Upload
statistikbisnis
View
23
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Materi ini merupakan bahan ajar sebagai pelengkap e-materi mata kuliah statistika bisnis.Groebner, D. F., Shannon, P. W., Fry, P. C. & Smith, K. D. (2011). Business Statistics: A Decision Making Approach 8th Edition. pearson.
Citation preview
Guide to Using Excel 2007 For Basic
Statistical Applications
To Accompany
Business Statistics: A Decision Making
Approach, 8th Ed.
Chapter 5:
Introduction to Discrete Probability
Distributions
By
Groebner, Shannon, Fry, & SmithPrentice-Hall Publishing Company
Copyright, 2011
Chapter 5 Excel Examples
Binomial Mean -Catalog Sales
Poisson Distribution –Heritage Tile
More Examples
Binomial Mean-
Catalog Sales
Issue: People who order items from catalogs
can return the items for a refund. Historical
return rate for one catalog has been 11 percent.
Is this rate still valid?
Objective: Use Excel 2007 to compute binomial
probabilities based on a sample of 300
purchases.
Situation:
• Sample Size is n=300
• p = .11
• Mean = np = 300(.11) = 33
• 44 returns were observed
• P(X > 44) = 1 – P(X < 43)
• Find P(X < 43) = ?
Binomial Mean – Catalog Sales
Binomial Mean – Catalog Sales
•Select Formulas tab
•Select More Functions
•Select Statistical
•Select BINOMDIST
Enter values:
Note:
•True = cumulative probability.
•False = exact probability
Binomial Probability Result
Binomial Mean – Catalog Sales
Poisson Distribution
Heritage Title
Issue: The distribution for the number of
defects per tile made by Heritage Tile is Poisson
distributed with a mean of 3 defects per tile. The
manager is worried about the high variability
Objective: Use Excel 2007 to generate the
Poisson distribution and histogram to visually
see spread in the distribution of possible
defects.
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
Enter values zero through 10
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
Select Formulas, More Functions, Statistical and
POISSON
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
Enter:
a1, 3, false
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
Notice that I had pre-selected Cell B1.
When I pressed enter the Poisson Probability was loaded into that cell.
Simply copy and paste Cell B1 into cells B2 : B11
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
•Select the Insert tab
•Select Column
•Select the chart type that you want
Poisson Distribution – Heritage Tile
Format the chart as per Chapter 2
Creating A Binomial Table
Issue: The binomial tables in this text contain
specific probabilities for certain values of n and p.
You may need to have more extensive tables.
Objective: Use Excel 2007 to generate the Binomial
table for n = 25 and p value of .01 to .50 in
increments of .01
Creating A Binomial Table
•Sample size in Cell B1
•p-values in Row 2
•x-values in Column B
Creating A Binomial Table
P(x =0) = .777821 for n = 25, p = .01
Notice the use of absolute cell referencing – this allows you to copy the function across and down to complete this section of the binomial table
Creating A Binomial Table
Copy the contents (formula) of Cell C3 over the entire table
Creating A Binomial Table
Clear all Cells with a value of Zero
Creating A Binomial Table
Repeat for the next set of values for p: 0.11, 0.12 … 0.20
Simply change the contents of Row 2.
Continue this for all possible values of p.
For different sample sizes (n) change Cell B1 and Row B
Creating A Poisson Table
Issue: The Poisson tables in this text contain
specific probabilities for certain values of λt . You
may need to have more extensive tables.
Objective: Use Excel 2007 to generate the
Poisson Table table for λt = 6.0 to 7.0 in
increments of .10
Creating A Poisson Table
λt values in row 2
Values of x in column A
Creating A Poisson Table
P(x = 0) for λt = 6.0 equals .00248
Notice the use of absolute cell referencing this allows you to copy the function across and down to complete this section of the binomial table
Creating A Poisson Table
Continue this process for other λtvalues as desired. As λt increases, the possible values for x will have to increase.