce data inconsistency. This process is

    transparent to DMs where the degree of data

    inconsistency is acknowledged.

    In AHP, the group prioritization process was used.

    Possible approaches to estimate the weight of

    elements in AHP are; agreement of each group

    member to enter the decision matrix table, voting

    process, aggregation of individual evaluation via

    geometric mean or arithmetic mean. These

    approaches have their own challenges. In our case,

    the arithmetic mean approach was chosen for

    GRAHP owing to its simplicity.

    5 IMPLEMENTATION OF GRAHP IN GDSS

    TENDERING

    The process flow of GDSS tender evaluation in

    Malaysia is depicted in Fig. 2. At the beginning of

    the process, a DM (the company

    management/group leader) defines the number of

    contractors for a certain project and the group

    features. Then, the DMs (either company

    management/group leader or group members) rank

    the criteria (Fig. 4, step 1) and assigns the scales

    for the decision matrices (Fig. 4, step 2) through

    the form interfaces. These data are then stored in a

    hybrid database, weight and GRAHP model bases.

    These are the initial input accepted by the GDSS

    tendering after the client tendering evaluation

    request. Guidelines regarding the decision

    matrices input scales are displayed on top of the

    matrices. This information can be used by the

    DMs to define the degree of importance of the

    strategic level evaluation criteria. These are the

    distinguishing part of our model, since many AHP

    applications did not provide such guidelines and

    alert messages to ensure consistency input scales.

    These outstanding features together with the

    automatic fill in of table matrices enable the DMs

    to focus on the evaluation of alternatives instead of

    decision making problems themselves. GRAHP

    operations are carried out automatically by the

    GDSS tendering system. These operations include

    the calculation of priority vector and the weight

    Assume that Pi (i = 1, 2, , 9) is a rank for i-th element,

    i. If Pi = Pj then aij = 1

    ii. If Pi < Pj then aij = (Pj - Pi + 1) and

    1/aij

    Sort the criteria value from the most to the least importance.

    Assume that the most importance has bigger original value:

    Initialise rank_value;

    For ( there is record ){ if ( element [ i-th] > element [i-th + 1] ){

    assign rank_value to the i-th element;

    assign rank_value + 1 to the next element; increment rank_value

    }elseif (element [ i-th] = = element [i-th + 1]){

    assign rank_value to the i-th element; assign rank_value to the next element;

    }Increment i}

  • 7

    [15] for each criteria and contractors. Arithmetic

    means are used to combine judgment by individual

    DM [16] into group preferences in order to

    produce the final ranking. The ranking is displayed

    in tabular and graphical forms (Fig. 4). All the

    operations of the tendering process starting from

    the initial input to the final ranking involve

    accessing the database and various model bases

    that include statistic, weight and GRAHP. This is

    another unique feature of our model where data

    about contractors are stored in the tendering

    database, and the model base operation results

    are stored in the specific model base repositories.

    Hence, the properly structured data in a few types

    of categories (database and model bases) will ease

    the maintenance and programming aspects of it

    compared to keeping data in an unstructured way

    6 SUMMARY

    This paper has discussed the GRAHP model as an

    enhancement of AHP in handling data

    consistency. Our findings suggest that GRAHP

    enable DMs to be more intuitive in their decision

    making processes. Furthermore, GRAHP guides

    the DMs in terms of selecting suitable input scales

    for decision matrix tables. In terms of system

    design and development, we have produced

    flexible and user friendly interfaces. At the top of

    each GAHP model form, there is a brief

    description of AHP scales. DMs can easily select

    the AHP scales using drop down menus provided

    in the forms. There is also set of guidelines on

    how to choose the scale values to reduce

    inconsistency of data entry if DMs are not satisfied

    with the calculated input values performed by the

    system. The use of GRAHP approach simplifies

    the evaluation process because most of the time

    the DMs will not be bothered with inconsistent

    data in the matrices. The DMs will be alerted with

    warning messages if the problem still persists. The

    degree of inconsistency of data is also displayed to

    the DMs to enable the values in the decision

    matrix tables to be re-adjusted in order to assist the

    DMs with re-evaluation.

    7 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    The authors are very grateful to the Ministry of

    Higher Education Malaysia and University Sultan

    Zainal Abidin, Malaysia for the grants, and

    support

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  • 9

    User request (Admin)

    Choose project

    No

    Yes

    Group features

    Integrated Model

    Operations

    Who rank criteria ?

    Group Leader Each DM in the group

    Assign rank to criteria

    Assign scales to GRAHP

    model

    Weighted

    Model

    GRAHP

    Model Bases

    Determine no. of

    contractors for

    evaluation

    Statistical Model

    Use Arithmetic

    Means to integrate

    weight & produce

    ranking

    Display ranking of contractors

    Calc. priority vector

    & weight for each

    criterion & tenderer

    User request

    Choose project

    Group Leader?

    Display criteria rank

    No

    Yes

    Each DM

    ranks criteria?

    ?

    Database

    Determine no.

    of DMs

    Determine DM &

    group leader

    Figure 2. The Process Flow of GDSS Tendering using GRAHP Model

  • 10

    Display results in tabular & graphical forms.

    Step 1: Assign weight to evaluation criteria

    The original values of the criteria

    experience for

    each tenderer.

    The rank values after automatic conversion

    process from the original

    values of experience

    criteria.

    All the values in this decision matrix are

    automatically entered

    using RAHP technique. The DM can re-judge

    these values if the

    automatic final ranking produced are

    unsatisfactory.

    Step 2: Evaluate alternatives

    Figure 3. Group Characteristics of GDSS Tendering

    Figure 4. A two-step process for GRAHP